Pro Pundits

My Free Hit draft for FPL Double Gameweek 30+

As the Fantasy Premier League Double Gameweek 30+ deadline edges ever closer, I am feeling more confident about my latest draft.

As you know, it has been a strange few months. So strange in fact I now own three Manchester United players but only two from Liverpool.

I made the most of the slow Wildcard over the last few weeks, bringing in players who had good overall fixtures left, although in hindsight the decision to play the fixtures in the same order was a pretty obvious outcome, and one I didn’t think much about.

With £2.0m in the bank my team is flexible enough, at least from Gameweek 31+ onwards.

andys-pp-article

The only chip I have left is Free Hit. While I’m quite happy with this side for Gameweek 31+ (as happy as anyone can be not knowing how teams and players are going to react to the long break, and who might be in form), I’m not so happy about it for Gameweek 30+. There are not enough Double Gameweek players for my liking.

As there aren’t any more Double Gameweeks planned I don’t see a great reason for holding the Free Hit chip with only nine Gameweeks to go and that’s why it will be activated before Wednesday’s 5pm deadline. Here’s how the current draft looks.

andys-pp-article 1

There’s some players that have been in every single draft so far, they’re the more obvious picks, lets get them out of the way first:

Sergio Aguero (£11.8m) has scored 16 goals already this season, that’s the same as Mohamed Salah (£12.7m) in 849 fewer minutes. There’s naturally concerns about the Argentinian getting two starts but I’m hoping the temporary five substitute rule may actually help teams like Manchester City have a more consistent starting XI that they can manage the minutes of easier. 

Kevin De Bruyne (£10.6m) was the first name in my team. From a pure FPL point of view he’s finally shown us what he can do while being fully fit for the season. He looks on course to smash his previous record season tally of 209 points and if anyone outside of Edersen (£6.0m) has a chance of starting twice, it’s De Bruyne. He’s top for minutes played by an outfield Manchester City player in 2019/20.

Aston Villa are not a team I’m looking to load up on players from. They’re very generous when it comes to conceding goals and I can’t get excited by many of their attackers. Jack Grealish (£6.4m) has to be in though. He’s had a good season with seven goals and seven assists and I’d expect him to continue as the main points scorer in the team. No midfielder at his price or under has scored more points, and he represents good value going into this week.

I see some concerns from people about having Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£11.m) in their teams, but he’s been so consistent again this season whether playing as a centre-forward, or in a wider position. I can’t look past him when he has two games, even if one of them is against Manchester City.

The bench is Emiliano Martínez (£4.2m), Matt Targett (£4.4m), Jamaal Lascelles (£4.3m), and Ondrej Duda (£4.7m). I’m hopeful that I won’t have to rely on it this week.

John Lundstram (£4.9m) is currently missing from the team mostly due to fears of him having not won his place back completely from Sander Berge (£4.8m). The two goals he scored during a behind closed doors game has piqued my interest again though. I’m really hoping for early teams news that will let me swap him for John Egan (£4.6m). Lundstram has five double-figure hauls already this season. That’s four more than all of the other Sheffield United defenders combined. One start and a bench appearance in the other game could be enough to see him outscore the other options, and I, for one, am sick of being punished by ‘The Lord’.

With 10 clean sheets already this season I see the appeal of triple Sheffield United defence. My slight concern is whether there will be some rustiness to shake off which may lead to a few more goals than normal as players get up to speed. Dean Henderson (£5.3m) is also the goalkeeper who has prevented the highest expected goals at 4.4. You can view that from two ways – he’s a great goalkeeper, or at some point, he may not be able to keep preventing the number of good quality chances that the defenders are allowing. The triple up is an all eggs in one basket approach and I’m currently looking to avoid.

My third Sheffield United slot goes to Oliver McBurnie (£5.7m). I’ll be honest, this is a hard sell and you’d probably be better off without him, especially considering he has just four goals in 1,428 minutes of football. Around Gameweek 22 he started getting regular starts and minutes, although in the seven game period until the end of the season still only managed one goal. But there were some encouraging underlying statistics in that time. 

Elsewhere in the side, Raheem Sterling (£11.7m) gets one of the midfield slots. For the first 29 Gameweeks, I think it’s fair to see he’s flopped considering his hefty price tag. He’s scored fewer points than Riyad Mahrez (£8.5m) having played considerably more minutes.

