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How important is home advantage in FPL? Part 2: players

Just how important is home advantage and should it influence our thinking in Fantasy Premier League (FPL)?

Having already looked at each team’s home and away data from both an attacking and defensive perspective, we now turn our attention to individual players in this follow-up piece.

2022/23 HOME V AWAY: PLAYERS’ RETURNS

HomeAway
PlayerStartsGoalsAssistsBonusPoints per startStartsGoalsAssistsBonusPoints per start
Salah102324.595286.4
De Bruyne92676.191665.7
Haaland101831711.187096.6
Kane1072146.71193116.6
Fernandes92274.8102344.4
Darwin53134.652233.6
Saka94376103525.5
Toney972106.6961105.7
Mahrez73466.421114
Rashford872129.1102102.9
Mitrovic96074.985244.9
Odegaard92485.2962107.8
Nketiah33036.721025
Martinelli95276.3102304.5

In this sample, which uses midfielders/forwards priced £6.0m and above with over 5% ownership in the top 100k, we can see the majority of players score more points at home.

Only two players have fared better for points per start on their travels: Mohamed Salah (£12.7m) and Martin Odegaard (£6.9m).

The largest discrepancy is a certain Marcus Rashford (£7.2m), who is averaging a whopping 9.1 points per start at Old Trafford, compared to just 2.9 on the road. With two home fixtures against Crystal Palace and Leeds United in Double Gameweek 22, it’s easy to see why so many managers are considering handing him the Triple Captain chip.

But what else can we take away from the above data?

Well, Salah has been poor at Anfield given his cost. For context, he averaged 8.4 points per start on home soil in 2021/22, so there has been a significant drop-off. Kevin De Bruyne (£12.5m) and Harry Kane (£11.7m) have been consistent both home and away, while Erling Haaland (£12.2m) is simply ridiculous at the Etihad, racking up 18 goals/11.1 points per start.

2022/23 HOME V AWAY: PLAYERS’ XGI

Haaland Foden


605 Comments Post a Comment
  1. DBW - Slug's Mortgage …
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Happy Friday

    Rank 250k, should I captain Bruno?

    1. The Hoff
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Only if you don't have rashford

    2. La Roja
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Captain who you think would score the most, regardless of your OR

  2. The Hoff
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    New article! Would you make any changes to the below?

    Could do KdB to Fernandez, but would just do undo the transfer the next week so doesn't seem worth it.
    Could get another third Man U player in, but given I have three newcastle+2 Man U already I'd then need to sell them ahead of blank 25, so again doesn't seem worth it.
    Which leaves Leeds players... none of which seem great (other than Ridrigo, who is now out).

    So best option is to just save the transfer?

    1 FT, 1.7 ITB.

    Kepa (FUL)
    Tripper (WHu), Botman (WHU), White (Eve), Shaw (DGW)
    Rashford (DGW), Martinelli (Eve), KdB (Spurs)
    Haaland (Spurs), Kane (CITY), Eddie (Eve)

    Ward/Almiron/Andreas/Bueno

  3. Saka Rice
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    To everyone sticking Bruno in? Have you thought about how you're going to get rid of him from next gameweek (without hits) because statistically KDB Kane and Mahrez are better options ?

    1. Maddamotha
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Play this gw. Worry about next gw next gw. I have 2 FTs anyways.

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        yeah

        Could be injuries etc and red cards too

      2. Saka Rice
        • 9 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        So do I. But even with 2ft you can't keep kane kdb and mahrez. Not thinking ahead is a mistake even in a dgw

    2. Studs Up
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Uhm...hokey kokey??

      1. Saka Rice
        • 9 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Doesn't work if you currently have kdb and kane and want Mahrez too next week

    3. Rainer
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Leeds & Leicester wouldn't be bad fixtures to be stuck with.

      I'd either keep and get a City defender/Ederson or sell him to Mahrez for triple City attack.

    4. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      I am keeping till GW 25. He has good fixtures till then. Haaland, Mahrez, Ederson my three City next week.

    5. ebb2sparky
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Yes thanks

    6. DV8R
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      I have both as well as Kane.

      Bruno to Saka next GW.

    7. dansully3
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      So what are you saying don't put Bruno in and lose out on his hauls just so you can have kdb next week? The ft will sort that one out!

