Pro Pundit Teams

How to use teams’ specific weaknesses to pick the right FPL assets

Despite selling Jamie Vardy (£10.3m) for a hit on Friday, Gameweek 12 turned out to be a pretty good one for me.

After taking my second minus four of the season to accommodate Mohamed Salah (£12.3m), I returned a total of 70 points and as a result, now sit 202,736th overall, with my Wildcard still intact.

So, as focus turns to Gameweek 13, I’m going to have a look at where teams have been conceding most of their chances from this season, in the hope of identifying one or two transfer targets for the Christmas period. 

I’ll then have a closer look at some of the players who stood out, and also discuss plans going forward.

WHERE TEAMS CONCEDE THE MOST CHANCES FROM

Using data from the Premium Members Area, I’ve had a look at where each team is most susceptible to conceding chances. This is something I like to keep track of during the season, in an attempt to find out which fantasy options can exploit those weaknesses. 

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avfc82 https://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/894/history”

2,522 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Puyol Pants Up
    • 6 Years
    4 months, 1 day ago

    Hey lads, what to do?

    Johnstone, 4.0
    Chilwell, Lamptey, KWP, Dallas, Targett
    KDB, Salah, Grealish, Bowen, Riedeweild
    Kane, DCL, Bamford

    1 FT, 1.8 itb

    Thinking Johnstone has to go as he has [mci, AVL, liv, LEE] is it worth making a GK transfer or is it better to bank in this situation? Johnstone vs MCI is a 1 pointer maximum 🙁

    1. NateDogsCats
        4 months, 1 day ago

        He could do well against Villa and Leeds, I also wouldn't say a 1 pointer is a guarantee against City as City are still yet to hit peak form and he will likely make a lot of saves... but similarly they could get thrashed. Do you have other plans for the FT or for 2 FTs next week if you roll it?

        1. Puyol Pants Up
          • 6 Years
          4 months, 1 day ago

          Hmmm, judging from next GW's fixtures I don't think I would need 2 FT's unless an injury occurs

          1. NateDogsCats
              4 months, 1 day ago

              Go for it then I'd say if you feel the need, you could similarly just upgrade your 4.0 keeper to a playing 4.5/4.6 keeper, I know a lot of people here think one is enough but injuries can happen and even forgetting that I think having a choice each week is only a good thing especially on weeks like this

        2. The Senate
          • 2 Years
          4 months, 1 day ago

          Johnstone May well be a save machine in the coming weeks - if you have your WC intact I wouldn’t sell him now, otherwise I’d maybe go for Martinez.

          No Bruno could be dangerous but it’s a long way for Bowen+1.8 to go and I wouldn’t want to lose Kane now!

          1. Puyol Pants Up
            • 6 Years
            4 months, 1 day ago

            Yeah, I feel like Kane could 'cover' bruno since most either have one of Kane/Bruno so im not too worried about that. I don't have my WC. I'm thinking of bringing Emi in yeah, has BUR wba CRY coming up as well as a possible DGW soon. Johnstone should make alot of saves but they could get wacked for 6 any game which worries me..

      • The Senate
        • 2 Years
        4 months, 1 day ago

        Im a little concerned some of my players may no-show and my bench isn’t great - anything worth using my 1FT on? 1.2 ITB
        Leno
        Chilwell Telles Justin
        Salah Bruno Son Mahrez Grealish
        DCL Adams
        (Mitchell Reguilon Brewster)

        1. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
          • 6 Years
          4 months, 1 day ago

          Worried about Mahrez?

          1. The Senate
            • 2 Years
            4 months, 1 day ago

            Yes and Telles (and Bruno but no way am I selling)

            1. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
              • 6 Years
              4 months, 1 day ago

              Bruno? Bruno gonna play man

              1. The Senate
                • 2 Years
                4 months, 1 day ago

                Hope so, he’s got my armband - just looks like the prime time to rest him

                1. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
                  • 6 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  Maybe you're right.

