Spot the Differential

Updated fixtures boost case for Maguire and Man United defence

The Gameweek 17 deadline is almost upon us which gives us the opportunity to have a look at some differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks from Manchester United, Arsenal and Crystal Palace, who we think have the potential to make a big impact.

As always, to qualify, the players must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Harry Maguire

  • FPL ownership: 3.6%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW17-21 fixtures: AVL | bur | liv + ful | SHU | ars

Manchester United are now unbeaten in nine league games, and following Tuesday’s late win over Wolverhampton Wanderers, have put themselves in the thick of the Premier League title race.

One of the key players for the Red Devils during that run of improved form has been Harry Maguire (£5.4m).

The England international has bounced back following a tough start to the season, and could be a shrewd differential pick for FPL managers on the lookout for a new defender.

Following yesterday’s fixture announcement, United now have a favourable schedule which includes games against Burnley, Fulham and Sheffield United in the next five. In fact, between Gameweeks 17 and 25, they sit top of the ticker from a defensive perspective. Obviously, they need to improve at the back having already conceded 23 goals, but it does feel like progress is being made and a clean sheet in midweek now gives them something to build on.

However, the real appeal lies in Maguire’s goal threat. Since the beginning of the season, the 27-year-old has registered more shots and attempts in the box than any defender in the game, while he ranks third for excepted goals (xG). For context, his 17 shots in the box is only three behind team-mate Bruno Fernandes (£11.2m).

Importantly, Maguire has been ever-present for Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s side this season, and with his ability to contribute FPL points at both ends of the pitch, is a tempting New Year investment.

Gabriel Martinelli

  • FPL ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £4.9m
  • GW17-21 fixtures: wba | CRY | NEW | sou | MUN

Next up is an interesting budget option at Arsenal, Gabriel Martinelli (£4.9m), who has recently returned from a six-month spell on the sidelines.

The Brazilian has now started back-to-back league matches, and been central to the Gunners’ upturn in form which has seen them beat Chelsea and Brighton and Hove Albion.

Admittedly, it took them a while to get going against Albion, but they found their rhythm in the second half, with youngsters Emile Smith Rowe (£4.4m), Bukayo Saka (£5.2m) and Martinelli pulling the strings. The inclusion of the young trio behind a striker has galvanised Mikel Arteta’s side, and with a great run of games against West Bromwich Albion, Crystal Palace and Newcastle United coming up, they could offer real value. 

However, if it comes down to goal threat alone, I’d put Martinelli comfortably ahead right now. His clever movement and knack of being in the right place at the right time will see plenty of goalscoring opportunities come his way, and having netted 10 goals from 26 appearances across all competitions last season, his potential is evident. 

His link-up play with Kieran Tierney (£5.3m) down Arsenal’s left-side has also stood out, which is important considering Arsenal’s next two opponents concede plenty of chances from that side of the pitch.

After a turbulent few weeks, Arsenal will be hopeful of moving up the Premier League table in 2021, and with Martinelli making an instant impact upon returning to the starting XI, they could yet turn their season around.

Eberechi Eze

  • FPL ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £5.8m
  • GW17-21 fixtures: SHU | ars | mci | WHU | WOL

Eberechi Eze (£5.8m) has impressed for Crystal Palace this season, developing into his side’s main creative outlet.

Since becoming a regular starter in Gameweek 8, he ranks top amongst team-mates for chances created, big chances created and successful take-ons, while only Andros Townsend (£5.7m) has attempted more crosses. 

Key to his appeal is this week’s opponents Sheffield United, who are still without a win all season. The defensive data tells us that they have given up a significant amount of chances from their right flank. In fact, only West Bromwich Albion have conceded more from that zone this season, which is relevant with Eze operating off the left in Roy Hodgson’s 4-4-2. 

It’s also worth noting that the Blades have often looked vulnerable defending set-plays, having allowed 72 attempts on goal from dead-ball situations so far, more than any other side. With Eze being known for his ability from set-pieces and drawing fouls from the opposition, he could be set to profit in Gameweek 17.

