Spot the Differential

Alonso offers great potential as one-week punt for Gameweek 31 Wildcarders

Tom Freeman has finished inside the top 1k in five of the last 11 Fantasy Premier League seasons. He picks out three differentials for Fantasy Football Scout readers every Gameweek.


Gameweek 30 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Chelsea, Wolverhampton Wanderers and Southampton, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Marcos Alonso

Tuchel's wing-back system renews interest in old hands Azpilicueta and Alonso
  • FPL ownership: 2.6%
  • Price: £5.7m
  • GW30-34 fixtures: WBA | cry | BHA | whu | FUL

Spanish defender Marcos Alonso (£5.7m) has been given a new lease of life at Chelsea under Thomas Tuchel.

The 30-year-old was banished from Frank Lampard’s squad after a disastrous 45 minutes at West Bromwich Albion back in September, but has since started five league matches under his new manager, and taken full advantage of the opportunity.

When it comes to playing in a back four, Alonso often struggles, but when used correctly as a wing-back he has real quality, something Tuchel has recognised. 

Since Gameweek 21, when Alonso made a return to Chelsea’s starting XI in a 3-4-3 system, he has taken 13 shots. No defender can match that total during that period, despite limited minutes. He has also accumulated 25 penalty area touches (only Luke Shaw (£5.2m) has more) and created 10 chances for his team-mates.

At this stage, we should point out that a move for the defender this week does carry some risk, knowing that Ben Chilwell (£5.8m) is also pushing for a start. However, the fact Alonso was rested during the international break, while his English colleague played 180 minutes against San Marino and Poland, is encouraging. 

Alonso has delivered a string of impressive displays of late, and could be a perfect one-week punt for FPL managers planning a Gameweek 31 Wildcard.

Conor Coady

  • FPL ownership: 4.7%
  • Price: £4.8m
  • GW30-34 fixtures: WHU | ful | SHU | BUR | wba

With two clean sheets and a goal in his last five appearances, plus an appealing set of forthcoming fixtures, Conor Coady (£4.8m) could be a solid under the radar pick for the run-in.

Last season, investing in one of Wolves’ backline was one of the easier decisions FPL managers had to make, given that their record of 13 clean sheets was bettered by only three teams. 

And though they have struggled to replicate that defensive form this term, some of which can be attributed to the 4-2-3-1 / 4-3-3 experiment, their performances at the back have improved of late.

The England international’s goal threat is on the up too. Having not had a shot in the Premier League before this season, Coady scored his first top-flight goal against Man City in Gameweek 26, and came close to netting twice at Villa Park the following week, hitting the post with a header before forcing a superb save from Emiliano Martínez (£5.4m).

However, the real appeal lies in Wolves’ clean sheet potential, and with home games against West Ham United, Sheffield United and Burnley in the next five, plus away trips to Fulham and West Brom, further shut outs could be on the way.

Priced at just £4.8m, Coady offers the cheapest route into Wolves’ defence and is the most likely to start every match too. He could be a nice set-and-forget option given his schedule.

Stuart Armstrong

  • FPL ownership: 0.4%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW30-34 fixtures: BUR | wba | tot | – | LEI

Despite a stop-start season at Southampton, largely due to niggling injuries and a positive COVID-19 test, Stuart Armstrong (£5.5m) has been one of the club’s top performers in recent matches, with two assists in his last three Premier League outings.

The Scottish international was excellent against Bournemouth in the FA Cup, causing all sorts of problems for the Cherries defenders with his direct running. He ended the game with an assist but was unfortunate not to return more, as his pass found Che Adams (£5.8m) to score in the second half, only for VAR to rule it out, before his strike came back off the post for Nathan Redmond (£6.4m) to score Saints’ third.

Though Armstrong was used in a deeper midfield role at Everton in Gameweek 26, the Scot usually features in a more advanced position, where he can drift infield in Ralph Hasenhüttl’s 4-4-2 / 4-2-2-2 setup, allowing Kyle Walker-Peters (£4.7m) to provide the width on the right. That’s important with Burnley up next, given that only Fulham and Crystal Palace have conceded more chances down that side since the turn of the year.

