Pro Pundits - Lateriser

Which FPL forward should we choose to replace Harry Kane?

It’s been a while since I did the Burning Question format so I thought it would be a good time to revisit it. I asked the community to send me some questions and I’ll be answering a few here. Let’s get stuck right in.

Q1) What is the ideal front three if no budget constraints? @pras_fpl

Hi Pras, thank you so much for the question. Hope you are doing well. The injury to Harry Kane (£11.3m) and the lack of form of Patrick Bamford (£6.7m) has opened up the striker positions. Just a small note on Patrick Bamford, in the last four matches, he sits outside the top 30 players in the league for expected goals (xG). It’s easy to forget that he is still fairly cheap and offers value but he has a mixed bag of fixtures in the next five Gameweeks and doesn’t make my list for the ideal front three. So who does make my list?

Calvert-Lewin and Bamford the Fantasy focus as Everton host Leeds

First up, it’s Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.6m). Yes he has had four blanks in a row but it is worth mentioning that his merry men are back and as noted by Tom Freeman in his excellent article, Everton are a different beast when all their main players are playing together. Here is what Tom cited:

“Everton are a different proposition when they can get Lucas Digne (£6.0m), James Rodríguez (£7.7m), Richarlison (£7.8m) and Dominic Calvert-Lewin all on the pitch at the same time. In fact, in the six league games they’ve started together this season, the Toffees have scored a massive 17 goals.”

Tom Freeman

That is an average of 2.83 goals per game. In the next four Gameweeks, Everton face Newcastle (home), Leeds (away), Manchester United (away) and Fulham (home). Three of those teams are in the bottom six of the league for expected goals conceded (xGC) in the last six matches. Fixtures and the calibre of opposition when they have all their main attackers fit are the reasons why DCL is top of my list of strikers at the moment.

The next two forwards who make up the ideal strikeforce for me are Michail Antonio (£6.4m) and Ollie Watkins (£6.2m). Antonio just makes West Ham better as an attacking outfit and owners were extremely unlucky to come away with just an assist against Crystal Palace.

He should have had a lot more from the game but he looks very sharp on the eye-test, has good underlying numbers, and has a fairly decent fixture run as well. Also worth noting that in the last four matches, West Ham are in the top five in the league for Big Chance Threat (BCT) and for attempts in the box which further justifies the presence of Antonio making the Hammers a much better attacking unit.

The same can be said about Aston Villa who also find themselves in the top five in the league for big chances and shots in the box in the last four matches. They also look like an excellent outfit in attack and are capable of scoring goals against any opposition. Watkins has great underlying numbers as well. He is second among all strikers for BCT in the last four matches and sits third in the league for shots in the box in the same period.

Q2) If someone wanted to take a punt on Chelsea now, with good fixtures and a possible manager bounce, which two or three Chelsea assets would you suggest? (@PierreM80702057)

Hi Pierre. My fellow Pro-Pundit and co-host Zophar always says it is better to be late to the party rather than arriving early and realising it is a dud. As you already know, I’ve been guilty of this crime quite a few times this season and it’s one of the big reasons I’m having a poor campaign.

When it comes to Tuchel’s Chelsea, simply put we just don’t know anything about them right now. I would suggest keenly monitoring them for the next two-to-three games before jumping in because the manager is just getting to know his players right now. Let me quote from this excellent piece on Tuchel on FFScout:

“Whatever system and style Tuchel chooses to deploy at Chelsea, he always tailors it to the players he has at his disposal.”

“My role is that of a service provider, I’m here to help and support the players.”

Thomas Tuchel

It’s very early to tell who is going to benefit from having Tuchel as a manager but I’ll just say that the first game against Wolves looked really encouraging for Kai Havertz (£8.2m) who played a lot closer to goal than under Frank Lampard. That said it is very early to draw any conclusions and I’d urge FPL managers to keenly observe for some time before jumping in.

Q3) Is Man City double defence a risk now with Laporte back and raring to go? (@fpl_saffer)

Hi Kevin, thank you so much for the question and first up huge congratulations for the season you’re having. I know you’re currently in the top 50 Overall Ranking at the moment so you definitely don’t need to be taking any advice from me.

→ How many FPL points did Aymeric Laporte register across Manchester City's three Double Gameweeks?

With regards to the Manchester City centre-backs, I see no reason for Pep to change the partnership he has at his disposal right now which is why both remain good picks. I think he’ll persist with the same two in defence and you’ll probably only see a little bit of rotation due to fixture congestion and that’s about it. I wouldn’t worry about them until Pep actually makes some changes.