        2. The VAR Team
          • 1 Year
          4 months, 1 day ago

          save for me

        3. lugs
          • 3 Years
          4 months, 1 day ago

          Brewster is a waste of space, so maybe upgrade him to Welbeck or Decordova-Reid so you will always have a good first sub

      • Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
        • 6 Years
        4 months, 1 day ago

        Repost lads, sorry

        Martinez,Button
        Chilwell,Justin,KWP,Coufal,Mitchell
        KDB, Mahrez,Bruno,Jota,Bissouma
        Werner,Vardy,Che Adams

        Would you make these moves over the next few GW's, 2FT, 0.8 ITB, something else? Appreciate it.

        GW13: Werner&Jota>Bamford&Greenwood
        GW14: Vardy&Bissouma>Wood&Mane(-4)
        GW15: Nothing at all
        GW16: Mahrez>Son

        1. NateDogsCats
            4 months, 1 day ago

            Werner is the big problem, could you do him to Kane and Jota to someone like Soucek or Lookman? Or Jota to Son and Werner to Wilson or someone around the 6m mark?

            1. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
              • 6 Years
              4 months, 1 day ago

              I could do Werner to Bamford?

              1. NateDogsCats
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  That sounds good, over the course of a few weeks he's certainly likely to haul a few times

            2. The Hoff
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              4 months, 1 day ago

              I wouldn’t get Greenwood (how much will he play) or Mane (Salah just a better FPL player as on penalties/always outscores Mane over a season). I’d just focus on getting 2/3 out of Banford/Salah/ Grealish.

              What would you do in my position (below)?

          • The VAR Team
            • 1 Year
            4 months, 1 day ago

            Unsure about this: B would allow me to finally get rid of the nightmare that is Semedo

            A) Jota > Bowen
            B) Semedo Jota > Coufal Zaha (-4)

            1. The Senate
              • 2 Years
              4 months, 1 day ago

              If you still have WC intact A, otherwise B

          • JasonG123
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            4 months, 1 day ago

            Masuaku to Coufal/Taylor or save FT?

            Masuaku is on my bench (have Robbo, Dias and Chilwell) but if I save FT then I’ll have Bissouma as my only playing bench player.

            1. The VAR Team
              • 1 Year
              4 months, 1 day ago

              Wouldn't spend a transfer on that

            2. NateDogsCats
                4 months, 1 day ago

                You'll probably be fine for this week but if you have no other plans for the FT then might as well go for it as he'll have to go either way

              • The Senate
                • 2 Years
                4 months, 1 day ago

                Roll ft

            3. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
              • 9 Years
              4 months, 1 day ago

              Captain KDB or Bruno?

              United have an extra 2 days rest

              1. Warby84
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 5 Years
                4 months, 1 day ago

                I swapped tonight to Fernandes

                1. SuperG
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 2 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  You swapped KDB out...

                  1. Warby84
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 5 Years
                    4 months, 1 day ago

                    I have both and keep swapping between them..

            4. Drogba Legend
              • 3 Years
              4 months, 1 day ago

              Save FT, Son out, or Son and DCL out for a hit? Maybe even drop Robbo to someone?

              Mendy
              Robbo - Chill - Dallas - Dias
              KDB (C) - Son - Grealish - Salah
              Bam - DCL

              Steer - Giroud - Stephens* - Douglas*

              A) Save
              B) Son > Rash, Bowen (allows me to do DCL > Kane next GW), Mahrez or Torres
              C) Son + DCL > Bruno + 6.5 forward (-4)
              D) Son + Robbo > Bruno + Stones/Mendy/Cancelo (-4)
              E) Son + Giroud > Bruno + De Cordorva Reid (-4)

              Cheers!

              1. The Hoff
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 8 Years
                4 months, 1 day ago

                Definitely A. Son in great form, not worth a hit and there’s no one in his price bracket worth getting without a hit. What would you do in my position (below)?