Southampton may sit seven points above the drop zone, but with just one win in their last 12 Premier League matches, will be looking nervously over their shoulder. They now have a massive double-header against Burnley and West Bromwich Albion, and will need to get points on the board in these games, knowing that they have a tough run to follow.

At his best, Armstrong is a real asset to Southampton, and could be a nice budget pick for these crucial back-to-back games.

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693 Comments Post a Comment
  1. THFC4LIFE
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 16 days ago

    Meslier Pope
    Dias Shaw Targett Coufal Veltman
    Bruno Bale Son Gundogan Raphinha
    Kane(c) Antonio Bamford

    Planning to do Veltman and Bale to Azpi/Alonso and a midfielder (not sure who yet) and use BB, what you think?

    1. aleksios
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 16 days ago

      Yes.
      Bale to Lingard.

      1. THFC4LIFE
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 16 days ago

        Will be using WC next week, so fancy a punt on someone. Maybe a Chelsea mid

  2. Rival Sons Blackberry Smoke
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 16 days ago

    Right, deliberating around City defender or Ederson, similar with Chelsea 2 defenders or Mendy and 1 defender....... and Wolves df or not.....
    And trying to squeeze Alonso in.....

    Head fried.....
    Settled on front 8. Just 5 of the back 7 causing me tossing and turning.

    Would appreciate if you could give me an A or give me a B

    A)
    Ederson Sanchez
    Rudiger, Semedo, Keane,

    B)
    Mendy, Virginia
    Alonso, Cancelo, Coady

    Either will be joined by the following Motely Crue

    Shaw, Phillips
    De Bruyne, Fernandes, Mount, Jota, Mahrez
    Kane, Richarlison, Iheanacho

  3. Bobby Digital
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 16 days ago

    Bottomed...

    Got 1FT and 4.5m ITB... What to do?

    McCarthy
    Dias Targett Dallas
    Son Auba Gundo Soucek
    Kane Bamford Watkins

    Pope Coufal Trossard Dunk

    A) Save transfer
    B) Get rid of Trossard and bench Soucek

    1. aleksios
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 16 days ago

      Easy A.

      1. Bobby Digital
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 16 days ago

        Cheers!

  4. fish&chips
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 months, 16 days ago

    Bale -> Havertz (-4) for a 1 week punt?

    A) Yes
    B) No

    1. artvandelay316
        2 months, 16 days ago

        Yes

      • ChickenTikkaMoSalah
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 16 days ago

        No for me

    2. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 16 days ago

      who to captain:
      A) Kane
      B) Alonso
      C) Raphinha

      1. artvandelay316
          2 months, 16 days ago

          A

        • Bobby Digital
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 16 days ago

          A

        • fish&chips
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 16 days ago

          C

        • THFC4LIFE
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 16 days ago

          A

        • ZimZalabim
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 16 days ago

          A

      2. artvandelay316
          2 months, 16 days ago

          Pope
          Stones, Rudiger, Dallas
          Bruno (C), Gundo, Lingard, Salah
          Kane (VC), DCL, Bamford

          (Forster, Cresswell, Mount, Mitchell)

          Captaincy and bench order correct here?

        • Shrimpy
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 16 days ago

          Christensen or Rudiger for the next few GW's lads?

          1. artvandelay316
              2 months, 16 days ago

              Rudiger for long term. Just for this week you might do better with Christensen.