Palace currently sit 15th in the Premier League table and despite a dip in form over Christmas, looked more assured in Monday’s draw against Leicester City. A win on Saturday would see them rise above Newcastle United, Arsenal and Wolverhampton Wanderers into 12th spot, at least temporarily, and they won’t get a better chance than against the Blades.

While three attacking returns is a fairly modest total for Eze so far, he is an exciting player with big potential, and given his opponents defensive vulnerabilities, could be set to add to his tally this weekend.

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1,606 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Sam-not-so-wise
    • 2 Years
    3 months, 21 days ago

    what are the best 3 to start from:
    Bednarek, Zouma, Dier, Dallas and Coufal

    1. Catastrophe
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      Dier, Zouma and then one of the other three. Dier 100%...

  2. tabby98
    • 5 Years
    3 months, 21 days ago

    Start Soucek (Vs Everton Away)
    Or
    Adams (Vs Liverpool Home)

  3. DAZZ
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 months, 21 days ago

    Go ahead and ask me your questions. I’ll offer my advice, useless or not, better than being lost amongst the RMT’z 🙂

    1. LSK
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      Justin to Maguire worth it?

      1. DAZZ
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        Potentially. Tom Freeman seems to think Maguire is a good differential and he had a tremendous track record to be fair. His fixtures aren’t so bad either. Im considering maguire myself.

    2. Abaddon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      Grealish to raphinha worth it? Will give funds to do son to kdb/sterl

      1. DAZZ
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        I would be hesitant to lose Grealish myself.

        1. Abaddon
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          3 months, 21 days ago

          Yeah. Was a better plan before Villa also got a dgw

    3. Doctor Evil
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      Why is the sky blue?

      1. DAZZ
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        Salah

    4. Henning
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      Steer to Meslier for free?

      Plan is Still to Fh gw 18 and bb gw 19

      Martinez Steer
      Dallas Taa Coufal Bednarek Justin
      Son Kdb Salah Fernandes Soucek
      Bamford Watkins Adams

      1. DAZZ
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        With no other pressing issues i’d do that move. Teams looks in great shape for a BB fair play.

    5. Old Gregg
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      Ideal front 3 for the Dgw (not using BB)?

      1. DAZZ
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        Tough one. Money no issue, Vardy is a good shout. 2 home games against any opposition is attractive with Vardy. Same goes for Bamford. I’m going to reluctantly say Kane, because of the fixture.

    6. Nolberto Solano
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      Would you remove either Son or Kane this week to build towards DGW19?

      1. DAZZ
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        I wouldn’t lose any of those 2 with Leeds home. Recipe for disaster.

      2. SuperG
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        Bonkers to take either out this week

    7. Feed tha Sheep
      • 8 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      Any ideas what transfer I should make this week? FH next week and BB 19

      McCarthy Johnstone
      Robertson Taylor Coufal Dallas Justin
      Salah Bruno Son Soucek Anguissa
      Kane Bamford Adams

      1. DAZZ
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        How much ITB? I’d look to try get a City defender in. Taylor might cause you problems. Taylor > Stones if you can. Taylor > Lowton. Be aware of the COVID situation with Fulham. Burnley may or may not play.

        1. Feed tha Sheep
          • 8 Years
          3 months, 21 days ago

          Have 0Itb do was looking at lowton- or is Pieters nailed?

    8. V-2 Schneiderlin
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      Martinelli a good option for next two? Gametime?

      1. DAZZ
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        Gametime an issue. I just dont like the idea of Arsenal still. Im not convinced. But they do seem to have a nice run of fixtures coming up.

        1. V-2 Schneiderlin
          • 10 Years
          3 months, 21 days ago

          thx I’m reluctant but considering it

    9. Tango74
        3 months, 21 days ago

        Minimum requirement for GW18
        I have 4 son, KDB, Bruno dcl

        FH?

