Spot the Differential

Dunk a tempting FPL differential with goal threat and clean sheet potential

Double Gameweek 25 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Brighton and Hove Albion, Manchester United and Wolverhampton Wanderers, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

The Seagulls and United, of course, have two fixtures in the upcoming Gameweek.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

LEWIS DUNK

Fit-again Dunk a tempting FPL differential with goal threat and clean sheet potential 1
  • FPL ownership: 2.1%
  • Price: £4.8m
  • GW25-29 fixtures: wat + mun | BUR | AVL | new | LIV

After featuring for 90 minutes against Tottenham Hotspur in the FA Cup fourth round on Saturday, Lewis Dunk (£4.8m) is poised for his Premier League return in Double Gameweek 25.

The 30-year-old had previously missed nine games with a knee injury but is now expected to feature at Watford and Manchester United, with three decent fixtures to follow against Burnley, Aston Villa and Newcastle United.

The main appeal for Dunk is Brighton’s clean sheet prospects, given that they have a lower expected goals conceded (xGC) tally than all bar the top three and also rank an impressive fifth for actual goals conceded.

However, his Fantasy potential is further boosted by his goal threat. Last season, for example, the Albion skipper ranked second amongst all defenders for shots in the box and tenth for expected goals (xG).

After going three months without a win up until Boxing Day, Albion have won two and drawn four of their last six matches. The performances have particularly caught the eye, as well, with Graham Potter’s troops outplaying Chelsea twice home and away and dominating Crystal Palace in the M23 derby. The Seagulls came back to draw against Leicester City in Gameweek 23, too, finishing the game strongly to such an extent that their hosts were left hanging on for a point.

Importantly, Dunk has been ever-present for Brighton this season when available, and with his ability to contribute points at both ends of the pitch, is a tempting investment given Albion’s schedule.

JADON SANCHO

Ronaldo delivers but defensive issues remain at Man Utd
  • FPL ownership: 2.0%
  • Price: £8.9m
  • GW25-29 fixtures: SOU + BHA | lee | WAT | mci | TOT

Jadon Sancho (£8.9m) has struggled to make much of an impact since his summer move to Manchester United, but was voted man of the match against Burnley on Tuesday, in one of his best performances since joining the club.

As a result, the former Borussia Dortmund winger is an intriguing differential for Fantasy managers ahead of Double Gameweek 25, as he looks to build on that display against Southampton and Brighton.

Since Ralf Rangnick’s appointment, only Bruno Fernandes (£11.7m) has created more chances than Sancho for United, despite him missing two matches due to a family bereavement, whilst at Turf Moor earlier this week, he was his team’s most advanced player, registering three shots in the box and racking up 10 penalty box touches.

United’s forthcoming schedule offers further encouragement that he can kick on, with their double-header in Gameweek 25 followed by matches against Leeds United and Watford, both of whom rank in the bottom four for goals conceded in 2021/22.

Meanwhile, under Rangnick, the Red Devils have won five, drawn three and lost just one of their nine Premier League matches. There is absolutely room for improvement in terms of their performances, but when simply looking at results, it’s been a promising start for the German tactician.

Sancho is one of the Premier League’s brightest young stars, and with an ownership of just 2.0%, is an appealing midfield differential for United’s double and beyond.

RAUL JIMENEZ

Digne injury latest as Jimenez impresses: FPL notes from Wolves v Everton
  • FPL ownership: 4.5%
  • Price: £7.4m
  • GW25-29 fixtures: tot | LEI + ars | whu | CRY | eve

Raúl Jiménez (£7.4m) rediscovered his form for Mexico during the winter break, netting a penalty against Panama, and could do well domestically given Wolverhampton Wanderers’ forthcoming schedule.

Following Thursday’s match against Arsenal, Bruno Lage’s side take on a Tottenham Hotspur outfit that looked vulnerable against Southampton, conceding three goals, followed by a Double Gameweek involving Leicester City and Arsenal once again.

Notably, they also have a confirmed Gameweek 30 fixture against Leeds United, which is important for those attempting to navigate the blank without Free Hitting.