            • ChickenTikkaMoSalah
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 16 days ago

              Rudiger

          2. Igz08
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 16 days ago

            Martinez

            Cresswell Dallas Digne

            Son Bale JLingz Raph

            Watkins Kane DCL

            Pope Gundi Dunk Cancelo

            A) Bale -> Salah ©

            B) Dunk -> Alonso (Captain Kane, bench Watkins)

            1. ZimZalabim
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 16 days ago

              B

          3. Gazwaz80
            • 1 Year
            2 months, 16 days ago

            Martinez
            Dallas Keane Shaw
            Bale Raphina Son Fernandes
            Bambam CDL Kane

            Gundo and Stones 1st and 2nd on bench

            Big dilemma albeit a nice one
            Who to captain?
            Cheers lads, many thanks in advance 🙂

            1. ZimZalabim
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 16 days ago

              Kane cappo

              1. Gazwaz80
                • 1 Year
                2 months, 16 days ago

                Cheers Zim...

          4. ZimZalabim
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 16 days ago

            Hi all, been pretty out of the loop past couple of weeks. Just looked at my team and am fairly happy with it.

            Martinez
            Konsa Dallas Digne
            Kdb, Gundo, Bruno, Bale, Raphina
            Kane(C) DCL

            Antonio, Tierney, Burn

            Should I save ft ?

            or

            Burn to Rudiger and bench Konsa

            Also should I start Antonio for Bale or Gundo ?

            1. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 16 days ago

              save FT. Team looks good, I'd leave Antonio on the bench personally

              1. ZimZalabim
                • 4 Years
                2 months, 16 days ago

                cheers mate, thats what my first thoughts were when I finally opened my team after the break.

            2. icanseethroughyou
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              2 months, 16 days ago

              Burn to Rudiger looks a no brainier, and I’d drop Bale but make him first sub

              1. ZimZalabim
                • 4 Years
                2 months, 16 days ago

                That was my plan pre IB to get Rudiger in and was even thinking about using BB.

                But after the break and looking at it now and all the comments about Rudiger international mins, Im not sure if I should get him but I suppose even if he doesnt play Konsa would come back in and Id have Chelsea def going forward, with Villa's fixture turn starting next week, dont want a Villa defensive double up.

                Could save and do Konsa to a chelsea def next week also, what do u think ?

                1. icanseethroughyou
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 10 Years
                  2 months, 16 days ago

                  I’m just really swayed by the Chelsea CS potential this week and might ship Dias before WC next week.
                  Any thoughts on my team below please? Ta.

          5. icanseethroughyou
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            2 months, 16 days ago

            Meslier, Forster
            Maguire, Dunk, Digne, Dias, Saiss
            Auba, Gundagon, Mount, Son, Raphinha
            Kane, Bamford, Antonio

            Anything you’d change? Still have bench boost but would probably need a hit. Will WC in 31.

            1. ZimZalabim
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 16 days ago

              if ur wc in 31, maybe a punt this week on Alonso or DCL

              if not team looks fine overall

              1. icanseethroughyou
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 10 Years
                2 months, 16 days ago

                Cheers. Just wonder when to bench boost now, not many weeks left. Might have to be 32

                1. ZimZalabim
                  • 4 Years
                  2 months, 16 days ago

                  I think there might be a bigger DGW in 35 so im saving my BB till then, will use TC on Kane in 32 probably.

                  I think Dias to Alonso for a one week punt for u looks good.

                  You do have a bit of a benching headache like me with the 8 attackers, Id probably toss a coin between Auba and Antonio for you, tough one though.

          6. Stand By Mee
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 16 days ago

            I like the idea of Alonso as a one week punt before my gw31 wc but...

            How safe is him? There is always Chilwell who was actually showing good form before he got injured

            1. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 16 days ago

              Chilwell played a lot over international break, and Tuchel will most likely want him rested for Porto on Wednesday.
              Still a risk going with Alonso however

          7. WhatWouldYourZlatanSay
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 16 days ago

            Martinez

            Azpi | Dallas | Dias

            Salah | Gundo | Raphinha | Lingard | Bale

            Kane | Bamford

            A)
            1. Bale > Fernandes/KDB (reluctant just because of DGW32)
            2. Brewster > DCL and play DCL

            B) Play Dias, Targett or Mee as 3rd defender - have a feeling Man City will concede.

            Thanks guys!

            1. aleksios
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              2 months, 16 days ago

              A with Bruno.

