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Members August 23

FPL Gameweek 3 – Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

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Out latest article analyses the Opta-driven expected goals (xG) data that is available to subscribers in the Members’ area.

As well as taking a look at the expected goals scored and conceded for all 20 Premier League teams after two Gameweeks of the season, we assess the highest-performing forwards, midfielders and defenders in terms of their own personal expected goal involvement (xGI).

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2,868 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Scotty B
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Kamara has more points than Lacazette...just sayin

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    1. Long ball Larry
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Why?

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    2. Fantastisk
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Lolcazette

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  2. Jas_sid
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Is having Morata in the team a good differential or just a bad idea I am trying to sell to myself?

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    1. French Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Don’t do it m8

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    2. Tev
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Could be an absolute bargain if he gets his confidence back. However, I’d like to wait and see on that front, as well as how he slots into the team with Hazard back

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    3. AllanM
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      He’s bad value compared to other options at lower prices. However if you are happy with the rest of your team and you have cash to burn could be a risk that pays off with good fixtures and he likely starts.

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    4. Khark
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Same boat. Eyeing him up.

      Juventus Morata was Fire.

      If we see his confidence come back 9m is an absolute steal. If his confidence doesn’t comeback he will be switching in and out the team with Giroud and potentially even Hazard false 9 with willian and Pedro either side so could be dropped, he’s nailed for now though as Sarri has spoken well of him.

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  3. Infamy, Infamy
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Where is Raga Olay? He was writing some brilliant stuff.

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    1. Infamy, Infamy
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Ragabolly.

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    2. panda07
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Yeah, I enjoyed his articles too

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  4. Hardly Athletic
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Current wildcard squad:

    Ederson - Hamer
    Mendy - Alonso - TAA - Tomkins - Wan-Bissaka
    Salah - Mane - Mkhitaryan - Richarlison - Fraser
    Aguero - Wilson - Ings

    Good to go or should I look at getting Pedro in for Fraser by downgrading Wilson?

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    1. Jas_sid
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Two Bournemouth assets are a bit excessive, might want to change Wilson to Mitro, imo

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    2. vova
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Looks similar to mine. I think it's G2G, don't see many option cheaper than Wilson apart from Ings.

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    3. It's his Job.
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Looking Good and I think its one or the other Pedro Or Mkhi and you chose the latter good choice with the upcoming fixtures now; although I am not a fan of arsenal atm.

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  5. It's his Job.
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Good to go?

    Foster
    Robo Alonso Mendy
    Salah Bsilva Richarlison Mane
    Ings Aguero Wilson

    Hamer/Neves/Stankovic/Wan Bissaka

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    1. Woy of the Wovers
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      You know it is

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      1. It's his Job.
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        I can say it's good all night long but that's my opinion, to get others take brings a bit more reality to the team.

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    2. Khark
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Is this a wildcard team?

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  6. Deeney-is-a-god
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    hazard or mane?

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    1. Long ball Larry
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Hazard

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      1. Deeney-is-a-god
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Leaning towards him myself

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      2. 4zim
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Do you have Salah?

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        1. Deeney-is-a-god
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 9 months ago

          yep

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    2. _figu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Mane until Haz has started a game

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      1. Deeney-is-a-god
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        fair point

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    3. Now I'm Panicking
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Hazard - fixtures

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      1. Deeney-is-a-god
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        fixtures is one of the biggest reasons I am leaning towards hazard

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  7. RubeRx
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Props to whoever wrote this article, its very informative. Hope this becomes a weekly thing, as I don't remember ever seeing it before.

    xG is probably the most advanced stat us fantasy managers have available

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    1. XabiAlonso
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      It confirms the Salah sellers being correct also 🙂

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      1. Long ball Larry
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        How?

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        1. El Lobito 10
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 9 months ago

          Sarcasm Harry mate.

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          1. Long ball Larry
            • 5 Years
            5 years, 9 months ago

            Larry?

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      2. Costa Nostra
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Come again?? Lol

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  8. Ronnies
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    WC team... any thoughts or feedback guys ?

    ederson
    mendy - robo - alonso
    salah (c) mane - mkhi - richarlison
    aguero - zaha - ings

    hamer - guendouzi - bennett - wan bissaka

    Thanks.

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    1. _figu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      I'm putting more on my bench

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    2. vova
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Solid team. Maybe Stephens (if he falls in price before the deadline) or Zambo Anguissa instead of Guendouzi as they are more nailed on IMO.

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      1. Ronnies
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Cheers bro.

        I just checked Zambo Anguissa mins.. he didnt play GW 1, Any reason for that ? maybe hes not nailed either ?

        Thanks.

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        1. Infamy, Infamy
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 9 months ago

          They had just signed him from Marseille. A week to get match fit. Nailed on.

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    3. XabiAlonso
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Nice

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    4. Chasing Waves
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Cap this week?

      1. Kun
      2. Kun
      3. Kun
      4. Kun

      First to 5 wins

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  9. CHARLIE HULL
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Anyone think Bailly is a potential risk this weekend? My bench isn't looking too strong without him.