      1. Saka Rice
        • 9 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Same hauls as 2 days ago? He's not your captain. I'd get Martinez instead. Rather have Mahrez KDB and Kane next week

  4. Jet5605
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Should I do Almiron to Mitoma for free or roll my FT? Mitoma has great fixtures and so is it worth going one player less in GW25? I feel it's now or never to get him in.

    Kepa
    Gabriel - Trippier - Shaw
    Bruno - KDB - Martinelli - Rash - Almiron
    Haaland - Toney

    Ward - Schar - Greenwood - Patterson

    1. Nazz
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      I got him in love him for this gw

    2. Fit_to_drop
      • 4 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      No saka or ode who both have a double next week?

      1. Jet5605
        • 9 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Bruno to Saka next week

  5. Clintymints
    • 14 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Best defender up to 4.4 for the foreseeable?

    1. La Roja
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Mingsinho

  6. La Roja
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Start one

    A)lmiron
    B) Irish Haaland

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Is B Ferguson?

      A

      1. La Roja
        • 12 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Of course! Silly question! 😀

    2. Hy liverpool
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Almiron.. Not dure ferguson is going to start while not fully fit and welbeck is available.

  7. Philosopher's Stones
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Setting up a a 3 GW plan on a rare sober Friday.

    Kdb + Mitro -> Bruno + Nketiah (-4) this GW, then Bruno -> Kdb next GW and Almiron -> JWP for the 25 blank. How does it look?

    1. La Roja
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Doesn’t look good, I’d hit the bottle and plan again

      1. Philosopher's Stones
        • 3 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Which part doesn't look good, or the entire plan? Giving the bottle as pass as need to be up early tomorrow morning.

  8. SirWenger
    • 1 Year
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Wildcarding panic...who are must have?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Raya
      Trippier Schar Shaw Arsenal defender
      Odegaard Rashford Bruno
      Haaland

    2. diabydoesgallas
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      You’ll want 3 utd for this week and 3 arse for next.

    3. Fit_to_drop
      • 4 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      I would argue mitoma despite blanks. Most in form player in the league next to rashford.

  9. Rainer
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Happy to answer any A vs B questions people are stuck with...

    *don't hold me responsible when it goes wrong* 😉

    1. La Roja
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Mine is above, please see my post and pick A or B now. I thank you sir

      1. Rainer
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        A)lmiron, shocked if Ferguson starts with Welbeck an able deputy.

        1. La Roja
          • 12 Years
          1 year, 3 months ago

          You’re probably right.

          Don’t matter what they say about you mate. I think you’re a cushty lad

          1. Rainer
            • 7 Years
            1 year, 3 months ago

            It's largely deserved, especially during matches 😉

    2. Gudjohnsen
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Start Ederson or Ward?

      1. Rainer
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Unsteady Eddy.

    3. Gudjohnsen
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Start Zinchenko or Kane?

    4. Gudjohnsen
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      TC Rashford or not?

      1. Rainer
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Kane & YES!

    5. TopBin
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Not quite A or B but got a benching headache!

      Currently benching Botman and Mitro. Would you pick Estupinan, Martinelli, KdB, Gabriel, Gnonto or Mahrez to join them?

      Or even bench boost? Kepa and Ward my goalies, no FT left.
      Thanks!

      1. Rainer
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        I'd always bench the defender in that situation so narrowing it down to two, Gabriel and hope Dyche gives Everton some sort of bounce!

        BB really doesn't look awful, depends if you've a WC and want to build it around a BB or not. I wouldn't BB.

        1. TopBin
          • 2 Years
          1 year, 3 months ago

          Yeah, if I had a better goalie I think I’d bench boost but probably worth saving for a double.

          Will just hope Gabriel doesn’t come up with a 15 pointer!

          Thanks!

    6. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Thanks. Difficult one:

      Trossard or Grealish or Xhaka or Rodri?

      1. Rainer
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Grealish & Xhaka but I don't like any of them! 😮

        1. Fulchester's New Centr…
          • 6 Years
          1 year, 3 months ago

          Thanks. Nor do I, but I don't have much choice.

    7. R.C
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Kane or Nketiah who to play this week?

      1. Rainer
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Harold, you must have a great XI!

    8. FOMFF
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Got an A,B,C question. Start 1.

      A. Cucurella (FUL)
      B. Bailey (LEI)
      C. Mitro (che)

      1. Rainer
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Bailey, would need a leak to even consider Cucu.

    9. Hy liverpool
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Finally someone to blame if decision is wrong...
      Start JWP or Martnelli or martnelli to saka? I hate martnelli for some reasons.