          8. aleksios
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 16 days ago

            Want to do
            Johnstone-Dunk-Digne-KDB-Bale
            To
            Mendy-Alonso-Coady-Bruno-Son.
            Use wc or not worth it?.

            1. Deeney-is-a-god
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 16 days ago

              Will yu not make any more changes than does five?

              1. aleksios
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 5 Years
                2 months, 16 days ago

                -Martinez
                -Cress-Dallas-Targett
                -Gundo-Raphinia-Lingard
                -Kane-Bam-DCL.

                Think not.
                Maybe Targett to Shaw.

                1. Deeney-is-a-god
                  • 4 Years
                  2 months, 16 days ago

                  Would grt shaw instead of targett

          9. sergioaguero67
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 16 days ago

            Ruben Dias to Azpilicueta/Alonso
            Good move at this stage?
            Also, is picking Alonso safe atm?

            1. aleksios
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              2 months, 16 days ago

              Yes.
              Yes.

            2. Deeney-is-a-god
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 16 days ago

              Not sure, why do you want azpi instead of a rudiger? Big price difference, do you think there will be a big point difference as well?

          10. Zlatan F.C
              2 months, 16 days ago

              Repost: Is the safe bet here to do Veltman to Azpi/Alonso for FT?

              Martinez
              Dallas Dias Cancelo
              Bale Lingard Bruno Raph
              Bamford Antonio Kane

              Pope Coufal Lookman Veltman

              1. aleksios
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 5 Years
                2 months, 16 days ago

                Go for it.

            • Weeb Kakashi
              • 5 Years
              2 months, 16 days ago

              Chances of the following players starting? Thinking of BB

              Forster
              Auba
              Mount
              Cancelo
              Toby

              Have 1 FT to replace any one...

              1. Hy liverpool
                • 7 Years
                2 months, 16 days ago

                80%
                70%
                50%
                50%
                60%

            • Deeney-is-a-god
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 16 days ago

              Thinking of getting rudiger in this week and benching dias, worth it? Suppose if rudiger does not play then dias will just come on anyway right...

            • Champione
              • 5 Years
              2 months, 16 days ago

              Martinez
              Cresswell Reguillon Shaw
              Salah Son Mount Lingard Raphinha
              Kane Bamford

              Pope Antonio Tierney Targett

              1 FT, 1.4 ITB

              A) Targett > Alonso
              B) Save

              1. aleksios
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 5 Years
                2 months, 16 days ago

                A.

              2. Deeney-is-a-god
                • 4 Years
                2 months, 16 days ago

                Debating getting rudiger in myself, think I will

            • thepirates
              • 3 Years
              2 months, 16 days ago

              Got 2FT and no WC left. Thinking of offloading Dallas to Rudiger, or Tierny but he got good fix coming up. Thoughts?

              Martinez
              Shaw - Dallas - Stones
              Raph - Son - Fernandes - Salah
              Kane - Watkins - Bamford
              Bench: Aerola - Gundogan - Tierny - Veltman

            • Pukki Party
              • 3 Years
              2 months, 16 days ago

              Thoughts on WC? Should cover 33 blanks with only one ManCity. Double Villa and Everton for their double whenever it's played.

              Ederson
              Rudiger Reguilon Shaw
              Bruno Son Jota Raphina
              Kane DCL Watkins

              Martinez Neto Keane Lowton

            • Whazza
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              2 months, 16 days ago

              Fplstatistics reliable right now?

              1. Whazza
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 9 Years
                2 months, 16 days ago

                For price changes that is..

            • Sz21
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              2 months, 16 days ago

              Which of these would you start?
              1. Cresswell (wol)
              2. Stones (lei)

              1. Whazza
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 9 Years
                2 months, 16 days ago

                1

            • HashAttack
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 16 days ago

              Anyone else considering Mahrez - Thinking he one of the MCI players that is more likely to play, especially vs Leeds

              1. Whazza
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 9 Years
                2 months, 16 days ago

                I'm done with Pep for this season

              2. artvandelay316
                  2 months, 16 days ago

                  Not this week, but if Salah doesn't show he is back on form I will be getting rid of him next week and replacing with Mahrez or Jota probably.

