Spot the Differential

Pogba and Alli differential United and Spurs options for Gameweek 31+ onwards

The return of the Premier League, and Fantasy Premier League, saw several intriguing mid-price differentials emerge with double-digit hauls, including Matt Ritchie (£5.3m), Allan Saint-Maximin (£5.4m), Stuart Armstrong (£5.2m) and one of our Gameweek 29 selections, Phil Foden (£5.1m).

Suddenly, there’s no shortage of low-owned picks to consider for those willing to think outside of the box.

This time, we focus on three assets who we like the look of for Gameweek 31+ and beyond, all of whom have an ownership of 5% or less.

Dele Alli

  • FPL ownership: 3.4%
  • Price: £8.3m
  • GW31+ to 35+ fixtures: WHU | shu | EVE | bou | ARS

Having missed Friday’s 1-1 draw with Manchester United through suspension, Dele Alli (£8.3m) is back for Tottenham Hotspur’s home clash with London rivals West Ham United.

The feeling amongst supporters is that he will replace Erik Lamela (£5.7m) in Spurs’ starting XI and will line up in his favoured no. 10 role, behind Harry Kane (£10.8m) in a 4-2-3-1.

Alli’s resurgence at the time of Jose Mourinho’s appointment in November saw him go on a run of four goals and three assists in seven league matches. In fact, no teammate has scored more goals (six) or provided more assists (four) for Spurs in the Premier League since, whilst his 12 big chances over that period is more than any other midfielder.

His ability to both create and score is appealing, and the hope is now that he can kick on and finish the season strongly.

Spurs sit nine points behind Chelsea in fourth, and four points behind Manchester United in fifth, which could be enough for Champions League qualification depending on Manchester City’s appeal against their impending ban.

Whilst many are looking to Son Heung-min (£9.7m) as their Spurs differential of choice this week, Alli is flying under the radar, and with nine goals in all competitions already this season, it surely won’t be long before he’s into double figures.

Paul Pogba

  • FPL ownership: 3.7%
  • Price: £8.3m
  • GW31+ to 35+ fixtures: SHU | bha | BOU | avl | SOU

At his best, there is no doubt that Paul Pogba (£8.3m) is one of the most talented midfielders in the world. The question for FPL managers is, how consistently can he show it?

The 27-year-old has endured a stop-start campaign due to a string of injuries but returned on Friday night with an eye-catching cameo. In just over half an hour at Spurs, he completely changed the course of the game and won the equalising penalty after some neat footwork. The stats were telling: 95% pass competition, two out of two take-ons completed, four ball recoveries, one assist and one shot.

Whilst debate rages about his inconsistencies and off-the-ball contributions, what no-one can doubt is his ability. Amongst midfielders who have played over 500 minutes this season, he ranks seventh for chances created per 90, and his passing and dribbling ability will be a key weapon for United when trying to unpick deeper-lying defences.

The Red Devils are now unbeaten in 12 games across all competitions, and with Bruno Fernandes (£8.7m) adding some much-needed creativity and invention further forward, they are starting to look good again.

We suspect we may see Pogba from the start against Sheffield United and, if he can repeat what he showed on Friday night going forward, he can be a key figure as United battle for a place in the top four.

James Justin

  • FPL ownership: 0.4%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW31+ to 35+ fixtures: BHA | eve | CRY | ars | bou

James Justin (£4.7m) has had to wait patiently for his opportunity since joining Leicester City for £6m plus add-ons last summer but with first-choice right-back Ricardo Pereira (£6.3m) out until October after rupturing his anterior cruciate ligament, the 22-year-old is set for a run in the first team.

In Saturday’s 1-1 draw at Watford, Justin provided an exciting glimpse of his potential. Amongst teammates, only James Maddison (£7.5m) had more final third touches, whilst he also created two chances and won seven of his eight tackles. It was a composed performance, in what was just his third Premier League start.

The young English full-back, who can play on either flank, is a forward-thinking, energetic and hard-working player, and whilst he doesn’t offer the same level of attacking threat as Pereira, his performance at the weekend suggests he should do well for bonus.

Leicester are now only three points clear of fourth-place Chelsea and while they still look odds-on to secure Champions League football, Brendan Rodgers has to make sure his side don’t take their foot off the gas during the run-in.

The Foxes are unbeaten in their previous five encounters when facing Brighton and Hove Albion and head into the match as heavy favourites.

Looking at Leicester’s next five opponents, the highest-ranked team is Crystal Palace in ninth, and with Justin now the cheapest route into their backline, he could be a nice differential for those in search of a budget defender.

