The Complete Guide to our FPL Gameweek 4 tips and advice

It's a no from me dawg.

No

Nope

Not for me but could pay off

yes! City slow down their scoring later in the season, unrest at Newcastle.

Not for me either. Newcastle will park the bus, won't be that easy to breakdown (unlike the buses on my route)

50/50 personally saving mine for dgwk

I don’t think anyone can give you a good answer to this question. Listen to your gut feeling on this one. Can be a failure, but also a brilliant move.

Yes

People will say no, but DGWs are often a dud and he won’t get a better fixture to haul in than NEW.

If you want to do it, then go for it. Asking on here won’t help.

I don’t even understand your rationale for playing it. The probabilities vs a DGW make no sense. That doesn’t mean Aguero can’t score big but the probabilities are skewed towards doubles. Because Aguero once got 5 vs a different line up under different circumstances does not mean he will score 5 every time he plays Newcastle.

Wilson not even up for debate

Only on this site will any one advise you to play AWB over one of the attackers ( king Wilson etc) absolutely ridiculous imo.

Repost from a few pages ago, but I think it's a coin toss, but it seems that the odds very slightly favor AWB.

...and the tl;dr part

Let's assume that both play 60+minutes. The math without bonuses slightly favors Wilson (values from bookies except for cards, which are based on history)

- AWB chance for CS 38 %, goal 7 % (2+ goals 0,7 %), assist 10 %, 2+ goals against 29 %, 4+ goals against 6 %, YC 10 %, RC 10 %, = expected FPL points without bonuses 3.65
- Wilson chance for a goal 30 %, 2+ goals 7 %, assist 14 %, YC 12 %, RC 0%, = expected FPL points without bonuses 3.77

However, if you factor in bonuses, I think AWB nudges slightly ahead. Wilson has historically earned 0.43 bonus points per 90 minutes played (and only 1 bonus point this year despite 2 G + 3 A in 3 games), but as it is more likely that CPL keeps a CS than Wilson scores and AWB has the assist potential, I think he's slightly more likely to end up with bonuses. The bonuses in the CHE-BOU game most likely go to Alonsos and Hazards.

AWB but I have King instead of Wilson. Palace more likely to keep a clean sheet than King score

Wilson

Good team.

Like Maddison, but not the rest of your bench

I like the bench. Nicely set up for the rotation season. Benching a 6.5 is never good though!

Good team.

Would get Robertson instead for TAA, Maddison to Fraser

Why Kante? I have him too, need reassurance

Wait a couple weeks

Yes

Errrrr tricky, I do like Moura but united played into his hands with such a high defensive line. He will do well but don’t expect hauls every week.

Do you already own Mkhitaryan and Walcott?

Just because I don’t like Bilva long term I would say Yes. But Bilva v Newcastle could do well.

Could pay off but I'd roll the transfer.

Yes

C

B

B

B

C LONGTERM WITH eriksen especially as he is good captain for gw 8 when liv vs mci happens

C with Eriksen, he's due points

C

King

King

Kanté

Kante

This is what I'm waiting on. Either Tomkins or potential chambers cameo. So do seeing about a 4pt hit to love chambers.

BBC say he's "set to be fit".

gtg

b

Coin toss

B

C

c

A

For what?

B

Literally seen this question 1000 times over the week. Most people saying AWB

Really?

wilson

Wilson is also cheaper

Not dropping if he gets a haul

cedric always looks good but in reality hes crap

How about Jonny?

B

Look a few posts up

emery still experimenting a little bit but guendouzi has looked a good player so far. not nailed on i'd say, but likely to play. torreira lurking on the bench but guendouzi was the better player than xhaka so xhaka more likely to be dropped if torreira comes in imo

To me he’s Arsenal’s best player

He is likely to be dropped, hopefully long term partnership to be Torreira Xaka

only salah for me on wc

100% agree, lots moving out Robertson, Firminio and Mane due to fixtures but surely Liverpool are contenders for the title...….I don't see the same theory being applied to Spurs, Man City and Chelsea...….??? also the Hazard move is weird as he has only completed one 90 minute game ?? ……..oh well....

I agree.

Robortson and Salah aint going nowhere.
Did Mané -> Hazard due to fixtures the next many GW's.

Also I kinda like owning 2 players and not 3 players from a team this early. Makes it a bot easier to adapt when we know more.

City: Mendy + Agüero (can get a midfielder in later on if someone is more nailed than atm)
Pool: Robertson + Salah (can get another one in after the tougher fixtures)
Che: Alonso + Hazard (if Pedro hold his spot the next few weeks I can get him in)

Foster or Fab

I've mentioned this previously, too many chasers. Better for those of us that take a holistic view.

People also want Salah , Hazard and Kun who are all captaincy candidates . Can’t have them all but let’s see what happens after his first brace/hat trick

Put Jamie in the broom cupboard this week

No

no

average

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