Spot the Differential

In-form Tierney an appealing FPL differential for Blank Gameweek 18

******Please not that this feature was written before the postponement of Aston Villa v Burnley on Saturday afternoon******

Gameweek 18 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

KIERAN TIERNEY

  • FPL ownership: 5.2%
  • Price: £4.8m
  • GW18-22 fixtures: lee | nor | WOL | MCI | tot

At 5.2% ownership, Kieran Tierney (£4.8m) sits just above our usual differential threshold, but with a vastly reduced pool of players to pick from this week, we’ve made an exception.

The 24-year-old has endured a difficult season at the Emirates, having suffered his fair share of injury problems, but now looks to have turned a corner, starting all three of Arsenal’s most recent Premier League outings. During that time, he has produced a whopping 31 points, and ranks joint-fifth amongst all defenders for passes received in the final third.

For Arsenal, it does feel like progress is being made, as they now sit in the Champions League qualification places, having taken 29 points from a possible 42 since Gameweek 4. Notably, they have kept eight clean sheets in those 14 fixtures, a total no team can better and only Manchester City and Liverpool can match.

Up next for Mikel Arteta’s side is a trip to Elland Road, followed by games against Norwich City and Wolverhampton Wanderers, the two worst performing attacks in the division this season. As a result, Tierney has potential for points at both ends of the pitch and could be a smart differential for those on the lookout for a new defender.

JACOB RAMSEY

Five-time top 1k FPL finisher Tom Freeman on Villa under Gerrard and his Gameweek 13 plans 9
  • FPL ownership: 1.1%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW18-22 fixtures: BUR | CHE | lee | bre | MUN

In recent weeks, Jacob Ramsey (£4.5m) has established himself as one of Aston Villa’s main attacking threats.

The 20-year-old has started five of Steven Gerrard’s six games in charge, netting against Norwich City on Tuesday, with his performance in the 2-0 win arguably his best of the season to date.

Whether deployed on the left of Villa’s midfield three, or further forward as an inside forward, Ramsey has excelled, producing a respectable six goal attempts, five shots in the box and nine penalty box touches across his last five starts.

“I never watch my stuff back unless someone else has put it on the telly! But listen, he should try and watch as much football as he can and learn off as many people as he can. That is the mentality I want, for him to keep trying to be the best version of himself. The goal was really impressive, a tight one-two and then the power and speed to get into the box and finish on his weaker side. It was a top, top goal. But I don’t want the goal to take away from the fact his overall performance was really top level. I am really excited to keep working with him.” – Steven Gerrard when asked about Ramsey’s admission that he had been inspired by watching clips of him

Under Gerrard, it’s four wins in six for Villa, having beaten Brighton and Hove Albion, Crystal Palace, Leicester City and Norwich, with their only losses arriving against the current top two: Manchester City and Liverpool. The Villans now take on Burnley in tomorrow’s Gameweek 18 opener, before appealing away trips to Leeds United and Brentford to follow.

In a short space of time, Ramsey has proven he has the physical and technical ability to thrive in the Premier League, and with minutes now more assured in the absence of Marvelous Nakamba (£4.5m), he looks ready to kick-on.

CHRIS WOOD

Scout Notes 4
  • FPL ownership: 1.4%
  • Price: £6.7m
  • GW18-22 fixtures: avl | EVE | mun | lee | LEI

With just three goals in 16 Premier League appearances, it’s been a slow start to the season for Chris Wood (£6.7m).

However, the New Zealand international has been a model of consistency since joining Burnley from Leeds United back in August 2017, scoring at least 10 top-flight goals in each of his four Premier League campaigns.

This season, he has posted team-leading totals for goal attempts, shots in the box, efforts on target, big chances and penalty area touches, and while performances have taken a dip in recent weeks, Wood is generally a dependable member of Sean Dyche’s squad who he often turns to in big moments.

Looking ahead to Gameweek 18, Burnley have a testing trip to a much-improved Aston Villa side, though fixtures against Everton (h), Leeds United (a) and Leicester City (h) to follow are all particularly appealing, given that those three sides rank 16th, 18th and 15th respectively for expected goals conceded (xGC) across the opening rounds.

Notably, Wood didn’t score his third goal of the campaign until December last year, but then went on a run, finding the back of the net nine times across his next 20 appearances. Hitting those same heights again is a big ask, but Wood has proven he can deliver consistently over the years, and could be an effective differential for our frontlines in the coming weeks.