        1. Von Lipwig
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          3 months, 21 days ago

          With an extra 7 players, there will never be a time when you can be so sure your FH will be valuable.

      • Pompel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        Need to use FT on Taylor, is Holding still the best option. Or go for Stones and hope he plays the double. Can also get Dias/Cancelo if also taking a hit by e.g downgrade DCL

        1. Pompel
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          3 months, 21 days ago

          Also have Reece James, whom I could downgrade

      • iveseenitall
        • 7 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        Probably free hitting in gw19 as i have 9 starters for the blank. I have 1FT this week with another next week, any thoughts on if I should use transfers before the freehit team for the double?
        Maguire in for zouma for example or upgrade burke/kilman?

        Johnstone, 4.0
        Zouma, dias, dier, justin, kilman
        Salah, fernandes, son, neto, burke
        Kane, dcl, bamford

      • tractorjess
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        Antonio or Wood?

        1. Sumant Natkar
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          3 months, 21 days ago

          Antonio if he starts.

    10. LSK
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      Justin to Maguire? Not using FH in 18.

    11. gryffsonofarthur
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      Any news on the fitness of a fitness of Charlie Taylor or updated news on the covid situation with Man City?

      1. V-2 Schneiderlin
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        I want to know both these things

    12. Catastrophe
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      Happy new year! Best option for DGW19?

      A) Zouma, Alioski, Vardy
      B) Robertson, Cancelo, Rodrigo
      C) Dallas, Balbuena, Vardy
      D) Cancelo, Alioski, Vardy

      Thinking D for balance (will have 2 City, 2 Leeds, 2 Liverpool + Vardy)

      Cheers!

    13. gers23
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      Start Mitchell or Holding?

      1. Bavarian
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        Holding

    14. gryffsonofarthur
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      *Need help with this. Have 2 fts and will either do

      A) Forster Taylor to Fabianski Cancelo (KEEP BREWSTER)

      OR

      B) Forster Brewster to Fabianski Rodrigo (KEEP TAYLOR)

      Which option is better?

      1. Holmes
        • 7 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        Prefer A if Cancelo is not Covid

        1. gryffsonofarthur
          • 2 Years
          3 months, 21 days ago

          When will we find out?

          1. Amey
            • 2 Years
            3 months, 21 days ago

            1.30

          2. Tonyawesome69 FHXX
            • 2 Years
            3 months, 21 days ago

            Hopefully half 1 when Pep has his presser

      2. tractorjess
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        A as long as other bench options are better than Brewster!

    15. ZoumasBloomers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      What do you reckon the big disaster pre 18 and 19 will be this gameweek? A Coufal red card, Bamford hammy?

      1. Amey
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        Grealish YC vs United

        1. Alisson WondHaaland
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 21 days ago

          Thats ideal bcoz then he just misses the cup

          1. Robben Mee Blind
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            3 months, 21 days ago

            No, he'll miss GW18:

            "Any player earning five bookings from their side's first 19 Premier League matches will serve a one-match ban in the same competition. Yellow cards are not carried over to the EFL Cup or FA Cup."

      2. Holmes
        • 7 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        Targett YC just in time

      3. Galza
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        Grealish definitely getting a 5th yellow tonight. Mark it!

    16. Tonyawesome69 FHXX
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      Currently have 6 players for BGW18. I can carry 2FT to 18 to get 8 players but not sure who to transfer out or I can FH18. Any thoughts on this. Thanks

      1FT 0.1itb
      Martinez*
      Taylor* Robbo Cancelo*
      Son* Bruno* Salah Raphinha
      Bamford Kane* Rodrigo
      (Johnstone Soucek Coufal Balbuena)

      1. Tonyawesome69 FHXX
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        Players that I would bring in would ideally play in both 18/19 so villa, City, Utd and bur

    17. tractorjess
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      Wood or Antonio? Selling Adams.