As for Jimenez, the 30-year-old has produced just four goals and three assists from 19 Premier League appearances this term but now has the potential to add to that, given that he has posted team-leading totals for goal attempts, shots in the box, big chances and penalty box touches in 2021/22.

Overall, it has been a good season so far for Wolves, as they sit eighth in the Premier League table after 21 matches. During that time, they have generally underwhelmed going forward, but have now scored five goals across their last two games against Southampton and Brentford, which is more encouraging for those considering investing.

Jimenez has established himself as a key player for Wolves since joining, and with an ownership of just 4.5%, could be a useful differential.

211 Comments Post a Comment
  1. McSauce
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 2 months ago

    Bench one;

    A) Broja Vs MUN
    B) Digne VS NEW
    C) Edouard VS BRE

    1. Cheeky Onion
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      A

    2. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      I'd like to say A but I think he could do well. I'd be tempted to say C, he could be benched again and even if not Palace's poor away form continues so I'm not sure how well they'll do, Brentford we're very stubborn yesterday, a penalty from a silly tackle and a big mistake from Raya are how City scored so while Brentford have been poor I'm not sure Palace will walk all over them

      1. McSauce
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 2 months ago

        ye all fair points, Broja looks sharp and united well..... not so much

    3. Fish up a tree
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      B. Go with the attackers, Villa conceded 3 to Leeds & Newcastle will score at least 1imo

      Edouard likely to start next one & Broja looking sharp & Utd poor defensively

  2. Cheeky Onion
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 2 months ago

    What to do with this GW 26 team (0 FT - 2.9 ITB)

    DDG
    TAA* - Reguilon* - White* - Cancelo
    Salah* - Jota* - Martinelli* - Foden
    Edouard* - Watkins

    Bachmann - Ait Nouri* - Bowen - Broja

    A) Is bench correct?
    B) Worth doing Jota/Foden > Son for a hit?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      GW25 will provide the answers.

    2. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      Switch Bowen & Watkins

  3. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 2 months ago

    Last Man Standing Update (573 teams)

    Current safety score = 29 including autosubs
    Top score = 68
    LMS average = 41.07 (-0.5) = 40.57
    Players played = 8.56/12.01
    Captains played = 68.94%

    https://www.livefpl.net/LMS

  4. Nate(U)dog(ie)
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 2 months ago

    Think I'm fairly decided on going Ramsey over Coutinho for now. Means I have the funds to go with Pope over Foster for my 2nd GK alongside Sa which will hopefully bode well for BB in DGW26 as well as meaning I'll have both for whatever further DGWs happen. Will still have 1.5m itb after it as well and will then downgrade one of them in a few weeks when needed.

    1. TopBinFC
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      Nice moves, I have Ramsey as well. Went fro him as I want funds to get reece back in as soon as he is back.

      1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 2 months ago

        That's a good idea, I'm keeping an eye on Chelsea too for that fixture swing

  5. Iceball
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 2 months ago

    Alonso and Gray are going now, Bruno will go after this week
    A) Get Son now for free, Salah next week
    B) Get Salah now for a hit that includes downgrading DCL to Weghurst. Get Son next week (probably)

  6. AzzaroMax99
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 2 months ago

    Watkins+Gray to Broja+Coutinho?

    1. Botman and Robben
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      Yes

    2. Chelsea91
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      Yes i have both on WC

    3. sulldaddy
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      Makes sense.
      Watch Ramsey too

  7. BobB
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 2 months ago

    Still can't believe how bad Zaha's penalty was. I mean, literally...something fishy

    1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      Yeah it was abysmal. He's capable of thar though just as much as he's capable of scoring that beauty

      1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 2 months ago

        *that

    2. Surfeit of Lampteys
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      Slipped a bit no? Balance was wrong certainly.

  8. CheesyZoot
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 2 months ago

    If you had both, would you captain:

    A) CR7

    B) Bruno

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      Bruno

    2. Camino Aleatorio
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      I would not have both. But I have Bruno as C.

      There is big possibility that I get 8 points from my Bruno C next week, or less.

      He was uninspiring vs Burnley. But the next two are home games.

