Metrics

New template forming after extensive Wildcard usage

With the Christmas period looming large for Fantasy managers, there have been increases in Wildcard uses from week to week.

Gameweek 16 saw the continuation of the heavy Wildcard usage among the top 10 thousand FPL managers, especially.

4.54% of them activated the chip compared to 3.64% in Gameweek 15. This leaves around 12% first Wildcards left for managers to use in December.

There are clues to the new template when we look at how Gameweek 16 Wildcards compare with those from Gameweek 15. As you can see, the options selected are mostly similar across the two line-ups.

The two squads share 13 from a possible 15 players, which means Gameweek 15 Wildcarders benefited from many price changes which Gameweek 16 Wildcarders probably missed.

One of the two selection differences is Callum Wilson replacing the injured Marko Arnautovic in the front line, although ironically he also picked up an injury himself.

The second is the inclusion of Sead Kolasinac instead of Lucas Digne, with Arsenal’s fixtures looking better long-term compared to Everton’s.

The rest of the most selected Wildcard picks are the same except for slight changes in the ownership percentages of certain players.

For example, Wildcarders became more convinced of including Harry Kane (74.45% to 85.9%) and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (61.26% to 70.70%) in their new squads this week. Meanwhile the likes of Marcos Alonso (54.12% to 30.4%) and Leroy Sane (60.71% to 53.96%) suffered marginal drops in their Wildcard representation.

One major thing many Wildcarders missed was the inclusion of hat-trick hero Mohamed Salah. The Egyptian is now the highest-scoring player so far in Gameweek 16 with 21 points, and he’s only included in just 32.2% of Wildcards this week.

He is also not that highly owned in general among the top 10k teams, with only 39.5% ownership, raised to 52.1% effective ownership by factoring the captaincy in.

This meant his owners earned big rank jumps, especially with the latest captain poll winner Aubameyang (40.31%) scoring only five points.

Meanwhile, the popular Wilson and Trent Alexander-Arnold missed out on Saturday lunch-time which again raises the importance of having a good bench in December.

Running simulations of the exact autosubs that will take place for just the two of them in the top 10k indicates the following results. It is Aaron Wan-Bissaka who will gain the most increase of effective ownership, followed by Alonso and Ryan Fraser, as indicated in the following table.

PlayerIncrease in Effective Ownership after TAA and Wilson autosubs
Wan-Bissaka23.40%
Alonso11.88%
Fraser9.09%
Bennet7.46%
Doherty3.23%

Become a Member and access our data

Memberships for the 2018/19 campaign are now available for the price of just £15.

Join now to get the following:

  • Plot your transfer strategies using the fully interactive Season Ticker.
  • Get projections for every Premier League player provided by the Rate My Team statistical model.
  • Use Rate My Team throughout the season to guide your selections and transfers.
  • Get access to over 130+ exclusive members articles over the season.
  • Analyse our OPTA-powered statistic tables specifically tailored for Fantasy Football Managers.
  • Use our exclusive tool to build custom stats tables from over 100 OPTA player and team stats.
  • View heatmaps and expected goals data for every player.
  • Use our powerful comparison tool to analyse players head-to-head.

CLICK HERE TO BECOME A FANTASY FOOTBALL SCOUT MEMBER

1,907 Comments Post a Comment
  1. MiLK2018
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Arnautovic + Diagana -> F Anderson + Kamara, yay or nay?

    1. tafrère
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Yay

  2. HD7
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Team:
    Fab
    Digne Robbo Alonso Belerin
    Sterlig Richa FAnderson
    Kane Auba -

    Subs: Button, AWB, Camarasa, Kenedy

    Mitro or Chicha for the last place?

    1. Phil's Stamps
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Chica if chasing, Mitro if leading

    2. An Púca
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Chica for the good run

      1. HD7
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Mitro also has good fix

        1. An Púca
          • 12 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Aye but Fulham are muck

    3. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Chicharito

  3. An Púca
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Son and Auba
    or
    Salah and Rashford

    1. Phil's Stamps
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Son and Auba

  4. FPLGeezer
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Felipe Anderson likely to rise? Worth getting him in now for Martial?

    1. An Púca
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      If he doesn't rise tonight, he'll rise tomorrow night

    2. Phil's Stamps
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      I think that ship has sailed, look for better value elsewhere. I don't think he can keep it up with Arnie out.

      1. FPLGeezer
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Yeah I wanted him a few weeks ago ideally but stuck with Martial.

        Snodgrass was on my mind this week but had taken a hit already.

    3. Warby84
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      I think he’s worth it..

      1. FPLGeezer
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Over Snodgrass? I'd be looking to keep for their good run for next 5/6 game weeks

    4. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Worth it especially with the fixtures

  5. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    vertonghen is nailed right ?

