Spot the Differential

Exciting Saint-Maximin can star in Newcastle’s last two fixtures of 2020/21

With the season so close to an end, Fantasy Premier League differentials have never been more important.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Newcastle United, Tottenham Hotspur and Leeds United who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Allan Saint-Maximin

  • FPL ownership: 3.3%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: SHU | ful

Allan Saint-Maximin (£5.2m) has been one of Newcastle United’s best players since joining the club from French outfit Nice back in 2019.

And despite enduring a stop-start campaign, mainly due to injuries, his return to fitness in the second half of the season has seen Steve Bruce’s side comfortably avoid relegation from the Premier League.

The 24-year-old, who is fast becoming his side’s talisman, was instrumental in a run of eight points from four games in April which saved the Magpies’ season. He was the match winner against Burnley, coming off the bench to score and provide an assist, and was pivotal against both West Ham United and Liverpool, too.

That upturn in form has coincided with Bruce’s decision to switch to a 3-5-2 / 5-3-2 shape in Gameweek 30. Since then, Newcastle have played some of their best football of the season, with three wins and two draws in their last seven matches, despite a testing schedule which has included games against title winners Manchester City, Leicester City and Liverpool. In fact, during that period, no team has scored more than the Magpies. Granted, it’s a small sample size to draw conclusions from, but it is encouraging ahead of back-to-back matches against relegated Sheffield United and Fulham.

In the new system, the Frenchman has been deployed as a second-striker, and has thrived in a more central role. Interestingly, he even referred to himself ‘playing as a no.10’ in a recent interview.

Saint-Maximin has always had the ability but has often frustrated due to his erratic decision-making. However, his end product is improving, and he could be a useful budget differential for the remainder of the season, especially when you consider his last two matches are against two obliging defences.

Dele Alli

  • FPL ownership: 0.6%
  • Price: £7.4m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: AVL | lei

Despite being frozen out under José Mourinho earlier this season, Dele Alli (£7.1m) has come back into favour in recent weeks under interim head coach Ryan Mason.

The 25-year-old played a key role in Son Heung-min’s (£9.7m) goal in Gameweek 35, and was unlucky not to score against Wolverhampton Wanderers on Sunday, as he struck the post in the second-half.

Despite blanking, it was his best performance of the season so far, as he ended the match with four goal attempts, one big chance and six penalty box touches. His coach later hailed his display as an “excellent no. 10 performance”, and now, after three consecutive league starts, has the potential to finish the season strongly.

Interestingly, since Alli’s return to the starting XI in Gameweek 34, he has actually outperformed Son for shots, efforts in the box and expected goals (xG).

It’s also worth noting that Tottenham Hotspur had 24 shots against Wolves, 13 of which were on target. Both of those totals exceed any amount they had in a single Premier League match under Mourinho, which highlights the potential of their new, more attacking, setup.

Spurs are now into the top six, with their win last weekend ensuring their hopes of qualifying for the Europa League is in their own hands, with Aston Villa at home and Leicester at the King Power Stadium their remaining games. Encouragingly for Spurs’ attacking assets, Villa conceded a whopping 23 shots in their recent trip to Crystal Palace in Gameweek 36, and will again be without the services of Matt Cash (£5.0m) in defence.

Alli is enjoying a decent run of form under Mason, and for those in search of a real midfield differential, could be worth a look.

Rodrigo

  • FPL ownership: 2.2%
  • Price: £5.7m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: sou | WBA

After a frustrating season with injuries and suffering from coronavirus, Rodrigo (£5.2m) has impressed in his last two matches, and surely done enough to earn Fantasy interest for a Gameweek 37 trip to Southampton.

The Spanish striker can operate as a centre forward or attacking midfielder, but replaced Patrick Bamford (£6.5m) in the number nine role at Burnley, and took his chance with a quickfire double. He could have had more too, as he ended the game with three goal attempts, two big chances and six penalty box touches, despite being afforded just 32 minutes off the bench.

His last two matches have proven he does not need to even feature in the starting line-up to perform well. During that period he has appeared as a second-half substitute on both occasions but still produced three goals and a total of five bonus points.

The 30-year-old arrived from Valencia last summer with a big reputation having played in the Champions League, but has only managed 12 starts in the Premier League this season. 

However, when on the pitch, his numbers are encouraging. 

Among all forwards per 90 minutes with substantial game-time to their name, he ranks fifth for goal attempts and top for chances created, highlighting his all-round ability.