1,755 Comments Post a Comment
  1. How I met your Mata
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Do we expect Bsilva to get any minutes this weekend?

    1. Eh, just one more thing ...
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I think he starts.

      1. gart888
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Why? Pep seems to be pretty cautious about playing people with any sort of knock or muscle twinge.

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Plenty

    3. Feed tha Sheep
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Hope so

    4. The FPL Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I would like to think so

  2. ManUtdFan977
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Antonio and Gallagher to foden and Watkins for -4 yes or no

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Y

    2. Eh, just one more thing ...
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Tomorrow … on confirmation of good news.

    3. Feed tha Sheep
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Yeah

  3. Nespinha
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Which one is worth a hit to get the 10th playing member?

    A) Bowen - - Foden
    B) Gunn - - Ramsdale

    1. Nespinha
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      -4 obvs

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

    3. Feed tha Sheep
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

    4. Eh, just one more thing ...
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      So a -2 basically … both good shouts … Foden more exciting …

      1. Nespinha
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        I didn't think of that, might even take a - 8

    5. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

    6. gart888
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Why Gunn and not your other keeper?

    7. DARE TO BISCAN
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B gives you a stronger squad going forward (assuming you have another starter keeper)

    8. Espanyolie
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Personally I’d go B.
      Unless you have a strong bench which would surprise me this week.

      A does have a higher ceiling, but no midfielder or attacker is guaranteed a start at City

  4. Feed tha Sheep
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Currently have 7 players..

    Ronaldo, Bowen & Williams > Watkins Foden & Targett (-8)

    A. Yes
    B. No

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      N

    2. How I met your Mata
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Y

    3. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      N

    4. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      N

  5. NABIL - FPL otai
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    So it's basically Gallagher to Ramsey or Toney to Gelhardt (both for a hit) right?

    I'd aay the midfield move

    1. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      RF to kenny dogleash last page. D'uh

  6. The FPL Units
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    What do you think of these moves for -4 to get 10 players on the pitch?

    King, Bowen & Guaita => Watkins, Ramsay & Ramsdale

    Giving:

    Ramsdale
    TAA Cancelo James
    Salah Jota Bilva ESR Ramsay
    Watkins

    Foster* Dennis* CR7* Livra* Guehi*

    1. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Just king and guaita our for me

  7. Not again Shirley
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    So do we think West Ham will play their next game against Norwich or is it them that have the covid issue?

    If likely they will play then losing Bowen probably not the best action.

    1. DARE TO BISCAN
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Nobody has a Scooby

  8. C_G
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Gallagher + Toney ---> Foden & Gelhardt on 2 FTs?

  9. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    when are you doing your transfers ?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Tomorrow late as poss

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      After price changes

    3. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Did mine. Bowen to Foden.

    4. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      2FT. Likely doing Toney --> Watkins now as needs to be done regardless. Waiting for other and likely will absorb loss on a potential Foden transfer.

    5. DARE TO BISCAN
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I'll see what's going on 12:30pm ish. Make transfers with decent amount of time left, to allow for internet/app issues

  10. FantasyClub
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    I’d like to know who all these smart people are making transfers this early

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      i m just not smart 🙂

    2. The FPL Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Deadline is 2:30am for me, so I'll have to make the transfers 3 to 4 hours before then, as I won't be up till the last minute.

    3. Grande Tubarão
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      They might have kids, wife, job that requires them to work Saturdays etc.

  11. The Count of Monte Cristo
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    2FT -- Currently on A and B. Thinking C for a hit too? WC in hand still.

    A) DDG --> Ramsdale
    B) Toney --> Watkins
    C) Raphinha / B.Silva --> Foden

    DDG*
    TAA -- Cancelo -- White -- James
    Salah -- Jota -- Raphinha -- B.Silva -- Saka
    Wilson

    Foster* - Dennis* - Toney* -- Livramento [2FT + 2.9m ITB]

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

      1. The Count of Monte Cristo
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks

  12. Manani
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Still have WC (so looking for next 3GW only)

    A. King > Watkins
    B. Antonio > Laca

    1. gawa11
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      How many will you field without the moves?

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

    3. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Just A.

    4. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Antonio to Watkins

  13. gawa11
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Thought's please?
    1. Benteke and raph out for foden and laca. -4

    Or

    2. Raph and livra out for foden and cash. -4

    1. ball c
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I like 2.

  14. Atimis
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    If won’t go for the moves tonight, will lose 0.4, crazy times…

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Do it!

