Paddy Says

Paddy Says – Gameweek 25

Valentine’s Day is almost upon us, and what better way to surprise and delight your other half than by doing what you usually do this time of year – obsessing over mid-February’s fixtures?

At least Paddy understands you. He doesn’t even require a bunch of Happy Shopper flowers or a last-minute Ginsters pasty from the nearest filling station as proof of your devotion.

He would, however, be delighted if you take a moment to gaze longingly into the eyes of the latest Enhanced Offers available for new customers this week before we all go for a romantic stroll through the Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds.

If only a rose by any other name would smell as sweet as the prices available on the weekend’s main event, Spurs at Liverpool. Paddy’s offering 10-1 on Liverpool to beat Spurs, which is enough to get the heart all of a-flutter until he then wades in with Spurs to beat Liverpool at 16-1.

Liverpool are winless in five, losing to the likes of Swansea and Hull while picking themselves up just enough to scrap to draws with Chelsea and Man United. Tottenham are unbeaten since Gameweek 15, although they did blank away from home last time out. But, you know, 16-1!

A rather more sober, but no less attractive, price can be found Chelsea to beat Burnley, Arsenal to beat Hull and Man City to win at Bournemouth. That price is 6-1.

There’s also 5-1 available on Man United to beat Watford.

Enhanced winnings are credited in free bets. Be sure to check the terms and conditions that apply on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. If you’re going to wager, please always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 25

PlayerTeamOdds
IbrahimovicMUN1.57
CostaCHE1.72
AgueroMCI1.80
WalcottARS1.83
SanchezARS1.83
GiroudARS1.83
JesusMCI2.00
HazardCHE2.10
MartialMUN2.10
MkhitaryanMUN2.29
PogbaMUN2.29
LukakuEVE2.29
MataMUN2.40
PedroCHE2.50
De BruyneMCI2.62
GabbiadiniSOT2.70


The standard captaincy fodder that are Sanchez (1.83) and Ibrahimovic (1.57) again attract Paddy’s lower prices, but things are otherwise starting to get a little vexed for us Fantasy managers.

With four teams definitely missing Gameweek 26 and all manner of others likely to do the same in Gameweek 28, we’re scrabbling around trying to find the right combos to maximise points now, while ensuring we don’t have a team of about five and a half for the weekend of March 11.

That goes some way to explaining why Gylfi Sigurdsson has emerged as an unlikely captaincy selection this week.

Swansea, after all, are one of just six teams definitely around for Gameweek 28. They’re also starting to find some form under Paul Clement and will host a Leicester side with an away record that is considerably more ‘criminal’ than ‘Guinness Book of World’ this season.

The Icelandic midfielder is second only to Gabriel Jesus for transfers-in this week. If you’re one of the 150,000 or so new boys going for Gylfi, you might want to double down on that by snapping up Paddy’s price of 3.60 on your man to score on Sunday.

Jesus, meanwhile, has risen! Risen above Sergio Aguero in Pep’s pecking order. His price has also risen above Sergio’s when it comes to scoring on Monday at Bournemouth. The Brazilian is at 2.00, the Argentinian at 1.80. A better price looks like the 2.62 on Kevin De Bruyne to make it three goals in his last four starts.

To those who captained Romelu Lukaku last week – well done, we’re all still so very pleased for you as you contimue to bathe in your bottomless well of self-satisfaction.

A further 140,000+ have leapt aboard the Belgian’s bandwagon this week for the trip to Middlesbrough, with Paddy offering 2.29 on him scoring again.

Eden Hazard has accrued roughly half the amount of new owners as Lukaku, but he’s still the fifth most popular purchase of the Gameweek and you can get 2.10 on him scoring back-to-back league goals for the first time since Gameweek 11.