I am encouraged by the fact he has the second-highest expected goal involvement for all players this season. It hasn’t gone right for him in terms of actual points so far but at some point I’d expect it to click. The enforced break, and the potential return of Leroy Sané (£9.3m) could really help him too. This is a player with over 32 and 35 attacking returns in the last couple of seasons. This year he has 13 and if there’s anyone that is going to come back and be the opposite of the rest of the season I’m putting my money on Sterling. 

I’ll quickly touch on the single Gameweek players in the starting XI. As I mentioned for McBurnie and Sheffield United, I don’t think you can go wrong targeting Aston Villa’s defence for conceding goals and that’s why I’m looking at Chelsea players. It’s difficult to know exactly which side Frank Lampard will go with, but Mason Mount (£6.2m) has only failed to start three times in the league this season and with the ability to play centrally and off the left I’m hoping he’ll be given another start, although there is a lot of competition for places in that Chelsea team. 

Raúl Jiménez (£8.1m) is definitely a consideration up front instead of McBurnie but at the moment I’ve gone with Matt Doherty (£6.3m) for my Wolves player. When I look at single Gameweek fixtures in Gameweek 30+ a few stand out, and one of them is Wolves getting to play a poor West Ham side.

Jiménez is incredibly consistent and I don’t for one second think he won’t get some kind of return this week. But in a week when I’m using my final chip and am trying to improve on a poor rank I want to do something different. The Mexican has 19 attacking returns so far, but when you include clean sheets, Doherty isn’t far behind on 16. The Irish wing-back also has four double digital hauls vs Jiménez with three, so it’s not like he’s any less explosive on his day.

That trio of McBurnie, Mount and Doherty is about the only part of this team that’s now fully locked in. That could be any combo of Sheffield United, Chelsea or Wolves player, and I’d even be tempted by an Arsenal defender instead of Leno to go for something even more different.

But for now I’m trying not to overthink. I know the fixtures I want to target, and  I have a good core of Double Gameweek players I’m very happy with, alongside some calculated differntials.

We’re about to go into the unknown. We’ve heard the phrase “a new normal” a lot over the last few weeks and it’s going to apply to football as well. I’ve gone with what I know when picking this squad but the new normal could mean things are completely different, I just hope I’ve got at least some of it right. 

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4,183 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Etcheverry Legendary
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    Very low team value unfortunately. Chasing in ML and on BB with 2nd WC and FH available later. Should be a fun gameweek.

    Leno Henderson
    TAA Baldock Egan Doherty PVA
    KDB Mahrez Pepe Grealish Dougie Luiz
    Aguero Jota Nketiah

    1. MarkoSD
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Gtg

  2. Ronnies
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    To complete by team:

    A) Doherty - Egan - Saka
    B) Steven's - Lascelles - Mount

    Cheers.

    1. lilmessipran
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      A

    2. Wag the Drog
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      B

    3. Phil's Stamps
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      B because of Saka.

      1. chaser123
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        Don’t think he will get many minutes?

    4. MarkoSD
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      A

  3. Letsgo!
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    Fleck is injured?

    1. FCSB
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      and JOC apparently... was all over twitter this morning

    2. momomaimai
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Really ?

  4. E25
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    BB team G2G? WCing in 31+. This obviously depends on team new on Lundstram and Villa keeper

    Leno Reina
    TAA Lundo Egan O'Connell Saiss
    KDB Mahrez Grealish Mount Duda
    Kun(c) Auba Jimenez
    0.2itb

    1. Phil's Stamps
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Very GTG

    2. MarkoSD
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Gtg

  5. ZTF
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    Ederson - Leno

    TAA - Lund - Egan - Doherty - A.Smith

    KDB - Martial - McGinn - Grealish - Buendia

    Aguero - Auba - Nketiah

    -

    Bench boost. GTG?

    1. Tiki-Taka
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      i guess you are WC'ing next GW?

      1. ZTF
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        Yeh 🙂

  6. Wag the Drog
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    A) Samatta, Pepe
    B) Nketiah, Sterling

    1. Phil's Stamps
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      B, if you must.

    2. iL PiStOlErO
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      A

  7. La Roja
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    How’s she looking? BB active and WC & FH are intact;

    Leno
    Baldock Alonso TAA
    Mahrez KDB Bruno Grealish
    Aguero Tammy Jota

    Hendo Lundstram Saka Targett

    1. Phil's Stamps
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Alonso is too punty for me, not keen on Saka either. The rest is fine.

