Spot the Differential

In-form Tierney an appealing FPL differential for Blank Gameweek 18

******Please not that this feature was written before the postponement of Aston Villa v Burnley on Saturday afternoon******

Gameweek 18 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

KIERAN TIERNEY

  • FPL ownership: 5.2%
  • Price: £4.8m
  • GW18-22 fixtures: lee | nor | WOL | MCI | tot

At 5.2% ownership, Kieran Tierney (£4.8m) sits just above our usual differential threshold, but with a vastly reduced pool of players to pick from this week, we’ve made an exception.

The 24-year-old has endured a difficult season at the Emirates, having suffered his fair share of injury problems, but now looks to have turned a corner, starting all three of Arsenal’s most recent Premier League outings. During that time, he has produced a whopping 31 points, and ranks joint-fifth amongst all defenders for passes received in the final third.

For Arsenal, it does feel like progress is being made, as they now sit in the Champions League qualification places, having taken 29 points from a possible 42 since Gameweek 4. Notably, they have kept eight clean sheets in those 14 fixtures, a total no team can better and only Manchester City and Liverpool can match.

Up next for Mikel Arteta’s side is a trip to Elland Road, followed by games against Norwich City and Wolverhampton Wanderers, the two worst performing attacks in the division this season. As a result, Tierney has potential for points at both ends of the pitch and could be a smart differential for those on the lookout for a new defender.

JACOB RAMSEY

Five-time top 1k FPL finisher Tom Freeman on Villa under Gerrard and his Gameweek 13 plans 9
  • FPL ownership: 1.1%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW18-22 fixtures: BUR | CHE | lee | bre | MUN

In recent weeks, Jacob Ramsey (£4.5m) has established himself as one of Aston Villa’s main attacking threats.

The 20-year-old has started five of Steven Gerrard’s six games in charge, netting against Norwich City on Tuesday, with his performance in the 2-0 win arguably his best of the season to date.

Whether deployed on the left of Villa’s midfield three, or further forward as an inside forward, Ramsey has excelled, producing a respectable six goal attempts, five shots in the box and nine penalty box touches across his last five starts.

“I never watch my stuff back unless someone else has put it on the telly! But listen, he should try and watch as much football as he can and learn off as many people as he can. That is the mentality I want, for him to keep trying to be the best version of himself. The goal was really impressive, a tight one-two and then the power and speed to get into the box and finish on his weaker side. It was a top, top goal. But I don’t want the goal to take away from the fact his overall performance was really top level. I am really excited to keep working with him.” – Steven Gerrard when asked about Ramsey’s admission that he had been inspired by watching clips of him

Under Gerrard, it’s four wins in six for Villa, having beaten Brighton and Hove Albion, Crystal Palace, Leicester City and Norwich, with their only losses arriving against the current top two: Manchester City and Liverpool. The Villans now take on Burnley in tomorrow’s Gameweek 18 opener, before appealing away trips to Leeds United and Brentford to follow.

In a short space of time, Ramsey has proven he has the physical and technical ability to thrive in the Premier League, and with minutes now more assured in the absence of Marvelous Nakamba (£4.5m), he looks ready to kick-on.

CHRIS WOOD

Scout Notes 4
  • FPL ownership: 1.4%
  • Price: £6.7m
  • GW18-22 fixtures: avl | EVE | mun | lee | LEI

With just three goals in 16 Premier League appearances, it’s been a slow start to the season for Chris Wood (£6.7m).

However, the New Zealand international has been a model of consistency since joining Burnley from Leeds United back in August 2017, scoring at least 10 top-flight goals in each of his four Premier League campaigns.

This season, he has posted team-leading totals for goal attempts, shots in the box, efforts on target, big chances and penalty area touches, and while performances have taken a dip in recent weeks, Wood is generally a dependable member of Sean Dyche’s squad who he often turns to in big moments.

Looking ahead to Gameweek 18, Burnley have a testing trip to a much-improved Aston Villa side, though fixtures against Everton (h), Leeds United (a) and Leicester City (h) to follow are all particularly appealing, given that those three sides rank 16th, 18th and 15th respectively for expected goals conceded (xGC) across the opening rounds.