Q4) Who are the second best premium defensive assets (with some attacking output) behind the City boys? Liverpool, Leicester, United, Chelsea, Spurs? Or just go budget? (@FPLAlternative)

If you’re looking for a defender to pick outside of the Manchester City names, the one I’d like to recommend is Lucas Digne.

Returning Digne can help Everton's attacking assets return to form in Gameweek 20

Like I mentioned earlier in the article, Everton have a great bunch of fixtures coming up. It is worth noting he was played as a left-winger in the previous game which makes him a very enticing option and even if he isn’t out-of-position (OOP), his numbers this season have been really good.

He’s top of the league for assists per 90 (0.49 assists per 90mins) and especially with James Rodriguez back in the team and in form, I think it increases his points potential a lot. Ben Godfrey’s (£5.0m) form also means that he could potentially still be OOP for a while. Only two teams have conceded fewer goals and big chances than Everton in the last six matches so that is very promising as well.

That’s it from me for this week and I hope you enjoyed this article. Our latest episode of The FPL Wire has some more detailed information as well which you can view below in case you fancy it.

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3,541 Comments Post a Comment
  1. royals forever
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 months, 14 days ago

    In your opinion who is the best James replacement for the next few GWs out of

    TAA
    Digne
    Cancelo

    for this back seven

    Martinez Johnstone

    Stones Coufal Dias Dallas xxxxxxx

    Any ideas would be welcomed

    1. g40steve
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      Digne, if DCL & Richy do well he will be supplying the crosses

    2. Tinmen
      • 7 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      Chilwell?

    3. AC/DC AFC
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      It's got to be Cancelo for game involvement and position on the pitch?

      Last match wasn't an aberration... it's been on the cards for a while now.

  2. Tonyawesome69 FH36
    • 2 Years
    3 months, 14 days ago

    A. Coufal to Digne (-4) - bench Bamford this GW and opens the 3rd WHU spot for Antonio
    B. No hit and play Bamford

    0FT 8.9itb
    Martinez
    Stones Cancelo Cresswell
    Bruno Gundo Salah Raphinha Soucek
    DCL Bamford
    (Johnstone Coufal Holding Rodrigo)

    1. aleksaa2
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      A looks better to me

  3. HD7
    • 4 Years
    3 months, 14 days ago

    Right order of starters and bench?
    Captain?

    Mccarthy
    Cancelo Stones Mitchell
    Salah Bruno Sterling Maddy
    Antonio Bamford Kane

    Fraser Coufal Taylor Bissouma

  4. Kudo Warrior
    • 8 Years
    3 months, 14 days ago

    I've been searching all over the place for any scrap of Kane news we don't know.

    Does anyone have anything further to what Jose said in the Scout tweets?

    1. Black Knights
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      Nope.

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      This may be pessimistic after the event and if Mourinho was being candid or spinning a yarn...

      But he was in the dressing room subbing his talisman then it seems reliable.

      https://www.footballtransfertavern.com/tottenham-hotspur-news/tottenham-hotspur-jose-mourinho-harry-kane-injury-news-thfc-spurs-rumours-analysis/

      1. Kudo Warrior
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        Cheers mate. Still gotta wait for more ballpark period then.

  5. chaser123
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    3 months, 14 days ago

    Wood to DCL for a -4?

    1. Rondon9
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      Yay

    2. aleksaa2
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      Yes

    3. Little Red Lacazette
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      yes

  6. Rondon9
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 months, 14 days ago

    If Gundo was 9m we all would have capped him

    1. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      Probably true
      Form and fixture

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      * If Bruno had been injured

  7. HuttonDressedasLahm
    • 11 Years
    3 months, 14 days ago

    Bench one
    A. Watkins
    B. Bamford
    C. Soucek

    1. IRBOX ⚽
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      Easy C

    2. Rondon9
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      B

    3. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      Fixture says A/C
      Form says B

    4. AC/DC AFC
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      B

  8. DAZZ
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 months, 14 days ago

    Is Cancelo (c) silly with triple man city defence?

    1. Tsparkes10
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      I think Walker plays tbh

      1. DAZZ
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        Damn. Not good, may stay away, any alternatives? bruno/salah/grealish/antonio?

    2. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      That’s a lot of eggs in one basket

      1. hullcityfan
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        Best defense against worst attack is not the worst basket to be in though.

