Spot the Differential

Pogba’s new role makes him a useful FPL differential for Triple Gameweek

Triple Gameweek 35 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at West Ham United, Aston Villa and Manchester United who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or below at the time of writing.

Paul Pogba

  • FPL ownership: 2.2%
  • Price: £7.6m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: avl + LEI + LIV | – | FUL | wol

Paul Pogba (£7.6m) has been one of Manchester United’s top performers in recent weeks, producing some of his best football since returning to Old Trafford from Juventus in 2016.

The French midfielder struggled with several minor injuries and a bout of COVID-19 earlier in the season. However, since regaining full fitness, he has become a vital asset to Ole Gunnar Solskjær, which has coincided with a new, hybrid role on the left of United’s 4-2-3-1 formation.

The more advanced position means he is generally further up the pitch when United reach the final third, where he has the vision and ability to quickly switch play. And that’s led to a big improvement from Pogba, who has scored two goals and registered four assists in his last ten matches across all competitions. He also ranks joint-second amongst team-mates for shots in the box, and third for chances created over the last six Gameweeks.

The Red Devils are now unbeaten in 13 Premier League matches, and after the latest fixture amendments were announced earlier this week, now visit Aston Villa before back-to-back home matches against Leicester City and Liverpool in Triple Gameweek 35.

While it’s hard to pinpoint exactly which, if any, of United’s assets will be handed three starts, Pogba’s versatility enhances his chances, and now in a really good moment, could be an effective differential for the remainder of the season.

Michail Antonio

  • FPL ownership: 5.0%
  • Price: £6.4m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: EVE | bha | wba | SOU

Gameweek 34 saw the return of Michail Antonio (£6.4m) to West Ham United’s attack.

The 31-year-old was back in the starting XI after recovering from the hamstring injury which forced him off against Wolverhampton Wanderers last month, and it didn’t take him long to impress.

His quickfire double, finishing off crosses from Vladimir Coufal (£4.7m) and Saïd Benrahma (£5.9m), turned the game in the Hammers favour, and he was perhaps unfortunate not to return more, as he ended the game with six goal attempts, two big chances and 12 penalty box touches. 

In fact, Antonio’s expected goal involvement (xGI) total of 1.43 was not bettered by any other Fantasy Premier League (FPL) player in Gameweek 34, and as pointed out by Neale in his Scout Notes, it is merely a continuation of a season-wide trend as no forward with substantial game-time to their name has a better rate of xGI per 90 minutes.

Manuel Lanzini’s (£6.4m) performance also caught the eye, with the Argentine excelling in a deeper role in Declan Rice’s (£4.7m) absence, and as a result of their win, West Ham now sit fifth, just three points behind Chelsea with four games to play. 

With a crucial run of games coming up against Everton, Brighton and Hove Albion, West Bromwich Albion and Southampton, Antonio can finish the season strongly, and could be one of the very best FPL differentials for the run-in.

Anwar El Ghazi

  • FPL ownership: 1.2%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: MUN + EVE | cry | tot | CHE

Anwar El Ghazi (£5.2m) has not always been a guaranteed starter at Aston Villa this season, but has now scored in back-to-back matches and made a real impact.

The Dutchman’s Gameweek 34 strike at Everton took his tally to eight in the Premier League, making him the Villans’ top scorer behind Ollie Watkins (£6.5m), and there is no doubt that at his best, he has the ability to be a real game-changer.

Interestingly, captain Jack Grealish (£7.5m) recently labelled El Ghazi as Villa’s best finisher at the club, and it was easy to see why at Goodison Park, as he bent the winner past an excellent Jordan Pickford (£4.8m) late on. He also hit the woodwork and enjoyed plenty of success running at Carlo Ancelotti’s backline, which is encouraging.

The winger’s shoot-on-sight policy is evident in the numbers, too. Amongst all midfielders per 90 who have played a reasonable number of minutes, he ranks second for goal attempts, fifth for big chances and third for expected goals (xG), only behind Mohamed Salah (£12.7m) and Gareth Bale (£9.1m).

At this stage, we should point out that longer term, this move carries more risk, as it’s likely we’ll see El Ghazi drop out of the starting XI upon Grealish’s return. However, if the England international continues to be ruled out, and you fancy a short-term differential punt, this could be a good one.

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2,781 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Maeki2
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    2 months, 20 days ago

    Wtf did a price drop happend now?

    1. Pariße
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 20 days ago

      Explain

    2. Maeki2
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 20 days ago

      I swaped kane, traore, dias -> nacho, salah, lindelöf and it was perfect funds. Also have a printscreen for like 1h ago. But now im missing 0.1

      1. Honourvolley
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 20 days ago

        Dias dropped 10 hours ago. Did you have your team still open from before then and hadn’t refreshed it since?

      2. Pariße
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 20 days ago

        Dodged a bullet. I'd try to keep Kane.

    3. Maeki2
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 20 days ago

      Must have been that update then

  2. Hitthewall
      2 months, 20 days ago

      I’ve got Mendy/Forster, probably meaning no keeper in 36. Is it worth shipping out Mendy for another doubling keeper for a -4?

