Scout Betting

Paddy Says – Gameweek 28

One Gameweek. Eight teams. Four fixtures. Six words: Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds.

Welcome to another episode of Paddy Says.

We have a small but perfectly formed schedule to talk about today. But before we can do that, we need to do this, ‘this’ being a look at the Enhanced Offers available for new customers signing up with Paddy today.

Such a reduced Gameweek means there’s only one Premier League price on offer and it’s Liverpool 5-1 to beat Burnley.

The Reds were back to their best in the 3-1 win over Arsenal last week and will entertain a Burnley side that currently has fewer points (two) on the road than a driver learning to turn their car around.

Three. They do three-point turns.

Moving on.

As a bit of a bonus, and seeing as it’s an all-Premier League affair, Paddy has also come up with two great prices on Monday night’s FA Cup quaeter-final clash between Chelsea and Manchester United.

The perceived wisdom is that Chelsea will prevail, and you can get a massive 10-1 on that happening.

But should the Red Devils take the spoils, there’s a whopping 16-1 available on that.

Enhanced winnings are credited in free bets. Be sure to check the terms and conditions that apply on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. If you’re going to wager, please always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 28

PlayerTeamOdds
LukakuEVE2.00
ManeLIV2.10
FirminoLIV2.20
CoutinhoLIV2.29
CarrollWHU2.62
HernandezHUL3.00
LlorenteSWA3.10
LallanaLIV3.10
GradelBOU3.10
SnodgrassWHU3.10
BarkleyEVE3.20
KingBOU3.25
NiasseHUL3.50
MirallasEVE3.60
SigurdssonSWA3.75
AntonioWHU3.75


For such a small Gameweek, the winning margin in our captaincy poll was enormous.

It was a Romelu Lukaku landslide, as befits a man who has been bought by nearly 300,000 new Fantasy managers this week, making him the third most popular purchase as Everton welcome West Brom to Goodison Park.

Paddy has duly slapped the lowest Anytime Goalscorer price (2.00) on the big Belgian, with another heavily bought player, Liverpool’s Sadio Mane, at 2.10 to score against Burnley on Sunday.

The most transferred-in player of the week, however, is Swansea hit man Fernando Llorente, who has enjoyed a 305,000+ surge in ownership as the Swans travel to Hull City.

The Spaniard has the form – three goals in his last two starts – and a certain amount of pedigree as three of his last five strikers have come away from home.

Another popular Gameweek 28 buy has been Bournemouth midfielder Josh King. His 3.25 price to score at home to West Ham looks generous for a man with back-to-back goals (and five from his last six starts) who is currently his team’s penalty taker as well.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 28

TeamOdds
Liverpool1.80
Everton2.00
Hull City2.87
Swansea City3.50
Bournemouth3.75
West Ham4.00
West Brom4.50
Burnley10.00


Liverpool top the clean sheet odds despite managing only one shut-out from their last eight matches.

Much of that is down to visitors Burnley, who do less damage on the road than a repaired pot-hole.

Despite all that, Nathaniel Clyne is the only Liverpool defender in the top 30 for transfers-in this week.

Only one defender makes it into the top ten, and it’s Everton’s Seamus Coleman.

The Toffees are 2.00 to blank visitors West Brom this afternoon, which would make it three clean sheets from their last four starts. A lot of Coleman’s appeal, however, comes from his attacking threat – the Irishman has a goal and three assists from his last six matches.

Hull (2.87) and Swansea (3.50) will be taking part in a good old-fashioned relegation dog-fight today.

A point would suit the Swans more, although they haven’t kept an away clean sheet since Gameweek 9, while the Tigers will be looking for their first shut-out since they managed back-to-back blanks in Gameweeks 23 and 24.

Fantasy managers seem wary. No Hull defenders make it into the top 30 for purchases this week, while the two Swansea men who do – Martin Olsson and Alfie Mawson – have a genuine goal threat to add to their appeal.

980 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Ninja Škrtel
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    current squad

    foster
    mcauley, daniels,
    mane, firmino, siggy
    lukaku, llorente.

    already took a hit to get Mane (wasn't aware Firmino is injured) after bringing Llorente.
    1st in my league, rival has the same points

    what do i do? take another hit?

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      i'd try to get in at least 1 more

    2. Earn your Spurs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      I would - maybe everton defender?

    3. Effe
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      I'd do at least one more -4. Look at maybe Coleman or A Carroll (or maybe both)

  2. diesel001
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    Man City strong team in the FA Cup. Away from home should suit them. Not done well at home against teams in the top half of the table - pretty much all draws / losses.

