Spot the Differential

Bowen can exploit Liverpool defence ahead of West Ham fixture swing

Differentials did a lot of the talking in Gameweek 6, with the likes of Vladimir Coufal (£4.5m), James Ward-Prowse (£5.8m) and Diogo Jota (£6.3m) all registering attacking returns for their owners.

There’s no shortage of candidates to consider this week either.

This time, we’ve selected differentials from West Ham United, Leeds United and Chelsea who we think have the potential to make a big impact in Gameweek 7 and beyond.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Jarrod Bowen

  • FPL ownership: 2.2%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW7-11 fixtures: liv | FUL | shu | AVL | MUN

Since his January arrival, Jarrod Bowen (£6.3m) has proven to be a hit in East London.

The 23-year-old racked up a combined five attacking returns in 11 Premier League starts last season, as David Moyes’ side narrowly avoided relegation. His post-lockdown performances against Chelsea, Newcastle United and Manchester United caught the eye, as he emerged as one of West Ham United’s key players.

Despite a testing opening schedule in 2020/21, Bowen has already netted three times, averaging just over five points per game, and ranks in the top 10 midfielders for shots in the box, big chances and expected goals (xG). 

While a trip to Anfield in Gameweek 7 is hardly the most enticing of matchups, the Reds are struggling for numbers at the back and have at times this season looked vulnerable down their left-side, conceding 17 chances from that flank compared to 10 on the other. That boosts Bowen’s appeal, having started on the right-wing in all six appearances so far. 

However, their main threat on Saturday may arrive from set-pieces. In the absence of Virgil van Dijk (£6.4m), Everton were able to capitalise from a dead-ball situation in the Merseyside derby, and it’s surely something the Hammers will look to benefit from too. That’s important with Bowen on most corners and a share of free-kicks. 

Bowen and West Ham have been in good form this season, and with a promising run of fixtures from Gameweeks 8 to 20, could be set to make a real impact. Getting on one of their key men a week early could prove a shrewd decision.

Illan Meslier

  • FPL ownership: 4.0%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW7-11 fixtures: LEI | cry | ARS | eve | che

After becoming Leeds United’s first-choice goalkeeper in the second half of last season, Illan Meslier (£4.5m) has gone on to establish himself as one of the Premier League’s most exciting young prospects.

Despite having already faced Liverpool and Manchester City, the 20-year-old ranks joint-fourth in the goalkeeper standings, behind only Emiliano Martínez (£4.8m), Karl Darlow (£5.0m) and Kasper Schmeichel (£5.5m), two of whom have benefitted from penalty saves.

The Whites defence did not make the best of starts back in the top tier, conceding four goals at Anfield and three against Fulham. However, since Gameweek 3, they have become more resilient at the back and conceded just two goals across their last four games. No team has given up fewer over the same period. 

The Frenchman has secured clean sheets in the victories over Sheffield United and Aston Villa, as well as making key saves throughout. In fact, his shot-stopping abilities have helped him collect an additional save point in four out of his six fixtures so far, as well as three bonus points. 

The immediate fixtures look promising for Leeds defensively: Monday’s opponents Leicester City have scored just one goal in their last three matches, with Crystal Palace and Arsenal to follow. They also welcome West Ham United, Newcastle United and Burnley to Elland Road before the end of the year.

Meslier is becoming a reliable figure who has settled extremely quickly in the top tier, and could be the pick of the budget FPL keeper options right now.

Christian Pulisic

  • FPL ownership: 4.0%
  • Price: £8.3m
  • GW7-11 fixtures: bur | SHU | new | TOT | LEE

Christian Pulisic (£8.3m) is still looking for his first league goal of the season, but having got off the mark in Europe in midweek, it is surely only a matter of time before he opens his account.

Chelsea strolled their way to victory on Wednesday night with a comfortable 4-0 Champions League win over Russian side FC Krasnodar. 

Arriving from the bench with just 19 minutes to go, Pulisic’s strike capped off a productive evening for Frank Lampard’s attacking assets, and offered a glimpse of what might be to come now everyone is fit and firing.

It’s easy to forget just how much of an impact Pulisic made upon the Premier League’s resumption back in June. The United States international produced a goal or assist in seven of Chelsea’s final nine league fixtures, and went on the score in the FA Cup final too. 

It’s the kind of output that suggests a big season lies ahead, and now looks like the time to invest.