    2. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Maybe just do one of the two if it makes logical sense?

      1. The Count of Monte Cristo
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        As in one of those tonight, if you think you'd do it anyway without these present issues.

      2. Atimis
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        May gamble on my Laca move

  15. adam wigan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Ronaldo and Gallagher to Watkins and:
    A- Sterling
    B- foden with some money left over

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

    2. ball c
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

    3. Il Capitano
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

    4. DARE TO BISCAN
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

  16. Fish up a tree
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Anyone actually keeping Antonio.

    Feels bad to sell but had the same with Kane & that went bandy

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Keepin'

  17. Mr. O'Connell
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Wish list:

    Ramsdale blank
    Foden blank
    Watkins blank

    1. Atimis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I just wish my picks playing good

      1. Mr. O'Connell
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        I don't really have any picks

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Ramsdale agree. Rest disagree.

      1. Bobby Digital
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Actually I got White, so agree on all.

        1. Bobby Digital
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          *disagree on all

    3. FPL_Crisis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Grinch!

      1. Mr. O'Connell
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        I'll have probably caved on at least 2 of them by 1:30pm tomorrow

  18. dshv
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Ramsdale
    Taa James Cancelo reguilon
    Salah Foden Jota ESR
    Watkins

    Foster, Ronaldo, livra, davis, gallagher
    1ft 0.1 itb..

    Have 10 playing.. what to do? Reguilon only question.

  19. EL TANO
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Hwang gundo bilva to Watkins foden mount (-4)
    Too sideways? Trying to spread the risk

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Not for me Clive

    2. adam wigan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I wouldn’t get rid of bilva or gundogan

    3. Il Capitano
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Naw

  20. Garfield1001
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Lose Dennis or King first?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      The one not scoring

    2. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I would l∙lose King, but marginal really.

  21. SuperG
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Ronnie-the-goat*

    Should I keep or not? If I don’t sell, I’ll have seven players. But if I do I’ll lose that goat* for future potential doubles, all for potentially one week.

    Thoughts?

    * Those intent on jumping on Messi being the goat, please do one.

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      You can buy him back.

    2. EL TANO
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Watkins

    3. Grande Tubarão
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      This is one weird post.

  22. Bobby Zamora
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    1 FT and £5.6m itb, which of these is worth doing?

    a) Sanchez to Ramsdale
    b) Livra to Tierney / Mings
    c) Davis to Laca
    d) Gallagher to Foden

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Just do them all

    2. adam wigan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      D

  23. FPL Alaska
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    A) Antonio > Watkins (have exact money so have to do tonight)

    B) Ronaldo + Brownhill > Watkins + Foden (-4)

  24. Cali
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    I can field 8 + Brownhill.

    A) DDG, Antonio to Ramsdale, Watkins (-4)
    B) DDG, Ronaldo, Gallagher to Ramsdale, Foden, Watkins (-8)
    C) other ideas?

    DDG*
    TAA, Cancelo, Rudiger, White, Targett
    Salah, Jota, Bernardo, Brownhill, Gallagher*
    Ronaldo*, Antonio*, Scarlett

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Only Watkins

    2. nolard
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      a

  25. VaVaVoom14
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Mahrez or Gundogan? Already have foden

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Gundo

    2. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      G

  26. FPL_Crisis
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Scenes when Reece James picks up his 5th yellow card this weekend!

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      So long as he gets some actual points this week I'll forgive him

    2. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      He has done naff all since I bought him so it would serve me right!

  27. Sillet Bang
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Ramsdale
    Cancelo Gabriel Trent James
    Mount Salah@ Bilva Foden
    Watkins Laccazette

    Foster Ransey VVD Dennis

    Locked and loaded. Tempted to captain Foden tho

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Not the worst pick tbh but not 100% guaranteed to start.

      Just make sure you pick captains from different games.

    2. Paqueta Rice
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Looks great

  28. tryf88
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Somehow ended up only 5 players available 2FT...would you go for free hit or -4 or -8 in an attempt to field 7 or 8 players? Top 3 ML chasing
    Thanks!

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      -8 should potentially give you 9, more about the ins & outs.

  29. Garfield1001
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Keepers are De Gea and Sanchez.

    Is Ramsdale worth a hit?

  30. The Big Larsbowski
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Bilva to Foden a too much of a sideway move? Livramento to Mings better?

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Latter is good. Cash also if you can afford.

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Latter much better