The Scoreboard – Gameweek 11 – Monday

Can anyone top this idiocy?

Captain Hazard against Villa
Sold Ighalo last week
Played Darmian over Sagna last week
Benched Mahrez this week
Benched Darmian for Cresswell this week
Changed captain from Lukaku to KDB this week

It's no wonder noobs in my MLs are ahead of me.

SHAZZA'S TEAM UPDATE

Another decent performance by the Ashley All Stars beating the global average by 3 points, however it wasn't enough to avoid a second consecutive red arrow dropping to 58th overall from 18th last week.

The Vardy-Mahrez double delivered yet again and with Watford at home next week we'll all be hoping for a green arrow in Gameweek 12!

http://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/1686099/event-history/11/

News of the week though is that we have an interesting twist with the introduction of a pie! Luke Pie! Although not truly dead having played his WC in GW9 Luke's is still doing flipping well on zero transfers to lie 43rd over all.

http://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/1014188/event-history/11/

Game Week 12:

ARS: TOT 220
AVL: MCI -445
BOU: NEW 157
CHE: sto 136
CPL: liv -106
EVE: whm -73
LEI: WAT 91
LIV: CPL 106
MCY: avl 445
MUN: WBA 384
NEW: bou -157
NOR: SWA -58
SOT: sun 225
STK: CHE -136
SUN: SOT -225
SWA: nor 58
TOT: ars -220
WAT: lei -91
WBA: mun -384
WHM: EVE 73

*Bottom of last page*
Your opinion would be much appreciated;

1 FT, 2.5 ITB

Butland
Smalling / Kolarov / Azpilicueta
Payet / Sanchez / Mahrez / De Bruyne
Vardy / Martial / Pelle

Subs: McCarthy / Muniesa / Westwood / Huth

A) Martial --> Lukaku
B) Azpi --> Bellerin/Kosc
C) Sort out my horrible, injury ridden bench

A quick note on "coverage"

I get that you can have team coverage, and be wary of how many players you have from teams. Having 3 players from a side that could easily fall out of form is risky and it would make sense to reduce that number to 2 so your reducing the amount of transfers you would need to make to get rid of these players if they did indeed fall out of form.

So we see here there is a REAL effect this has as it could result in extra transfers being used, these transfers have a "value" which in the end will likely reduce your overall score.

HOWEVER the coverage that makes no sense from a numerical point of view is coverage within in a single GW when deciding who to bench.
Let's simplify the situation and look at defenders with clean sheets, not taking into account bonus or attacking returns.
For example:
defenders A + B are from the same team and the chance of clean sheet is 50%.
Defender C is from a different team and the chance of a clean sheet is 40%

By playing A+B you can expect:
players A + B to score 4 points on average ( 2 for playing + 2 for 50% chance of clean sheet)
50% chance of scoring 4 points total
50% chance of scoring 12 points total
Average score 8 points total

For playing A+C
Player C will score 3.6 points on average (2 for playing + 1.6 for 40% chance of clean sheet)
30% chance of scoring 4 points total
50% chance of scoring 8 points total
20% chance of scoring 12 points total
Average score 7.6 points total.

So you are reducing the risk of a low score, but why does that matter for a single gameweek? It doesn't matter how well you do in a single gameweek. All that counts is the final score. There are occasions where playing A+C would be beneficial but not this early in the season. All you should be concerned about is maximising your "expected" score.

I realise this is a long post and a lot of you already knew this anyway but I feel it is important to understand and would help people score better. Are you a culprit of this way of thinking??

What defender would you look to bring in this week and for the foreseeable future? Have narrowed it down to Van Dijk/Bertrand/Moreno/Smalling (although wary of his price)

This site really should be a forum system.
-nobody talks about the article on the "comments"
-end of page nonsense which means timing of post is important for responses
-could have RMT/what to next/who to bench etc etc section
-hot topics would be easier to see and respond to

Any reason why it's like this?

Standard Lukaku goal against West Ham this weekend or do people think they can keep Everton out?

Pick one to bench from these lot?

Payet_Wijnaldum_Mahrez_Sanchez_KDB
Vardy__________Lukaku_________Pelle

Already wastefully used AOA so not an option

Butland
Clyne Reid VVD
Mahrez Payet Sanchez KDB
Lukaku Vardy(c) Costa
Subs - McCarthy Westwood Richards Gomez

0.2 ITB & 1 FT....good to go??

I know there are a lot of ManU fans here, so there'll probably be enough people to help me with this; Jones is nailed on when fit right? For the next 6 gw's a nailed on ManU defender for 5.2 would be great and I'm looking to replace Prodl. Darmian is not an option as he is in and out of the team too often and Smalling is too expensive for me. I would consider Rojo, but if I could save 0.2 that would be great of course. Or would you advise to just pay that 0.2 and be done with it? Blind not a threat then?

Am thinking Payet at the moment, but it could change if Sakho is fit for the weekend. i know Sakho is not scoring but he puts a massive shift in and they missed him this weekend.

Butland
Bellerín Kolarov Smalling
Sanchez KDB Payet Mahrez
Lukaku Pelle Vardy
Schmeichel Francis Dawson Westwood
1ft, 2,1 m itb
Westwood no play a worry but might wait I guess. At least no benching headache 🙂
Save or any better idea?

A) Swap Huth > Kompany (starting Kompany, Monreal and Van Dijk, benching Evans and Darmian)
B) Swap Martial > Ighalo (and start Evans)
C) Both for a hit

New post:
http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2015/11/03/scout-notes-gameweek-11-monday/

Terry to Moreno or hold?

Myhill (Hennessy)
Cedri Janmaat Bellerin
BARKLEYSterling Sanchez KDB (Hangeland, Simpson)
BONY Ighalo Pelle

4.8mn ITB & 1FT

Barkley/Sterling + Bony -> Ozil/Wijnaldum + Lukaku/Tekkers for a hit

Tricky week this week. Firstly, who would you bench? (Currently i'm benching Hennessy, Azpi, Richards and Payet)

Hart/Hennessy
Galloway/Woschield/Huth/Azpi/Richards
Payet/Ayew/Mahrez/Sanchez/KDB
Vardy/Bony/Ighalo

Secondly...who would you captain? (Currently on Bony vs Villa but far from decided).

Hello please be gentle first time comment, benching dilemma my team GW12: GK Cech, defence bellerin, Simpson (Leicester), Sagna, midfield ayew (swans) mahrez, de Bruyne (C), Sanchez, forwards bony, Vardy, pelle. Bench currently hennesy, payet, clyne, dier.
Should I bench ayew for payet or pelle as his away goals ratio is much lower than home form? Thnx