Henrikh Mkhitaryan, meanwhile, has emerged as a possible captaincy differential punt this week. His 2.29 price suggests it’s not such a huge leap of faith, however.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 25

TeamOdds
Man United1.72
Chelsea1.83
Arsenal2.00
Man City2.40
Everton2.40
Stoke2.40
Southampton2.60
West Ham2.70
Liverpool2.87
Swansea2.87


Defenders don’t usually take up much space in the top ten for transfers-in of a Gameweek, but there’s three in there this week – and five in the top 15.

Marcos Alonso, as ever, gets star billing, which is hardly surprising when he’s a goalscoring wing-back in a team that’s used to seeing more zeroes than a banker’s bonus.

But Chelsea aren’t Paddy’s first pick for shut-out supremacy.

That honour belongs to Manchester United, who entertain Watford. The 47,000+ who’ve invested in Antonio Valenica this week (the tenth most popular buy) will feel particularly pleased about that, which might help offset the pain of definitely losing him for Gameweek 26 and probably having to endure a Gameweek 28 blank as well.

The third top ten defender is Everton’s Seamus Coleman, who has a goal, two clean sheets and three assists to his name from the last four Gameweeks. Paddy has the Toffees at 2.40 to blank Middlesbrough away this weekend.

Spurs, meanwhile are at 4.00 to keep a clean sheet at Anfield – a feat that only Man United have managed this season. More than 33,000 managers have welcomed Kyle Walker into their squads this week, so plenty clearly think Tottenham have what it takes to emulate Mourinho’s men.

Liverpool are, as we all know, on the sort of run usually only experienced during a severe bout of gastroenteritis, so Paddy’s price looks considerably more tempting than, well, a severe bout of gastroenteritis.

Last week we mentioned, in passing, the long odds on Hull blanking Liverpool; odds that seemed rather generous for a team that had just gone to Old Trafford and come away with a fighting 0-0 draw.

As a result, we’ll mention, in passing, the long odds on Hull blanking Arsenal; odds that seem rather generous for a team that has now kept consecutive clean sheets at United and home to Liverpool. Arsenal are not given to being shut out at The Emirates, but it has happened this season when Middlesbrough kept the Gunners at bay in Gameweek 9.

Hull defenders have got a lot going for them. They’re cheap as chips and should be considerably better for you based on a mouth-watering run of fixtures to come – after the Arsenal match – which includes a guaranteed Gameweek 28 fixture.

Only new signing Andrea Ranocchia is proving a popular buy so far – his 23,000+ new managers this week puts him in the top 30 – and if you share the early adopters’ far-sightedness, you can get 10.00 on the Tigers completing an unlikely clean sheet treble.

893 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Syd.
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    A bit of Nostalgia and down memory lane.........

    I do miss the bygone years on FFS and the pre-match mayhem

    When this site first started all the questions on a Saturday morning were always about team news, trying to get information about injured players and line ups. Some people will say this hasn't changed but it has. With so many press conferences and social media these days it has become all too clinical and orderly and a lot less fun - it has just become very predictable

    1. Gooner Kebab
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Has it? I noticed the slower traffic.

      Perhaps most have made their transfers / taken hits due to price rises/drops.

    2. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      What kind of year are you talking Syd? I first came on here 08/09 season

      1. Syd.
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 3 months ago

        Probably back then Denial... I remember when team news wasn't all that freely available and there was a genuine sense of panic that a few players in teams would not start. Maybe I am wrong but it certainly feels that way to me

        1. Pat Bonner
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          7 years, 3 months ago

          Alonso13 took full advantage of that!!

          1. Syd.
            • 14 Years
            7 years, 3 months ago

            Yeah.... He was the original FFS Troll

    3. Boss Hogg
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      I miss the excitement of a snowy Saturday morning and the will it/won't it be cancelled questions! (Answer - all games are cancelled except for Carlos Tevez)

      Damn you undersoil heating and global warming.

      1. Count of Monte Hristo
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 3 months ago

        😆

        And the heavily loaded DGW's that came with it.

