FPL

Is the last day of the Premier League season a goal-fest?

The 2021/22 Premier League season draws to a close on Sunday, with many Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers anticipating a high-scoring round of fixtures.

But are there actually any facts to back this theory up?

We’ve analysed the final day of the last 10 Premier League seasons to find out.

SEASONAVERAGE GOALS PER GAME IN GAMEWEEK 38SEASON AVERAGE
2020/213.12.69
2019/203.32.72
2018/193.62.82
2017/183.12.68
2016/173.72.80
2015/163.52.70
2014/152.92.57
2013/142.82.77
2012/133.62.80
2011/123.22.81

For the sixth season running, the final day of the 2020/21 campaign produced a minimum of 30 goals, with 31 from the 10 matches played in Gameweek 38.

However, the most goals scored in a final Gameweek over the last 10 seasons is 37, with Chelsea, Tottenham Hotspur and Manchester City all scoring five goals or more in 2016/17.

So, whatever the last games hold, recent history does suggest we’ll see a few more goals than usual.

Meanwhile, the highest-scoring game on the final day in the last 10 years was the epic 5-5 draw between West Bromwich Albion and Manchester United in Sir Alex Ferguson’s last game in charge.

Notably, Spurs have been involved in four of the six most recent goal-fests, with Leicester City featuring in two of the last three.

FINAL DAY GAMES WITH SIX OR MORE GOALS IN THE LAST 10 SEASONS:

  • West Bromwich Albion 5-5 Manchester United – 2012/13
  • West Ham United 4-2 Reading – 2012/13
  • Leicester City 5-1 Queens Park Rangers – 2014/15
  • Stoke City 6-1 Liverpool – 2014/15
  • Newcastle United 5-1 Tottenham Hotspur – 2015/16
  • Chelsea 5-1 Sunderland – 2016/17
  • Hull City 1-7 Tottenham Hotspur – 2016/17
  • Tottenham Hotspur 5-4 Leicester City – 2017/18
  • Crystal Palace 5-3 Bournemouth – 2018/19
  • Leicester City 2-4 Tottenham Hostpur – 2020/21

WHAT’S ON THE LINE IN GAMEWEEK 38?

Man City v Liverpool team news: Jota in for Diaz

The Premier League season is heading for an epic finale and there is still plenty to play for at both ends of the table as the campaign enters its final week.

The fight for fourth, the battle to avoid the drop, the tussle for the final UEFA Europa League qualifying spot and – if Liverpool don’t lose on Tuesday – the title race will all go down to the final day.

Arsenal, Spurs, Liverpool, Man City, West Ham United, Man Utd, Leeds United and Burnley are the clubs who will have something tangible to contest, while Everton will be added to that group if they fail to beat Crystal Palace on Thursday.

GAMEWEEK 38 FIXTURES SORTED BY ATTACKING DIFFICULTY


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Join now to get the following:

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  • Get access to Members content in over 250+ articles over the season.
  • Analyse our OPTA-powered statistic tables specifically tailored for Fantasy Football Managers.
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205 Comments Post a Comment
  1. OptimusBlack
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    Dubravka
    Robbo Cancelo Alonso (Schär White )
    Eriksen Son© Maddison Díaz (Saka)
    Richarlison Toney Kane
    This team Cost -4 :O

    1. Cheeky Onion
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      Solid team - will need to see if Diaz plays today. I like Toney or Erikson - not sure on the double up though

      1. OptimusBlack
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        Cheers

    2. JELLYFISH
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      Nicely balanced team there, but for me the standout picks are in midfield which is why I am going for 352

      1. OptimusBlack
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        Thx dude

  2. JELLYFISH
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    Set out the following FH team with the focus on attack. Exact funds to do this, but a few variables still to sort out (i.e. Vardy chances of starting).

    Raya
    Alonso Matip Sess
    Son KDB Diaz Mount Maddison
    Kane Vardy

    Thoughts?

