Spot the Differential

Three differential FPL forwards to consider ahead of Gameweek 13

With the final international break of the calendar year well and truly over, it’s time for us to turn our attention back to Fantasy Premier League.

In the previous Gameweek, we only saw one player with a double-digit ownership – Jamie Vardy (£9.6m) – to feature among the top five FPL points scorers of the round.

In fact, with the exception of Bernardo Silva (£7.9m), no other player from Manchester City or Liverpool featured in the top ten in terms of points.

This once again reinforces the importance of those plucky differentials, with two-thirds of this campaign now remaining. Here are three low-owned picks worth considering for Gameweek 13.

Gerard Deulofeu

Ownership: 2.6%
Price: £6.1m
Gameweek 13 fixture: Burnley (h)

It wasn’t long ago that Watford players were being avoided en masse. After their 8-0 drubbing at the hands of Manchester City, the situation looked perilous.

However, in the past five Gameweeks, they’ve somehow mustered three draws and a win that puts them only three points away from 17th spot.

The defence has had a large part to play in their recent turnaround but Gerard Deulofeu’s (£6.1m) influence hasn’t gone unnoticed.

Having failed to score in the first ten games of the season, he has now registered two goals in his last two games.

In the last two Gameweeks, he was joint-third for final third touches and ranked second for penalty area touches among forwards priced at £6.5m or less. It’s clear that he’s getting in the right places and is finally being rewarded for his efforts.

Deulofeu scored ten league goals last season and he’s more than capable of matching or exceeding that tally this time around.

However, despite featuring in every Premier League game this season, he hasn’t always started or has been subbed off early, which is a minor concern. Indeed, he has only played three complete league matches since August.

The fact that Watford have only scored four goals in their last seven Premier League games also needs to be acknowledged.

However, Deulofeu is a key focal point of their attack and the Hornets depend on him for his creative output. Their next opponents are Burnley, who have the second-worst away record in the league and who have conceded 11 goals in six games, which should bode well for Deulofeu in his pursuit to make it three goals in as many matches.

Danny Ings

Ownership: 3.0%
Price: £6.0m

Gameweek 13 fixture: Arsenal (a)

Southampton are another team that have struggled in the league since August. Goals have been in short supply and the Saints have been prone to conceding at the other end, most notably seen with Leicester City’s 0-9 triumph at St. Mary’s.

Having said that, if there’s a flicker of hope in their team, look no further than Danny Ings (£6.0m). He’s quietly scored five goals this season – more than the likes of Raul Jimenez (four), Son Heung-min (three) and Kevin de Bruyne (two).

From an attacking returns perspective, Ings has been involved in 55% of Southampton’s goals since Gameweek 1, which is all the more remarkable when considering he’s only played a full match on two occasions.

Looking at sub-£6.0m forwards over the past six Gameweeks, Ings is ranked first for most goals scored, second for goal attempts and joint-second for big chances created. There’s a strong case to be made for his name in the third forward spot.

Of course, if we look closely, he’s only scored one goal in the past three games.

But I’ve got no doubt that he can benefit with the fixture run ahead. The Saints next face a demoralised Arsenal team with one win in their last five league games and with only two clean sheets this season, which provides Ings with another viable opportunity to add to his goal-scoring tally.

Alexandre Lacazette

Ownership: 1.7%
Price: £9.3m
Gameweek 13 fixture: Southampton (h)

There’s no doubt that the Gunners’ attack has been weakened without the regular appearances of Alexandre Lacazette (£9.3m). The France international registered a respectable 25 Fantasy returns during the last campaign and much was expected of him again in 2019/20.

Unfortunately for Lacazette, injury meant that his opportunities have been largely limited since Gameweek 1.

But with Arsenal under pressure to deliver better results, he will be key in their pursuit for fourth spot. The fact that he has started their last three games and assisted twice shows that he is improving and getting back to his best.

The biggest concern with Lacazette is his expensive price tag, especially when considering that there are cheaper players like Raul Jimenez (£7.3m) and Tammy Abraham (£8.0m) that have been scoring regularly of late.