Notably, Wood didn’t score his third goal of the campaign until December last year, but then went on a run, finding the back of the net nine times across his next 20 appearances. Hitting those same heights again is a big ask, but Wood has proven he can deliver consistently over the years, and could be an effective differential for our frontlines in the coming weeks.

1,755 Comments Post a Comment
  1. how now brown cow
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Potential wildcard. Thoughts?

    Ramsdale
    TAA James Cancelo Lowton
    Salah Jota ESR Mount Foden
    Watkins

    Sanchez Davies Dennis Broja

    1. DaddyPig
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I wouldn’t really want Lowton on a WC. Davies from spurs instead maybe?

      1. how now brown cow
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Got him too. Just one eye on games in hand. Could easily be white

        1. DaddyPig
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Oh sorry yes. Didn’t look at the bench. Looks solid Mount might be someone I’d look at changing due to missed games coming up.

          1. how now brown cow
            • 9 Years
            2 years, 4 months ago

            Thanks. Good point. Will likely switch to son before club cup

  2. Nespinha
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Fielding 8 ATM, 1FT.
    Pick one or two for a hit

    A) Vardy - - Laca
    B) Gunn - - Ramsdale
    C) Bowen - - Foden
    D) no hit

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A & C

    2. Hangman Page
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B or C.

    3. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      C and A.

    4. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      C

    5. TheAbear53
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      D

  3. Drogba Legend
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Bottomed..

    Luckily can field 10 this week to start. Have 2FT as well: Sitting at 40k OR and thinking this below:

    Ramsdale
    Cancelo - TAA - James - Rudiger
    Salah - Jota - Saka - Raph - Brownhill
    Ronaldo

    4.0 - Dennis* - Toney** - Livra**

    A) Ronaldo + Raph + Brownhill > Watkins, Foden, Bilva (-4)
    B) Ronaldo + Raph + Brownhill > Laca, Foden, Gundo (-4)
    C) Ronaldo + Brownhill > Foden and Watkins/Laca

    1. Konstaapeli
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      C, Watkins

      1. Drogba Legend
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers

  4. DaddyPig
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Could the injured Hwang > Jesus be a good pick?
    Not seeing any interest in Jesus on here at all. My midfield spots are full, so need a striker to join Watkins/Dennis.
    Thanks and GL!

    1. Drogba Legend
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Not guaranteed game time that's why Jesus isn't popular. I'd avoid him personally. Get Laca instead

  5. Buck The Trent
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    CR7, Bowen, Davis to Laca, Watkins, Foden for -8.

    Yay or nay ?

    1. Skogen89
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Nay

    2. OptimusBlack
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Yay why not ?

    3. Brehmeren
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I just did something similar for a -12

  6. Skogen89
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Gtg?
    Ramsdale
    Taa,cancelo,James,targett
    Salah,jota,Sterling,bernardo,luiz
    Watkins

  7. MGMT
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    What would you guys do?

    A. Allan —> ESR/Saka -4
    B. Allan —> Ramsey -4
    C. Guaita —> Ramsdale -4
    D. A/B + C for -8

    I know it seems obvious that ESR is a better pick than ramsey but he would be my 5th midfielder and feels weird having to bench that amount of cash.. Any advise?

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      You need a GK long term so if you're going to have to get one, this is probably the week to do it I would think?

      1. The Count of Monte Cristo
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Not the week to do it ^^^ would go with A

        1. MGMT
          • 11 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Thinking the same… if going for a hit maybe its more likely to be profitable in ESR or Saka and have more depth in the team… currently leaning on Saka

          1. The Count of Monte Cristo
            • 11 Years
            2 years, 4 months ago

            I have Saka and would also lean with him.