      1. La Roja
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        Saka has 4 assists on his last 6 games and Alonso was superb pre-pandemic. Purely decided based on these tbh. Could backfire as u said

  8. Phil's Stamps
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    What do you think about a punt on Sarr for the DGW? If I switch Mahrez for Ederson, I can get this:

    Leno Ederson
    TAA Doherty Stevens Lund Egan
    KDB Sarr Mount Grealish El Ghazi
    Aguero Auba Jimenez

    0.2 ITB

    1. LLoris
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      i say you stick with mahrez

  9. Letsgo!
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    Is saka gonna start?

    1. LLoris
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      prob not

  10. Wag the Drog
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    Why is Barnes so unpopular?

    1. Amey
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Ashley or Harvey ?

      1. LLoris
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        harvey

        1. Amey
          • 6 Years
          4 years, 4 months ago

          DGW & lots of options in that range.

    2. Phil's Stamps
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      I briefly considered him, but think Mount at the same price is a better punt against that Villa defence.

      1. LLoris
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        mount or el ghazi?

      2. Wag the Drog
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        I have both right now

        1. LLoris
          • 5 Years
          4 years, 4 months ago

          isnt barnes better?

          1. Wag the Drog
            • 12 Years
            4 years, 4 months ago

            I prefer Barnes to Mount.

            1. LLoris
              • 5 Years
              4 years, 4 months ago

              and el ghazi to mount right

              1. Wag the Drog
                • 12 Years
                4 years, 4 months ago

                Yes

  11. juho
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    Ings -> McBurnie

    No WC left, and keeping FH and BB.

    Appreciate your thoughts on the above. Thanks.

  12. Amey
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    Good Morning All !!
    Such a wonderful Morning 😀

    1. iL PiStOlErO
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Finally its that morning!

  13. Bruno Commando
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    RMBBT - GTG?

    Leno // Pope
    AWB // TAA // O'Connell // Egan // Saiss
    Grealish // KDB // Bruno // Cantwell // Fleck
    Aguero // Jimenez // Auba

    31+: Aguero + Fleck -> Mane + Long
    32+: Auba -> Rashford
    33+: Grealish -> Son

  14. bryant
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    From now til end of season
    A: VVD
    B: Doherty

    Own Trent as well

    1. Rover
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      B easy

    2. Amey
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Doherty

    3. iL PiStOlErO
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      B 100%

  15. dmhomag
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    Sterling + Ozil or Pepe + Mahrez?

    1. iL PiStOlErO
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      A

  16. Sid07
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    Thoughts on this BB team, wc next week

    Ederson Leno
    Taa Stevens egan target sias
    Kdb Bruno fleck grealish saka
    Jimmy aguro auba

    1. La Roja
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Template & proud

      1. Amey
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        I thought you're supposed to say 22 😛

    2. lilmessipran
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      monitor fleck news

    3. Francescoli
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Jimi to Tammy, Saka to El Ghazi and Fleck to Norwood.

  17. HellasLEAF
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    Thoughts on Ayew as 3rd forward? Viable option? Really love my team if I can slot him into that spot..

    1. Amey
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      7th or 8th attacker ?

      1. HellasLEAF
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        Between him Douglas Luiz

        1. Amey
          • 6 Years
          4 years, 4 months ago

          Can work out actually. But he's shifted on wings since Tosun signing by eagles. Hence i am not keen about him.

    2. jdp219
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      I put in Ayew in my first BB draft. Still thinking about it, honestly.

  18. wanaj84
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    mustafi will play or not? help me

    1. LLoris
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      wouldnt risk it

      1. wanaj84
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        ty2

        i have 5.1 for defend dgw...
        already have player SHU.
        sugesst please

    2. Amey
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      If he plays, god help Leno owners 😀

      I am sorry, i have no idea mate.

  19. Jota19
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    How do I check if I still have my wildcard? From the mobile version of FPL, I see it as "unavailable" (on desktop, I can't find it anywhere). I know i have used it only once early in the season. Does it mean it will become available after GW 30+ (thinking they have disabled it because of the free transfers this gw). Thanks very much in advance.

    1. Amey
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Go to gameweek history page. Check chips used. If you haven't used a WC after 27th Dec, you have one in tact

    2. Holmes
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      You can check your gameweek history, it shows the chip you have used till date

    3. Jota19
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Thank you both

  20. Lav
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    BB activated. Chip strategy in place. GL DZ 🙂
    Dubravka
    TAA Stevens Lund
    Mane KDB(c) Grealish Barnes
    Kun(vc) Rash Jimi

    McCarthy Cantwell Justin Saiss

    1. HellasLEAF
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Does Lund start??

      1. Francescoli
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        the blades fans seem to think so. sounds like he's a lock with Fleck out. he's in my team.