                1. Drogba Legend
                  • 3 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  Bruno not worth the hit?

              2. Bram
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                4 months, 1 day ago

                D

            5. The Hoff
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              4 months, 1 day ago

              Would be very grateful for your input... what would you do?

              1. Vardy/Jota to Wilson/Bruno
              2. Vardy/Jora to Welbeck(!)/Bruno
              3. Vardy/Jota to Watkins/Bruno
              4. Vardy/Jota to any of the above/Grealish
              5. Something else entirely

              Martinez
              Roboo/Dias/Cancelo
              Salah/KdB/Jota/Soucek
              Vardy/DCL/Bamford

              McCarthy/ Alioski/Bissouma / Kilman

              0.5ITB

              At some point one or both of the transfers will become Son/Kane

              1. The VAR Team
                • 1 Year
                4 months, 1 day ago

                1

              2. Drogba Legend
                • 3 Years
                4 months, 1 day ago

                1 short term, 3 long term

                1. SuperG
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 2 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  This

              3. dunas_dog
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 5 Years
                4 months, 1 day ago

                Think you want Vardy for Everton game so I would play Alioski and carry- but from your other choices 1

                1. The Hoff
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 8 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  Thanks all! Would like Vardy for Everton game, but I think Bruno could have a much higher ceiling. Everton may lose but probably won’t concede more than 2. Leeds high line against Man U could be a goalfest

              4. DA Minnion (In Bielsa we tr…
                • 8 Years
                4 months, 1 day ago

                Probably c as you don't have grealish.

              5. Bram
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                4 months, 1 day ago

                1

            6. Pepeye
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              4 months, 1 day ago

              Torres deffo for tomorrow, Gundogan or Foden will start. Back 5 probably unchanged although Laporte a possibility. Fernandinho makes way

              1. gers23
                • 9 Years
                4 months, 1 day ago

                Does this mean no Mahrez?

              2. Tomsk
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  Wouldn't surprise me if Torres, Foden, B Silva, Gundogan all start. Maybe Mahrez on bench. Also would expect one or two changes at back. No one apart from Ederson and maybe De Bruyne safe.

                • Atletico Junior
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 8 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  Source?

              3. DA Minnion (In Bielsa we tr…
                • 8 Years
                4 months, 1 day ago

                Lads , two options.

                A.Jota and Vardy to Bruno and Adams for a hit
                B. Save and do it for free tomorrow after deadline.
                If I save the team is
                McCarthy
                Lamptey Chilwell Dallas Coufal
                Salah KDB(c) Grealish
                Kane Vardy Bamford

                Jota Kilman Stephens
                So no playing subs but I think my first 11 will play.
                Thoughts.

                1. dunas_dog
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 5 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  I would carry. Think Everton good fixture for Vardy

                  1. DA Minnion (In Bielsa we tr…
                    • 8 Years
                    4 months, 1 day ago

                    I'm leaning that way. But Bruno is tempting.

                2. The Hoff
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 8 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  Definitely don’t take a hit. Either get a playing defender for Kilman (will need one over Christmas at some point) and miss out on Bruno or save FT. What would you do in my position (above)?

              4. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 5 Years
                4 months, 1 day ago

                Will Jota’s price fall tonight?

                1. The VAR Team
                  • 1 Year
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  weirdly he's stuck at -90 with only one arrow. could fall though...

                2. YEAH PITCH!
                  • 2 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  Don't think so

              5. Muscout
                • 1 Year
                4 months, 1 day ago

                A) Best Kilman replacement 4.4m or under? Need to strengthen the bench
                B) Sterling or Salah this week only? Have KDB and Cancelo

                1. dunas_dog
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 5 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  C Taylor and Sterling

              6. dunas_dog
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 5 Years
                4 months, 1 day ago

                Do I need to release cash from one of my starting 11 to improve bench for busy Xmas schedule? If so what would you suggest?