      If I go Guaita/Pickford I could also get DCL instead of Watkins (Will do Vydra to either).

      1. AppleDunk
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 20 days ago

        lol in the same boat, see below. I probably will ride out 36 without a keeper. Not worth a transfer on them, not to mention for a hit.

      2. Tonyawesome69
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 20 days ago

        GKs generally have low ceilings anyway. Things could change and Forster could start in 36. Problem in 37 is Kepa could/ most likely play the next league game after the FAC.

    • AppleDunk
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 20 days ago

      Play Forster or Mendy at goal?

      1. Tonyawesome69
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 20 days ago

        Mendy - #1 GK and Chelsea still competing for top 4

    • Tsparkes10
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 20 days ago

      Thoughts on Coady, Lingard to Maguire, Gundo (-4)

      1. Gudjohnsen
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 20 days ago

        Nah

      2. Biggsy
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 20 days ago

        Not Gundo

      3. Tonyawesome69
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 20 days ago

        to Gundo for a hit?! no chance

    • niaz1982
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 20 days ago

      I have £ 4.8 ITB + 1 FT left, already done Lingard to Greenwood.

      Was going to save my FT but thinking Son>>>Salah?

      Line up would be

      Forster
      Holding Reguilon Shaw TAA
      Salah Bruno Jota Greenwood
      Kane Iheancho

      Worth it or save it??

    • Plagued by indecision
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 20 days ago

      Which is better on a FH?

      Zaha & Davis (fodder)

      OR

      Watkins & Douglas Luiz (fodder)

      Best MF: Zaha / Salah / Bruno / Greenwood / Aubameyang
      VS
      Best FWD: DCL / Watkins / Iheanacho

    • Rains of Castamere
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 20 days ago

      Anyone going Mount on FH? Very attacking, on set pieces, great form, I think he's being overlooked. Tough fixtures but Chelsea will create chances in both games.

      1. niaz1982
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 20 days ago

        Not for me

        1. Rains of Castamere
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 20 days ago

          He's in my team at the moment. If he can score at Anfield and against Real Madrid he's obviously fixture proof.

      2. Pariße
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 20 days ago

        Had him and sold. I hope now but I assumed he'll get some rest as they still have to play in three competitions.

    • lastmanback
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 20 days ago

      Rudi to Maguire worth a hit? Already have bruno and shaw, but concerned Shaw wont get 3 games and that Rudi might only get one

      1. Echoes
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 20 days ago

        Both vital fixtures for Chelsea. Think Rudiger starts both.

    • liverpool01
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 20 days ago

      Guaita
      Castagne, Kabak, Shaw
      Bruno, Lingard, Son, Mount, Jota
      Kane, Ineanacho

      Martinez, Lowton, Bamford, Dallas

      BB Active

      0 FT 2.9 ITB

      Gtg?

    • Tshelby
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 20 days ago

      Really stuck.. Chasing and got nothing to lose so a b or c?

      A) Vardy, Jota, Castagne -> DCL, Bruno, Mitchell (-8)
      B) Vardy, ESM, Castagne -> Vydra, Bruno, Mitchell (-8)
      C) Vardy, Jota -> DCL, Rashford (-4)

      1. liverpool01
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 20 days ago

        None keep Leicester players for this gw, not worth it to swap for a -8 when Man Utd blank next gw.

        1. Tshelby
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 20 days ago

          Go without Bruno than?

      2. Crunchie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 20 days ago

        I wouldnt change but if you want Bruno then A

      3. gogs67
          2 months, 20 days ago

          Captain Vardy, explosive if it works, you say you've nothing to lose

      4. Jimmer887766
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        2 months, 20 days ago

        Need advice! Which one or none?

        A) Kane, Son, Raphina out for Bruno, DCL, Greenwood
        B) Kane, Son, Raphina out for Bruno, DCL, Jota
        C) Kane, Son, Alonso out for Bruno, DCL, Digne
        D) Kane, Son, Alonso out for Bruno, DCL, Robbo

        I have Salah, Watkins, Nacho

        1. Tshelby
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 20 days ago

          B

        2. Jimmer887766
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          2 months, 20 days ago

          Need advice! Which one or none?

          A) Kane, Son, Raphina out for Bruno, DCL, Greenwood
          B) Kane, Son, Raphina out for Bruno, DCL, Jota
          C) Kane, Son, Alonso out for Bruno, DCL, Digne
          D) Kane, Son, Alonso out for Bruno, DCL, Robbo

          **Forgot to mention this is for -8.

          I have Salah, Watkins, Nacho.

        3. bigwig
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 20 days ago

          All depends on how you're setup for 36. Alonso needs to go and Raph could be back by 36, so I'd say C or D. I'm going Kane, Reguillon, Holding > Trent, DCL, Digne as I like Everton's fixture in 36

        4. Crunchie
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 20 days ago

          C

      5. Yozzer
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 20 days ago

        A castagne
        Or
        B Digne

        Differential of .
        1 Vardy
        2 Mane

        1. Tonyawesome69
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 20 days ago

          B1

        2. DangerFC
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 20 days ago

          A1

        3. Crunchie
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 20 days ago

          B1

      6. Biggsy
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 20 days ago

        Going to Downgrade Son to bring in Digne at the back.