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915 Comments Post a Comment
  1. FPL Kakarot
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 12 days ago

    Hi guys, do you think it is fairly safe to settle on this Free Hit team? Rate my team has it at 61.75 point prediction:

    DDG
    Boly - VVD - TAA
    Richarlison - Mane - Son - Sarr - Bruno
    Rashford - Jimmy

    Bench: Fodder but playing

    1. JBG
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      Looks good.

  2. Gudjohnsen
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 12 days ago

    DCL and Richarlison overkill on a free hit?

    1. JBG
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      Read a stat on twitter that Richarlison only has 2 goals against "weaker teams" this season, but it's Norwich so.. Should be ok.

  3. BIG TONES
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 12 days ago

    Cheeky punt on Son (c). Anyone with me?

  4. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
    • 5 Years
    1 month, 12 days ago

    My ML rival doing TC on Vardy

  5. Nuno
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 12 days ago

    xxx
    TAA Doherty xxx (Lascelles 3.9)
    Mane KDB Son Bruno xxx
    Jiminez DCL xxx

    A. Martinez, Rashford, Boly (Guendouzi)
    B. DDG, Martial, Holgate (Nketiah)

  6. Fpl-king
    • 2 Years
    1 month, 12 days ago

    Not seeing much Love for Auba

    I’m currently on my WildCard. Should I be looking to ship him out you think?

    1. gers23
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      im keeping. He has Saints and Norwich then he is gone.

  7. Pumpy Pro
    • 11 Years
    1 month, 12 days ago

    Mmmm Pool mid or Sterling ? Razza could even play up front

    1. thegaffer82
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      Pool mid, until I see the Sterling of old

    2. Pep Roulette
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      Raz if you're chasing

  8. afsr
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 12 days ago

    GTG or buy anyone for a hit? No WC, only Bench Boost left

    McCarthy
    TAA, Doherty, Holgate
    KdB, Salah, Bruno, Barnes
    Rashford, Jimenez, Jota

    Button, Saka, Williams, Alonso

    1. afsr
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      Forgot to mention 3.7 ITB and 0 FT

    2. Mr. Funny Name
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      Gtg

    3. mirkomen77
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      jota > dcl

  9. pokern1nja09
    • 7 Years
    1 month, 12 days ago

    Salah or Mane for captain?

    1. Dele
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      Salah

  10. thegaffer82
    • 9 Years
    1 month, 12 days ago

    How's she looking? WC team all done... I think!

    ..............DDG - 3.9
    TAA - Saiss - Lascelles - Holgate - 3.9
    KDB - Mane - Bruno - Son - Saka
    ......Jimi(c) - DCL - Rashy

    0.2 ITB

    Thumbs up or thumbs down?

    1. Jellyfish
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      V similar to mine so thumbs up from me

    2. yer old da
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      Thumbs almost up, but held back by the lack of Doherty. Saiss doesn’t really cover him. I’m in the same boat and downgrading Son to Bergwijn to afford him.

    3. Pumpy Pro
      • 11 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      As good as any

  11. yer old da
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 12 days ago

    A or B?

    A. DDG and Bergwijn
    B. Martinez and Alli

  12. manu4life99
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 12 days ago

    GW31 only who scores more

    A) Schmeichel AWB Richie Mane DCL
    B) Dubravka Aurier Justin Son KDB

  13. smix
    • 4 Years
    1 month, 12 days ago

    GTG on WC ?
    Chasing so wanted a couple of differentials in there. Also, no KDB in squad for next couple of games

    DDG
    TAA Doherty Ritchie
    Mane Richarlison(c) Fernandes Son Traore
    DCL Jimenez
    3.9 Holgate Nketiah CTaylo

  14. Gowiththeflow
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 12 days ago

    Too much heavy fire in the midfield??

    FH Team

    Martinez
    TAA / Doherty / Aurier
    Salah / Bruno / Pogba / KdB / Son
    Vardy / Jimenez

    Thoughts? Thank you!!

    1. Mr. Funny Name
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      Not at all, good team

      1. Gowiththeflow
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 12 days ago

        Thanks!!

    2. Gudjohnsen
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      Looks good. Aurier a better option than AWB?

      1. Gowiththeflow
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 12 days ago

        Maybe not but i'm trying to balance the team. Don't want triple UTD... but on the other hand not plenty confident on Spurs. Thanks!

    3. Phil's Stamps
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      Downgrade Aurier and upgrade that shocking goalkeeper.