                Martinez
                James Dias Chilwell
                Salah KDB (c) Bruno Son Grealish
                Bamford Watkins

                Forster Lewis Brewster Mitchell

                1. TimoTime
                  • 1 Year
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  Chilwell > Dias

                  Happy with KDB captain or tempted by Bruno?

                  1. dunas_dog
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 5 Years
                    4 months, 1 day ago

                    I have Dias- yes happy with KDB - 50/50 choice so gone with gut feeling

                    1. TimoTime
                      • 1 Year
                      4 months, 1 day ago

                      Oops, didn't see Dias in there, think it's time for bed

                      Chiwell > Coufal would free up a lot

                2. Bram
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 11 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  I wouldn't worry too much you have a playing sub and 1pt if really in bother Brewster

              7. ooooo
                • 3 Years
                4 months, 1 day ago

                Pick one
                A) Zaha + Robbo
                B) Bowen + Robbo
                C) Son + 5.1 max def(have Lamptey,Dallas and Coufal)

                1. dunas_dog
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 5 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  A

                2. Drogba Legend
                  • 3 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  B for me

                3. Mortal.Swinbat
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 10 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  C for me
                  Can you not stretch to R.James for 5.2?
                  If not look at Stones 4.8, KWP/Vest from SOU (4.6 & 4.8), Taylor from Burnley (4.4) or Dier (5.0)

                  I wouldn’t want to miss out on Sob

                  1. ooooo
                    • 3 Years
                    4 months, 1 day ago

                    Hmm starting to think Robbo + Jota to Stones + Son for free sounds good.

                4. Bram
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 11 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  C

              8. HellasLEAF
                • 11 Years
                4 months, 1 day ago

                KDB or Bruno

                1. Bobby Digital
                  • 3 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  For C?

                  1. HellasLEAF
                    • 11 Years
                    4 months, 1 day ago

                    No to have in team over the near term.

                    1. Bobby Digital
                      • 3 Years
                      4 months, 1 day ago

                      KDB with better short term fixtures

                2. dunas_dog
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 5 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  Both! But if you can only have one then KDB

                3. The Mighty Hippo
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 4 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  Kev

              9. Viper
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                4 months, 1 day ago

                A. Play KWP. Save FT

                B. Jota - > Bowen. Bench KWP

                1. Bram
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 11 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  I sold Jota and am benching KWP as he's my only sub who isn't Brewster - nice fixt for KWP though ofc

              10. Tsparkes10
                • 2 Years
                4 months, 1 day ago

                Thoughts?? WC still available

                McCarthy
                Konsa Chilwell Coufal
                Son Salah Bruno Grealish
                DCL Werner Bamford
                (Nyland, KWP, Podence, Mitchell)

                A) Podence, Chilwell to Torres, Dallas (-4, bench DCL)
                B) Salah to KDB
                C) Werner, Podence to Watkins, Mahrez (-4)

                1. Bram
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 11 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  Of the options B as no way I'd play Pep roulette on anyone but KDB or a def.

              11. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
                • 6 Years
                4 months, 1 day ago

                Okay so, which one is more likely to get rested this week and which game?

                Kdb vs Wba or vs Sou

                Bruno vs She or vs Lee

                1. popcoin
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 9 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  kdb v WBA

                  1. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
                    • 6 Years
                    4 months, 1 day ago

                    My guess too.

              12. The Royal Robin
                • 5 Years
                4 months, 1 day ago

                (C)

                KDB or Bruno?

                1. CBonci
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 5 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  I have both and am going Bruno. Maybe it’s the extra rest or the away form. Honestly can’t argue with either!

                2. _Ninja_
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 10 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  KDB... I think. I have both.

              13. 03farmboy
                • 1 Year
                4 months, 1 day ago

                Would you swap mahrez for Bruno this week?

                1. popcoin
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 9 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  nah

                2. Bram
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 11 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  Absolutely yes

              14. popcoin
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 9 Years
                4 months, 1 day ago

                Thoughts on Grealish's form?

                Hasn't looked too threatening in last 2 games, plus the blank week can't have been helpful for rhythm.