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    1. Siggy in the Middle
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Worried about the same thing. If neither him or Peltier play, I'm gonna have ten men.

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    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      After last week not sure it is worth starting him anyway.

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    3. osceola31909
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      I'm in the same boat. I have read articles speculating he will be benched and others saying Mourinho will stick with him, perhaps as part of a back three. I have no idea.

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    4. ignis88
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      He was awful last week. Could see him dropped

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  10. SMOOTH
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    laca to mitrovic and bednarek to alonso for -4?

    otherwise probably have a non playing def this week

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    1. vova
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      I think it's a decent move.

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      1. vova
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Since Lacazette might not start either.

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        1. SMOOTH
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          5 years, 9 months ago

          dont you think this is the week where lacazette gets the start?

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          1. Ruth_NZ
            • 9 Years
            5 years, 9 months ago

            Emery said he won't play 2 strikers. So unless he drops Aubameyang that doesn't seem likely.

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            1. Buzzy
              • 7 Years
              5 years, 9 months ago

              should also mean Mkhitaryan is safer than I first thought

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          2. vova
            • 13 Years
            5 years, 9 months ago

            Not too sure but he isn't really nailed. Your choice though, go with your gut.

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    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Yes. Huge upgrade.

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  11. DGW Sane TC Fail....
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    is it possible to go through the season without salah?

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    1. ignis88
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      imo that depends on Hazard

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    2. XabiAlonso
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Yes just with a few points less than you could’ve had

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    3. HellasLEAF
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Honestly at 13.0 and Mane/Firm picking up points each game, I think it is possible depending how you spend that money. Let's add Milner took the PK.

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      1. DGW Sane TC Fail....
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Yeah he's very expensive. i've gone Mane over him. only worry is captain, but i can cover him till gameweek 10 with Aguero and Kane.

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  12. French Gooner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Ready to crush GW3:
    Thoughts ?

    Foster
    Alonso - Mendy - TAA
    Salah (c) - Mane - Mkhi - Rich
    Aguero - Tosun - King

    Flappy 1. Stephens 2. WB 3. 4.0

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    1. FPL Jogger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Looks good. King would be my only change

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      1. French Gooner
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Giving him this last GW - then going to downgrade to Ings or switch to Mitrovic

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  13. Dillonb93
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Worth selling Luke shaw for a -4 or risk he won’t play? Might be down to 10 men

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    1. Long ball Larry
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      If down to 10 then probably

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    2. French Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Where’s your bench?

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      1. Dillonb93
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        My bench defenders are wann bissaka and Peltier...

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  14. Bruno Bruno!!
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    If Pedro looks nailed when hazard is back in the team how does the following sound for GW5 using 2 FT?

    B.Silva + Firmino + King -> Aubameyang + Pedro + Zaha (-4)

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    1. 4zim
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Latter looks better. Think about Mitrovic instead of Zaha too

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  15. ignis88
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Bernardo -> Mkhi (-4) too kneejerky? Missed the price rise so probably..

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    1. BadgersBoys
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Not worth the hit.

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    2. Long ball Larry
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Defo not

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    3. FPL Pillars
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      definitely not

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  16. shirtless
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    King>Ings done, would you use my second FT or hold to reassess Hazard next week..?

    Ryan
    Mendy Robbo PvA
    Salah(c) ERIKSEN Fernandinho Cairney
    Aguero Auba Ings

    Button Stephens Peletier WB

    Fraser in?
    Mane in?

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    1. ignis88
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Hazard might not start next game

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    2. Bruno Bruno!!
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      I got rid of Eriksen and Cairney for Richarlison + Mkhi

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      1. Shineonme
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        ^^What Anish said 100%^^

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        1. shirtless
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          5 years, 9 months ago

          Thanks gents.

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    3. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Fraser in a good move. Improvement over Fernandinho and Cairney.

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  17. JUST ONE LOMBARDO...
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    0.9m in the bank.

    Do I take out Cedric and Kenedy for Bellerin and Guendouzi for a 4 point hit?

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    1. Dreaming of glory
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Saints have decent fixtures and that kenedy move is backwards imo unless hes banned and u need to ship

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  18. MITRAKADABRA
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Do you guys think Lacazette could start this weekend?

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    1. internal error
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Very unlikely based on Emerys comments. Infact he said he wouldnt start him with Auba this weekend

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  19. Joyce1998
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    any comments on this wc team???

    foster, hamer
    alonso, mendyy, robbo, periera, wba
    mane,mki, bsilva, rich, 4.5
    kun, aub, zaha
    0.6 itb

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    1. FPL Jogger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Bilva is the main risk, might not play and looks as though he is playing a deeper role.

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    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      What formation are you mainly going to play? Assuming you do not intend to bench any of the kids or forwards then Periera is a waste. You could get improve Bilva or get a stronger 5th mid. If you are playing 4 at the back downgrade a mid or forward?