It can also be argued that Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£11.0m) is Arsenal’s main attacking outlet and is less likely of being rotated than Lacazette.

But if you want to capitalise on Arsenal’s good fixture run and can’t afford Aubameyang, then maybe Lacazette is an option for you.

Despite their shaky start to the season, Arsenal have scored 11 goals in six games at home. They can’t afford any more slip-ups if they are serious of finishing in a Champions League spot and it’s high time for players like Lacazette to prove their worth and pedigree.

Nominated for ‘Best in Fantasy Football – Editorial’ at the Football Content Awards 2020

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969 Comments Post a Comment
  1. El-Kloppico
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 5 months ago

    So Salah >> Mané it is then!
    Not that Klopp has been reassuring. And with his recurring ankle injury and fixtures piling on, I can see Salah missing some matches.

    But was becoming a nice differential!

    1. Soto Ayam
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      Ditto

  2. n-doggg
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 5 months ago

    A. Salah to mane
    B. Kdb and Greenwood to Dendoncker and Vardy

  3. BigBillyBass
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 5 months ago

    Any recommendations of what to do with this bunch?

    Pope
    TAA Soy Lund
    Sterling KDB Mane Mount Tielemans
    Vardy(c) Abraham

    Bench: Rico Tomori Connolly

    1FT, 0.1ITB

  4. The Colonel
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 5 months ago

    WC team

    Pope Button

    TAA, Tomori, Soy, Lund Rico

    KDB, Mane, Maddison, Martial, Pulisic

    Tammy, Vardy, Ings

    1) Downgrade Pul and upgrade Ings to Jimi, giving me 6m to replace Pul
    2) Downgrade Ings to non-playing striker and upgrade elsewhere

    I am thinking though that whilst may have some tough bench decisions, over Xmas break having subs who could get points could be crucial..

  5. diesel001
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 5 months ago

    Personally think it is worth holding off on a Liverpool defender if you are looking to bring one in this GW.

    No Robbo / injured Robbo will weaken the defence and Palace could score against Liverpool.

    1. ebb2sparky
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      I disagree, they are playing palace. I don’t see Liverpool winning by miles but 1-0 or 2-0 is quite likely.

  6. GreennRed
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 5 months ago

    Klopp press conference starts at 8:46. Not much very certain here 🙁

    https://youtu.be/YNgNIBwxG4k

    1. jia you
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      Would you bench Robbo for Lundstram considering the 'no news' from Klopp?
      Just say he starts and his niggle plays up and has to be withdrawn early....a possibility at least!

      1. jia you
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 5 months ago

        wasn't meant as a reply to your post mate, but hey how about it anyhow Mayo lol?

      2. GreennRed
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 5 months ago

        I'd definitely play Lundstram and will. Depends on your other defenders but would start Robertson if he's passed fit to start. As he says we'll know better after today's session.

        1. jia you
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 5 months ago

          I've TAA and I really want to play Janmaat this week so Lundy is the fall guy unfortunately!

  7. FPL ElasticO
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 5 months ago

    With news about Salah... looking to do these moves??

    A. Salah & Sterling >>> Mane & Pulisic
    B. Salah & Sterling >>> Mane & Maddison
    C. Salah & Sterling >>> Mane & Martial

    1. El-Kloppico
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      only Salah to Mane i guess

  8. Tinmen
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 5 months ago

    KDB captain anyone ?

    Can’t decide between Mane and Vardy so think I might take a chance in Kevin

    1. Am sorry to say again it�…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      I have this dilemma too and currently have it on KDB. Whenever I watch Chelsea they seem to struggle defending crosses and set pieces. Feel like KDB could put on a show.

    2. teneighty
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      Not a bad choice at all. He is my Vice at the moment. Great attaing form in the national team as well.