              3. artvandelay316
                  2 months, 16 days ago

                  Pope
                  Stones, Rudiger, Dallas
                  Bruno (C), Gundo, Lingard, Salah
                  Kane (VC), DCL, Bamford

                  (Forster, Cresswell, Mount, Mitchell)

                  Is Captaincy and bench order correct here?

                  Thanks.

                • Nightcrawler
                  • 2 Years
                  2 months, 16 days ago

                  Alonso certain to start this GW?

                  1. Pukki Party
                    • 3 Years
                    2 months, 16 days ago

                    No

                  2. Krafty Werks
                    • 6 Years
                    2 months, 16 days ago

                    Likely - yes / Certain - no.

                • Daghe Munegu
                  • 4 Years
                  2 months, 16 days ago

                  Bench one

                  A cancelo
                  B dias
                  C coufal

                • Whazza
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 9 Years
                  2 months, 16 days ago

                  Son is being moved out -90 on fplstats, is it working properly?

                  1. HashAttack
                    • 4 Years
                    2 months, 16 days ago

                    Showing as -124% now

                    1. Whazza
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 9 Years
                      2 months, 16 days ago

                      Yikes won't bother with them then

                • thepirates
                  • 3 Years
                  2 months, 16 days ago

                  Got 2FT and no WC left. Thinking of offloading Dallas to Rudiger, or Tierny but he got good fix coming up. Thoughts?

                  Martinez
                  Shaw - Dallas - Stones
                  Raph - Son - Fernandes - Salah
                  Kane - Watkins - Bamford
                  Bench: Aerola - Gundogan - Tierny - Veltman

                  1. Whazza
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 9 Years
                    2 months, 16 days ago

                    Definitely start Dallas this gw and keep Tierney.

                • SGD_FPL
                    2 months, 16 days ago

                    Hi Everyone,

                    I am doing a research study where I am trying to see the role that fantasy football played (if any) in eliminating or reducing some of the negative emotions/struggles we all faced during the Covid-19.
                    So for this, I would be very grateful if you can please do the following survey. It is completely anonymous and will take only about 5 minutes of your time. The survey can be accessed via the link below:

                    https://forms.office.com/Pages/ResponsePage.aspx?id=OrvxmPpegkeIur2JfbYOYmHy3-ekgFtBs9aVIahk8_tUNVBWM0ZLUFJUSFdFNlFPTFdVTTc4STg3SC4u

                    There is a consent form at the beginning of the survey which gives more details on the objectives of this research and also gives details on the research team.
                    Thanks very much!

                    1. artvandelay316
                        2 months, 16 days ago

                        Hi, I like this idea. One tip/word of advice: allowing people to choose their own ID number could prove problematic if you get some people choose the same one. Maybe odds are against this, but leaving it open and having a maximum of 5 letters/numbers might result in having some duplicates such as 12345, etc. from people who didn't know what else to put.

                      • artvandelay316
                          2 months, 16 days ago

                          Also if they answered "yes" to question 13 it should take them to a separate section of the Form. I see you said to answer the question below if they said yes, but actually there are several questions following that they only people who answered yes should answer, and it's hard to know when to resume answering the questions without sectioning it off. There is a function in Google Forms to do this.

                          1. SGD_FPL
                              2 months, 16 days ago

                              Hi, thanks yes I see what you mean ..ideally we would have asked the system to generate random ID but the platform that we used does not allow for it unfortunately.
                              There is no separate section....we have put all questions in one section to make it more convenient and fast...the respondent just needs to keep on answering the subsequent questions (whether they chose yes or no for q13). Those who answered yes will have to choose from the emotions listed under 14...those who chose 'no' will probably say "none of the above". So all questions are meant for everyone (whether they were affected or not). I hope that makes sense?
                              Thanks.