Spot the Differential

Pogba’s new role makes him a useful FPL differential for Triple Gameweek

Triple Gameweek 35 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at West Ham United, Aston Villa and Manchester United who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or below at the time of writing.

Paul Pogba

  • FPL ownership: 2.2%
  • Price: £7.6m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: avl + LEI + LIV | – | FUL | wol

Paul Pogba (£7.6m) has been one of Manchester United’s top performers in recent weeks, producing some of his best football since returning to Old Trafford from Juventus in 2016.

The French midfielder struggled with several minor injuries and a bout of COVID-19 earlier in the season. However, since regaining full fitness, he has become a vital asset to Ole Gunnar Solskjær, which has coincided with a new, hybrid role on the left of United’s 4-2-3-1 formation.

The more advanced position means he is generally further up the pitch when United reach the final third, where he has the vision and ability to quickly switch play. And that’s led to a big improvement from Pogba, who has scored two goals and registered four assists in his last ten matches across all competitions. He also ranks joint-second amongst team-mates for shots in the box, and third for chances created over the last six Gameweeks.

The Red Devils are now unbeaten in 13 Premier League matches, and after the latest fixture amendments were announced earlier this week, now visit Aston Villa before back-to-back home matches against Leicester City and Liverpool in Triple Gameweek 35.

While it’s hard to pinpoint exactly which, if any, of United’s assets will be handed three starts, Pogba’s versatility enhances his chances, and now in a really good moment, could be an effective differential for the remainder of the season.

Michail Antonio

  • FPL ownership: 5.0%
  • Price: £6.4m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: EVE | bha | wba | SOU

Gameweek 34 saw the return of Michail Antonio (£6.4m) to West Ham United’s attack.

The 31-year-old was back in the starting XI after recovering from the hamstring injury which forced him off against Wolverhampton Wanderers last month, and it didn’t take him long to impress.

His quickfire double, finishing off crosses from Vladimir Coufal (£4.7m) and Saïd Benrahma (£5.9m), turned the game in the Hammers favour, and he was perhaps unfortunate not to return more, as he ended the game with six goal attempts, two big chances and 12 penalty box touches. 

In fact, Antonio’s expected goal involvement (xGI) total of 1.43 was not bettered by any other Fantasy Premier League (FPL) player in Gameweek 34, and as pointed out by Neale in his Scout Notes, it is merely a continuation of a season-wide trend as no forward with substantial game-time to their name has a better rate of xGI per 90 minutes.

Manuel Lanzini’s (£6.4m) performance also caught the eye, with the Argentine excelling in a deeper role in Declan Rice’s (£4.7m) absence, and as a result of their win, West Ham now sit fifth, just three points behind Chelsea with four games to play. 

With a crucial run of games coming up against Everton, Brighton and Hove Albion, West Bromwich Albion and Southampton, Antonio can finish the season strongly, and could be one of the very best FPL differentials for the run-in.

Anwar El Ghazi

  • FPL ownership: 1.2%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: MUN + EVE | cry | tot | CHE

Anwar El Ghazi (£5.2m) has not always been a guaranteed starter at Aston Villa this season, but has now scored in back-to-back matches and made a real impact.

The Dutchman’s Gameweek 34 strike at Everton took his tally to eight in the Premier League, making him the Villans’ top scorer behind Ollie Watkins (£6.5m), and there is no doubt that at his best, he has the ability to be a real game-changer.

Interestingly, captain Jack Grealish (£7.5m) recently labelled El Ghazi as Villa’s best finisher at the club, and it was easy to see why at Goodison Park, as he bent the winner past an excellent Jordan Pickford (£4.8m) late on. He also hit the woodwork and enjoyed plenty of success running at Carlo Ancelotti’s backline, which is encouraging.

The winger’s shoot-on-sight policy is evident in the numbers, too. Amongst all midfielders per 90 who have played a reasonable number of minutes, he ranks second for goal attempts, fifth for big chances and third for expected goals (xG), only behind Mohamed Salah (£12.7m) and Gareth Bale (£9.1m).

At this stage, we should point out that longer term, this move carries more risk, as it’s likely we’ll see El Ghazi drop out of the starting XI upon Grealish’s return. However, if the England international continues to be ruled out, and you fancy a short-term differential punt, this could be a good one.