      1. teneighty
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 5 months ago

        *attacking

  9. YoungPretender
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 5 months ago

    Play 2;

    A) Lundstram (MUN)
    B) Mount (mci)
    C) Soyuncu (bri)

    1. Rhodes your boat
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      AC seems the consensus

  10. Dannywaz
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 5 months ago

    Robbo to Doherty very tempting

    1. The Ejiptian King
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      My plan this week was always the opposite before the injury doubts!

    2. Jusagoras
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      Do you not see Bournemouth scoring at home, and Robbo being back next week?

  11. Kodap
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 5 months ago

    Am I G2G for tomorrow? Please?

    Pope

    Digne - Trent - Pereira

    Mane © - Perez - KDB - Mount

    Jiminez - Vardy - Abraham

    Subs: Ramsdale / Lundstram / Rico / Cantwell

    1. Jebiga
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      I would play Lundstram

      1. Kodap
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 5 months ago

        Over who?

        1. Arse Craic
          • 14 Years
          4 years, 5 months ago

          Mount

    2. jia you
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      G2G, also benching Lundy this GW...hope he has a quiet day at the office!

  12. Jebiga
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 5 months ago

    Should i save FT ?

    Pope
    TAA, Lundstram, Soyuncu
    KDB, Tielmans, Mane, Mount
    Aguero, Vardy(C), Abraham

    sub: Button, Rico, Dendnocker, Tomori
    0.5 in the bank
    1FT

    Maybe:
    1. Pope to Gazzaniga ?
    2. Rico to Aurier ?

    1. Rhodes your boat
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      Save nice team, I’m considering pope to gazza but not this week

  13. Flynny
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 5 months ago

    Hi....please can I have guidance on what to do here?

    3.5mitb.....was planning boly to robbo but lack of firm news makes me rethink....

    Pope
    Taa lunds soy (rico boly)
    Mane kdb maddison CHO (nakamba)
    Vardy abraham jiminez

    A...boly to robbo
    B....CHo to pulisic
    C....something else

    Thanks

    1. Rhodes your boat
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      B

    2. Jebiga
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      cho and boly to aurier and son

      1. Flynny
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 5 months ago

        0.2m short of that - but nice idea...thanks

  14. Rhodes your boat
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 5 months ago

    Please can someone guide me... 1FT 0.6itb

    Pope
    Taa soy Lund Rico
    Salah* sterling(c) kdb
    Vardy Abraham jimi

    Button tomori Hayden dendo

    1. The Legend Squad
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      Salah —> Mane

    2. Jebiga
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      salah to mane

      1. Rhodes your boat
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks both, wish we’d got more solid news, gonna be painful losing salah, May just get him back next week for sterling aha!

  15. Arsenal97
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 5 months ago

    Pope
    TAA Chillwel Chambers Rico
    KDB Sterling Mane Cantwell
    Abraham Vardy
    Bench: 4.0 Lundstram Ayew Mount
    0.5 ITB , 1FT

    Thoughts ?

    1. Rhodes your boat
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      Gtg

  16. Tshelby
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 5 months ago

    Rico or Janmaat? Who should I keep?

    1. Ask Yourself
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      Janmaat

    2. Bob B
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      What price did you get each for?

      1. Tshelby
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 5 months ago

        Janmaat worth 4.3 and Rico 4.2

        1. Bob B
          • 10 Years
          4 years, 5 months ago

          What's your plan? Bench or looking to upgrade one?
          I'm personally keeping Rico(4.1) and may look to downgrade or upgrade Janmaat(4.3) on WC.
          I think Rico has the better fixtures in the long-term for when I might need him, when Leicester/SHU fixtures are bad + GW18. Question would be whether he's nailed for the long-term, but I'd say the same about Janmaat.

    3. GreennRed
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      Janmaat.

    4. Arse Craic
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      Janmaat

    5. Tshelby
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      Cheers Janmaat it is!

  17. Ask Yourself
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 5 months ago

    Klopp is annoying but it’s what I expected. Would he bring Robbo on as a sub?
    Looks like I’ll join the Vardy capping casuals

  18. Bob B
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 5 months ago

    If on WC would you look at keeping Robertson and hope that he plays, or take the safer option for somebody like Pereira or Soyuncu?