    4. Cpt Crunch Scott talent
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Indeed, pages used to be flying on a gameday just ahead of deadline. Now, not so much. It's nice to ve able to have/or read a conversation though(but many of the good ppl seem to have moved on)

    5. Spike ⚽️
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      And it's lost so many greatregulars from those good old days

    6. irsyadFC
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Not less fun imo, less challenging perhaps. Gaining easier informations isnt less fun

    7. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      I joined here in 2011 and I do miss the old posters, there seemed to be a better sense of community and alot more conversation about all things not just FPL.

      1. Syd.
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 3 months ago

        This is very true I thing it is like a little village that use to have a lot of sense of community but now has turned into a great big town and has lost that sense of community

    8. FPLtfs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      I believe that we soon are heading that way again, Syd. I believe that Contes cynical approach towards team news is giving him an advantage, and I think other managers will follow this sooner or later. Then this site will pop up with statements like "Hazard missed the buss" etc. There's hope, I guess 😉

      1. Syd.
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 3 months ago

        The problem with Conte and this is that Chelsea have the most predictable line up in the Premier League

        1. FPLtfs
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          7 years, 3 months ago

          That may be true, but if other managers start being more cryptic as well, it may be harder to gather information. And next season, with CL and a transfer window, their line up may not be that predictable.

    9. tisza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      I'd argue the opposite in a way.
      A lot of the time pages fly through so quick that threads don't have time to develop.(Hot topics aside)
      Probably too many Rate my teams etc. People not picking their own side and wanting others to pick it for them. That may have put some of the older posters off a bit. Be interesting to know what % of posts actually get a reply.
      Also this season I do think the surge of early transfers quietens traffic down a bit on Fridays & Saturdays. As soon as the deadline passes today there will be a load of people on asking what their transfers for next week should be - even before the Arsenal game kicks off.

  2. Darbs
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Trying to make up (a lot of) ground in my league...

    A) Mkhitaryan & Carroll
    B) Antonio & Defoe

    Ta!

    1. seanysheep
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      I like B

  3. keano
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Start 2?-Cheers
    a)Evans
    b)Phillips
    c)Crouch

    1. Darbs
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      B and C

    2. sillyhilly69
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      B C

    3. mcrayeps
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      b c

  4. Ha.
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Am I one of the few playing Holgate over a Brunt?

    1. Garlana
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      It's not a bad shout, WBA away form isn't anywhere near as good as at home. Brunts ppg away prove this.

    2. Yellin' in my Ear
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      I'm playing Baines and Coleman over Brunt

      1. Ha.
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 3 months ago

        For sure, I'm playing Coleman too but just depends whether Holgate starts or has a cameo

    3. Ber2k
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      I was pondering this but Holgate must be 50/50 at best to start. Have Funes Mori anyway.

    4. Farke in hell
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      holgate is a risk. Koeman may want to play with the same team he played in the previous match

      1. Ha.
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 3 months ago

        Away from home I think it's more likely that he starts. They also shipped 3 goals at home with 4 at the back. Granted they scored twice as many, but surely Koeman would prefer to keep it tight?

    5. Swanremainsthesame
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Maybe,
      But Holgate picked & Brunt your 1st def on the bench its a win-win.
      Thats what I have anyway.

      1. Ha.
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 3 months ago

        Yup this is what I'm planning

    6. diesel001
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      I am playing, Baines, Mustafi and Luiz over Brunt.

  5. Js31
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Who to play?

    A - Walker
    B - Cedric

    1. Darbs
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      A

    2. Yellin' in my Ear
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      A

    3. EvertonSteve1983
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      same dilemma, I've got Walker in at the moment but his returns away from home are poor. Neither will probably clean sheet so its the attacking / bonus point potential.

    4. JustPark
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Walker. Big game, big price tag on him, surely I'd play him

  6. sillyhilly69
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Berahino's gametime increasing? Desperate to get rid of Diomande and fancy a differential.

    1. Yellin' in my Ear
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Yes, but unlikely to start yet

      1. sillyhilly69
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 3 months ago

        I have a FT that needs using up. May grab him early.