    1. Phil's Stamps
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      yep

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        thanks

  6. Phil's Stamps
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Best 5.4 (or less) midfielder for my 5th mid spot. Have Kenedy but looking for someone a bit more exciting:

    Gundogan?
    Patterson?
    Torreria?

    Or should I just go for a steady drip-drip nailed-on 3 pointers?

    Kante?
    Fernandinho?

    1. tafrère
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Snodgrass imo.

      1. Phil's Stamps
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        cheers, would never have considered him

    2. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      I am considering Torreira for the next few weeks

    3. SC not pearls before swine
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      I like Gundogan, although he's very much a short term play and if he's going to be rooted to your bench there's no real point.

  7. wulfrunian
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Is Zaha available for Leicester?

    1. Nascimento
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      He’s a Palace player for a starg

      1. Nascimento
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Start

        1. sfsfsfe
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          I' pretty sure that he means Vs Lei. No need to get cheeky

          1. Nascimento
            • 8 Years
            5 years, 4 months ago

            Cheeky to waste my time asking about Zaha for a start

  8. 007 [RoboKlopp]
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Hi, who is better?
    A. Son, Kola
    B. Fanderson, Laporte
    Ta.

    1. Phil's Stamps
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      A

    2. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      A

  9. Warby84
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Fabisnski ——> Leno 0.3m itb or am I going slightly mad

    1. Phil's Stamps
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      as a hatter

  10. Maddi Son
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Canny lie, I'm pretty gutted that I'm unlikely to qualify for the FPL cup. Especially as I haven't had a bad week in nearly two months. If the current qualifying score is 33, how do you rate my chances with the following to go:

    Currently on 29(-4) with Doherty, Richarlison, Digne & Success to go.

    1. tafrère
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Low

    2. Nascimento
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Not good.

      Assuming you must be top 1k what with not having a bad week for 2 months too?

      Nature of the cup I guess.

      1. Maddi Son
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Nah I wish mate. I didn't follow the template at the beginning of the season so was ranked around 2 million up until GW5. Slowly grinded up to 75k last week which was my best rank of the season. 146k now.

    3. AandyzZ
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Definitely possible mate, head up Doherty to the rescue tomorrow

      1. Maddi Son
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Doherty haul can make up for this mess. Cmon son

        1. AandyzZ
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Afraid Son has already played, did alright tho

  11. Andy Mac
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    TAA - Brooks - Richarlison > Kolasinac - Son - fodder

    Yay or Nay?

    1. Andy Mac
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Team would be:
      Fab
      Alonso - Digne - Kola - Doherty
      Sterling - Sané - Son - Anderson
      Kane - Auba - Jiminez

      Rest is fodder

    2. tafrère
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Meh

      1. Andy Mac
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Really?? Why? Fixtures for pool and Everton get tougher over coming weeks??

        1. tafrère
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          TAA is amazing value imo. Richarlison has two bad games and then another good run of fixtures. Brooks not sure.

          For a -4 I don't know. How Bad do you want Son ?

          1. Andy Mac
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            5 years, 4 months ago

            Really quite a lot. It was between him and Anderson this week tbf, now want both. Think fixtures mean Rich would have to make way unfortunately.....

    3. Differential C (Mark)
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Do you really want non-playing fodder for this month? Its going to be a sh*tshow roulette every week.

      1. Andy Mac
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        you’re prob right. Too risky. Back to the drawing board! Cheers mate

  12. HD7
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Whatever plans we have mates... If it concerns Kane Salah Sterling or any player who plays midweek... its better to wait. Only if you really want some player a lot and you wont be able to buy him after the increase... but its still a risk

  13. 007 [RoboKlopp]
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Hi, another question, who is better?
    A. Salah, Doherty
    B. Sane, Rashford/Chicarito
    Ta.

    1. Differential C (Mark)
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      I suspect B, despite Salah hatty heroics. Its close though.

    2. Nascimento
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      A

  14. Saka Punch
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Snodgrass likely to keep these returns up? Not sure if I'm just chasing points by getting him in now

    1. tafrère
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      He's on set pieces so looks like it. Plus he's FPL legend.

      1. Saka Punch
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Haha cheers

  15. camarozz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Broke the 1ooo pt mark. 1009 to be exact.
    Rich/Digne/Doherty to go.

    1. Differential C (Mark)
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Nicely done!
      Im very close, with TP of 983.

  16. HD7
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Wow... Im in the 5k again :))

  17. FPL Pillars
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Overall rank updated... I am 159

    No City or Arsenal, that must have helped!

    2FT to ponder on this week.