    1. Cheeky Onion
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      If you're on the fence with Vardy, maybe downgrade Diaz to get Kane or Lukaku in

      1. JELLYFISH
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        Kane's already there mate. Diaz > Bowen might be an option for Lukaku, but that leaves me with no Liverpool mids which is a concern

        1. Cheeky Onion
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          *rubs eyes* ahhhhhh

          If you have a solid bench option or two then Diaz Vardy is fine. With Vardy in court today he seems more likely to be rested Thurs than the weekend

          1. JELLYFISH
            • 10 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            Yes Vardy is a wait and see, and there's no clear sign of being priced out of any of these moves anytime soon.

            Bench is a bit light though tbf - Tsimikas, Johnson and Richardson

    2. NateDog
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 8 days ago

      I'd probably drop Raya, Leeds are poor but they're likely going to be desperate to get something from that game so they will attack it, unless Burnley lose on Thursday and they want to risk relying on them losing again on Sunday. Apart from that looks good.

      1. JELLYFISH
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        Thanks mate, agree re Raya but thats the compromise unfortunately. The alternative is to set out similar to the scout picks, but I just feel the best picks this gw are in midfield.

        1. NateDog
          • 1 Year
          1 month, 8 days ago

          That's fair, I didn't actually realise Raya was that cheap until I just had a look there! Good luck

  3. Cheeky Onion
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    Which combo do you like better - 2nd player would be first bench:

    A) Tony + Digne
    B) Dier/Jansson/Cucurella + Ings (have Sessegnon)
    C) Alonso + Toney (-4) bench headache here
    D) James + Origi/Nketiah (-4)
    E) Jesus + Sanchez (-4)

    Think a strong bench option might be necessary given all the likely rotation (Vardy, Maddie, Richarlison, Matip are my main rotation worries)

    1. JELLYFISH
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      I prefer C out of those with Alonso starting

      1. Cheeky Onion
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        I think that's the most sensible option. Only qualm is my ML leader also has Alonso. Looking at his squad, his most obvious transfer is Cash > James so might just have to do it anyways and hope for points elsewhere

  4. dshv
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    Salah to Kdb for the final 38? 5k rank want to stay there.

    Casper
    Taa robbo alonso cancelo
    Saka son **** kulusevski mount
    Richarlison

    Nketiah cash pukki

    1. Cheeky Onion
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      Seems easy enough. Maybe a hit to replace TAA or Robbo if one of them starts tonight, but with Nketiah on bench he can cover

  5. Top Mark.S
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    Well done rhys Williams and Nat Phillips. We would never have got here without your courage.

    To all the naysayers on here who said we were done last season.

    YNWA

    1. Lovren an elevator
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      Who said we were done last season?! Crazy. I always knew it would be a strong bounce back, VVD booking fit again, took the team up notches!

      1. ZimZalabim
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        Just look at the pre season predictions from pundits, fan channels and most general people in any sort of media, all had Liverpool 4th or missing out on top 4 and that this was the end of the cycle and needed a rebuild of sorts.

        No one as such was giving Liverpool a chance at even challenging City or Chelsea for the league and most had United above Liverpool as well.

        1. Lovren an elevator
          • 7 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          Yeah people were high on Chelsea after the Lukaku signing, I actually forgot about that...seems like a long time ago now but pundits like Shearer were Predicting Chelsea to win the season, which was just madness

      2. Top Mark.S
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        This site is full of anti liverpool people who said klopp didn't know what we were doing and our injuries were no excuse. We were mocked relentlessly on here. They have been silent for a while.

        1. Lovren an elevator
          • 7 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          Well, I wonder what they will say now?!
          I'll admit Diaz has been a huge game changer, as has Thaigo's up turn in form, but even before that, just VVD back in the team brought Liverpool up to title contenders imo

          1. Top Mark.S
            • 5 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            100% correct.

            It took virg a couple months to get his firm back as well. Look at us this year. Miles better than city. They need haaland to have a chance or someone shoots virg. Otherwise it's chasing quad again next season

            1. Lovren an elevator
              • 7 Years
              1 month, 8 days ago

              Agreed. Pool should be aiming for the quad next season, got the squad for it now too. Imagine if Firmino is fit all season too!
              City have looked 2nd best for most of 2022 have they, but if they get over the line, which I'm sure they will, history will remember Pep and his team, potentially being the best in history of the Prem, i mean it will be 4 out of the last 5 years, right? And what with Klopp's Liverpool, this is one of the most competitive times in the league's history. Easily up there with the Fergie vs Wenger era

        2. Qaiss
          • 6 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          Klopp is a very, very good manager but whinges all the time.