If the Season Ticker were to focus solely on the next three Gameweeks, Chelsea would be top of the pile. Heading to Burnley in Gameweek 7 is far from straightforward, but the firepower at Blues’ disposal should be enough to see them off, while it’s worth noting Pulisic scored a hat-trick on his last visit to Turf Moor.

Timing is key for Pulisic, but now up to speed he could prove the difference maker at Chelsea, and be an effective differential moving forward. 

Become a Member and get unrestricted access to our data and articles

Full-year memberships are now available for the price of £19.99. Monthly subscriptions also cost just £2.99. A FREE trial is now available during December.

Join now to get the following:

  • Plot your transfer strategies using the fully interactive Season Ticker.
  • Get projections for every Premier League player provided by the Rate My Team statistical model.
  • Use Rate My Team throughout the season to guide your selections and transfers.
  • Get access to over 150+ exclusive members articles over the season.
  • Analyse our OPTA-powered statistic tables specifically tailored for Fantasy Football Managers.
  • Use our exclusive tool to build custom stats tables from over 100 OPTA player and team stats.
  • Enjoy our brand NEW Flat-Track Bully feature which introduces an opposition filter to your tables.
  • View heatmaps and expected goals data for every player.
  • Use our powerful comparison tool to analyse players head-to-head.

ALREADY A USER? CLICK HERE TO UPGRADE YOUR FREE ACCOUNT

NEW TO SCOUT? CLICK HERE TO START A MEMBERSHIP ACCOUNT

avfc82 https://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/894/history”

1,212 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Stevie G
    • 2 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Who is the best striker to own for next 3 GWs?

    a) Ings ( avl, NEW, wol )
    b) Adams ( avl, NEW, wol )
    c) Bamford ( LEI, cry, ARS )
    d) Jiménez (CRY, lei, SOU )

    1. Jdpz
      • 1 Year
      4 months, 4 days ago

      A

    2. ElliotJHP
      • 8 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Ingsy

  2. Jdpz
    • 1 Year
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Will James rodriguez play in this week?

    1. abhirup780
      • 6 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      No

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Doesn't look like it

    3. Takedog1
      • 7 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      no

  3. Hooton
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    I have to take a hit here don’t it? Still have a wild card though. Have had Antonio from the start and really wanted to keep him for the change in fixtures. With him and JRod being out the natural hit move would be Bamford and Son. Thoughts?

    1.4m in the bank.

    Leno
    TAA Chillwell Lamptey
    Salah Pulisic Foden JRod
    DCL Kane Antonio

    Nyland Mitchell Soucek Douglas

    1. No Professionals
      • 3 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      you could just do JRod to Grealish/Zaha and save the hit (play Soucek).

      the hit looks a good option too though.

      1. Hooton
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        4 months, 4 days ago

        Yeah that’s a good shout actually. Am keen to see the developments on Antonio.

        1. Hooton
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          4 months, 4 days ago

          With price moves of Antonio and Son, would mean I have to miss out on Son is the other thing. Decisions decisions.....

  4. Reeker
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    How long James out for? 1 week?

    1. Ze_Austin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Yup

    2. abhirup780
      • 6 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      According to Ancelotti, Yes

  5. Rolls-Royce
    • 7 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Nice to have a Friday deadline. Looking forward to my Podence 3 pointer and Jimmy's 8 point haul.

    1. MarcusAurelius
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      LOL

    2. StayoutheSpiceZone
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      I have them both at the moment. I am thinking of moving them on! I don't fancy them this evening.

      What do you think the score will be?

  6. Wılly
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Play Bale (BHA, wba) or bring in Rashford (ARS, eve)?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Rashford

    2. Pukki Blinders
      • 1 Year
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Bale may see another benching

    3. Takedog1
      • 7 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      too early to bring bale in

      1. Wılly
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        4 months, 4 days ago

        I brought him in on wildcard 2 weeks ago

  7. Please Answer Me
    • 6 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    After doing a thorough analysis on who the best captain option is for this week I came to the conclusion that it doesn't matter because my vice captain will get more points

  8. Return of the FF
    • 5 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Gang...

    Marti / Mccarthy

    Robbo, Ward, Dallas, KWP, Bernado

    Salah, Son, James, Grealish, Jorginho

    Kane, Bamford, DCL

    1 FT, 0.9 itb...

    Roll FT? Or James to...

    A. Foden

    B. Puli

    C. Zaha

    D. Barnes

    Thanking you.

  9. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
    • 4 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Have exact funds for James to Ziyech.. would you do it?