Following Saturday’s win at Burnley, Leeds United have a four-point cushion over 11th-placed Aston Villa, which means they are closing in on a top-half finish.

It’s been an excellent season back in the Premier League for Marcelo Bielsa’s side, who have now suffered just one defeat in their last nine games. They have the potential to finish strongly, too, with matches against Southampton and relegated West Bromwich Albion up next.

Rodrigo has been superb of late, and could be a smart differential for those on the lookout for a budget forward.

Pro Pundits 21

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1,935 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Ruinenlust
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 14 days ago

    ON bench boost: play Forster or sell for Dubravka (-4)?

    1. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 14 days ago

      Play Forster

    2. ALegendJ
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 14 days ago

      Forster will not play if you take the manager's comment a week ago

    3. Eh, just one more thing ...
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 14 days ago

      Sell ... get a full team out ... more fun.

    4. Sgt Frank Drebin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 14 days ago

      I would play Forster

    5. Black Knights
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 14 days ago

      Take the hit. You won't get anything for him not playing. Treat yourself to a potential CS or penalty save.

    6. Super Saints
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 14 days ago

      Sell

    7. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 14 days ago

      Sell imo if using BB chip

  2. Abaddon
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 14 days ago

    Team of:

    Johnstone
    Dallas, Dias, TAA
    Raphina, JLingz, Salah (C), Son
    Kane, Bamford, Antonio

    (Martinez, Holding, Veltman* Jota*)

    GTG or do I need some united? 1ft 0,1 itb

    A) GTG
    B) Bamford and Jota to Rodrigo and Greenwood -4
    C) Bamford and Jota to Cavani and Harrison -4
    D) Jota to someone? And who

  3. HMC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 months, 14 days ago

    Just saw the announcement that Hodgson is stepping down from Crystal Palace end of the season. Paves the way for Frank Lampard to return to the PL

    1. Cookie Kid
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 14 days ago

      Unless they want a decent manager?

  4. ALegendJ
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 months, 14 days ago

    Rival ahead by 3 points and has Raphinha:

    A) ASM (Fixtures, differential, fun)
    B) Raphinha (Safe, better stats)
    C) Play Traore (Away to Tottenham, +4)

    1. tinear
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 14 days ago

      Raphinha is the only diff? I would go with A.

      1. ALegendJ
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        No, but getting Raph feels like taking a hit only to give me less chance to pass him

  5. BS03
      2 months, 14 days ago

      Appreciate any feedback for my team below:

      Martinez
      TAA / Dallas / Digne / Shaw
      Salah(c) / Son / Lingz / Greenwood
      DCL / Bam

      Sanchez/ Watkins / Castagne / Jota

      A) Save FT
      B) Jota -> Harrison/Raph/Willock

    • Nespinha
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 14 days ago

      Pick one please:

      A) Iheanacho --- Bamford (play holding)

      B) Jota --- Greenwood/Bale/Alli (play iheanacho)

      C) Coady --- Reguilon (play iheanacho)

    • AC Yew
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 14 days ago

      Afternoon all need some advice please on what move to make this week. 1FT 0.5 ITB

      Pickford
      AWB Keane Coufal
      Salah Son Raphina Siggy Lingard
      Watkins Kane

      Guaita Iheanacho Watkins Ward

      1. tinear
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 14 days ago

        2 Watkins?

        1. AC Yew
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Sorry Watkins on bench is meant to be Fofana lol.

    • tinear
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 14 days ago

      Help needed

      1. Jota to Raph
      2. Save ft and play either Zaha, Watkins, or Holding

    • Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 14 days ago

      cant decide between salah and bruno who to captain....

      1. Jeremy Corbyn
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Home game for me

        1. Ajax Hamsterdam
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          cheers

      2. Holmes
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Coin toss, no regrets

        1. Ajax Hamsterdam
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          best of 3?

          1. Holmes
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 14 days ago

            As they say, keep doing it till you are satisfied with the results

            1. Ajax Hamsterdam
              • 7 Years
              2 months, 14 days ago

              🙂

      3. snouty375
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Bruno

    • PogBruno
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 14 days ago

      Vardy to Firmino/Antonio for a hit

      Yes or No ??

