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How important is home advantage in FPL? Part 2: players

Just how important is home advantage and should it influence our thinking in Fantasy Premier League (FPL)?

Having already looked at each team’s home and away data from both an attacking and defensive perspective, we now turn our attention to individual players in this follow-up piece.

2022/23 HOME V AWAY: PLAYERS’ RETURNS

HomeAway
PlayerStartsGoalsAssistsBonusPoints per startStartsGoalsAssistsBonusPoints per start
Salah102324.595286.4
De Bruyne92676.191665.7
Haaland101831711.187096.6
Kane1072146.71193116.6
Fernandes92274.8102344.4
Darwin53134.652233.6
Saka94376103525.5
Toney972106.6961105.7
Mahrez73466.421114
Rashford872129.1102102.9
Mitrovic96074.985244.9
Odegaard92485.2962107.8
Nketiah33036.721025
Martinelli95276.3102304.5

In this sample, which uses midfielders/forwards priced £6.0m and above with over 5% ownership in the top 100k, we can see the majority of players score more points at home.

Only two players have fared better for points per start on their travels: Mohamed Salah (£12.7m) and Martin Odegaard (£6.9m).

The largest discrepancy is a certain Marcus Rashford (£7.2m), who is averaging a whopping 9.1 points per start at Old Trafford, compared to just 2.9 on the road. With two home fixtures against Crystal Palace and Leeds United in Double Gameweek 22, it’s easy to see why so many managers are considering handing him the Triple Captain chip.

But what else can we take away from the above data?

Well, Salah has been poor at Anfield given his cost. For context, he averaged 8.4 points per start on home soil in 2021/22, so there has been a significant drop-off. Kevin De Bruyne (£12.5m) and Harry Kane (£11.7m) have been consistent both home and away, while Erling Haaland (£12.2m) is simply ridiculous at the Etihad, racking up 18 goals/11.1 points per start.

2022/23 HOME V AWAY: PLAYERS’ XGI

Haaland Foden


605 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Dosh
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    On wilcard, kdb or kane?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      KDB - prepare for DGW23.

    2. De Gea is GOAT
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Kane & Mahrez?

    3. Fabreghastly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      KdB

  2. Kodap
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Who would you play, White or Botman?

    Other defenders are Trippier & Shaw.

    1. rrcmc
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      I'd play White myself. Reason: just to spread the points risk.

      1. Kodap
        • 6 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        on White currently, good logic too.

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Prefer to look at each player in isolation. Prefer Newcastle home fixture

    3. agueroooooney
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      I would play White, however if it's very close (for example I would play Schar over White)

  3. grooveymatt65
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Hey guys here's my Wildcard team

    Kepa/ Iversen

    Shaw Trippier Botman/ Bueno Patterson

    Rashford Fernandes Odegaard Mahrez/ Periera

    Nketiah Kane Haaland

    (2.9 itb)

    Reckon I should bring in Ramsdale for Kepa or anything else I'm missing? thanks!!!!!

    1. how now brown cow
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      11 of my existing team, so I like it.

      I would have a 3rd Arsenal player - either Ramsdale or a defender over a cheapie or Botman with GW25 in mind.

  4. how now brown cow
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Simple question - Rashford TC - YES or NO?

    1. sulldaddy
      • 14 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Yes

      Why wouldnt you?
      Form
      Matchups
      Home games

      1. how now brown cow
        • 9 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        I once triple captained Ozil so I need a lot of support on these matters.

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Yes

    3. Traction Engine Foot
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      I'm doing it

      1. GoonerGirl
        • 4 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        If I hadn't stupidly forgotten to turn my TC chip off the last game week on Haaland then I would definitely be TC Rashford this week, absolutely.

    4. SAKA AND EMILE SMITH ROWE
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      I’m on it, had KDB’s 90 pointer last year, something similar would be nice!

  5. Flynny
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Good to go here? 0.2mitb and 0ft

    Kepa
    Shaw trippier botman (white patterson)
    Kdb bruno rashford (triple) martinelli (andreas)
    Haaland kane gnonto

    Thanks

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Nearly the same team as me so I hope so!

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Yes

    3. Jonesy5
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      V similar team to me, but I’ve got Ederson and Bueno.
      I put Botman first sub and White in

    4. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Similar team but starting White over Botman as would not be surprised if Newcastle concede, particularly with no Bruno G who does help defence

  6. Ibralicious
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Which one? Was dead set on A last night:

    A) Mount (FUL) —> Odegaard (EVE) (-4)
    B) No hit and play an out of form Mount

    Cheers!

    1. acidicleo
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      easy A...
      an inform ode has 3 fix over 2 weeks

      1. Ibralicious
        • 9 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Thanks

  7. TheSteel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Bruno hasn't really hit a hot patch of form yet and he's still producing. Rashford is in the form of his life that can't be sustainable over a long stretch. If you're chasing, I'd go with Bruno (C)or(TC) and hope he catches hot form.

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Yeah, but I think Rashford's form might be sustainable over the next two games.

  8. agueroooooney
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Is KDB -> Bruno and then Bruno -> KDB next week really worth it?

    Seems to be extremely popular here but its hard to see it being worth 8 points (treating free transfers as having a value of 4 points).

    Worth it or no?

    1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Yes it is.

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      I've decided no to the hokey cokey

    3. Mr. O'Connell
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      People just have FOMO. Don't have the stomach to watch these players haul since EO became a thing.