          No-one smart said you were done, we all knew when you have your full strength team, you can challenge for the league etc. As for the ‘anti-Liverpool people’, it’s not so much that, just that your fans act like everything your club does is a miracle. I remember Arsenal getting ravaged by injuries 10/11/12 years ago, with financial restrictions and getting top 4 every year. But Liverpool do it with Phillips and Williams in defence for half a season, it’s some astonishing achievement and miracle? Why?

          1. Top Mark.S
            • 5 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            Look I will be the first to admit that I am not super familiar with arsenals history and if arsenal had injuries similar to what we had last season I would be genuinely intrigued to go back and see how they fared.

            All I can say is that in my 32 years of supporting liverpool I never saw anything close to the crisis we walked through from Oct. Nothing close. Not saying it hasn't happened before but nothing I can compare it too in 32 years of liverpool teams. I think last season was klopps most impressive because of what we went through. It was insane

    2. RedRo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      1 month, 8 days ago

      People said Arsenal would get relegated, that Mane was better than Salah and that Leeds would finish top 6. People are stupid.

      1. Qaiss
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        Oh yeah, remember at the start of the season telling someone on here Leeds would be happy if they survived in the premier league and played good football.

        Got told I haven’t a clue about how ambitious their owners are and that top 6 is a realistic goal for them.

      2. Top Mark.S
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        Amen

  6. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    As a final week punt

    A Eriksen
    B Toney

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      A

    2. wulfrunian
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      a

    3. Lovren an elevator
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      A.
      He's settling in more and more each week. No coincidence that Brentford's performances are picking up still, despite being safe and nothing really to play for

    1. JELLYFISH
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      Off to Newcastle then.....

    2. NateDog
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 8 days ago

      I feel like, despite their short numbers with injuries, City are going to offload a decent few players this summer. Haaland is coming in so apart from when they want to play with a false 9 that spot should be sewn up (with Alvarez as backup), but then you have Sterling, Grealish, Mahrez and Jesus competing for the spots on the wings (as well as having Foden and Bernardo who can play there), and then in midfield you have Rodri, Bernardo, KDB and Foden (and this will be after Fernandinho and Gundogan have left). With versatility in defence (Ake + Laporte playing LB, Stones RB) I feel like Zinchenko may want to move too.

      1. wulfrunian
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        Gundogan is a genious footballer,big loss for ManCity.I expect that BSilva will also leave...

        1. NateDog
          • 1 Year
          1 month, 8 days ago

          Yeah he's been superb for them, he really can play in every role across the midfield which is rare (although Bernardo is certainly giving it a good go). Would he really let Bernardo go? He's been incredible this season, I know there were lots of rumours of him leaving last summer but he seems to have a new lease of life in midfield and doing more defensive work.

          1. Lovren an elevator
            • 7 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            Crazy to Let Bernardo go, especially if Gundo goes, there has been a lot of talk about it though...maybe if Barca lose De Jong?

      2. Lovren an elevator
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        I think you're right. Can't see Jesus staying though, maybe not even Sterling. Mahrez is getting on, he'll probably have one more season. Alvarez looks like a future nailed on star, he will find his way in the team with Haaland, but not next season. I can see in the coming seasons, Pep builds an attack around Haaland, Alvarez, Jack and Phil. Gundo probably leaves. Bilva possibly leaves, as do Zinchenko and Walker.
        Gossip is that Guardiola is prioritising a LB, if he signs a good one, Cancelo will surely be nailed on on the RB spot. Also rumours of Matheus Nunes from Sporting, he'll likely be the Fernandinho and even Gundo replacement.