      1. Rainer
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Martinelli but he's annoying atm, would love to move him onto Odegaard. I don't hate selling him to Saka but I'd hold for 2FTs next week.

    10. Philosopher's Stones
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      A Megan Fox
      B Scarlett Johansson

      1. Rainer
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        -4 to get both in for the double!

    11. ebb2sparky
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Bench one from
      A) White
      B) Botman
      C) Wilson
      D) Martinelli
      I’m thinking A or B, probably A

      1. Rainer
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Yeah A or B, it's really close. Newcastle better defensively, Everton the worse attack. Presuming you own Trippier I'd spread the risk and bench Botman.

        1. ebb2sparky
          • 13 Years
          1 year, 3 months ago

          Cheers and yes I own trippier but I’m a little concerned about whites minutes. A 59 minute substitution would be painful!

          1. Rainer
            • 7 Years
            1 year, 3 months ago

            Don't even say that!!!

    12. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Ready salted or cheese and onion?

      1. Rainer
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Brand dependent. Eating alone or in a sandwich?

        The hardest dilemma of all put forward!

    13. Fit_to_drop
      • 4 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Trying to catch up (2m rank)

      Captain
      A)Bruno
      B)Rashford

      And what about TC?
      cheers.

      1. Bob.
        • 14 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Thinking the same. Contemplating Bruno TC

      2. Rainer
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Rashford TC for me.

        1. Rainer
          • 7 Years
          1 year, 3 months ago

          If it's in your mind to TC a lower owned player I'd probably wait for another DGW.

          I wouldn't go against even Rashford captain this week!

    14. BusbySwede
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Bench 2 out of Gabriel, Espunian, Martinelli, Wilson, Kane?
      (cant be both def)

      1. Rainer
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Gabriel aaaaaaand Wilson, guaranteed bench points 🙁

  10. Saka Rice
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    1. Why anyone would captain Bruno is beyond me. His stats are worse than Rashford and will probably play less minutes considering he started midweek. Don't care how low you are in the ranks doesn't make a difference.
    2. Hope you have a plan on how you're going to keep Kane and KDB from GW23 because they're better options...

    1. lugs
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      he outscored Rash in the last dgw though

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Maybe cause it is supposed to be fun

      1. Saka Rice
        • 9 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        More logic=more points=more fun

  11. Serresiete
    • 2 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    you think lamptey starts?

  12. FPL Brains
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    The realistic aim for Haaland across his DGW is to score 26 points, that's 4 goals and 6 bonus points. If you catch a hat trick then even better.

    Rashford then needs to hit 13 points back to back which at minimum is a goal and assist in each games.

    Rash has only bettered that score three times this season.

    I think I'm talking myself out of a TC.

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      home games tho he's much more effective

      I'm inclined to do it

      but Haaland could be a monster TC

    2. The Big Fella
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      United in form though and City aren't

    3. Qaiss
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Haaland is not scoring a brace against Arsenal and I wouldn't fancy him on penalties against Martinez. If I wasn't going Rashford this week, I'd be saving TC until later in the season

    4. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Haaland might get 26, he might 16, he might get 6.

      Mitoma might get 30 in his DGW whenver that is.

      Who knows?

  13. Nazz
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    G2G?

    Kepa
    Shaw, Trippier, White
    Saka, Martinelli, Rashford (TC), Bruno, Mitoma
    Haarland, kane

    Ward, Mitro, Lewis, Bruno

    Everyone TCing Rashford?

    1. diabydoesgallas
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      I am

    2. The Big Fella
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Bar Kepa (I have Pope) and Lewis (I have Botman), we have the same team so I will say, very good to go.

  14. corderz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Kepa Ward
    Shaw Trippier Doherty White Bueno
    Salah Foden Rashford Martinelli Andreas
    Haaland Kane Mitrovic

    A) Foden + Mitro > Bruno + Gnonto
    B) Salah + Mitro > Bruno + Nketiah

    1. diabydoesgallas
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      B easily

    2. Bubbles1985
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Free transfers or a hit?

      Woud go B

      1. corderz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        For free

  15. Gudjohnsen
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Got Rashford and Shaw

    Don't want to do KDB to Bruno for -4

    Is there any United player worth the hit

    1. Hy liverpool
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Go with your gut.. I do feel KDB isn't that bad to take out for a hit while having 3 games in 2 gws.