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 7 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Yes

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Not certain Ziyech starts... Mount and Pulisic probably come so only one spot left between Ziyech and Havertz

    3. Pukki Blinders
      • 1 Year
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Assuming you own Grealish?

      1. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
        • 4 Years
        4 months, 4 days ago

        Yes

  10. gstegnar
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    4 months, 4 days ago

    I have to put either Barkley either Wilson on the bench. Who'd you put on the bench?

    1. Pukki Party
      • 3 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Wilson i guess, tough.

    2. Wılly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Yourself, shouldn't have put yourself in this situation in the first place

    3. Couch Potato
      • 1 Year
      4 months, 4 days ago

      What's the rest of your team?

      1. gstegnar
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        4 months, 4 days ago

        button/mccarthy
        webster/mitchell/TAA/KWP/dier
        barkley/zaha/salah/son/havertz
        DCL/ings/wilson

        I'm slowly transitioning to playing 5-2 in front, so in next GW probably wilson will be transffered out. Or do you think that's a mistake?

        1. Couch Potato
          • 1 Year
          4 months, 4 days ago

          I also have Wilson, and have no plans to get rid of him at the moment. He's well capable of a decent day v EVE.

          In your situation, I'd play 343 and my decision would be between Barkley/Havertz.

          All boils down to whether you like SOU or bur as the better fixture. I'd go for Barkley SOU myself, Turf Moor normally is a tough place to go.

  11. Pukki Party
    • 3 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Martinez
    TAA Robbo Ayling
    Salah Son Pulisic Trossard
    Jimenez DCL Watkins

    4.0 Soucek Lewis Taylor

    A) Trossard to Foden
    B) Pulisic, Watkins to Brewster, Fernandes (play Soucek as 5th mid for their good games)
    C) Watkins to Wilson/max 6.9 fwd

    1. Would Ed Woodward
      • 2 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Wouldn't wanna do B this week when they have good fixtures.

  12. Kasper the ghost keeper
    • 5 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    A) Rodriguez -> Rashford
    B) Wickham -> Wilson/Adams
    C) Justin -> Chilwell

    1. Tingate
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      C

    2. Pukki Party
      • 3 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      All good options, A if Rodriguez is out

  13. The Assassin-Faced BabyDave
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    This Rodriguez injury is a bit of a ballache. Ziyech?

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 7 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Yaaaay let's do it.

  14. Magic Zico
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Now Castagne Hamez are out, forced to use FT. Which one from A and B folks?
    A. Dallas Coufal Creswell Dias
    B. Foden Bowen Zaha Pulisic

    1. Hulk Smash
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Probably Coufal and Foden/Pulisic

  15. ragsyboys
    • 5 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Why does everyone think that Chilwell is going to be rested ?

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Not everyone ...

    2. Brosstan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Coping non owners

  16. Takedog1
    • 7 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    is gomez a decent option purely for clean sheet?

    also wilson or adams?

    on wc

  17. Do I Not Like Orange
    • 8 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Grealish or Zaha in for JRod?

    1. Pukki Blinders
      • 1 Year
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Grealish

    2. Takedog1
      • 7 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      zaha has great fixtures

  18. Noob
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Feels like the hardest choice so far this season - essentially boils down to whether I have more faith in TAA or Werner..

    Team:
    Martinez / Steer
    TAA/Saiss/Lamptey/James/Mitchell
    Salah/Son/Foden/Podence/Burke
    Kane/DCL/Werner

    Option 1:
    TAA + Podence -> Chilwell + Grealish

    I shipped Trent prior to the Leicester haul last season and am so hesitant to do so again - but Liverpool looking at less clean sheets than last season and it will be tough for Trent to match his attacking output. Fabinho out feels like the clincher..
    But... it's Trent

    This option will mean James/Chilwell/Werner all being in my first XI as I will likely risk James starting.

    Option 2:
    James + Podence + Werner -> Chilwell + Grealish + Bamford (-4)

    Go with form? Werner's heatmap is worrying and I don't think Burnley/SHU/Newcastle are necessarily great fixtures from an attacking POV and they follow this with tougher games. Leeds had TWENTY shots in the box last game - why fight form?

    Any thoughts appreciated!

    1. C_Manan
      • 1 Year
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Chelsea have great fixtures, Werner should give decent returns over the run

  19. Bubz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Have exact funds to do Digne + Jrod —> Chillwell + Pulisic -4.

    Very tempting

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      I'd do that

    2. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Like it!

    3. Pukki Blinders
      • 1 Year
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Can't afford Jrod to Puli by itself?

