Spot the Differential

Cheaper Lacazette can match Aubameyang on final day of 2019/20 season

Gameweek 38+ offers FPL managers a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

Since the restart, we’ve tipped the likes of Aymeric Laporte (£6.3m), Kieran Tierney (£5.3m), Michail Antonio (£7.1m), David Silva (£7.5m), Junior Stanislas (£5.8m), Jay Rodriguez (£5.7m) and Gabriel Jesus (£9.9m), all of whom we like this week, but this time, our final three selections for the 2019/20 campaign are very much in the punt category.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less. 

Alexandre Lacazette

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £9.2m
  • GW38+ fixture: WAT

Alexandre Lacazette (£9.2m) has had to bide his time at Arsenal this season, but in recent weeks has finally started to find some form.

It’s now five attacking returns for the Frenchman since the restart, all of which have arrived following Mikel Arteta’s decision to switch to a 3-4-3 formation in Gameweek 31+.

The new approach has provided more balance, and despite Lacazette often dropping deep to link play, he’s still managed to accumulate four big chances during that run, which is the same amount as team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£10.9m), despite fewer minutes.

Since the change to a back-three, only five teams have scored more goals than Arsenal, which is an ominous sign for their opponents on Sunday, Watford. To add to their worries, the manager-less Hornets have given up more big chances than any other side since the restart, conceding seven goals in their last two games, and realistically need to avoid defeat to harbour any hopes of securing Premier League safety.

Despite Arsenal being out of the running for a Europa League spot via their league position, Arteta will still be demanding a response having lost 1-0 to Aston Villa on Tuesday night, and whilst Aubameyang remains the popular pick, if funds are needed elsewhere, Lacazette is worth a look.

Gylfi Sigurdsson

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £7.3m
  • GW38+ fixture: BOU

While Gylfi Sigurdsson (£7.3m) has underwhelmed for much of the season, a change in system by Everton boss Carlo Ancelotti in Gameweek 37+ may give the Icelandic international an opportunity to finish strongly. 

Since the Italian’s appointment in December, when selected, Sigurdsson has had to operate in a 4-4-2, either as part of a central midfield duo, or out on the left flank, neither of which he has looked particularly comfortable in.

However, on Monday night at Bramall Lane, Ancelotti switched things up after a dismal run of results, playing both André Gomes (£5.2m) and Tom Davies (£5.3m) behind Sigurdsson, who operated as a number 10, in a 4-2-3-1.

Suddenly, Everton’s captain on the night was finding himself in good positions between the lines, and went on to create three chances, and lay on an assist for Richarlison’s (£8.2m) winner. 

He actually could have scored himself too, had Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£6.1m) been more aware of his team-mate’s position.

Everton will finish the season in 11th or 12th spot, and entertain second bottom Bournemouth on Sunday, who need three points and other results to go their way to stand any chance of staying up.

There is no doubt Sigurdsson looks more comfortable in his natural position behind the forward, and with a share of set-pieces and penalties, could be an intriguing differential for the final round.

Trézéguet

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW38+ fixture: whu

Winger Trézéguet (£5.2m) has taken time to settle in the Premier League, but is now well on his way to becoming a Villa Park hero, having scored three vital goals in as many games.

The Egyptian has often rotated with Anwar El Ghazi (£5.2m) this season, with neither player offering any kind of consistency, but since the restart, Trézéguet ranks first amongst teammates for big chances with five, and against Arsenal on Tuesday night, was the most advanced player in a claret and blue shirt. Finally, he’s starting to deliver on that early season promise he showed against the Gunners back in September. 

Now out of the relegation zone for the first time in five months, Villa’s destiny is in their own hands when they face West Ham United at the London Stadium on Sunday, and you get the feeling they’ll need to score, having failed to keep a Premier League clean sheet on the road all season. 

To do that, they may well have to rely on wide players Trézéguet and Jack Grealish (£5.9m), with both of their forward options, Mbwana Samatta (£5.1m) and Keinan Davis (£4.2m), struggling in front of goal.

The positive for Villa is they have momentum, having picked up seven points from the past nine available, and despite inconsistencies throughout the season, Trézéguet is now stepping up, and could be a nice differential for those on the lookout for a budget midfielder.

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4,295 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Long ago I drew a walrus
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 months, 26 days ago

    Did anyone actually watch the Leicester Spurs game last week? I watched the first half where Leicester were demolished. Vardy had no chances at all. Yet the stats say he was unlucky not to score and Lloris had a blinder - did I miss a resurgence in the second half?