    • boombaba
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 14 days ago

      Bottomed

      Dallas (SOU), Stones (BHA), Phillips (BUR), Shaw (FUL), Coufal (WBA)
      Torres (BHA), Salah (BUR), Son (AVL), Lingard (WBA), Bruno (FUL)
      Kane (AVL), Kelechi (CHE), Watkins (TOT)

      Bench 3?

      1. Holmes
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Iheanacho, Watkins, Coufal

      2. MightyGar
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Kelechi, Phillips, Coufal
          In that order

      3. dansully3
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Is there anyone out there that has any idea of Mahrez or Foden will play? I've snowballed from leading my ml by 150pts to chasing 30 now! Help!!!!

        1. Tonyawesome69
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Mahrez has had 2 fulls games rest and Foden played 20 mins in the CHE, you would think both players would start....

      4. Tonyawesome69
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Which one would you go for?
        A. Jota to Raphinha
        B. Nacho to Antonio
        C. Do both for a hit. Hit should pay off over the 2GWs since Jota is out for the season

        1FT 2.5ITB
        Mendy
        TAA Shaw Dallas Rudiger
        Salah Bruno Greenwood Lingard
        Kane Nacho
        (Forster Jota* Holding Davis)

        1. the dom 1
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          just do A mate

        2. Pegboy
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Hold and have 2FTs for last day?

        1. Super Saints
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Dallas essential

      5. Camzy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Chasing 14 points.

        Captain: Salah, Kane, Greenwood or Mahrez?

        1. Jeremy Corbyn
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Bruno!! 🙂 especially as you are chasing

          1. Camzy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 14 days ago

            I don't have Bruno.

            1. Jeremy Corbyn
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 14 days ago

              Who are you chasing?

        2. Black Knights
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          I have S, K, and M of those, and am thinking Salah might be the brave pick (chasing 18 points).

          1. Jeremy Corbyn
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 14 days ago

            How is Salah the brave pick?

            1. Black Knights
              • 9 Years
              2 months, 14 days ago

              Because i think he has the most chance of getting 2 or 3, but also the most chance of getting none.

        3. Geriatric Unathletic
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Salah... Like I am :).

      6. MoSalalalalalalalalah
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        GTG? Correct starting XI? And thoughts on the Dallas captain punt?

        Forster
        TAA | Digne | Dallas (C)
        Salah (V) | Lingard | Foden | Greenwood
        Antonio | Kane | Cavani

        GK: Martinez | Zaha | Rudiger | Veltman

        1. Super Saints
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          It's ridiculous especially this week

        2. yiidddoo
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          in the same problem as you have cavani kane and salah but not sure to captain, Dallas is a big punt considering SOU will have fans back too

          1. yiidddoo
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 14 days ago

            Currently have it on Salah but want to put on cavani just cant guarantee hell start compared to other 2

      7. valurth
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        A) Ihenacho > Antonio
        B) Jota > Raphina
        C) Jota + Lingard > Mane + Smith Rowe

        1. the dom 1
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          b

      8. klopp2567
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Play Lingard or willock?

      9. Jeremy Corbyn
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        One of those weeks when you wish there wasn't any captain chip

        1. Qaiss
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          No captain chip would make the game more boring

          1. Jeremy Corbyn
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 14 days ago

            Agree, only this week though

        2. Stupendous
          • 8 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          There isn't a captain chip

          There is a choose captain button

          1. Jeremy Corbyn
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 14 days ago

            Dull as always 🙂

      10. klopp2567
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Get Willock or Saint Maximin in place of Jota?

        1. the dom 1
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          I would punt on Willock

        2. Better Call Raul
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Willock

      11. martyhan
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Top of my mini league by 23 points. Should I do zaha to greenwood for minus 4? Both chasing me have him

        1. the dom 1
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          that cuts your lead to 19 pts, if you think Zaha wont cover greenwood then its really your call lad.

        2. klopp2567
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 14 days ago

          no way

        3. Geriatric Unathletic
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          No, from me.

      12. RyanMK
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        1. Pick one: Fernandes or Son
        2. Pick two out of: DCL, Bamford, Antonio

        1. Super Saints
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          1 doesn't need to be there
          DCL Antonio

      13. the dom 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 14 days ago

        Leading my ML by 51pts, who would you captain?

        a. Mo
        b. Bruno
        c. Kane

        Cheers

        I have an idea already just curious what others are doing on this forum.

        1. Stupendous
          • 8 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          I'm ahead 55 after a hit

          Kane

          He will go Salah ( I own Salah too)

        2. Dark Side Of The Loon!
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          78 ahead but a completely different issue. H2H is a knockout and I have no clue who to captain. And he has a similar team so it will all come down to the captaincy choice.