    1. diesel001
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      And Liverpool are strong against teams in the top half away from home - have not lost a game. So don't be selling those Liverpool players just yet!

  3. Giovanni Giorgio
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    Defoe at -144.7 before a beautiful run of fixtures ahead, including Burnley at home next GW. Woah.

    1. Royal5
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Blank?

      1. Giovanni Giorgio
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 1 month ago

        Yes but a bit shortsighted imo.

    2. JAC THE CAT
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      I bring him in next GW

  4. RangerMouse
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    Already taken a -4 this week, worth another to do Gray -> Llorente?

    Thanks

    1. Earn your Spurs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Yes 🙂

    2. Jethrik
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      No.

  5. Weasel51
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    Really need a hand with this last transfer. My team currently is:

    Heaton
    Coleman Evans Holgate
    Mane Siggy Coutinho Leko
    Lukaku Llorente

    Pickford Pieters Alonso Sterling Costa

    Is it worth doing Costa >> Carroll this week for a hit then doing one of Llorente/Carroll >> Kane next week? Or am I missing something else?

    Cheers in advance

    1. Earn your Spurs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Sounds good

  6. Toothless
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    Would it be worth doing Alli > Coutinho for -4 this week?
    Chances are I'll do something very similar to Coutinho > Alli next week...

    1. Jethrik
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      No. This week will be a damp squib. Chill out. Rather have Alli than Cout going forward. Have both at the mo but will ship Cout for Pedro.

  7. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    Where is Harry Kane in the selling stakes, please? 🙂

    1. Earn your Spurs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      +36% and no net movement

      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers, Sir! 😀

  8. Shrimpy
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    Is a -8 worth it for Stanislas > King?

    1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Ooo. Only just, if at all.

  9. Kalou
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    Ship Alonso for Coleman for -4 hit?

    A.Yes dude

    B.No your crazy!

    1. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      No way don't ship alonso for a hit... But do get coleman!

    2. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      How many players do you have?

      1. Kalou
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 1 month ago

        Currently have 10 players and own Williams too!

        Leader off my ml only has 8...

        1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          7 years, 1 month ago

          No, then.

    3. Earn your Spurs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Must be somone else you can sell?

  10. Garfield1001
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    Currently on a -8 with the following:

    Heaton
    Brunt Coleman
    Mane Coutinho Siggy
    Lukaku Carroll Llorente

    Carroll will become Kane next week.

    However strongly considering another -4 to shift de Roon out for King.

    Opinions much appreciated!

    1. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      If you want King long term then may as well do it... If it's just a 1 week punt its harder to pay off... The players i took hits for are part of a long term move towards 3-5-2 so not as worried abouts hits... Its almost like half price transfers this week in that regard!

  11. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    Took a 16 point hit for below... And now Firmino injured! Worth one more hit for Coutinho? Basically i'd need (Robertson, Mane, Coutinho, Llorente, Barnes) to score 20 points more than Firmino & Phillips... If Firmino & Phillips don't start that's 10 points of the 20 back almost straight away so it's hopefully not too much of a stretch...

    Heaton
    Coleman, Brunt, Robertson
    Siggy, Mane(vc), Firmino, TDavies
    Barnes, Llorent, Lukaku(c)
    (Robinson, Alonso, Alli, Friend)

    1. Syd.
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Good luck in GW29

      1. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 1 month ago

        Have 9.8m ITB so doing either or both of TDavies & Llorente > Pedro & Kane to give below which shouldn't be too bad hopefully 🙂 potentially with Cout instead of Firmino!

        Heaton
        Alonso, Coleman, Brunt
        Alli, Mane, Firmino, Pedro, Siggy
        Kane, Lukaku
        (Robinson, Friend, Robertson, Barnes) with 2.0 ITB

    2. Differentiator
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      No

  12. Bad Butcher
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    Aguero --> Caroll for -12 or keep?

    Jaku
    Baines Brunt
    Mane Cout (C) Siggi King
    Lukaku Lorente

  13. EDEN THE MAN
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    Is Tom Caroll Nailed?

    1. Pinky and Brain
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

    2. Teddy Brewski
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Yep

  14. Hobolicious
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    King or Carroll? (Already have Lanzini)

  15. EDEN THE MAN
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    Is it correct that most people are moving towards 3-5-2's

    I'm moving away. It hasn't worked out for a while now.

    Basically Pick 2

    1. EDEN THE MAN
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      ... Big Hitting Strikers
      and one of Gabs/Llorente/Defoe?

    2. Earn your Spurs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      I'm going for 3 upfront ongoing

    3. vectorman
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      I've used 3-5-2 most this season but definitely think it's time to switch back to the tried and tested 3-4-3.. With the Saints having two DGW's it's made my mind up to have Gab.