        1. Nabs Kebabs
          • 13 Years
          4 years, 4 months ago

          But is Fleck confirmed out? Do you have a link?

          1. Francescoli
            • 10 Years
            4 years, 4 months ago

            Where there's smoke there's fire. Seems like ITK are saying he and O'Connell are out.

      2. Lav
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        Yeah hearing hes a go. Had Baldock but will gamble on Lund for now. Surely plays and is a threat.

  21. Nabs Kebabs
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    Why are people picking Saka when Tierney and Kolasinac are also fit?

    1. Amey
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      He's cheap & has 2 fixtures against his name.

      I agree with you though. I'd pick him !

  22. speardrops
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    Big thank you to those who joined our community stream earlier!

    If you guys want to join a Gameweek 30+ league for fun come join our discord https://discord.gg/2fdQHgA ! We have a dedicated FF channel.

  23. SomeoneKnows
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    QUESTION: If I hit the FH card after I've already made some transfers which caused me to lose team value*, will my team be reverted next week to my original team along with the original team value?

    * Was planning to BB so I ditched players such as Mane and now thinking of FH instead

    1. Holmes
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Yes, will revert

  24. LLoris
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    El Ghazi/Mount/Barnes
    Pick who you like best and why?

    1. iL PiStOlErO
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Have El Ghazi and Barnes. But I would go with El Ghazi, 2 games is 2 games. It is post corona and we dont know anything anyways so give him a chance

    2. Holmes
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      For 1 week only, punt on El Ghazi

      More than that, I would go Barnes

  25. The Man Pastore
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    If I understand well, we have a free WC now, is that correct? If so, I don't understand why I see so many FH teams

    1. LLoris
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      because they like their original teams but want to maximize their team for the DGW

    2. Holmes
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Because they want to pick DGW players just for one week and not for long term.

    3. Amey
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      They must have lots of chips remaining. You have to use them. No more DGWs this season.
      So ....

  26. Francescoli
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    What's the latest on McGinn? is he playing? If not is El Ghazi worth a punt?

    1. iL PiStOlErO
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Probably very limite

      Yes he is

      1. LLoris
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        Why do you like him ?

        1. iL PiStOlErO
          • 5 Years
          4 years, 4 months ago

          Just answered you above.

      2. Francescoli
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        Is he injured still?

        1. ZTF
          • 10 Years
          4 years, 4 months ago

          Back in full training, whether he’s ready for 2 games in under a week is the question. I’m going for him though, good value

        2. iL PiStOlErO
          • 5 Years
          4 years, 4 months ago

          He is not but he will be limited in minutes after 6 months of non playing and El Ghazi was good for them

          1. ZTF
            • 10 Years
            4 years, 4 months ago

            Not sure El Ghazi was that great for them! + he’s a winger, the alternatives will likely be two from Luiz/Hourihane/Drinkwater

  27. Soto Ayam
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    Which team you prefer for this dgw?

    A) BB
    Henderson, Ramsdale
    Fernandez, Egan, Bashan, target, Ming's
    Sterling, kdb, Pepe, Saka, grealish
    Auba, (c) aguero, ings

    Or
    B) no BB
    Henderson
    Doherty, Stevens, baldock
    Sterling, kdb, Pepe, grealish, mount
    Aruba, aguero

    Cack subs

    Your choice?

  28. MOZIL
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    Sharp with 2 games or Tammy?

    1. ZTF
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Tammy (Sharp only plays one anyway) but I’d prefer Nketiah and reinvesting money elsewhere personally

      1. MOZIL
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 4 months ago

        Thought Laca might take his place?

  29. john25
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    Hey guys, is Reina nailed on to start this DGW?

    Cheers

    1. ZTF
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 4 months ago

      Nah. Worth checking just before the deadline for any team news

  30. Francescoli
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 4 months ago

    BB team. Looks like this will be me going into 30+:

    Leno Henderson
    Lundstram Luiz Targett Doherty Alonso
    El Ghazi Grealish Sterling KDB Norwood
    Aubameyang Aguero Pukki

    I've maxxed out on DGW players and my SGW players are a good chance to deliver returns: Doherty, Alonso and Pukki.