            Ceiling higher for attackers so makes more sense to go with the attacker here over the GK (even if Ramsdale gets good scores)_

  8. Danstoke82
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Current team below;

    Benteke > Laca -8 a bit too much? Already on -4 with 10 players (Reguilon flagged)

    Ramsdale
    TAA Cancelo James Reguilon (flagged)
    Salah Bilva Mount Jota
    Watkins Dennis*

    Subs: Steele* Gallagher* Livramento* Benteke*

    1. northernmuppet
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I’d say Livra to cash.. good chance of clean sheet.. good long term buy.. or Gallagher to Saka if you want arsenal cover. Not getting the lava love here.. 2 goals all season.. midfield a stronger area for arsenal imo

      1. The Count of Monte Cristo
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Agree with this logic.

      2. Danstoke82
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Would you do either for a -8 though?

  9. northernmuppet
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    What time are the scout picks at? Anyone know?

    1. how now brown cow
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      1.29 tomorrow if they've any sense

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Should be before midnight.

    3. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Covid in the FPL tower?

    4. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Here is my attempt if I FH

      Ramsdale
      TAA Cancelo James Alonso
      Salah Jota Sterling Foden Saka
      Watkins
      Cash Gelhardt Vydra

      1. The Count of Monte Cristo
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Can't see it being much different to be honest.

        1. Sun Jihai
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Yeah it’s mainly your choice of City mids. But feel Sterling has the most upside with his rest last game.

  10. Henryyy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Antonio to Watkins could be a 0.2m swing tonight....

    Too risky going early?

    1. Guru Mediation
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Yeah ignore price rises imo

    2. YEAH PITCH!
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Go for it. Live a little. Feel the adrenaline rush.

    3. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Best to absorb the loss this GW imo.

    4. northernmuppet
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I did it as otherwise it sound have been possible. Risky but not the worse. Depends how tight on cash you are

  11. Champions League Varane
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Is De Gea to Ramsdale for free even worth it? Find it hard removing one of my favourite players and he has great fixtures and doubles to come.. surely this is the last game we miss too!

    1. g40steve
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Hold & replace spare keeper, having two playing will be needed

      1. northernmuppet
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        This

      2. Champions League Varane
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Haven’t enough money sadly!

    2. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I own DDG and thinking of moving to Ramsdale but then buying DDG back on WC either next GW or the week after. No monetary cost to me so I feel it's okay to get rid in this case.

  12. g40steve
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Stick or take a hit?

    #
    Trent, James, Cancelo, Teirney, Rudiger
    *Bilva, Jota, Salah, ESR,
    Watkins

    DDG, Steele, Antonio, Dennis, Gallagher

    1.8

  13. The Count of Monte Cristo
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    2FT - Unsure which of these three moves to do. Currently on A and B. Thinking C for a hit too? WC in hand,

    A) DDG --> Ramsdale
    B) Toney --> Watkins
    C) Raphinha / B.Silva --> Foden

    DDG*
    TAA -- Cancelo -- White -- James
    Salah -- Jota -- Raphinha -- B.Silva -- Saka
    Wilson

    Foster* - Dennis* - Toney* -- Livramento [2FT + 2.9m ITB]

  14. Drexl Spivey
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Scary amount of transfer activity tonight.

    Can't say I'm that desperate to save £0.2m I'm going to risk that banana skin.

  15. Warby84
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Ramsdale
    Trent Cancelo Cash James
    Bernardo Smith-Rowe Salah (c) Jota
    Watkins Lacazette (vc)

    Davies Dennis Gilmour

    -4 and good to go??

    1. g40steve
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Going Jota C again?

  16. DA Minnion (Former great)
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Why no Scout picks ?

    1. The Reptile
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Yeh - what happened?
      Maybe they don't want to stick their neck out

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Next article.

      1. DA Minnion (Former great)
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Sound

    3. The Nuttman
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I'd guess it's because without a mid day kick off there is more time to get possible information before the cut off time over if ties are going ahead or not.

