Spot the Differential

Spot The Differential – Gameweek 38

Sunday offers us a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

In recent seasons we’ve witnessed a goal rush in Gameweek 38, so we’ve opted for two French threats from Manchester United and Arsenal, while Liverpool’s cut-price full-back also finds a place in our selection as a result of his attacking prowess.

Alexandre Lacazette

While team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is the most transferred in-forward this week, it shouldn’t be forgotten that Alexandre Lacazette has also been in sensational form for Arsenal.

The French striker has produced five goals and one assist over his last five appearances and, after being rested for the 3-1 defeat to Leicester City, he should return for today’s trip to Huddersfield Town.

Lacazette is likely to start as the central striker for the Gunners, with Aubameyang playing from an inside-left position.

Interestingly, Lacazette has the edge in terms of minutes per shot between the two, averaging an attempt every 31.7 minutes, slightly superior to Aubameyang’s 33.

Although Arsenal have failed to win a single point on their travels in 2018, the fact the Terriers meeting is Arsene Wenger’s final match in charge of the club should provide strong motivation to end the season on a high.

The party atmosphere at the John Smith’s Stadium in light of Huddersfield securing Premier League safety could also be a factor.

The Gunners registered an emphatic 5-0 win when the two teams met earlier in the season, with Lacazette on the scoresheet.

Priced at 10.3 in FPL and ending the campaign full of confidence, the striker looks to have the platform to produce a third consecutive double-figure haul.

Owned by only 7.4% of managers, Lacazette is a player who has the potential to be a game-changer, particularly if he is also considered for the captaincy.

Anthony Martial

With Jose Mourinho revealing that Anthony Martial will be in his line-up today, the midfielder enters the equation as a final day gamble.

The France international has had limited first-team opportunities since the arrival of Alexis Sanchez in January, but the Hornets match-up looks crucial if he is to prove he has a long-term future at Old Trafford.

Martial has produced nine goals and six assists this season, while his average of a goal every 175.7 minutes is only bettered by Marouane Fellaini (153 minutes) among United players.

Watford travel north with just a single point gained from six away matches since Javi Gracia took charge, and having conceded ten goals in away defeats to top-six sides Arsenal, Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur.

Available at 7.8 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), Martial may be an option for managers who can afford to upgrade underperforming players such as Chelsea’s Willian.

With an ownership of 2.5%, the Frenchman represents a major differential for Gameweek 38.

An impressive record against Watford adds to his appeal. He has produced a goal and an assist in the corresponding fixture last season, which Mourinho’s side won 2-0, while he also netted in a 4-2 victory in the reverse fixture in November.

With a point to prove and an FA Cup final spot to play for, Martial fits the profile of a potentially explosive differential.

Trent Alexander-Arnold

While an extended run in Europe has blunted Liverpool’s attack of late, their defensive record at Anfield remains resolute.

Jurgen Klopp’s side have recorded four successive home clean sheets ahead of a visit from a Brighton side that rank joint-bottom for goals scored (ten) on the road.

With that in mind, we’re turning to Trent Alexander Arnold (5% ownership) as our final selection.

Having started only four of the last seven Gameweeks, the youngster’s acquisition admittedly comes with a slight caveat.

But with the Champions League final against Real Madrid taking place 13 days later, we reckon that the Reds’ manager will field a full-strength line-up to ensure a top-four finish.

This should see Alexander-Arnold return to the back-four, having been stationed in central midfield against Stoke City and Chelsea.

Over his last four at Anfield, the right-back is second only to Mohamed Salah when it comes to key passes (seven to eight) for the Reds.

Compared with other defenders over their respective last four home matches, he is placed fourth for both key passes and crosses (28).

Handily, his FPL output has profited from those underlying numbers – Alexander-Arnold has served up 29 points in his last four home fixtures, bagging maximum bonus on two occasions.

Second only to Patrick van Aanholt for transfers-in among defenders, a cost of only 4.4 looks ideal for those seeking to free up cash while recruiting a player with the potential for double figures.

3,273 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Gianfranco Zola
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Worth a -4 to do Morgan to TAA? Usually wouldnt take a hit for a def but Morgan could easily get 0 and TAA has some attacking potential and is owned by rival.

    1. Bissisine
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Im in the same boat. If Bavies dosnt start I get Morgan from Bench.

  2. Ruud van Kane
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Help a bloke out.
    Loris or Hennessey?
    Davies or Mawson?

    1. GOTHAM City F.C.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Henn
      Davies

      1. Ruud van Kane
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        You think Davies will start

  3. Lateriser 12
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    A) Smalling and Austin to ayew and 6.5 defender
    B) Alli and Smalling to salah and taa
    C) sane and Smalling to Long and salah

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      C

    2. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

  4. Godot - Fashanu Zealand
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Smalling -> PVA (-4) or play Morgan?

    Planning to take another hit for sure, but I will have nobody on my bench if Smalling is confirmed out.

  5. Gentle_Turks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Chelsea fans - will Christensen play? ,

    1. ☻ Jon Snow ☻
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      No

  6. RVP20
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    I have 1FT. Which one should I do?
    (A) Kenedy > Milivojević
    (B) Kenedy > McArthur
    (C) Barnes > C Wilson
    (D) Barnes > J Ayew

    1. Somnus84
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A followed very closely by d...

  7. NejiHyuuga01
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Start Cedric or Lascelles?

    1. HamezMace
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Lascelles

    2. ILOVEBAPS
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Lascelles

  8. Weeb Kakashi
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Ryan
    Alonso Vertonghen Chambers Tarkowski
    Hazard Son Sane
    Jesus Kane Ayew

    How to get Salah? 1 FT

    Earlier had decided Son Alonso > Salah TAA (-4)
    Son starting itseems.