    3. Chelsea91
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      Bruno

  9. Surfeit of Lampteys
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 2 months ago

    54 points from my midfielders (Inc C) with Salah to play. Really do just love to see it.

    1. Wrong Captain Choice - Ag i…
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      I hope Salah does not play and I would be on 62. 14 Ramsey points on the bench to come on.
      It was a WC team though. I have mixed feelings about it. Overall team is sorted but will likely only get a small green arrow.

      1. Surfeit of Lampteys
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 2 months ago

        I think odds on him not playing at all just be extremely slim but you never know. Ramsey I started. What a guy.

        1. Wrong Captain Choice - Ag i…
          • 14 Years
          2 years, 2 months ago

          Well done! I would of had to have benched Salah to play Ramsey based on my team plan. But thought better of it and committed to five at the back.
          Figured if Salah did not play Ramsey could come on as first sub.
          And if Salah got a cameo he could do some some damage against tired legs etc.

          At least I have Ramsey for future gameweeks. I won't be benching! He could be 6.5 plus next season at this rate. Hope he is not sold to a bigger club too soon.

  10. Ze_Austin
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 2 months ago

    "Fears that Nathan Ferguson could be out for a further six weeks with a hamstring injury picked up in a behind closed doors friendly,
    @TheAthleticUK understands.

    Latest cruel blow for the young defender who has played only eight senior minutes for #CPFC"

    https://twitter.com/MattWoosie/status/1491772074221785093?s=20&t=P0VsZt4LL7u8XwlaVnuYXQ

    Wow

    1. Wrong Captain Choice - Ag i…
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      I wonder what he has earned per those 8 minutes? Hope he has a long contract!

  11. Jambot
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 2 months ago

    Was playing around with what I'd do on free hit last night just to see but not really planning on using it. Confirmed it on auto pilot. What an error! devastated. Just got back to 3K after getting screwed by Bruno then the Dennis red but I think I've ruined my season with an idiotic slip of the thumb/brain

    1. FourLokoLeipzig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      Can you switch it to WC?

      1. Jambot
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 2 months ago

        I don't think so.

        1. FourLokoLeipzig
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 2 months ago

          Damn, sorry dude. Hope you manage a free hit for the ages to make up for it - good luck!

          1. Jambot
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            2 years, 2 months ago

            Cheers mate!

    2. St Pauli Walnuts
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      Come on fella, it's not that bad, you've lost one chip (which many have already used) and get to pick best team possible this week and you're at a brilliant OR. Not exactly season over is it.

  12. Wrong Captain Choice - Ag i…
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 2 months ago

    'Raúl Jiménez (£7.4m) rediscovered his form for Mexico during the winter break....'

    Interesting I thought, could be and option.

    Then I read -

    'Netting a penalty against Panama.......'

    Oh, OK

  13. Pino
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 2 months ago

    What a people doing with DCL and Watkins? its so frustrating to own them, specially if you have both. They have good fixtures and DGWs to come, but they keep under-preforming.

    1. Wrong Captain Choice - Ag i…
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      I am normally a form over fixtures fpl game player. But in their case I just not see the value. Would be better off with Broja - ASM - even Weghorst.
      Put your money in midfield.

      Many fell into the same trap with Antonio and were afraid to sell him (risk adverse) when his form dropped off - because of fixtures. But like Watkins he just became a foil for other players to work off.

      Sometimes you have to know when to hold them, or know when to fold them. Now ASM looks like overtaking Antonio's points total.

    2. Union_Jacks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      I don’t own DCL but would most likely sell.

      I have the misfortune of owning Watkins and will be keeping through the good run as Salah and dgw players taking priority.

      1. Union_Jacks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 2 months ago

        For transfers*

    3. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      Keeping Watkins til 27/8 then upgrading to Kane. Probably wont be going back there again, Villa mids are much better FPL assets

  14. 2EyedTurk
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 2 months ago

    Have no ManU outfield players, and although not essential I admit, I do fancy one for the double. Who would you drop BSilva for? Can't afford Bruno, so thinking Sancho/Pogba.