  7. camarozz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 8 days ago

    Sure I'm mistaken but are none of the final day games Sunday on tv?

    1. jason_ni
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      You are mistaken lol.

      Sky will be showing at least 2 as a minimum.

      If the league is over, it'll likely involve the relegation scrap.

      If Liverpool win tonight it'll be them and city.

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      They will all be covered- certainly all the key games

    3. Ⓙⓐⓡⓥⓘⓢⓗ
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      Sky will be showing 3 games live on Sunday

    4. NorCal Villan
        1 month, 8 days ago

        Every single one available live here in the U.S.

    5. Cheeky Onion
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 8 days ago

      1.5 GW's to go - top 3 in the ML get paid out - 28 points ahead of 4th - 8 behind 2nd - 34 behind 1st.

      On the fence between playing for 2nd/3rd or throwing caution to the wind and trying to win it all

      1. Dynamic Duos
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        Try and win it all

        1. Cheeky Onion
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          I like your style

        2. NorCal Villan
            1 month, 8 days ago

            If you’re not first you’re last!

            Go for it

        3. Ⓙⓐⓡⓥⓘⓢⓗ
          • 7 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          What are the payouts?

          1. Cheeky Onion
            • 4 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            $200 entry
            3rd - $400
            2nd - $1000
            1st - $3000

            1. NateDog
              • 1 Year
              1 month, 8 days ago

              If you have a chance at 2nd or 1st I think you have to go for it

              1. Cheeky Onion
                • 4 Years
                1 month, 8 days ago

                Yeah I'd be quite happy with 2nd and the point difference isn't much - could very well make them up by the end of this week

        4. Jeremy Corbyn
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          I'd play solid, personally. You don't know what the others are doing.

          1. Cheeky Onion
            • 4 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            Yeah I'm probably not going to go crazy with differentials, put out the best team I can and let the chips fall as they may

      2. cruzex
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        Robertson will play tonight?

        1. Dark Side Of The Loon!
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          Looks unlikely

          1. Royal5
            • 10 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            Had his rest last week

        2. Royal5
          • 10 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          Hopefully. Salah and VVD out makes him more important imo

        3. Union_Jacks
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          Tbf he’s been well rested recently compared to others

        4. Crunchie
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          I think so. Trent may yet still play as well

      3. Dark Side Of The Loon!
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        White + Cout to Alonso + Mount for -4 to get this team. Right moves? And does the team look ok?

        Pickford
        TAA Matip Cancelo Alonso Davies
        Son Mount Saka
        Kane Vardy

        Martinez Weghorst Gordon Ramsey

        1. Cheeky Onion
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          Good looking squad. Not sure about 5 at the back for this week however.

          Could do Cout + Weggy > Mount + Toney/Nketiah. Alonso is a great pick tho

          1. Dark Side Of The Loon!
            • 5 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            Agree. Can get one of these players with a hit:

            A) Alonso
            B) Toney
            C) Eriksen

      4. Lovren an elevator
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        Chances of Firmino and Tsimikas starting tonight?

        1. ZimZalabim
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          very high

      5. SKENG
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        Stuck with both Salah and Havertz for the last GW... both will have to go right? Thinking of bringing in KDB & Diaz with my 2 FTs.

        1. ButterB
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          1 month, 8 days ago

          Is Havertz out? Have him myself, so will probably go to Pulisic, Diaz or even Zaha as he is playing United. Salah to KDB looks sound, especially if Liverpool beat Southampton tonight and KDB needs to turn up on Sunday.

          1. SKENG
            • 6 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            We don't know if he's out for sure... I guess it's likely we'll find out before deadline. Pulisic sounds like a good option indeed.

      6. Bobby_Baggio
        • 11 Years
        1 month, 8 days ago

        Afternoon all. 1FT and 0.3m ITB. I'm leading by 6 points. 2nd place has no Salah or KDB but does have Son, Kulu & Kane. Do I gamble without Salah and get in Son?