        Not sure what midfielder to go for? up to £8.5m in the bank.
        a. Greenwood (probably means a hit next week to field 11)
        b. Zaha
        c. JWP
        d. Other (suggestions welcome)

      7. Babelcopter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 20 days ago

        Finally pulled the trigger Vardy, Son, Lingard to DCL, Bruno, Greenwood (-4). FH GW36

        Martinez
        Shaw TAA Castagne
        Bruno (c) Salah (vc) Greenwood Jota
        DCL Nacho Kane

        Good luck everyone!

      8. eririi
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 20 days ago

        Gundo -> Zaha (-4)?

        1. DangerFC
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 20 days ago

          Yeah

      9. Tsparkes10
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 20 days ago

        Dias to Maguire worth a -4?

        1. wulfrunian
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 20 days ago

          yes

        2. Crunchie
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 20 days ago

          yes

      10. wulfrunian
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 20 days ago

        Siggy or El Ghazi?

      11. Jam0sh
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 20 days ago

        Thoughts about going without Bruno this week?

        1. Babelcopter
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 20 days ago

          Brave

        2. DangerFC
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 20 days ago

          Risky but he definitely will get rested at some point. If your chasing and your rival doesn't have him I'd get him in for the fact he has three games.

        3. Jimmer887766
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          2 months, 20 days ago

          Brave. But it would not surprise me if gets 5 points for minutes, 2 for clean sheet, 3 for an assist, 1 bonus point across 3 games.

        4. Studs Up
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 20 days ago

          Yes, but for ML reasons only

        5. pingissimus
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 20 days ago

          If you're not captaining him it adds up to me

          He'd be number 3 on my captain list this week looking at fixtures and schedule.

      12. LLoris
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 20 days ago

        What transfers should I make? (no chips left) (2 transfers)
        Mendy
        Taa Holding Fofana
        Salah Jota Esm Bruno Son
        Vardy Nacho

        Bench: Forester Vydra Coady Dallas

      13. DangerFC
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 20 days ago

        Havertz and white for zaha and Maguire?

      14. Vovhund
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 20 days ago

        Best 3 United assets - funds no object?

        1. DangerFC
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 20 days ago

          I'm going with shaw Maguire and Bruno I think

          1. Vovhund
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 20 days ago

            I'm going Maguire and Bruno also, so it comes down to:
            A) Rashford
            B) Greenwood
            C) Shaw

        2. eririi
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 20 days ago

          I’m going Bruno, Greenwood and Shaw.

        3. DangerFC
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 20 days ago

          Depends on your midfield at the moment I guess. I'm using my FH next gameweek so that will leave me Maguire and shaw to play fulham at home in 37

        4. Bury94
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 20 days ago

          I'm going Henderson, Maguire and Bruno

      15. Fuddled FC
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 20 days ago

        First on bench?

        a) Lingard v Eve

        b) Holding v WBA, CHE

        1. DangerFC
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 20 days ago

          Holding

        2. Crunchie
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 20 days ago

          Lingard

      16. Hitthewall
          2 months, 20 days ago

          I’ve got Mendy/Forster, probably meaning no keeper in 36. Is it worth shipping out Mendy for another doubling keeper for a -4?

          If I go Guaita/Pickford I could also get DCL instead of Watkins (Will do Vydra to either).

          I'm also bench boosting this GW.

        • Trondero
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 20 days ago

          Will Mitchell play?

          1. Jimmer887766
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            2 months, 20 days ago

            1 game

          2. Crunchie
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 20 days ago

            I think he will play both. PVA off at he end of the season and played better against Man City than PVA has played all season

        • tibollom
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 20 days ago

          chasing my ML, what to do with my 2 FT (0.2 ITB).. thinking of getting rid of Kane..

          Ederson Johnstone
          AWB Saiss Castagne Veltamn Struijk
          salah bruno(tc) greenwood lingard raph
          kane nacho watkins

        • the vanisher
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 20 days ago

          IF THEY were priced the same:

          A. Rashford or
          B. Greenwood

        • highsguy
            2 months, 20 days ago

            Pick 2

            Rudiger
            Holding
            Jota
            Lingard

          • Tsparkes10
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 20 days ago

            Dias, Coady to Maguire, Godfrey (-4)?

          • pukunui
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            2 months, 20 days ago

            BB this week? What should my max hit be with this and who should go? Lloris, Shaw, Targett, Coufal, Jota, Fenandes, Salah, Lingard, Watkins, Kane, Iheanacho, Johnstone, Soucek, Dunk, Dallas. 1FT. 0.1 ITB.

          • Garlana
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 20 days ago

            Any reason why Michael Keane hasn't played for the last 2?

            1. Holmes
              • 7 Years
              2 months, 20 days ago

              injured

              was on bench last week