      1. Holmes
        • 7 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        Wood

      2. Tonyawesome69 FHXX
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        Wood - good underlying stats and Antonio needs more mins under his belt before I would consider him

    18. Brunsvigeren
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      1.6 ITB, 1FT, all chips intact, what to do here? :O

      Mcarthy (Steer)
      Saiss - Requilon - Cancelo - Robbo - Justin
      Mané - Bruno - Maddison - Son - Raphina
      DCL - Bamford -Brewster

      1. AYLD28
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        If BB Brewster > Rodrigo

        If TC Saiss > Dias

      2. iveseenitall
        • 7 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        Id start looking at transferring in players that have a double and use your free hit in gw18. You currently have 9 ready for the double.

        1. Brunsvigeren
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 21 days ago

          Yeah, but who? Sterling og KDB would be nice!

          1. Brunsvigeren
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 21 days ago

            Maybe

            Son+DCL ->Adams and Sterling

            1. Brunsvigeren
              • 5 Years
              3 months, 21 days ago

              Dont feel like freehitting gw18 tbh

    19. iveseenitall
      • 7 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      Zouma to maguire? Or upgrade kilman/burke?
      Currently have 9 for the blank and freehit is the plan in 19.

    20. Steve Stiffler
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      Bench Wilson or Dallas?

      1. Catastrophe
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        D

        1. Steve Stiffler
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 21 days ago

          Cheers

    21. Alisson WondHaaland
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      Need help to complete the bench boost team:

      A) Vardy Bowen Harrison
      B) Rodrigo KDB Bissouma
      C) Antonio Pulisic Bowen

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        C

    22. AYLD28
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      I have 2 FT and looking to free hit next week and bench boost in 19, I’m fortunate that I still own 2x city and 2x villa after yesterday’s news but I’m stuck on moves this week.

      Martinez Johnstone
      Dias TAA Cresswell Taylor* Dunne
      KDB Fernandes Grealish Salah Soucek
      DCL Bamford Welbeck

      2FT 0.6 ITB

      What would you all recommend here?

      I’m tempted to lose DCL one week early for a punt on Antonio:

      Taylor DCL Soucek > Dallas Raphina Antonio (-4)

      I could lose Grealish > Raphina and it opens up more options but what are peoples thoughts on Grealish now?

      1. tractorjess
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        Also tempted by Antonio but I don't think he is quite back soon enough - not convinced he will get enough DGW minutes

        1. AYLD28
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 21 days ago

          Well my forward options are Watkins and Antonio or Rodrigo and I think I prefer Dallas and Raphina to go with Bamford.

          Watkins has United
          Antonio has Everton

          Both tough but I’d kind of fancy West Ham if they start Antonio which they need from an offensive perspective. West Ham then have a 2 week break to rest Antonio

      2. Shteve
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        I'm holding Grealish but he's on 4 yellows so couldn't blame anyone for getting rid, even with DGW

        1. AYLD28
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 21 days ago

          Is it worth holding do you think? I’m in two mins

    23. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      Was Fredericks good enough to displace Coufal in midweek?

      1. gryffsonofarthur
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        Hope not. Coufal has been great.

      2. Amey
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        Nahhh

      3. gryffsonofarthur
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        On a positive note he’s had his rest now.

    24. Sid1891
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      Son or Salah for this week only?

      Thanks

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        Son

      2. Shteve
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        Son

      3. Sid1891
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        Thanks Guys

    25. Shteve
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      Newb question but does your free transfer carry over when you FH or is there anything to be said for using your free transfer before you FH?