        Schmeichel
        Cancelo - Robbo - Laporte - Matip
        Coutinho - Saka - Salah - Mount - KDB
        Nkeitah

        (Foster) - Pukki - Fofana - Mateta

        1. dannyreeves1977
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          1 month, 8 days ago

          I think so

          1. Bobby_Baggio
            • 11 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            Would love to get rid of cout too but think I'm best not to take -4

        2. Couch Potato
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          You MUST get Son.

          And captain him

          1. Bobby_Baggio
            • 11 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            Yep just who to get out Salah or KdB. Both my opponent doesn't have so could work in my favour too

            1. Cheeky Onion
              • 4 Years
              1 month, 8 days ago

              KDB has form & fitness over Salah and doesn't have a looming UCL final to be protected for - gotta be him

              1. Bobby_Baggio
                • 11 Years
                1 month, 8 days ago

                Cool Salah > Son it is. Won't do it yet but cheers. Will contemplate -4 too maybe Cout > Eriksen/Maddison

          2. NorCal Villan
              1 month, 8 days ago

              Everybody must get Sonned

        3. Our Tiny Servant
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          Schmeichel
          Thiago Alonso James
          Son Kulu DeBruyne Maddison Saka
          Kane Richarlison

          4.4 Tsimikas Amartey 5.6

          a -8 gets me this. That's a lot of spurs attack and Chelsea defence. Thoughts?

          1. Our Tiny Servant
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            Just realised I could downgrade the bench instead of Trent.

            So my question is who scores more, James or Trent?

            1. Cheeky Onion
              • 4 Years
              1 month, 8 days ago

              Tough to say, both played 120 mins on Saturday. If one of them starts their midweek game then go for the other

              1. Our Tiny Servant
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 6 Years
                1 month, 8 days ago

                Thank you. Hate to end on a 50/50

            2. Crunchie
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              1 month, 8 days ago

              what do you think?

              1. Crunchie
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 4 Years
                1 month, 8 days ago

                oop reply fail

                FWIW Trent if he doesn't play tonight?

                1. Our Tiny Servant
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 6 Years
                  1 month, 8 days ago

                  I'll keep an eye on tonight. I don't like sidesteps.

              2. Our Tiny Servant
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 6 Years
                1 month, 8 days ago

                I think James outscores. But all in on Chelsea cleanie seems.

        4. ElliotJHP
          • 10 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          Prone to change with info of course, but as stands:

          A) Salah -> KDB
          B) Salah, Richarlison -> Diaz, Kane -4

          1. Bobby_Baggio
            • 11 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            Do you have Son. B could be worth it if you don't mind -4

        5. JonGTFC
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          Thoughts on FH38 team below?

          Alisson
          James Cancelo Alonso Sessegnon (Kelly)
          KDB Son Diaz Mount (Brownhill)
          Kane Nketiah (Gelhardt)

          1. Fit_to_drop
            • 2 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            I went Kane Vardy as I think Arsenals race is run...

          2. Our Tiny Servant
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            Pretty damn good

        6. Fernandito
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          A Vardy & 5.2 mid (Mbuemo/Bruno G)
          B Toney & Jota/Diaz

          1. SKENG
            • 6 Years
            1 month, 8 days ago

            B Diaz

            1. SKENG
              • 6 Years
              1 month, 8 days ago

              Have you considered Jesus?

        7. RedRo
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          1 month, 8 days ago

          Please don’t feature, Jota

        8. Fit_to_drop
          • 2 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          OR 120k and hoping to break 100 with a FH on GW38

          Any time this season i picked a leftfield Captain to go against premiums tanking, it hasnt worked out. This week Salah and KDB didn't return (assuming Salah doesnt play) but I picked Ings when the more obvious/reliable pick was Maddison/Richarlison. Have repeated that error several times this year.

        9. rozzo
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 8 days ago

          Sa Foster
          TAA Robertson Cancelo Laporte James
          Son Kulu Mount Maddison Ramsey
          Kane Dennis Broja

          1ft
          1m itb
          5k

          Any ideas here?

          Sa to Alisson or Edersen possibly?

          Thanks