    So do what
    A Hazard > Salah .
    B Sane Alonso > Salah TAA (-4)?

  9. Point-one short
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Is Lingard going to be benched?

    1. Jersey
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      probably

    2. Jimmers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Seems very likely

    3. Balls of Steel
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Very very likely

    4. Ibracadabra
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Highly likely

    5. GOTHAM City F.C.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Defo

    6. Brosstan
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      100%

  10. Mr_Barbs
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Would you play this? Or lingard to arnautovic (-4) and bench naughton instead?

    DeGea
    Naughton, Veryonghen, Robertson, lowton
    Sterling, Salah (vc), Zaha
    J.Ayew, kane(c), Jesus

    Ryan, lingard, gross, Morgan.

  11. Somnus84
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Is Otamendi definitely out? If so it removes my headache over how to fund Pogba -> Salah!

  12. adam28193
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    gundo gonna play?

  13. Bubz
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Spurs team sheet hasnt leaked before the deadline once this season has it? Why would it leak now?

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Exactly

    2. Syd.
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      The guy who tweeted it is a conplete fool and idiot

      1. barracuda
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Why? Those line ups make sense.

    3. Kingtekkerz
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I dont trust this line-up, but it makes me hesitant of getting rid of Son anyway

    4. _figu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      And some of these twitter fpl folks retweeting that sh*t.

  14. james 101
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Gtg? Set up right? Nothing worth a hit?

    Thanks - and good luck!!!

    Ryan
    Cresswell. Mawson. Long.
    Alli, Son, Sterling, Salah(c).
    Jesus(vc), Vardy, Kane,

    (DDG Lowton. Kante. Smalling)

    1. _figu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Ya looks good gl

      1. james 101
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks mate!

    2. Jersey
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      gtg

      1. james 101
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers !

  15. _figu
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    DDG (Ryan)
    Alonso* Davies* Mustafi Lowton
    Salah (c) Sterling Arnie Pogba*
    Kane Vardy

    Cork Morgan

    Good to go?

    1. Jersey
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      gtg

  16. Nightf0x
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Help here

    A) smaling to robertson/creswell/TAA (442, fernandez play)

    B) smaling son barnes (-8) to TAA gudmundson firmino (343, ferndnez bench)

    C) smaling chilwel to TAA creswel (-4) (442, fernandez bench)

    D) smaling king to gudmundson TAA (-4) (352, fernandez bench)

    1. _figu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

  17. TAT
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Damn, priced out of doing Jesus>Aubameyang for -4 (0.1 off). Does that tell me that I should play Jesus, or is Jesus>Lacazette for -4 a good option still?

    1. _figu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Not worth a hit

      1. TAT
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Wenger's last game, though…

    2. Jersey
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      play Jesus

  18. Ibracadabra
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Decided not to take a hit as leading ML by only 5.

    Have Lingard and Willian but thinking of Dunk -> TAA.

    LIV have a better chance of clean sheet than Zaha / Arnie do scoring which would be my free move Willian -> Zaha / Arnie. Of course TAA has a lower ceiling than the two strikers.

    1. Pierce34
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Sensible plan.

  19. _Gunner
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    TAA or Robertson?

    1. MrZ
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I went with robbo

    2. ILOVEBAPS
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      50-50

    3. _figu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Flip a coin

    4. AccountAnt80
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I went with TAA. Don't even know why.

  20. Mike82
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Start Naughton or Gundagon?

    1. Gizzachance
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      gun

  21. mcrayeps
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Robertson, TAA, PVA or Blind for -4?

    1. 007 [RoboKlopp]
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Robertson imo

  22. Cok3y5murf
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Pens down

    1. Epic Fail
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I nearly had a heart attack then.

    2. Point-one short
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      ban!

    3. Desperately Seeking Dusan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      You're GMT+1 I'm guessing...

  23. Reggie Nainggolan
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Is Silva starting

    1. Gizzachance
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      news im waiting for! be gutted if i take him out, be more gutted if he doesnt start as could use transfer else where

      1. Reggie Nainggolan
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Same I got him instead of sane two gws ago too

  24. Gizzachance
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    jesus an d silva out
    for rashford an salah?
    cap salh over kane?

  25. Mongreloid
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    So... I’ve already taken a -4 to do DDG to romero. With the rumours flying around do I do Smalling & Dilva to TAA & Salah and end up with -12 but Captain Salah?

    Romero (Ryan)
    Sakho Smalling Lowton (Dummet, Chilwell)
    Sterling Pogba Dilva Son (King)
    Kane(c) Vardy Jesus

    Top of ML but only by 20points and rival has KDB+Sane which worries me... Any help welcome!

    1. BERGKOP
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Don't make his job easier by taking too many hits. You'll cover KDB-Sane with Sterling-Jesus-Dilva (if he's playing)

  26. MOZIL
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    1. Chances of Sane start?

    2. Firmino or Jesus?

    1. Mongreloid
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Allegedly he’s starting
      Depends on who else you have - nothing between them for me

  27. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Any of you giving PlayON a go today?

  28. BERGKOP
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Will Sanchez start tonight?

    1. Reggie Nainggolan
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      No martial and Rashford are

      1. BERGKOP
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers

  29. Desperately Seeking Dusan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Does anybody have the leaked City line up?

    1. Epic Fail
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Stoke?

      1. Desperately Seeking Dusan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Bristol

    2. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      let me know if you find a leak.... 😉

  30. Zenith UK
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Final team (rip it or rate it);

    DDG
    Vert, PvA, Rudiger, Monreal
    Martial (C), Sane, Sterling
    Kane, Jesus, Ayew

    Pope, Gudmun, Lowton, Kenedy(!)

    Martial & PvA in this week for Son & Smalling