      May be Degea.

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Yes, but we don't know which one it will be. One of the Tonies? Casemiro even.

    3. Fabreghastly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      DdG the only one

  16. Nightf0x
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    A) Bench 1
    Mahrez kane martineli

    B) start 1
    Saliba botman(have triper starting)

  17. Cto
    • 4 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Replace cancelo…

    Rico Lewis,
    Ake,
    White,
    Zinchenko..?

    Chasing big thinking Zinchenko!

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Zinky.

  18. Bubbles1985
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Already used my ft for Cancelo to Estupinan.

    5.5m itb so any of these worth a hit??

    Salah/Almiron/Andreas to Bruno
    Mitro to Kane

    Cheers

    1. ritzyd
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Andreas to bruno

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Almiron out

  19. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Would you rather have Kane or KDB for both this week and long term wise?

    1. ritzyd
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Kane

    2. Fit_to_drop
      • 4 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Kane. KDB hasnt been doing it really. Might get a rest too. Mahrez even better (for now)

    3. De Gea is GOAT
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Same dilemma. All the "experts" are ditching Kane. Just have a feeling KDB is the one to get rid of instead. Kane's been in top form and has excellent fixtures coming up. KDB can be replaced my Mahrez.

  20. willieprunier
    • 13 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Start Mitro or Almiron?

    1. ritzyd
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Almiron

  21. Saintjack01
    • 2 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Who would you start James or ward prowse?

    1. ritzyd
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      James

    2. putana
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      im starting james over bueno, but u should start ward prowse.

      Not expecting james to get more than 20 minutes

  22. putana
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    whats the name of the twitter account with the numbers in it that leaks lineups?

  23. Scholes Out For Summer
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    PIck just one Arsenal Midfielder, Saka or Odegaard?

    1. Shark Team
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Odegaard

    2. JollyGoodYellows
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Odegaard

    3. ritzyd
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Saka

    4. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      I prefer Saka

    5. Fit_to_drop
      • 4 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      I think Ode.

    6. Fabreghastly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Odegaard

    7. Sergio Giorgini
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Ode, esp as Jorginho now maybe now on pens (if on pitch)

  24. JollyGoodYellows
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Help, confused what to do here?

    2 FTs and 2.7itb

    DDG
    Trippier Shaw White
    KDB Rashford Martinelli Almiron
    Haaland Kane Mitro

    Ward Andreas Neco Bueno

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Haaland out for Bamford

  25. GoonerGirl
    • 4 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Hi,

    I have 2 FTs, I think I'm going to do Salah>Fernanades and Almiron>Mitoma (Worry about the blank 25 later) would you then do:

    A) -4 to also bring in Nketiah for Mitrovich
    B) Save 4 points and get Nketiah next game week

    Thanks

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Do it now.

      1. GoonerGirl
        • 4 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Thanks

  26. user.n
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Bench Mitoma or Nketiah?

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Really?

      1. user.n
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        I have Haland and Kane, odegard, Rashford, Mahrez, Salah goes for Bruno. So not sure now

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Mitoma with regret

  27. tim
    • 14 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    TC Rash or wait?

    Only few points behind in my ML and overal rank 90k, no need to rush with it, right?

  28. Jdpz
    • 4 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Kepa Ward
    Gabriel Dunk Cucurella Trippier Bueno
    KDB Saka Rashford Martinelli Andreas
    Haaland Martial Mitrović

    2FT, 0.7m itb

    What to do guys?

  29. Jones Kusi
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    What to do?
    Been thinking Kane, Almiron > Nketiah, Bruno which will make it easier to get a third City player

    0.0 ITB 2 FT
    Kepa Ward
    Shaw White Bueno James Trippier
    Martinelli KDB Almiron Rashford Andreas
    Kane Haaland Mitrovic

  30. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    So we’re divided about 50/50 TC Rashford this week and Haaland TC next week?

    1. Teomi
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      It’s a tight call yes… Anything can happen. Haaland hasn’t got any injuries yet but will happen sometime this season. And only three days between his dgw.
      Rashford in form, rested and having 4 days between a dgw.
      ATM I’m on tc Rashford

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Cheers, GL!