2,781 Comments Post a Comment
  1. RWB_1991
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Zaha or Rashford?

    1. Arfaish
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Rashford unless you are stuck GW36

    2. Eh, just one more thing ...
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Start your weekend with a Rash ... Which is better than trashing your weekend before it begins with Zaha.

  2. ManUtdFan977
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Start Son (vs Leeds) or Lingard (vs everton)

  3. Christina.
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    So ManU basically have a double + reserves this wk.
    BOOM.

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Yeah

    2. pingissimus
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Just a question of whether it goes boom for Watkins, Nacho or Mo really

      DDG might put in a masterclass of course

      1. Christina.
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        OGS comments have put me off ManU, other than Bruno.

        1. Biggsy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          Agreed. Sticking with Bruno, but not bringing anymore in when they blank in 36 as well - its effectively two games in two gameweeks so nothing to swoon over

          1. Christina.
            • 14 Years
            2 years, 11 months ago

            Jip, while you get a nice fixture in 36 for say DCL/Digne

        2. Jam0sh
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          Same thoughts. I even don't have Bruno at the moment and seriously considering Pogba 😀 I'm not sure that would be smart move though

      2. WVA
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        DDG better not play

  4. Bobby's Teeth
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Just for this GW (I am on FH) - please help choose one:

    1. Vardy (already have Nacho)
    2. DCL

    1. Tinmen
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I like the look of Vardy vs Newcastle

      What’s your team ?

      1. Bobby's Teeth
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Gua

        Shaw Cast TAA
        Bruno Salah Greeny Jota/Zaha
        Dcl/Vardy Nacho Ollie

  5. Uns95
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Best captain out of Nacho, Salah and Rashford? Currently on Nacho.

    Anyone else concerned about the Liverpool United game being cancelled again? There is another big protest being organised for the day of the match by all the fans....

    1. JONALDINHO
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Scenes if it’s cancelled again

  6. Tinmen
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Well guys what do yous think ?

    A) Robbo and Watkins
    B) Phillips and Vardy

    1. Arfaish
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A

  7. andrewrichter
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    So what thoughts on MU defenders now, who best to have? How many minutes do you think they'll get? Will Ole still use Maguire in all 3, despite what he said?

    1. Bob_the_builder
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Around 200 minutes for Maguire still. He won't be playing 90 in all. At the very least, he is playing 180.

  8. King Kohli
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Thoughts on this FH team?
    Guaita
    TAA Maguire Digne
    Salah Bruno Mane Greenwood Zaha
    Dcl Iheanacho

    Not sure about Mane, Zaha & Guaita

  9. checkit_j
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Thinking of doing this for a -4.

    Lingard -> WP
    Burn -> Mitchell
    Bam -> DCL

    Thoughts?

    Martinez
    Taa - Castgne - Shaw (Mitchell , Dallas)
    Gwood - Bruno (c) - WP - Son (Jota)
    Kane - DCL - Hencho

    1. Boxwoods
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Looks good.

  10. Bob_the_builder
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    This is the final roll of the dice for me. On BB while trying to close a difference of 50 points from the mini league leader. Taken a -16 to end up with 10 DGW and 3 TGW players. It's all or nothing now.

    1. LLoris
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      good luck

    2. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Only player with a chance of a triple game is probably Henderson.

      1. Bob_the_builder
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Got Bruno, Shaw and Maguire. I think all 3 play more than 180 minutes (around 200 I reckon) so I think it's still a TGW for them.

  11. LLoris
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Please Help
    I don't know what to do? (no chips left) (2 transfers)
    Thinking about Coady to Digne?

    Mendy
    Taa Holding Fofana
    Salah Jota Esm Bruno Son
    Vardy Nacho

    Bench: Forester Vydra Coady Dallas

    1. Bob_the_builder
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I would go Fofana to Digne instead so that you have an additional player for GW36 and roll the remaining transfer over.

  12. Sterling Archer
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    dgw fever has taken over when ure contemplating Eze or JWP as a cheap 4th mid

    1. Prison Mike
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      It’s a trap!

    2. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I think when I had Eze in my thinking last night I realised I needed to put the phone down...

  13. Prison Mike
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Foffana ->

    A) Shaw

    B) Maguire

    C) Save FT and hope he doesn’t get subbed again...