  19. lilmessipran
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 5 months ago

    What did Klopp say on Robbo? Can't find the tweet

    1. Ask Yourself
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      Just he hasn’t decided on him and salah yet and that today’s session is important. All the bull poo you expect from him basically

    2. Dannywaz
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      Nothing

  20. Ruudy Van
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 5 months ago

    Would you

    A) sell diop to Chambers
    B) sell diop & C.wilson to VVD & Ings -4

    Rest of team;
    Pope 4.0
    Diop Lord soyuncu (Dunk tomori)
    KDB Sterling Maddison Mane (dend)
    C.wilson Tammy
    Vardy

    1. Arse Craic
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      A

  21. The Ejiptian King
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 5 months ago

    Pope
    TAA Doherty Lund (Soy, Rico)
    Sterling(C) KdB Martial Mount (Dendo)
    Vardy Abraham Jimenez

    2FT, 1.8m ITB

    Longterm plan was Doh > Robbo but the injury doubts put me off, getting Liv attack next week for Sterling. Thoughts on Mount > Rich as a one week punt and roll the other? Probably move him to Pulisic the week after. Can always burn a transfer.

    1. Ask Yourself
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      I love mount to rich you have a sexy team

      1. The Ejiptian King
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks mate, was nice to hear Tom recommend Doh on the scoutcast after he's been teasing me with points for the last 4 gameweeks.

        1. Ask Yourself
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 5 months ago

          Oh cool I haven’t listened yet. Life is taking over at the moment

    2. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      Mount to Rich definitely if I were you

    3. Ze_Austin
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      Mount to Rich... Yes!

      Soy on the bench is just begging for trouble at this point, but I do see why 😀

      1. The Ejiptian King
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 5 months ago

        I'm refusing to start him out of principle now.

  22. The Legend Squad
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 5 months ago

    Thoughts here? G2G?

    Gazz
    TAA Rico Lundstram
    Mane KDB Maddison Martial
    Abraham Jimenez Vardy (c)

    Button Mount Tomori Kelly

  23. Jusagoras
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 5 months ago

    How confident are people of Son starting?

    1. GreennRed
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      Very.

      1. Jusagoras
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 5 months ago

        Looking at a place on the Jose wagon.

  24. Gudjohnsen
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 5 months ago

    So will Mo start tomorrow? What do you think?

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      Does it matter if he started? He is not fully fit and you would not get the payback from £12.3M player?

    2. n-doggg
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      Yes

  25. seewhyaxe
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 5 months ago

    I'm really struggling with Kloop's press conference here.

    I still have one ft left, should I do Salah to Vardy for a hit? I have both Mane and Robbo as well.

  26. Rhodes your boat
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 5 months ago

    Are we likely to know anymore about salah by the end of the day? Training pics for example or should I just swap him for mane?

    1. The Legend Squad
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      Might as well wait till 30 mins before the deadline tomorrow. Highest chance of more information

      1. Rhodes your boat
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 5 months ago

        Good idea thanks

  27. jamie1972
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 5 months ago

    For the next 2, in order of preference?

    A) Kun
    B) Kane
    C) Auba

    1. The Legend Squad
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      Kane
      Kun
      Auba

  28. Champions League Varane
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 5 months ago

    Robertson wasnt even mentioned?

    is he guaranteed to start (owner)?

    thanks!

    1. Bob B
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 5 months ago

      He is one of the injured players.

      Jurgen Klopp: "Virgil is 100% available. I cannot say 100% [on his injured players], today is a very important session."

  29. corderz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 5 months ago

    Sterling to Mane?

  30. Jink
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 5 months ago

    On Wildcard, any changes needed? Who do you think I should have in goal? 0.0m in the bank.
    Ryan
    TAA Robertson Soy
    Martial KDB Mane Maddison
    Tammy Jiménez Vardy
    (Button, Lundstram, Dendoncker, Rico)

    Thanks 🙂