        1. Yellin' in my Ear
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 3 months ago

          I'm starting Crouch but accepting it will swing eventually to berahino. Good luck

  7. Team Cruel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    https://i.redd.it/cv4p4oqlw4fy.png

    Valencia essential after his blanks? Captain material today?

    1. WE ARE RANGERS
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Yes
      No

  8. Bleach †
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    https://i.gyazo.com/f02fcd5c152b7424868c9bad4c4de58c.png

    Save FT so I could have 2 next week?

    1. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Depends on the bench too. Probably save.

      1. Bleach †
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 3 months ago

        Heaton De Roon Holgate Amat

  9. denial
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Moved (c) onto Ibra. Don't trust Arsenal at the moment.

    1. Gooner Kebab
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      good luck

    2. IfYouTinkerYou'llHaveA…
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Do you trust utd??

    3. jia you
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      just did the same myself, good luck to us 🙂

  10. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Play one.

    A. PVA

    B. Funes Mori

    Thanks

    1. bodgejob
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      B

    2. Swanremainsthesame
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      A. Crystal Palace
      B. Everton

      Considering recent results I think that answers it rather firmly

  11. jnglizt
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Play Stanislas, or go Pieters in a 4-3-3? Currently on Pieters but not sure. Team is below:

    Heaton
    Alonso Fune Mori Pieters McAuley
    Eriksen Phillips Sanchez
    Costa Luka Ibra

    Bench: Pickford Fetcher Stanislas Holebas

  12. Olee
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    3quick questions from a 1st timer at FPL:
    A) Captain Sachez, Ibra or Siggy? Im kinda tempted to go Siggy, as Arsenal have had 2bad ones, and Man Utd score little at home, crazy?
    B) Start Yoshida or Chambers?
    C) Start Heaton or Randolph?

    1. Darbs
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      A) Gylfi
      B) Yoshida
      C) Randolph

    2. Garlana
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      A) it's not straight forward imo, go with your gut
      B) Chambers
      C) west ham have higher cleanie chance but if u think they will both conceed, then play Heaton for saves.

  13. XabiAlonso
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Snodgrass a certain starter at West Ham? Was he good last week, look dangerous likely to get lots of fantasy point still

  14. bodgejob
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Bench Brunt, Phillips or van Aanholt?

    1. Mooster©️
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Van

  15. AusBest11
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Which 3 defenders to play?
    Azpil Coleman Holgate Reid Chambers?

    1. bodgejob
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      ACR

  16. WE ARE RANGERS
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    AAARRRGGHHH who to cap?

    Sanchez
    Lukaku
    Costa
    Kane
    Alli
    Snodgrass
    Coleman
    Baines
    Alonso

    1. Mooster©️
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Pick the one you think will get more points

      1. WE ARE RANGERS
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 3 months ago

        I think I might just do that

        1. Mooster©️
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          7 years, 3 months ago

          Very wise;))

  17. Jigger & Pony
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Do we think Sanchez starts up front or will Giroud play?

    1. VS10_
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Sanchez or Welbeck.

  18. RapidViper
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Reposting.

    Heaton
    Coleman Koscielny Brunt
    Eriksen Pedro Lallana Phillips
    Ibra (C) Carroll Lukaku (VC)

    A) Eriksen > Sanchez
    B) Carroll > Costa
    C) Other

  19. mcrayeps
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    currently the leader on my ML, lead about 40 points, my rival on 2nd have sanchez costa and kane and probably he will use sanchez as C.

    Stick with Sanchez or pick Ibra?

    1. Mooster©️
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      I have the same problem. Going with Ibra because of team form

  20. keotes
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Who are some Amat replacements?

    Need some cheap 5th defender options....

    1. Gooner Kebab
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Yoshida, Kone, Holgate

  21. SADIO SANÉ
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Chance of Brunt playing in midfield?

    Chance of Andy Carroll not playing?