      1. Gowiththeflow
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 12 days ago

        "shocking keeper" is a nice definition 🙂

        Maybe you're right but it's not an easy downgrade on that price range...

        Thanks!!

    4. HMC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      martinez not a good option on FH
      otherwise i'd go pogba to richarlison

  15. Big Ronnie
    • 6 Years
    1 month, 12 days ago

    Justin or Saiss?

    DCL or Sarr?

    1. thepuntmaster
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      Saiss and DCL

  16. iL PiStOlErO
    • 1 Year
    1 month, 12 days ago

    So Burnley gets trashed yesterday and suddenly many people thinks Martinez is better choice then Pope. Its a trap guys. Burnley will be solid, they have good schedule. And Ars is just a mess.

    1. Fit_to_drop
        1 month, 12 days ago

        Neither of them is a good choice IMO. With Patricio, Dubravka, Foster,Guiata available Im not sure why people would pick any of the two of them.

        1. iL PiStOlErO
          • 1 Year
          1 month, 12 days ago

          If Burnley knows something then thats defending and they play against weaker teams now. Yesterday was their first game after the break so ok it didnt looked good but it wont be the case in next few game weeks.

      • Make Arrows Green Again
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 12 days ago

        Agreed. Leno was only a decent pick because of all the saves. That Arsenal defence is a mess, especially with those injuries. Until we know that Martinez is a save machine, I won't be touching him.

      • Jon Walter's Hatty
        • 6 Years
        1 month, 12 days ago

        Currently on a Nyland/Martinez combo. With 102 TV something has to give so whatever I pick up in saves will have to do.

        1. iL PiStOlErO
          • 1 Year
          1 month, 12 days ago

          Thats because of your situation so I understand but who can tell yes, maybe he turns up to be a save machine, they will both certainly have a lot of job in every game.

          1. Jon Walter's Hatty
            • 6 Years
            1 month, 12 days ago

            I'm more worried about Arsenal replacing him really. May well get Ederson in on 2FTs in a few weeks anyway.

    2. Mr. Funny Name
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      On WC;

      A) Aubameyang, Kabasele & Martinez
      Or
      B) Rashford, Maguire/Ritchie & Pope

      1. iL PiStOlErO
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 12 days ago

        B

      2. thepuntmaster
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 12 days ago

        B

      3. ChelseaBlues223
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 12 days ago

        B. Not Auba again please

    3. Emah3
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 12 days ago

      Maguire (3rd defender) and Guendozi (5th midfielder) or Lascelles and Saka?

      0 ITB, 4th and 5th def are Kiko and Simpson.

    4. Ruinenlust
      • 2 Years
      1 month, 12 days ago

      Will Guendouzi be banned?

      1. JBG
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 12 days ago

        No

      2. iL PiStOlErO
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 12 days ago

        At the end no. He is ok.

      3. FPL Pillars
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 12 days ago

        No it’s confirmed that he will not face any action

      4. Mr. Funny Name
        • 4 Years
        1 month, 12 days ago

        No retrospective action

    5. NoSalah’d
        1 month, 12 days ago

        Best replacements for Grealish and Aguero for GW32+ and beyond?

        1. iL PiStOlErO
          • 1 Year
          1 month, 12 days ago

          Bruno and Jimenez

          1. NoSalah’d
              1 month, 12 days ago

              Already got them, anyone else?

              1. iL PiStOlErO
                • 1 Year
                1 month, 12 days ago

                Sonny and Rash

              2. JBG
                • 2 Years
                1 month, 12 days ago

                Martial and Ings.

                1. NoSalah’d
                    1 month, 12 days ago

                    Thanks. Is going triple united attack a good move? I already have Bruno and Rashy.

          2. Atimis
            • 3 Years
            1 month, 12 days ago

            Thoughts on this WC team?
            Maybe KDB over Mahrez? Mane over Salah?

            DDG/Martin
            TAA/Doherty/Saiss/Holgate/Lascelles
            Salah/Son/Mahrez/BrunoF/Foden
            Rash/Jim/Ings

          3. Wakanda
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            1 month, 12 days ago

            is KDB still an essential ?

            1. FPL Pillars
              • 4 Years
              1 month, 12 days ago

              Highest at FPL scorer. If he’s on the pitch he’s essential.

              Pep only knows that 😆

              But I would still have him yeah

            2. Gudjohnsen
              • 3 Years
              1 month, 12 days ago

              Yes but I'm playing without him one gw.