      1. Amey
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        Nope
        There is a HT for FH. Read it

        1. Shteve
          • 11 Years
          3 months, 21 days ago

          Will do, thanks

    26. Going To Win This Year
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      Play one

      A dias
      B dallas
      C Mitchell

      Others Robertson and Justin

      1. AYLD28
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        Dias

    27. greggles
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      How’s this? Doing Taylor > Maguire to build for the BGW/ DGW, followed by a 4-point hit to bring in KDB and Cancelo thereafter. Team for this week:

      Martinez
      Maguire / Justin / Balbuena
      Salah / Saka / Fernandes / Son(c) / Grealish
      Kane / Bamford

      SUbs: Button / Brewster / Bednarek / 3.8

    28. reo19uk
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      Well the City predicted team news is well off due to 2 of that line up having tested positive for covid

    29. rozzo
      • 7 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      Mccarthy Steer
      Dias Cresswell Taylor Dallas Mitchell
      Salah Fernandes Son Soucek Anguissa
      Kane DCL Bamford

      2ft
      2.5 itb

      Any ideas here? Was wanting to transfer DCL to Vardy for the doubles but I'm 0.1 short

      Cresswell to Coufal or Taylor to that cheap Leeds defender?

      1. AYLD28
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        Keep Cress. Nailed and on set pieces

    30. JollyGoodYellows
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      Worth doing Mccarthy + Zouma > Martinez + AWB?

      Means bringing in players who play in 18 and have a double in 19 as I'm not FHing.

    31. KAPTAIN KANE
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      Spurs play Sheff as a SGW in GW19....could it be the usual of the SGWers outscoring the DGWers!

      1. PascalCygan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        I’m keeping Son with that in mind!

      2. Flair
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        3 months, 21 days ago

        I noticed Sheff Utd playing a higher line recently... could be perfect for Son

    32. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      Lost on last page. Still think I’ll FH18 BB19, so how best to use my 2FTs this week?

      I’m thinking Taylor to Pieters but unsure about the other.

      What do you reckon?

      2FT 0.0ITB
      Martinez
      Justin Coufal Taylor*
      Salah KdB Bruno Son
      DCL Bamford Watkins

      McCarthy Soucek Zouma Struijk

      Thanks!

      1. Sanchit
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        You already have KdB Bruno Son DCL Martinez and Watkins.
        That's 6 quality players for the BGW.
        Take 2 more with the 2 FT's and save your FH?
        Probably get Manchester players?

        Otherwise if you want to stick to FH, I'd switch out DCL and Taylor

        1. PascalCygan
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 21 days ago

          Thanks. I have considered riding out the BGW with the players I have - just wondering if it’s worth trying to be aggressive with the FH, but it might have more value later in the season.

          Maybe worth downgrading DCL to Wood for example and doing Taylor to Maguire? Two players who play BGW and DGW19 then

          1. Sanchit
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 21 days ago

            Yes Wood and Cancelo looks good to me.
            Maguire also a good shout if you can't afford cancelo

            1. PascalCygan
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 21 days ago

              Thanks mate. This season has been such a headache!

    33. boroie
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      Please someone provide me with some inspiration...

      I am FHing next GW but have 2 FTs so might as well use both this GW as I will lose them otherwise.

      Current squad...

      McCarthy
      Chilwell Cancelo Coufal
      Son(C) Bruno(VC) Salah KDB
      Bamford Watkins Adams

      Forster; Soucek Targett N.Williams

      £0.2 ITB

      1. HMC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        Very similar to mine below
        Watkins AND Adams looks average imo
        I don’t mind Rodrigo instead of Adams but doesn’t really free up much cash

    34. HMC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      2ft 0.1m itb and no urgent issues but would like to maximise BB19
      Already have 12 dgw players
      Which moves look best with FH18 / BB19 in mind:

      A) DCL to Rodrigo and Steer to playing option
      B) Adams to Rodrigo
      C) Kdb to Son and reverse for GW19
      D) any other suggestions

      Team linked

      1. HMC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        Any contribution welcome

    35. wulfrunian
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 21 days ago

      This is the most complicated and difficult period of all time.Go with your gut and enjoy it.

    36. JelliedSpark968
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 21 days ago

      Anguissa still definitely out?

      1. Ruinenlust
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 21 days ago

        ?

        1. JelliedSpark968
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          3 months, 21 days ago

          Heard he had Coronavirus