    Think I'm going to bench Phillips instead of Brunt.

    Does anyone have a reason not to?

    1. ⚽️ Dingo ⚽️
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Yes
      Yes
      Ok
      No

      1. SADIO SANÉ
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks Dingo - I think it's the right move, hopefully luck is on side

    2. VS10_
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      I honestly have no idea, have all those. Phillips is on the bench this week, he should have been there last week over Alonso, so not sure on my judgement.

      1. SADIO SANÉ
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 3 months ago

        Ah glad I don't have Carroll (yet), absolutely no idea if he's gonna play. I'd be tempted to have Carroll playing and Brunt 1st sub. If Carroll doesn't play then Brunt (auto-sub) has higher clean-sheet potential. The main problem there would be a cameo performance from Carroll. Tough one.

  22. Ferris Bueller
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Who to play?
    A Brunt (whm)
    B Yoshida (sun)

  23. Yellin' in my Ear
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Benching headache this week but think I'm sorted:
    Heaton (Pickford)
    Baines, Coleman, Alonso (Brunt, Walker)
    Siggy, Alli, Eriksen, Sanchez (De Roon)
    Costa, Ibra (c)

    Good luck all, hope your arrows are green 🙂

    1. Yellin' in my Ear
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      How did I forget Crouch up front as well 😎

  24. Jet5605
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    This is an agonising captaining decision.

    On paper Sanchez at home to Hull would normally be a no brainer but Silva seems to have sorted out Hull's defence and Arsenal are unconvincing.

    Ibra is hardly on fire and Utd's points could get shared amongst a few players.

    Swansea on the other hand seem to rely on Siggie who has a tired Leicester side at home after an extra time midweek FA cup game.

    Leaning towards Ibra as I'm wary of Hull and don't trust Arsenal. Siggie for VC

    1. JurgenRocks
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Siggy would be a differential captain and Leicester haven't been doing too well.

  25. TOBY1
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    So glad I bought siggy for lallana this week. Value has really gone up!

  26. amit1964
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    hii
    i put lukaku as my c and i dont see a lot of you do it this gw...........it will be a differential right?

    thank's

    1. JurgenRocks
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Middlesborough have quite a good defence, you never know how their games are going to go. He may score one goal.

  27. FPL_Guru_OM
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    This week's scores:

    Ars - Hul: 2-0
    MU - Wat: 3-1
    Mid - Eve: 0:0
    Stoke - CP: 3:0 (2:0)
    Sun - Sou: 1:2
    WH - WB: 2:2
    Liv - Tot: 1:2
    Bur - Che: 0:0 (0:1)
    Swa - Lei: 1:2 (2:3)
    Bou - MC: 1:3
    🙂

    1. VS10_
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      I could name your team based on that... 😆

      1. FPL_Guru_OM
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 3 months ago

        Swear nothing to do with team 😉

        1. FPL_Guru_OM
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 3 months ago

          1 mistake so far 😉

          1. FPL_Guru_OM
            • 13 Years
            7 years, 3 months ago

            2 mistakes 🙁 🙂

            1. FPL_Guru_OM
              • 13 Years
              7 years, 3 months ago

              2 mistakes in total 🙂

  28. AusBest11
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Bench Crouch or Phillips

    Grant (Foster)
    Azpil Coleman Reid (chambers Holgate)
    Sanchez Alli Erikson siggy Phillips?
    Ibra costa Crouch?

  29. jmcclory123
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    F... it

    - Sanchez coming up against a much more resilient Hull
    - Early kick off
    - Arsenal poor form
    - Speculation of Wenger finishing up soon

    Ibra (c)

  30. ChristoBisto
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    I'm holding firm with Siggy (c). So tempting to switch to Ibra/Sanchez but then if Siggy outscored them I would probably never ever forgive myself for lack of cahones. Who is with me?

    1. Netley Lucas
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      I am with you.

      1. ChristoBisto
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 3 months ago

        High five buddy let's go!