    3. Bielsa Murderball
        3 months, 14 days ago

        Forget about all these "eggs in one basket comments". I did the same thing against West Brom and got a score of 70. And I am sticking to it this week also. I don't look at my players around my captain, I look at it individually 🙂

    4. Tsparkes10
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      Thoughts on Vardy, Bamford to Watkins, Rich?

      1. Rondon9
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        Why Rich?

        1. Tsparkes10
          • 2 Years
          3 months, 14 days ago

          Why not? On pens probably and very dangerous

          1. Pukki Party
            • 3 Years
            3 months, 14 days ago

            Siggy on pens

        2. Sid07
          • 6 Years
          3 months, 14 days ago

          Vardy to dcl

    5. Sid07
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      1) Bamford to dcl
      2) soucek to gundo

      1. RedAlpha10
        • 1 Year
        3 months, 14 days ago

        Just 1

    6. DAZZ
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      Stupidly took a -4 to get Kane in. Question is, is -8 for DCL a good idea?

      1. RedAlpha10
        • 1 Year
        3 months, 14 days ago

        Yes

      2. IRBOX ⚽
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        Ouch. Never make early trannies if not required

        1. DAZZ
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          3 months, 14 days ago

          Tell me about it mate, embarrassing rookie error that i hold my hands up too. Never mind, trying to stay positive, would you play Mitchell or bite the bullet and take a -8 for Kane > DCL?

      3. Warby84
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        I did, and ended up on -12.. Not overly fussed by it..

        Power 4 defense hopefully clean up next 2 and probably a 0-0 between them..

        Cancelo Dias Robertson Trent

        1. Little Red Lacazette
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 14 days ago

          Nice D

    7. IRBOX ⚽
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      GTG? Saving a tranny 0.2 ITB

      Martinez
      TAA Cancelo Stones
      Salah Bruno Sterling Grealish
      DCL (c) Watkins Bamford

      Forster Kilman Coufal Bissouma

      1. Tsparkes10
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        Looks great.

      2. g40steve
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        Good use of funds available

      3. DAZZ
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        Good to go.

    8. g40steve
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      Phil Foden, hold or swap for Gundo?

      Coufal to Digne for the run of fixtures?

      1. Pukki Party
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        I'd hold. Digne could be good but are we even 100% sure he will start? Godfrey has played well.

      2. Captain Haddock
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        Yes, if for free.

        Yes.

      3. Black Knights
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        I was considering foden to gundo for free but I wouldn’t do it for a hit if you’re including digne or DCL.

      4. RedAlpha10
        • 1 Year
        3 months, 14 days ago

        Hold

      5. g40steve
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        Cheers both would be for a hit, playing catch-up from last weeks horrendous show.
        Looking for differentials like Digne, or even Soucek to Barnes?

        1. Black Knights
          • 9 Years
          3 months, 14 days ago

          Keep foden, get digne, good luck. Think I’m doing ayling and Kane to Digne and DCL -4, therefore keeping foden.

    9. Pukki Party
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      Repost new article. 1ft 2.6itb. Prefer C myself as it makes the squad better.

      Martinez
      Cancelo Robbo Holding
      Salah Son Bruno Coufal
      DCL Bamford Adams

      Ramsdale Taylor Ayling Anguissa

      A) Anguissa to Gundogan (means keeping Holding with bad fixtures and playing Adams)

      B) Anguissa, Adams to Gundogan,
      Antonio -4

      C) Ayling, Adams to Stones, Richarlison -4 (play Soucek, Rich to Antonio in 23.)

      1. IRBOX ⚽
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        Yep C. If Antonio tears it up against Liverpool I would look to get him in next GW

        1. Pukki Party
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 14 days ago

          Thanks.

      2. aleksaa2
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        C

      3. The Count of Monte Cristo
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        You'd put down 6 defenders, who is the 4th midfielder?

    10. Bishopool
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      Which pair?

      a) TAA and Lookman
      b) Justin and 7.5 mid (Zaha/Leicester mid)

      1. Captain Haddock
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        B

      2. g40steve
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        B

      3. Pukki Party
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        B

    11. Captain Haddock
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      Would you rather have this week only:

      A) Son
      B) Cancelo?

      1. Warby84
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        B

      2. Pukki Party
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        B

    12. Tsparkes10
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      What to do? 2FT 0.5itb

      Johnstone
      Justin Dias Stones
      Son Bruno Salah Raph
      Bamford Vardy Antonio
      (Martinez, Soucek, Dallas, Coufal)

      A) Vardy, Bamford to DCL/Rich, Watkins
      B) Soucek, Vardy to Gundo, Rich/DCL

      1. IRBOX ⚽
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        Raphina > Gundo, Vardy > DCL

        1. Tsparkes10
          • 2 Years
          3 months, 14 days ago

          Think I prefer Raphinia to soucek

          1. IRBOX ⚽
            • 4 Years
            3 months, 14 days ago

            Prefer Bamford over Raphina though and don’t like the Leeds double up

        2. RedAlpha10
          • 1 Year
          3 months, 14 days ago

          +1

        3. The Count of Monte Cristo
          • 8 Years
          3 months, 14 days ago

          I like this too. Double Leeds atm not quite right IMO

      2. Pukki Party
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        I'd just do Vardy to DCL and save one.

      3. g40steve
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        Do you see Johnstone having a better week than Martinez?