      1. Bubz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        4 months, 4 days ago

        Sadly not

    4. Black Knights
      • 9 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Gotta be done. Will recoup the points this week and will probably be a while before the former 2 get a chance to make you regret it.

      1. Bubz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        4 months, 4 days ago

        Only thing I dont like about it is if I bring Chillwell in I then have to bench Ayling or Saiss who both look good this week

        1. Hulk Smash
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          4 months, 4 days ago

          Saiss could be dropped for Marcal/Kilman anyway

  20. C_Manan
    • 1 Year
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Hamez to
    A) Foden
    B) Pulisic
    C) Zaha,
    D) Rashford

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      B or D

      1. cheeky moses
        • 5 Years
        4 months, 4 days ago

        agreed, but tricky to pick one of those two

  21. wslnpt
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    4 months, 4 days ago

    Do we think Cancelo is nailed?

    1. abhirup780
      • 6 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      No

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      No, Mendy and Zinchenko also options

    3. Pukki Blinders
      • 1 Year
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Far from it

  22. Zlatan F.C
      4 months, 4 days ago

      a) R.James to Chilwell
      b) Podence to Zaha

    • cheeky moses
      • 5 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Hamez to:
      A) Rashford
      B) Puli

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        4 months, 4 days ago

        B

      2. NULL-X-VOID
        • 7 Years
        4 months, 4 days ago

        hold. But out of those two Puli

    • Bruce Lee
      • 2 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Chelsea presser done?

      Safe to pull the trigger on Castagne to Chilwell?

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        4 months, 4 days ago

        Was yesterday. I'd say it is safe.

      2. Pukki Blinders
        • 1 Year
        4 months, 4 days ago

        Would do it next week incase Chilwell gets his rest

    • NULL-X-VOID
      • 7 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      I am defo not going to ship Jamez out. A leaky Utd, Fulham, Leeds and Bur, I can clearly see a good haul in 2 out of those 4.

      1. Wılly
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        4 months, 4 days ago

        He may not have a good ball for 2 out of those 4

        1. NULL-X-VOID
          • 7 Years
          4 months, 4 days ago

          He's going to be back for the next game. Worth keeping him, at least to me, with those teams

      2. HashAttack
        • 3 Years
        4 months, 4 days ago

        IB between ManU and Fulham - I've traded him up to Rashford who will be against a leaky Everton defence and then has WBA (and only 1/4 of the ownership)

    • Tricky FC
      • 4 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Foden to pulisic
      Or james Rodriguez to pulisic

      Both are -4 hits. Have had foden rise 0.1 since i bought
      James Rodriguez risen 0.3 since i bought

      1. Takedog1
        • 7 Years
        4 months, 4 days ago

        id sell jrod

    • afs2239
      • 4 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      I have a lot of players playing vs each other
      Trossard vs Aurier
      Zaha vs Semedo
      Justin vs Ayling
      Also laca is bad, brewster same
      Should i use wildcard or just my ft

      1. NULL-X-VOID
        • 7 Years
        4 months, 4 days ago

        Wont use my WC for one GWs issue

      2. MarcusAurelius
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        4 months, 4 days ago

        Hard to say without seeing your whole team. Who are your other 7 players?

    • SM001
      • 4 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      Auba, Jimenez & TAA to Fernandes/Rashford, Kane & Chilwell (-4) ???

      1. Hulk Smash
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        4 months, 4 days ago

        Yes

    • The Mighty Hippo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 months, 4 days ago

      I can play Kilman or Dallas from the bench, or do Rodriguez to Zaha for free. What's the best option?

      1. NULL-X-VOID
        • 7 Years
        4 months, 4 days ago

        Hold Hamez, he would be back for the Utd game and then they have fulham and Leeds, all three are potential haul games

        1. djoker_nole
            4 months, 4 days ago

            How are Leeds and United potential haul games? They will be very tough for Everton imo

        2. MarcusAurelius
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          4 months, 4 days ago

          Kilman or Dallas are more than enough cover

      2. PascalCygan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        4 months, 4 days ago

        A) TAA + Maupay > Coufal + Kane (-4)
        B) Jimi > Kane (free)

        Had built towards doing Jimi to Kane this week but Jimi making me doubt myself with his recent displays... But then selling TAA for a hit seems a risk.

        1FT 2.5ITB
        Martinez
        TAA Saiss Justin
        Salah Son Bruno Podence
        Jimi DCL Maupay

        Steer Struijk Reed Mitchell

        Thanks!