      Imo, no its not worth it.

      If you don't want KDB straight back, then it's a fair move I think.

    4. Fabreghastly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      No

    5. agueroooooney
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Interesting to see a few opinions, I was against it but thought I was in the minority, don't have as FOMO now knowing there are more thinking like myself

  9. Kodap
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Anyone else triple captaining Bruno with me?

    1. aapoman
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Considering it but might be to yolo.

    2. FPL_ UP_Down
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      I’m yes !!! Bruno TC
      I’m chasing have to! Punt !!!

  10. gellinmagellan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Kepa
    Trippier Shaw White
    Mitoma Bruno Rashford Martinelli
    Kane Haaland Mitrovic

    Ward Andreas Bueno Neco

    1 FT 5.1 ITB.
    A) Mitro > Nketiah
    B) Mitro > Toney
    C) Roll the FT

    1. agueroooooney
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      C

  11. Zenith UK
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    RMWCT / G2G? Feel like I should really have Lewis in there with Cancelo's departure?

    Kepa
    Trippier, Shaw, Badiashile
    Mahrez, Ode, Rashford, Bruno
    Kane, Nketiah, Haaland

    Ward, White, Burn, Mitoma

    Badiashile > Lewis? Would leave 1.8M in the bank instead of 0.7M

  12. aapoman
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    2ft and 0.7itb.

    Ederson
    Shaw Botman Trippier
    KDB Rashford Odegaard Martinelli Rodrigo*
    Haaland Kane

    Ward; Ferguson, Bueno, Doherty

    KDB, Doherty -> Bruno and Gabriel for free? Then in GW23 Bruno -> Mahrez/KDB? Willing to take a hit in GW23 to sell Rodrigo.

  13. Nate(U)dog(ie)
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    A) -4 for Cash to any defender
    B) Play Dalot and hope for the best (no bench cover)

    1. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Wouldn't Cash be more useful than Dalot for the GWs to come? So maybe sell Dalot rather than Cash (if hitting)? I really don't know if he'll start either tbh, would probably lean towards the hit

      1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
        • 3 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Cash isn't playing, at best getting 10-20min cameos, Ashley Young is firmly ahead of him

  14. how now brown cow
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Bench one out of White, Botman, Mitro?

    1. TheSteel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Gotta be Mitro

  15. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    I bet there's a flurry of jitters as Rashford TCs are cancelled.

    It's odd to go against Haaland but now feels the time to make the play.

    1. Gon Freecss
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      I'm doing it

      1. Gon Freecss
        • 2 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        My mini league leader has already used his TC and my closest rival is wildcarding so can't use TC this GW. So it's the best time for me to play it

  16. darlo1883
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Kepa
    Trippier Ake Shaw
    Rashford Fernandes Mahrez Saka
    Haaland Kane Gnonto

    Ward Bueno James Pereira

    On WC...GTG?

  17. AD105
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Play Botman or White this week? Obvs have Tripps already

  18. jimmyharte
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Who scores more points this gw Mitoma or Saka?

    1. TheSteel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Mitoma. Everton new manager bounce

    2. Hy liverpool
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Both the same.

  19. Utopsis
    • 4 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Start:

    A. Almiron (WHU)
    B. Nketiah (eve)

  20. Toe-Knee Yeboah
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Who scores more points this week?

    Martinelli v. Everton
    KDB v Spurs

  21. tim
    • 14 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Quick poll, Rashford TC?

    No for me.

  22. stu92
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Start Cucurella or Mitro tonight?

  23. Urban Cowboy.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Triple captain is a silly concept anyway.

    1. Scratch
      • 14 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      The game would be better if they did away with all the chips, apart from the two wildcards.

  24. R.C
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    AndyLTFPL still owns Salah lol

    1. TheSteel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      I own him too. Solid differential at this point.

    2. el polako
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Things you do to keep your Egyptian subscribers happy.

  25. Definitely not sleeping
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Last minute decisions

    Martinelli over Mitro or vice versa?

    1. Hy liverpool
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Vice versa

    2. Baps hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Martinelli over Mitro. According to bookies almost similar odds for both to score, but Martinelli has much highe assist potential.

  26. sentz05
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    0.1 ITB 2 FT
    Ward Iversen
    Cancelo White Bueno Zanka Trippier
    Martinelli KDB Almiron Rashford Andreas
    Kane Haaland Mitrovic

    What should I do? Would love Bruno but can’t find any way of getting him in. Therefore, resorting to Cancelo and Zanka out for Shaw and Martinez. Then Almiron out Odegard in next week?
    Thoughts?

    1. mdm
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      KDB to Bruno

  27. Tic Tacs
    • 4 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    All set for the DGW and the TC is on Rashford:

    DDG
    Trippier, Shaw, Gabriel
    Rashford (TC), Saka, Mahrez, Almiron
    Haaland (vc), Kane, Toney

    Ward, White, Andreas, Thomas

  28. el polako
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    TC is really overrated as a chip, unless used on a differential.
    Most will captain Rashford, so those who TC him will gain little, now should Bruno haul that's a different story for those brave enough to TC.

    What I'm saying is go with your guts , have fun and aim for the stars with your TC chip.

    1. FPL_ UP_Down
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Bruno locked

  29. Shark Team
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Bruno vs Leeds is a different monster, really tempted to captain him

  30. FCSB
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Is Mitro >> Gnotto worth (-4)

    Currently starting Mitro ahead of Ake