            3. iL PiStOlErO
              • 1 Year
              1 month, 12 days ago

              Yes

          4. pranavs9
            • 8 Years
            1 month, 12 days ago

            can Liverpool players be avoided all together? Palace is defensively sound and the game after is City. Once they have won the league they will rotate heavily. Worth picking players for 1-2 gameweeks especially with tight fixtures?

            1. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
              • 5 Years
              1 month, 12 days ago

              I’m thinking of selling Salah, only having TAA bad maybe get VVD in

            2. thepuntmaster
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              1 month, 12 days ago

              This is my dilemma at the moment. Was sure having one was a must for the Palace game if a win meant winning the title, not so sure now

            3. pranavs9
              • 8 Years
              1 month, 12 days ago

              thanks all

            4. Easy Cheesy
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              1 month, 12 days ago

              But villa after. I’m going to take changes and then assess after gw33. Either could score big in two out of the next three imho

          5. thepuntmaster
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            1 month, 12 days ago

            Good morning all! Any thoughts on this side for next gameweek?

            DDG (SHU)
            TAA (CRY) - Saiss (BOU) - Lascelles (AVL)
            Sterling (che) - KDB (che) - Maddison (bha) - Grealish (new)
            Jimi (BOU) - Rashy (SHU) - DCL (nor)

            Nyland - Lundysram - Cantwell - Egan

            Was thinking of getting Salah in for Grealish this week ahead of a potential haul against Palace but now second guessing that....

            A) Sterling > Salah (-4)
            B) Maddi > Fernandes (-4)
            C) Saiss > Doherty (-4)
            D) Nothing

            Will be making B and C next week if I don't this week I imagine

            1. Mr. Funny Name
              • 4 Years
              1 month, 12 days ago

              Hold and go as planned next week

          6. Tempestic
            • 2 Years
            1 month, 12 days ago

            I made my first wildcard about a week ago and now it looks template. I'm trying my best to find other ways around it and trying to make sure I have differentials to back but its proving difficult, struggling to see past it atm.

            1. iL PiStOlErO
              • 1 Year
              1 month, 12 days ago

              Cause template is always template for a reason. I am also trying to find some nice differentials but just dont feel good about the way the team is looking then. If you find something good let me know...

              1. Tempestic
                • 2 Years
                1 month, 12 days ago

                Yeh its tough isnt it. I can do as much tinkering as I want but i always just end up back at the template

                1. iL PiStOlErO
                  • 1 Year
                  1 month, 12 days ago

                  I feel ya. Same here. Also my TV is not that good but enough to have 90% of template.

            2. ManUnitedComeBack
              • 3 Years
              1 month, 12 days ago

              Sometimes it's about making one key decision to break the template. And that will allow you to look elsewhere for differentials. For example, no Aguero/Auba for GW30+ (then go triple City mid), or no Pool for GW31+ (then go double United, double Spurs in attack)

          7. Gudjohnsen
            • 3 Years
            1 month, 12 days ago

            Vardy or Rashford on a FH?

            1. iL PiStOlErO
              • 1 Year
              1 month, 12 days ago

              Yes

            2. Totti
              • 3 Years
              1 month, 12 days ago

              rash

            3. iL PiStOlErO
              • 1 Year
              1 month, 12 days ago

              Sorry meant Rash, haha.

          8. Pep Roulette
            • 2 Years
            1 month, 12 days ago

            No Rockstar today

            1. FPL Pillars
              • 4 Years
              1 month, 12 days ago

              We have to settle for inaccurate leaks then

              1. Pep Roulette
                • 2 Years
                1 month, 12 days ago

                Yeah. Maybe Sam Martin could help!

          9. GloryBXI
            • 3 Years
            1 month, 12 days ago

            Money no issue and have Bruno as united attacking coverage. Who would you rather?

            A) Rashford
            B) Vardy

            1. thepuntmaster
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              1 month, 12 days ago

              B if you have Fernandes

            2. iL PiStOlErO
              • 1 Year
              1 month, 12 days ago

              B, spread the risk

            3. Jellyfish
              • 8 Years
              1 month, 12 days ago

              C) Jesus?

          10. barton fc
            • 2 Years
            1 month, 12 days ago

            Best option for fh?

            A) bergjwin + lascelles
            B) DCL + soyuncu

            1. iL PiStOlErO
              • 1 Year
              1 month, 12 days ago

              A

          11. Dele
            • 3 Years
            1 month, 12 days ago

            Worth losing KDB for the next 2 fixtures?

            1. iL PiStOlErO
              • 1 Year
              1 month, 12 days ago

              No