  17. Max City
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    A) Lacazette + 0.2m
    B) Mount
    C) Martinelli + 2.3m

    1. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A or B

    2. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      C not 100% nailed. This week would go with A, but would B for longer

  18. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    fh now is tempting but think about all the dgws coming up surely it s worth waiting

    1. Shteve
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Less tempting for me when your consider another game or two could easily be called off

    2. Steve The Spud
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I’ve got 6 for this week so thinking about fh

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        it s going to end up in tears 🙂

        1. Steve The Spud
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Well, my thinking is if I have 2 pool and 2 city and they both get called off I play with 11 on free hit (full bench with Saturday players) when most people will be down to 4 or 5

    3. DARE TO BISCAN
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Not tempted, for the reason you mentioned

    4. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Wait. Everyone is equally fecked.

    5. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Best chip in the game
      In a DGW can use to get 22 players out

  19. DARE TO BISCAN
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Current team FUBAR (1FT, 0.2 ITB):

    (Sanchez*, Steele*)
    TAA, Cancelo, James (Dalot*, Liv*)
    Salah, Jota, ESR (Bowen*, Gallagher*)
    Watkins (Dennis*, Ronaldo*)

    a) Ron, Galla/Bowen > Laca, Foden/Bilva
    b) A, with Steele > Ramsdale (-8)
    c) any other ideas?

    Will wait until tomorrow. Seem solid moves for short to medium-term.

    Not a massive fan of losing the mids, but feel the need for more City. Is Jesus an option?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

      1. DARE TO BISCAN
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Who to lose/gain? Thinking Gallagher & Foden

        1. Fulchester's New Centr…
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Think Foden best

          1. DARE TO BISCAN
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            2 years, 4 months ago

            For Gallagher, or Bowen?

            1. Fulchester's New Centr…
              • 6 Years
              2 years, 4 months ago

              Gallagher

      2. Fulchester's New Centr…
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Jesus has been an awful pick in the 5 or so weeks that I have had him trying to get ahead of the curve

  20. jason_ni
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Captain
    A) Salah
    B) Foden
    C) Cancelo
    D) Lacazette

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Surely still Mo unless game is off

    2. Eh, just one more thing ...
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A …

    3. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      The Safe One

    4. DARE TO BISCAN
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Times like these, I need dependable Salah comfort blankey

  21. Atimis
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Can the night change anything? Tempted to pull the trigger on the moves.

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Morning tests cancelling games.

      1. Atimis
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Sounds right, cheers

    2. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Watford game cancelled with 2 hours to go

  22. NABIL - FPL otai
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Damn this article. Don't jinx my Wood pick, please!

  23. OptimusBlack
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Sorry but what is deadline for transfers tomorrow ?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      1.5 hours before the 1st game

      1. OptimusBlack
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Okay Thx dude

        1. The Count of Monte Cristo
          • 11 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          13:30 GMT (UK time) to be precise

  24. Greyling
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Gallagher to:

    1. Foden (have Gundogan and Cancelo)
    2. Smith-Rowe
    3. Mount

    1. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Ramsey

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      1

    3. acidicleo
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      1

  25. acidicleo
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Is Douglas Luiz nailed?
    Any potential for attacking returns?

    1. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Ramsey a better option

    2. DARE TO BISCAN
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      More potential for a yellow. The guy in the differential article is a better option

  26. More Cowbell
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Which move to make?

    A) Antonio > Laca (already have Watkins) & play Raph
    Or
    B) Raph > Foden/Mount & play Brownhill

    1. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A a

    3. Shteve
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

    4. More Cowbell
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Or both for a -4

      1. Fulchester's New Centr…
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        This

  27. George James
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Repost

    Best pair?

    A) Cancelo + Ramsey

    B) Laporte + ESR

    C) Dias + Martinelli.

    1. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

    2. Shteve
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

    3. Kenny Dogleash
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

    4. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A easy

  28. Kenny Dogleash
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    A/ Gray, Antonio, Gallagher
    To Foden, Watkins, Ramsey

    B/ Gray, Antonio, Toney
    To Foden, Watkins, Gerhardt

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

  29. LKRav
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Would you rather have:
    1.Foden
    2. KDB
    3. Mount

    Ngl, worried about pep roulette

  30. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    I want foden and watkins and both will increase in price tonight. my team selling value is not great, i dont know what to do...

    1. DARE TO BISCAN
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I'm reading 'not great' as: still doable tomorrow. If you can afford to wait: wait.