  16. GuillermoDickero
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    Valdes not starting for borough... is he out of favour... if so...

    Valdes ----> Jaku (-4)

    Would appreciate your thoughts

    1. Royal5
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      🙄

    2. Hooky
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      No he's just being tested as it's a cup game

      1. Hooky
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 1 month ago

        *rested

  17. thep025
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    Play Heaton or Jakupovic? Surely Jaku?

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Don't reckon Heaton can deny Liverpool twice in one season

  18. WE ARE RANGERS
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    Best Saints defender to get from next week? Stephens, Martina? Cedric?

    1. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      None before Spurs

    2. EDEN THE MAN
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      BERTRAND

  19. NATSTER
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    Double Liverpool mids or Have at least 1 WHU attacks ?

    Is it the right time for getting Carroll ?

    1. Hybrid.power
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      I just got him, not really by choice. Couldnt get Llorente as I have 3 swans players already. West Ham fixtures look okay though.

    2. Speédy
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      I actually back Carroll to outscore llorente next 2

      1. Jethrik
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 1 month ago

        Me too. He's a beast when fit.

  20. Hybrid.power
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    I just need a ton of goals this weekend, since most of my players are playing each other!

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      it's going to be a low scoring gw ain't it? All those hits are going to screw us over

      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 1 month ago

        In a word? Yes. 🙂

        1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 1 month ago

          🙁

        2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 1 month ago

          😯

          1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            7 years, 1 month ago

            😀

  21. diesel001
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    Boro-City (FA Cup) predictions?

    Going 0-4 to City.

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Aguero hattie today wouldn't surprise me now

    2. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      1-1

    3. jia you
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      0-2 (Aguero 47' 59')

      1. jia you
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 1 month ago

        make that 0-3 (Silva 7' Aguero 47' 59') haha...

  22. Speédy
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    Jaku
    Coleman baines brunt Maguire
    Mane coutinho siggy king
    Lukaku (c) Carroll
    Grant Alonso eriksen kun
    Gtg???

  23. JÆKS ⭐
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    Valdes dropped?

  24. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    Please help... leading a lot of leagues so not keen on taking hits but is this worth it?

    A. Kun > Llorente (-8 total and enables King > Sanchez next week)

    B. Leave it!

    Jaku
    Coleman Evans
    J. King Mane Siggy Antonio
    Lukaku(C)

    No game: Heaton Kun Kane Walker Alonso Pieters Capoue

    1. Won't sleep till after…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      I'd go B leave it. Maybe just hold King for West Ham home and Swansea home. Bournemouth need wins! Sanchez's mind clearly elsewhere at the moment.

  25. Toothless
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    Aguero hatrick today, just to troll the TC-ers from last week.

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      £10 going on! Will happen haha

    2. diesel001
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      With hindsight (and stupidly not checking the stats before the DGW). City are rubbish at home against teams in the top half of the PL. Basically all draws and losses - the result against Stoke isn't therefore a surprise. I would be wary of their assets against Liverpool next week.

      Contrast this with City's record away from home - ridiculously good.

  26. GuillermoDickero
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    Valdes ---> jaku for a -4?

  27. The Yorkshire Pirlo
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    Those with Firmino, what's your plans for him?

    1. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Selling for Carroll

    2. bullet640
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Was going to captain, is he likely to play 90?

    3. RoysCallerAnne
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Sold him for a hit. He won't play. Imo no source

  28. GreenArrows
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    G2G or any other hits worth it?

    Jaku
    McAuley Baines Coleman
    Mane (Vc) Siggy Carroll Eriksen*
    Llorente Lakaku (C) Gray

    Pickford Alonso Sterling Lenihan*

    7.2itb 0FT

    Taken a -4 to get 10 players (Stanislas to Carroll and Aguero to Llotrene)

    Sterling > Cout?

    Looking at doing Gray > Kane after Sunday FA cup game.

  29. James101
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    ...so basically we don't know if Firmino will play. Right?

    1. diesel001
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Correct. But unlikely given not trained for at least most of the week.

    2. Forza Papac
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      right

    3. Netley Lucas
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      That's right, but the way Klopp was bigging-up Origi and reports suggest he won't take any chances with Bobby's fitness kind of adds up to being out.

  30. Shrimpy
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 1 month ago

    typical City

    1. diesel001
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 1 month ago

      Yes. Good away from home. Poor against teams in the top half of the table at home - be careful of their players against Liverpool next week! Liverpool very good against teams in the top half away from home - have not lost a game.