    1. Differential C (Mark)
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Brilliant stuff. No City is a gamble that I took this week as well.
      Not sure you can keep at it much longer though haha

      1. FPL Pillars
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        With Silva out that’s a big blow for city. They really need Aguero back, be interesting to see what their status is

    2. Clintymints
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Well done

  18. Clintymints
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    2ft and some moves to make

    Current lads...

    Ryan/Sh!tter
    Alonso Roboertson Digne Awb Bennett
    Salah Sterling Sane FraserHojbjerg
    Kane WIlson Kamara

    A. Simple move - Ryan > Fab and Digne > Kola.

    B. Ryan > Fab, Sane > Haz, Digne > Peltier (-4) Means plating 2/3 of Bennett/Awb/Kamara every week.

    C. Ryan > Leno/Fab. Job done

    D. Sane > Anderson Wilson > Lacazette

    Goin towards B myself since Digne's fixtures take a terrible turn next week. However, City fixtures also decent, but Aguero out is Hurting Sane a bit. He got sacrificed with Sterling doing terrible at false 9. Going with the B move would give a pretty, pretty, pretty, decent team

  19. The Big Fella
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    2FTs. I can do Sterling and Arnie to Fraser and Kane with the exact money now. Should I pull the trigger? I would probably get Sterling back in at the start of January but Kanes fixtures for the rest of December and that rest tonight are very tempting.

    1. tafrère
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Ditching Sterling before 4 home games in 6 ?

    2. AandyzZ
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Really wanna get off Sterling ahead of 2 home games and an angry city team after losing?

  20. Tsparkes10
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    1.9 itb 1 Ft

    Fab, Speroni
    Alonso, Doh, AWB, Dunk, VVD
    Salah, Rich, FA, Fraser, Diangana
    Kane, Jimenez, Laca

    A) Save FT
    B) Dunk to any defender
    C) Laca to Aubam

    1. Differential C (Mark)
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Easy save. Get a City.player with your 2 FT next GW.

      1. Tsparkes10
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Still got wc so hmmm

  21. FPLMarc
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Is Rashford a good option, looking ahead?

    Great fixtures, good form, Sanchez injured.....

    1. tafrère
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      I still think he's site.

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      He's on my radar too..

    3. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Inconsistent

    4. Nascimento
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Probably the 2nd best striker in the world after Kane. Go for it imo

  22. 007 [RoboKlopp]
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Sold Salah after a hatty is mad?

    1. #FPLBhuna
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Nope i will be selling too

    2. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Nope

  23. Jigger & Pony
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    What’s the safety score looking like for LMS?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Waiting for the league to update fully.
      Should be pretty low as plenty won't have Salah.

      1. Jigger & Pony
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Thx

  24. Gandalf
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Thoughts on Richarlison > Son using 1.6ITB? Wary about Richarlison's away form and some tough fixtures coming up and Son in good form. Leaves:

    Fab 4.0
    Alonso Robertson TAA Doherty WanB
    Sterling Son Anderson Fraser 4.4
    Kane Auba Jiménez

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Go for it

  25. Bobby Digital
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Pick one:
    Chicha
    Rashford
    Jimenez

    1. tafrère
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Jiménez

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Thx

  26. AandyzZ
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Richarlison and Martial
    To
    Sterling and torreira for -4?

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      I like it

  27. Wild Rover
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Did I read that top 70% qualify for FPL cup? If so surely most here will qualify, just need a gwr of around 4k

    1. #FPLBhuna
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      4k or 4m

      1. Wild Rover
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Oops

      2. Hazz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Think it was around 4.2m or something.

    2. Alan The Llama
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      The top 4,194,304 scorers in Gameweek 16 will enter the first round

    3. Nascimento
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      4m

    4. Fred54
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Tell that to Epic...

      1. Wild Rover
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        I bet he qualifies, he'll have some decent players tomorrow and Monday

  28. 007 [RoboKlopp]
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Hi, A or B?

    A. (-4)
    Out: Laporte, Diagana (bench), Arnie
    In: Kola, Son, Kamara (bench)

    B. Free
    Out: Diagana (bench), Arnie
    In: Fanderson, Kamara (bench)

    Cheers 🙂

    1. We Will Klopp you
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      B

    2. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      B is safer. A is more exciting with Son home against Burnley.

  29. We Will Klopp you
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Team: Fabianski (Patricio)
    Alonso Kolasinac Robertson (Doherty AWB)
    Sterling Sane Anderson Richarlison (Hoijberg)
    Auba Laca Wilson
    1m itb

    Dropping like a stone and trying to put things right.

    A) Alonso, laca and pat to TAA, Kane, button - 8

    B) richy and laca to hazard and Chicha - 4

    C) stick

  30. Nas
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    This weekend had a great collection of goals.
    Torreira, snodgrass, Anderson,ashley young, son...
    I’d add salah but I’m salty