                Is he declining out of his purple patch, and suffering from a lack of Barkley's playmaking in the centre of the pitch? Or is Burnley at home just the game for him to return in?

                1. The Mighty Hippo
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 4 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  He'll return throughout the season, but will have some dry runs. Just keep a hold of him and look at his accrued total over the longer term.

                2. _Ninja_
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 10 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  Barkley should be back by the weekend and a villa have 2 dgws to come do I would keep. He's also on pens if el gahzi doesn't play.

                3. CBonci
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 5 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  I see your point but he still looks so dangerous whenever he has the ball and their fixtures are so good.

                4. popcoin
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 9 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  non-owner, by the way

              15. ooooo
                • 3 Years
                4 months, 1 day ago

                Bowen or Zaha?

              16. The Reptile
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 9 Years
                4 months, 1 day ago

                Salah to Bruno this week.? Bruno rising tonight
                WC still available to get Salah back

                Front line of

                Son | KDB | Grealish| Salah {Anguissa}
                DCL|Bamford] Vardy

                Views appreciated

                1. Bram
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 11 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  I would

              17. F_Ivanovic
                • 5 Years
                4 months, 1 day ago

                Is it a bad sign when so many are looking to transfer Mahrez out and I'm thinking of bringing him in?

                Jota > Mahrez
                Robbo > Dias

                is my plan. The other option is just Jota to Bowen or Soucek although I have no good use of the money whatsoever in the latter case. I already have KDB, Grealish and Bruno and accepted I can't get Salah in. City have an insane run of fixtures and I just think Mahrez is still great value at his price.

                1. Stupendous
                  • 8 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  I don't think he starts tomorrow and I wouldn't be surprised if Dias rests either.

                  Robbo out could seriously backfire

                  Could is always the keyword though

                2. NateDogsCats
                    4 months, 1 day ago

                    Lot of people like him here but I never think he's worth it, 2 returns in 11 games, he's very capable of a huge haul but he's not dependable

                3. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 5 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  Really stuck with captain choice. KDB vs Bruno doing my head in

                  1. TimoTime
                    • 1 Year
                    4 months, 1 day ago

                    Same, leaning towards Bruno...

                    Going to be an anxious wait until Thursday if KDB decides to haul tomorrow though

                4. Bartowski
                  • 10 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  On the rather optimistic assumption that Foden might start would you bench Zaha or Ward-Prowse?

                  1. TimoTime
                    • 1 Year
                    4 months, 1 day ago

                    JWP

                5. MikeLowrey
                  • 2 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  Martinez
                  Robbo Chilwell Lamptey KWP
                  Salah KDB (C) Son Grealish
                  DCL Bamford

                  (Forster Brewster Mitchell Jota*)

                  A) Roll FT and reasses
                  B) Jota to Zaha
                  C) Jota to Greenwood - for a punt
                  D) Jota to Torres - same as C
                  E) Jota to Soucek - use funds in the coming weeks to either strengthen the bench or downgrade DEF to load up the FWDs
                  F) Jota to Lookman - same as E

                  1. Bram
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 11 Years
                    4 months, 1 day ago

                    Probably E

                6. OptimusBlack
                  • 7 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  Who To play ??
                  A- Reguilón
                  B- Lamptey
                  C- Reguilón > Dias / City Defender

                  1. Bram
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 11 Years
                    4 months, 1 day ago

                    A

                    1. OptimusBlack
                      • 7 Years
                      4 months, 1 day ago

                      Cheers

                7. ooooo
                  • 3 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  How nailed is Stones?

                8. Pickle juice
                  • 4 Years
                  4 months, 1 day ago

                  Start 2 of the three :

                  1.mahrez
                  2. Net
                  3.dcl

                  Cheers

                  1. Bobby Digital
                    • 3 Years
                    4 months, 1 day ago

                    13

                  2. Pickle juice
                    • 4 Years
                    4 months, 1 day ago

                    2 is neto by the way