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  20. Albrightondknight
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    I have Salah and Auba WC boils down to this choice is Mane worth it

    In A Bennett may play occasionally when Wan-B not available

    A. Mane Bennett Hennessey
    B. Mkhi Bellerin Ederson
    Thanks for replies really stuck on this. May risk A for a few weeks and revert to B then?

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    1. FPL Jogger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      B

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  21. Buzzy
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    seen a few posts about Shaw's injury.
    a bigger concern for Shaw owners is Valencia has returned to full training according to david mcdonnell of the daily mirror and espn. shaw being carefully managed to get him fit for tottenham. key thing here is if valencia is fit to play cos that means young would play at lb.
    matic also back in full training.
    here's the article, make of that what you will.

    double-injury-boost for Man U

    https://www.mirror.co.uk/sport/football/news/manchester-united-receive-double-injury-13123502

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    1. BadgersBoys
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Cheers. Try a bit of upper case now and again, it's cooler.

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      1. Buzzy
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        C- for me then !

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    2. DGW Sane TC Fail....
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      He's going to get dropped eventually. he's never been one of the special ones gang. Surprised he never moved on in the summer.

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  22. internal error
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    The price drops are brutal. I thought i was safe until Saturday with about 30 players more likely to drop in price, two days ago. Looks like my guy is dropping tonight

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    1. BadgersBoys
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      I'm enjoying it the past few seasons. Adds more to the game..

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      1. AuFeld
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        I concur. Last season was very stagnant.

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      2. internal error
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Makes it more interesting.

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  23. Iwobi
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Mane, Eriksen or Alli?

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    1. internal error
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Mane

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    2. HellasLEAF
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Mane. I feel that Pool have more goals in them.

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    3. Shineonme
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Mane of course

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    4. Now I'm Panicking
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Mane, but look at Arsenal, Chelsea and Man C instead if you can

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    5. BadgersBoys
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Mane.

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  24. Fantasyamateur
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Had a decent start and placed within top 6k. Saved up 2FT and used one of them on Mkhitaryan for Jota, so currently on this lineup:

    McCarthy
    Mendy - Robertson - Bailly
    Salah - Richarlison - Mané - Mkhitaryan - B.Silva
    Agüero - Tosun

    Bench: Hamer, Kamara, Peltier, Bissaka.

    Nothing in the bank.. Tempted to replace Bailly, but for whom? Monreal being the option I'm leaning towards myself, but thoughts appreciated!

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    1. Shineonme
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Bailey to Bellerin or Daniels

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    2. BadgersBoys
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      I wouldn't really go near Arsenal defenders, regardless of fixtures. Team looks solid. Missing a bit of Chelsea so Alonso would be a great addition but not sure he would be worth the hit.

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    3. the axolotl
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      yeah i would. good shout. him or maybe luiz

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  25. Stimps
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Hi all, wildcard team. Hows it looking? Was thinking of downgrading Mane to Silva and upgrading elsewhere?

    Ederson
    Robertson Mendy Alonso
    Salah Mane Mhki Richarlison
    Kun Wilson Ings

    Hamer Hughes WB Bennett

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  26. The Overthinker
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Eriksen owners, what are you doing with him? What's your exit strategy if any, or are you keeping him?

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    1. AuFeld
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Hold. Spurs fixtures are about to turn for the better.

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  27. When the Son goes down
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Considering the following transfers in my draft league:

    Luiz to one of monreal, sokratis, mustafi

    Jota to one of Gross, Walcott, Iwobi

    I currently have no arsenal coverage at all.

    Thoughts?

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  28. MysticMac17
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Thoughts on my wildcard team?

    Ryan Hamer
    Mendy TAA Tomkins AWB Bennett
    Salah Mane Mkhi Richarlison Kante
    Auba Aguero Kamara

    Have enough money in the bank to upgrade Mane to Hazard come GW 4. Want Mane for the Brighton game and Hazard after that.

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    1. Peter Ouch
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Where is alonso?
      He is must imo

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      1. MysticMac17
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Who would you take out in order to upgrade to him?

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  29. Peter Ouch
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Moura for richa or pedro?

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    1. El Lobito 10
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Flip a coin

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    2. marquinhos
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      pedro for me

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    3. BadgersBoys
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Pedro.

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  30. El Lobito 10
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 9 months ago

    Has anyone considered that Aubameyang could get benched as he hasn't done much in two gamed and Lacazette could start? It's a must win game for Arsenal and he was very sharp v City. Aubameyang maybe could do with being taken out of the spotlight as he's been rubbish and brought on to ease pressure. Plus, Emery seems to be a total lunatic when it comes to his lineups, more unpredictable than Pep. He did bench Ramsey for one poor showing v City.

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    1. internal error
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Someone else did a few hours ago. Oh wait, that was you :p

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      1. El Lobito 10
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 9 months ago

        Lol no one replied. Needed some love 😀

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    2. marquinhos
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      MKHI TIME

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    3. FPL Pillars
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 9 months ago

      Aubameyang needs to get benched for that sitter he missed 😀

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