    1. Wrong Captain Choice - Ag i…
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      Or maybe Elanga for the fun of it?

    2. TopBinFC
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      Dont do it to yourself, think long term and how awful United are

      1. 2EyedTurk
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 2 months ago

        The voice of reason I must admit!

      2. 2EyedTurk
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 2 months ago

        But it is only a one week punt. Have a transfer to spare, looking to swap him out week after to Son, and drop Antonio

    3. Chelsea91
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      Pogba

  15. dshv
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 2 months ago

    Have all the chips

    TC - 26
    1FH - 27 probably
    WC - 28 ??

    What so you think about the others se

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      Look at GW30 and the DGWs.

    2. Wrong Captain Choice - Ag i…
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      That is what most with the chips seem to be doing.
      Looking at i logically most will TC Salah gw26. FH teams gw27 will end up fairly similar.

      The wildcard wgw28 will be chasing Chelsea Leicester Southampton.

      If you really wanted to chase rank I suggest captaining a different liverpool player than the masses in gw26.
      And with your free hit gw27 keep an eye out for any 'blind spots' the 'fpl influencers' might have. As where they lead most follow. Dennis - Adama Traore - Mbeumo etc All 'talked up' flops during certain gameweeks or a combination of them.

  16. Diamondgeezer
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 2 months ago

    Any idea if the FA cup semis will create blanks?

    1. Wrong Captain Choice - Ag i…
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      From some of the chat I heard it could but they won't be good blanks as it will likely be the big sides playing in the cup.

      1. Diamondgeezer
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 2 months ago

        That's what I am thinking, could be 4 of the best teams plus there opposition, it may be over half our squads wiped out. Makes me double think about 27 blank for the free hit.

        1. Wrong Captain Choice - Ag i…
          • 14 Years
          2 years, 2 months ago

          The same. I am even planning to play 10 players - 7 DGW's gw27 and save a transfer. As I have used my two wildcards now gw4 and gw24 and bench boost gw1. I feel that i need the two free hits when my team will be in major trouble. Or if there is a big double gameweek full of weaker teams down the line gw28 gw33 or gw36 etc.

    2. Jambot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      I think the midweek is free after though so games may stay in the same week.

  17. You've got red on you.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 2 months ago

    Would you take a -4

    Dennis, Raph and Watkins ---> Ronaldo, Ramsey and Maupay

    1. Wrong Captain Choice - Ag i…
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      Not for Ronaldo or Maupay unless you have a 'get out' plan after gw25.

    2. Chelsea91
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      Ramsey only

    3. sulldaddy
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      Id do Ramsey and Maupay for Raph and Dennis.
      Not locking up funds in ManU right now.
      Brighton has good matchups coming and Maupay gives you funds ITB.
      Ronaldo gives you headaches

  18. Chelsea91
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 2 months ago

    Appreciate on the feedback for below team.
    Sanchez
    Taa,Cancelo,Robbo
    Salah.Bruno.Coutinho,Bowen,Olise
    Broja,Asm

    Ramsdale Rayan,Killman,Weghorst

    Wc activated

    1. Wrong Captain Choice - Ag i…
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      First impressions seems like a good set up. Have your plan done for bringing in Chelsea - Leicester - Spurs players from gw28 onwards as well.

      1. Chelsea91
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks mate , will do bruno to son in gw 26 for spurs coverage.

    2. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      Good job. Minor quibble - I certainly dont mind double Wolves defence (I have Sa & Ait Nouri) but somehow the balance doesnt seem quite right when they're your 4th & 5th defenders - maybe because you'll either want to play both or neither..? Might just be a personal thing though that I prefer 4th & 5th def from different teams

    3. Jambot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 2 months ago

      I really like what I've seen of Olise think he could turn out to be a good pick. Great first 11

  19. kbaby901
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 2 months ago

    Bench 2;

    Ramsey
    Digne
    Watkins
    Edouard

  20. DavvaMC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 2 months ago

    Starting to put together a WC for GW28 who from the below keepers would be the best choice?

    A. Sa
    B. Pope
    C. Mendy

    Thanks