    1. Cheeto__Bandito
      2 months, 26 days ago

      Vardy had a few shots first half

  2. _Ninja_
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 months, 26 days ago

    Best move here? All for a hit

    A Vardy/Doherty -> Kane/Aurier
    B Vardy/Foden -> Ings/Dilva
    C KDB/Vardy -> Sterling/Ings

    Pope Martinez
    TAA Doherty Bardsley Fernandez Taylor
    Salah KDB Bruno Martial Foden
    Vardy Greenwood Jesus

  3. Cheeto__Bandito
    2 months, 26 days ago

    Sterling predicted EO in top10k tomorrow?

    May have to go Kane captain to make up ground and hope, even though I back Sterling.

    1. TorresMagic™ - 48n69x
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      Over 100 likely.

  4. TorresMagic™ - 48n69x
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 11 Years
    2 months, 26 days ago

    Last price change for the season, get those transfers in.

    1. Ógie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      Might be hoping that more drop to £3.8 before making transfers. 😉

    2. wulfranian
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      No early team news tomorrow?

  5. Will J 256
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    2 months, 26 days ago

    Would you prefer Martial in a 3-5-2 with Kane and ings up top or Kane and Greenwood but with salah in a 3-5-2?
    What do you guys think?

      1. Maddocio
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 26 days ago

        I'm with you on that one

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      tough ! cant fit salah and ings i take it ?

      1. Will J 256
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        2 months, 26 days ago

        Yes can’t fit those two due to my TV!

    2. toerag
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      b i think

      1. Will J 256
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        2 months, 26 days ago

        Thanks guys

  6. toerag
    • 10 Years
    2 months, 26 days ago

    now

    A robbo + bards
    or
    B TAA + tark

    Or
    C. probably end up with same points

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      B on paper, C in reality.

    2. Totti
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      A

      1. Totti
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 26 days ago

        i think arnold won't start

        1. toerag
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 26 days ago

          any reason??

          1. Totti
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 26 days ago

            it's just a feeling 🙂
            williams will start 🙂
            no confirmed news

  7. Totti
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 26 days ago

    reposting looking for replies

    pope
    TAA doherty kiko
    Salah KDB Mahrez bruno martial
    wood greenwood

    button jimenez fernandez holgate

    A) TAA and martial -> 4.9 sterling (-4)
    B) bruno and martial -> sterling and grealish or 6.1 (-4)
    C) KDB and martial -> sterling and D.silva
    D) other suggestion

    1. Victor6359
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      C

  8. VTown
    2 months, 26 days ago

    Doherty to TAA or AWB to Digne/Aurier worth a hit?

    Leading ml by 5 points.

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      Don’t think they’re worth hits with attacking positions Doherty is taking up

      1. VTown
        2 months, 26 days ago

        What about Vardy to Kane? Have money itb and already own Salah, KDB, Sterling and Silva.

        1. PascalCygan
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 26 days ago

          Vardy to Kane sounds good. I’ve got Kane in my FH team

          1. VTown
            2 months, 26 days ago

            Yeah nice. I might do it! Thanks

            1. @fpl_phenom
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              2 months, 26 days ago

              Wow! definitely get in Kane

  9. Wake me up before sanogo
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 26 days ago

    Have KDB and Dilva, no Liverpool. who to bring in - Sterling or Salah? Will probably captain.

    1. toerag
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      would expect sterling to score more

    2. Chucky
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      Salah and cap him.

      1. @fpl_phenom
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 26 days ago

        you think Liverpool will go full strength ?

  10. STHH
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 26 days ago

    On a free hit.

    Martinez (Stekelenberg)
    Pieters - Bardsley - Tarkowski (Saiss - Neco Williams)
    Son - Martial - D.Silva - Salah - Fernandes
    Kane - Jesus (Greenwood)

    Thoughts on:

    Son - Jesus - Tarkowski - Saiss to Sterling - Vardy - Long - Luke Thomas

  11. RedDevilFury
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    2 months, 26 days ago

    I'm leading my ML by 30 pts, and with a TC to play. Was thinking of bringing in Sterling but it will require a 4pt hit. Appreciate your thoughts:

    front 7:
    Jiminez, Auba, Greenwood
    Saka, Salah, KDB, Bruno, Foden

    Potential options:
    A) Bruno, KDB > Sterling (TC), Antonio (4pts)
    B) Salah, Foden, > Sterling (TC), Traore (4pts)
    C) Auba > Kane (TC Kane or Salah)
    D) Fernandes > Martial (TC Salah or Martial)

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      Probably A out of those

      1. Victor6359
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 26 days ago

        Yeah, A for me aswell

  12. PascalCygan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    2 months, 26 days ago

    Fernandes dropping tonight? Looks like on FPLstatistics... I’m chasing in ML and thinking of swapping Bruno for Martial on FH.