        1. Tsparkes10
          • 2 Years
          3 months, 14 days ago

          Prefer his fixture

    13. IRBOX ⚽
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      Who’s doing Bamford > Antonio this week? I think I can save it for next week.

      1. n-doggg
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        Definitely save this week, not worth a -4 with his fixture

        1. IRBOX ⚽
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 14 days ago

          Would be for free

      2. L S P
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        i'm tempted but might just roll the FT.

        Other option is to take a hit so I can do Bamford->DCL (would mean downgrading DDG to Areola/Johnstone - which doesn't seem great)

    14. fcsaltyballs
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      Martinez
      Robertson Stones Cancelo Coufal
      Salah Fernandes Gundogan Soucek Raphinha
      Bamford

      Forster Vardy Brewster Ferguson

      1 FT, 6.5 itb

      1. Raphinha / Soucek >> Son
      2. Vardy >> DCL
      3. Other ?

      Thanks all

      1. Tsparkes10
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        Vardy, Soucek to DCL, Son and bench Bamford?

        1. fcsaltyballs
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 14 days ago

          Tempting but not sure I should take a hit...

    15. n-doggg
      • 8 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      Is either of these worth a -4

      A. Kwp to digne
      B. Taylor to digne

    16. Tsparkes10
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      Rich or DCL and why

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        Dcl, more consistant goal scorer and not as injury prone as Rich

    17. Feanor
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      Play one of these 3

      B)amford
      H)olding
      M)itchell

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        Bam

      2. aleksaa2
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        Bamford

    18. chrispaterson1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      Any chance Bamford gets dropped this weekend, Leeds fans?

      1. Hazz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        I doubt it personally.

    19. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 8 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      What would you recommend here, guys? Currently just thinking A.

      A) Adams --> Antonio
      B) Adams + Bamford --> Antonio + DCL (-4)
      C) Adams + Holding --> Antonio + Digne (-4)
      D) Other?

      McCarthy
      Stones -- R. Dias -- Justin
      Salah -- Fernandes -- Son -- Gundogan (c) -- Soucek
      Bamford -- Adams

      Meslier -- Coufal -- Holding -- Brewster [1FT + 6.8m ITB]

      1. aleksaa2
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        I wouldn't bring Antonio in when he is playing against Lpool, maybe Adams to DCL because he is playing against Newcastle and in the next game week Bamford to Antonio?

        1. The Count of Monte Cristo
          • 8 Years
          3 months, 14 days ago

          This makes a lot more sense , thanks. Not sure why I didn't see this.

      2. IRBOX ⚽
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        Just do Adams > DCL and Antonio next week. He’s not going to feast against Liverpool

        1. The Count of Monte Cristo
          • 8 Years
          3 months, 14 days ago

          Yep, much more logical - thank you.

        2. Pedersen
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          3 months, 14 days ago

          Agree to this move

    20. DAZZ
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      Grealish being overlooked for (C) massively. He was brilliant against Burnley. He’s due a massive haul

    21. AnfieldLad
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      Johnstone
      TAA Cancelo Stones Justin
      Salah Mane Bruno Lookman
      Antonio Bamford
      (Pope Soucek Rodrigo Coufal)
      0ITB

      A) Hold, captain Cancelo?
      B) Mane -> Sterling (c)
      C) Mane Rodrigo -> Gundo (c) DCL (-4)
      D) Lookman Rodrigo -> Gundo (c) Brewster (-4)

    22. Shark Team
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      Most pts for gws 21-24?
      A) TAA
      B) Digne
      C) Antonio
      D) Watkins
      And which one is the best for this gw?

    23. MarcoHammy111
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 14 days ago

      I need help . I have brought in Jesus . It is either him or sterling as captain ?

      If he starts could he be a good captain choice ?

      1. n-doggg
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        Sterling more likely to start, c on him

    24. MarcoHammy111
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 14 days ago

      I need help . I have brought in Jesus . It is either him or sterling as captain ?

      If he starts could he be a good captain choice ??

      1. The Count of Monte Cristo
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        Sterling easily.

    25. HD7
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 14 days ago

      Right order of starters and bench?
      Captain?

      Mccarthy
      Cancelo Stones Mitchell
      Salah Bruno Sterling Maddy
      Antonio DCL Bamford

      Fraser Coufal Taylor Bissouma

      1. The Count of Monte Cristo
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 14 days ago

        I'd probably go with Sterling if I owned him.

        Bench order is fine

        1. HD7
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 14 days ago

          Thanks, mate