  14. Mr_Barbs
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    1FT.
    A) Bamford > Watkins
    B) Save FT - giving me 2 FTs GW36 to sort the 4 blank players I'll have.

    1. Mr_Barbs
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Team is:

      Martinez
      Digne, TAA, Castagne
      Greenwood, Bruno, Son, Jota, Lingard
      Kane, Iheanacho

      Fabri, Bamford, Dunk, Struijk

  15. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Which option on free hit?

    A) Guaita and AWB
    B) Henderson and Castagne

    1. WVA
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B has a higher ceiling surely so is the better option on a FH

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers!

  16. JONALDINHO
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Iheanacho(C) locked in. Staying Brunoless. Wish me luck

    1. DycheDycheBaby
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Nacho is the underrated pick. Good luck!

    2. PastaFasul
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Doing the same, only way to chase is hope the high cap on Bruno fails.

    3. Rabb05
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Great shout! I'm also bruno-less and thinking the same. Armband on salah currently but just thinking about mitigating the risk of another man u pool postponement and switching to nacho

  17. WVA
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    What did Hodgson say about his full backs? Ward in particular.
    Someone on here suggesting he hinted at Mitchell only getting one game....

    1. iCon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Check the scout tweets...said something along the lines of he was brilliant but need to be careful about not pushing him too much as he's prone to injuries

  18. chaser123
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Bench 1:
    A) Holding (WBA, che)
    B) Holgate (whu, avl)
    C) Mitchell (shy, sou)

    1. WVA
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Be a miracle if any of them get two games

      1. A. PRISE
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Colgate might

  19. Tsparkes10
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Bottomed.. first to 3:

    A) Soyuncu
    B) Godfrey
    C) Holgate

    1. WVA
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B

    2. JONALDINHO
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A

    3. JONALDINHO
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Soyuncu

    4. JONALDINHO
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      The Turkish Nat Phillips

    5. iCon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A

  20. rogerbarton
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Cavani or Greenwood for TC?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Greenwood

  21. Merlinsnose
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    So...

    Jota and Mitchell to
    JWP and TAA

    for a minus four

    Or Mitchell to Digne for free?

    Thanks

    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Why ditch Jota?

      1. Merlinsnose
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Just worried about Jota’s minutes and TAA is nailed.

        I already have Philips, so would need to lose him to get in TAA.

    2. WVA
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      what is this

  22. zon
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Hmm. Don't have Salah atm. Got two options

    A) Get Salah this GW for a hit, -16 cost to field 11 next GW
    B) Roll FT, keep Son. Bruno -> Salah next week. No points cost to field 11 next GW.

    What do you guys think?

    1. justaguy9
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Easily b

    2. JonSnow
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Easy B

  23. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    BB Active. Which scenario is best? Thank you 🙂

    A. Greenwood+Ward (-4) - potentially 5 games this GW. Leaves 1FT and 7 players next week.

    B. Zaha+Ward (-4) - potentially 4 games this GW. Leaves 1FT and 8 players next week.

    C. Lingard+Coady - only 2 games this GW. 2FTs and 8 players next week.

    1. justaguy9
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A

  24. deadsquad
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Play Lingard or Bale?

    1. dbeck
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Bale

  25. dbeck
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    this -4 gets a thumbs up? Cant go too heavy on united due to BGW, going brunoless and capping Mo

    James, Trossard, Kane to DCL, Digne, Greenwood

    Leaves enough itb to move Greenwood to Bale or Vardy to Kane next week

    1. Boxwoods
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Yes. Like it.

    2. justaguy9
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Nice

  26. LLoris
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Which one is better
    A) Digne for Coady (bench)
    B) El Ghazi for ESM (starting)

  27. Reggie Nainggolan
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    After Ole quotes on Maguire is it safer to go with Henderson in goal instead?

    1. Pompel
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      yes

    2. justaguy9
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Nit really. Ddg could play 1 game

  28. Footieboot
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    DCL or Watkins?

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      DCL

  29. Tshelby
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Konsa to Holgate?

    Means no Bruno for me but (tc) Salah

  30. Traction Engine Foot
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Ederson to Henderson worth a -4? I can play Sanchez in 36.