          1. the dom 1
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 14 days ago

            My closest rival has Mo & Kane but no Bruno.

            1. Dark Side Of The Loon!
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 14 days ago

              Mo and Kane is close. Even I cannot decide.

              1. the dom 1
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 6 Years
                2 months, 14 days ago

                Same here. Kane in front of home fans could peg it ya reckon?

                1. Dark Side Of The Loon!
                  • 4 Years
                  2 months, 14 days ago

                  I was on him. You think his insistence on getting a transfer out messes up with his mind? Also don't know how the home fans will react to the news.

                  1. the dom 1
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 6 Years
                    2 months, 14 days ago

                    Didn't think about the fans reacting badly to him? Toughest decision ever!!!!

        3. MightyGar
            2 months, 14 days ago

            Kane
            I have Mo but not Bruno, but it wouldn't be Bruno anyway

        4. Stupendous
          • 8 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Play Lingard or DCL?

          Thanks

          1. Better Call Raul
            • 1 Year
            2 months, 14 days ago

            Currently on DCL. Can't decide between Lingard and Ings though

            1. Stupendous
              • 8 Years
              2 months, 14 days ago

              Got rid of Ings for Firmino

          2. the dom 1
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 14 days ago

            Im actually playing both and benched Bamford but i have Raph.

        5. JY84
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 14 days ago

          Planning to play my BB this week.... My squad currently is :

          Meslier
          Digne Philips Dallas
          Salah Bruno Lingard Zaha
          Watkins Kane DCL
          (Martinez, Coufal, Rudiger, Anguissa)

          (A) Zaha to Raphina
          (B) Anguissa to Wilock
          (C) Save FT

          1. MightyGar
              2 months, 14 days ago

              B, go big on your Bench Boost!

          2. gomez123
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 14 days ago

            GTG bench order ok?
            Ederson
            Dallas/TAA/Digne
            Salah(vc)/Son/JWP/Raph/Peireia
            Kane(c)/Watkins
            Sanchez/Nacho/Azpi/Maitland Niles

          3. gooberman
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            2 months, 14 days ago

            Dont know why so many people are entertaining ideas that Kane could go to Man Utd and not Man City. He is leaving Spurs as he wants to win trophies so why would he go to Utd?

            1. Gooner Kebab
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              2 months, 14 days ago

              Not if the Glazers can do something about it

            2. Dark Side Of The Loon!
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 14 days ago

              My point too. But then most of the people are United fan, hence.

            3. Werner Brothers
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 14 days ago

              He's going to Chelsea i guess

            4. the dom 1
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 14 days ago

              Kane starts every game for Spurs when fit so he would need to go to a team that plays him every game, City switch way to much for Kane's style I feel?

              1. gooberman
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 9 Years
                2 months, 14 days ago

                part of that though is possibly because Aguero is always injured and he doesnt really trust Jesus so plays other guys like Sterling, Silva etc as strikers. Im fairly sure Kane would be nailed maybe only being rested now and then like when Aguero was at his peak and playing regularly.

                If Kane goes to City you may as well give them the title again.

            5. Sgt Frank Drebin
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 14 days ago

              Maybe with Kane they would be able to win some trophies? This season showed that they seriously lacked a central forward and Cavani cannot play every game presumably. Altough I cannot see Levy letting Kane go to another English team.

              1. gooberman
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 9 Years
                2 months, 14 days ago

                It wont be up to him. Kane can go where he likes. Levy has already been disgraced by signing up to the super league. He would be done for if he denied Kane moving to the club he wants after the service Kane has given Spurs.

                1. Sgt Frank Drebin
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 4 Years
                  2 months, 14 days ago

                  How come it is not up to him? As far I remember Kane has a contract with Spurs. Forgot what was happening with Modric?

          4. Gooner Kebab
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            2 months, 14 days ago

            Best 10.0 mid for a one week punt?

            1. Boss Hogg
              • 11 Years
              2 months, 14 days ago

              Havertz?

          5. Ian Davis
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 14 days ago

            Who to captain: Kane, Salah or Bruno?

            I’d probably go Bruno, just thinking United might be playing at 70%

          6. Johnjo
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 14 days ago

            1 FT. Would you do Martinez to Meslier/Fabianski or roll the Free transfer to the final week?