    ML rival has Bruno. I think I’ll have about 8/9 players different not counting him.

    Worth doing Bruno to Martial now? Or do we think he’s worth keeping?

    Thanks!

    1. Victor6359
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      I’d keep, Martial’s not as good away

      1. PascalCygan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 26 days ago

        Cheers

  13. Reeker
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 months, 26 days ago

    Any know what the current overall points need to be in the top 10k right now

    1. Chucky
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      2290

      1. Dynamic Duos
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 26 days ago

        Exactly

      2. Rainer
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 26 days ago

        & 35 transfers.

        Someone out there is going to get bit tomorrow for too many transfers in GW30+.

        1. Dynamic Duos
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 26 days ago

          Haha didnt use those

          1. Rainer
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 26 days ago

            Only used 11 myself, I'm sure there are mad numbers out there.

        2. Chucky
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 26 days ago

          lol..hopefully salah's hattie will make sure that it doesn't come to that....

      3. Reeker
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 26 days ago

        45 points off. Better luck next year. Won't be stressing on my FH picks lol

      4. Ógie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 26 days ago

        26 points off the pace.

        Hopefully i can pull it off,fingers crossed.

    2. Dynamic Duos
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      Well I'm 9.3 with 2293 points , that is 3pts in

    3. TorresMagic™ - 48n69x
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      2290

    4. toerag
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      2290

      cos im on 2289!!

      1. toerag
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 26 days ago

        10312

        1. toerag
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 26 days ago

          4 points - 1000 places

  14. Starky22
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    2 months, 26 days ago

    For starting 11 on FH:

    A. Aurier, Davies, Mane
    B. Bertrand, Robbo, Auba

    Can’t go Burnley as 25 behind in mini league and leader has double/triple defence.

    1. The Dance
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      A

  15. Bis_78
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 months, 26 days ago

    A) Foden + Fernandes ➡️ Dilva + Antonio
    B) KDB + Fernandes ➡️ Sterling + Antonio
    C) KDB + Fernandes ➡️ Sterling + Pulisic
    D) Fernandes + McCarthy ➡️ Son + Martin (sit on bench)
    E) TAA + Ings ➡️ Kane + Bardsley
    D) Fernandes + Ings ➡️ Kane + Trézéguet
    F) KDB + Foden + Fernandes ➡️ Sterling + Dilva + Trézéguet (-4 hit)

    Current team:
    Martinez
    TAA - Gomez - Pieters
    Salah - De Bruyne - Foden - Martial - Fernandes
    Ings - Jesus

    Bench:
    McCarthy - Greenwood - Saiss - Holgate

    1. Totti
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      C

  16. Shteve
    • 11 Years
    2 months, 26 days ago

    I keeping coming back to Richarlison in my FH team but haven't seen him mentioned much on here. Any thoughts?

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      decent punt if chasing imo. better options elsewhere though

    2. Maddocio
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      Bournemouth need to win, so potentially very good

      1. Shteve
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 26 days ago

        Yeah, that's my thinking, bound to be opportunities for him, could see it being a high scoring game

    3. The Littlest Robbo
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      I also keep thinking of him as a differential but would be worried by Everton's motivation and lack of creativity

      1. Shteve
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 26 days ago

        Motivation is a good point, they aren't playing for much.

  17. gers23
    • 9 Years
    2 months, 26 days ago

    Thoughts on Kdb captain? Defending a 38 point lead.

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      great choice imo.

    2. toerag
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      cant see you losing

      1. gers23
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 26 days ago

        Thanks guys

    3. The Dance
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      Risky

    4. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      As long as he starts

  18. Wılly
    • 7 Years
    2 months, 26 days ago

    A. Kane, Foden, Aurier (-4)
    B. Ings, Dilva, Doherty (-4)
    C. Ings, Foden, Doherty
    D. Vardy, Foden, Doherty

    1. Graham Zusi's Hair is …
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      B or D. Wouldn’t take a hit for Foden.

  19. Graham Zusi's Hair is …
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 months, 26 days ago

    Chasing small lead and on BB. Ward to Barnsley or Egan for a -4?

    1. JfA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 26 days ago

      Wouldn't go -4 for DF???

    2. The Littlest Robbo
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      No just bag whatever you get from Ward

      1. Graham Zusi's Hair is …
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 26 days ago

        Probably 0!

    3. Bring back Rafa
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 26 days ago

      Definitely not Egan as Southampton will score.

      Assuming Ward gets 1 or 2 points you are basically gaining about 2 points if Burnley get a clean sheet or losing 2 points if they don't.
      What are the odds of Burnley getting a clean sheet? If it's even money I'd go for it as there's a slight chance he could get an assist too

  20. ItOnlyTook9Years
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 26 days ago

    Mahrez to Dilva?

    Gives me:

    McCarthy
    TAA, Doh, Pieters
    Salah (TC), KDB, Dilva, Bruno, Foden
    Vardy, Ings

    Button. Greenwood, Lund, Holgate

    1. Graham Zusi's Hair is …
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      For free maybe but sideways.

  21. JfA
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    2 months, 26 days ago

    Wow, I'm only seventy off it, five bad decisions have cost me an elusive top 10K finish 😮

    1. The Dance
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      awwww

  22. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 26 days ago

    sterling salah kane, who wouldnt you captain out of these 3?

    thanks

    1. The Dance
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      kane

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 26 days ago

        thanks

    2. DAVESAVES
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      Kane

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 26 days ago

        cheers

    3. JfA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 26 days ago

      AJAX,
      If I had him most definitely Salah, they're as likely to equal each other and Salah is the much lesser owned, seriously, I'm a toon fan and we are pants, he's on for four tomorrow :0

      1. Totti
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 26 days ago

        salah?
        🙂
        he's awful nowadays

      2. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 26 days ago

        cheers. salah is more owned than sterling though.

        1. JfA
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 26 days ago

          AJAX, I'm not sure how often it updates but it seems Salah is being transferred out for Sterling, I think that's crazy. So much better transfers to be made if you don't have Kane.

          1. Ajax Hamsterdam
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 26 days ago

            will see tomorrow. thanks for your time and gl 🙂

    4. Bobby_Baggio
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      Sterling if top and Kane if chasing

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 26 days ago

        thanks

    5. Totti
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      wouldn't captain?? 🙂 that's a question in a different way 🙂
      will say kane

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 26 days ago

        thanks 🙂

  23. Mini Mahouse
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 months, 26 days ago

    Any reason why I shouldn't go with 2 pool defenders? Both on fire attacking wise and up against weak Newcastle defence

    Pope
    Pieters - TAA - Robertson
    Mahrez Dilva Sterling Salah
    Ings Kane Greenwood

    3.9 Branthwaite Williams Guendouzi

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      great team gl

    2. toerag
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      not really. good team

    3. Totti
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      GTG

    4. Mini Mahouse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      Thanks guys!

    5. Maddocio
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      The worry would be a few Liverpool players only starting properly sobering up this morning so the team could under perform, I imagine they'll win pretty comfortably though

  24. toerag
    • 10 Years
    2 months, 26 days ago

    how many people forgot to change their team more than 5 times this season?? o/

  25. DAVESAVES
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 26 days ago

    Mahrez, Vardy > Sterling, Wood -4
    Or
    Bruno, Vardy > Sterling, Ings -4

    1. Totti
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      B

    2. Bobby_Baggio
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      B

    3. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      B

    4. Maddocio
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      B

  26. The Dance
    • 9 Years
    2 months, 26 days ago

    Season has been an utter waste and write off, cannot wait till next season, anyone else feel the smae?

    1. Totti
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      me 🙂

    2. Bobby_Baggio
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      Yep glad to be starting again

    3. Maddocio
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      Even a bad season isn't a waste because hopefully you learnt something

  27. UKG
    • 10 Years
    2 months, 26 days ago

    Bruno to Sterling
    Vardy to Ings

    ?

    1. Bobby_Baggio
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      Yea good moves

    2. Maddocio
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      I've done the same on FH

  28. GuillermoDickero
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 26 days ago

    What are people's thoughts on Auba tomorrow? Feel like if you're chasing, could be a tasty differential

    1. Bobby_Baggio
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      Think won't be high scoring. 1-0 to arsenal.

    2. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      nothing to play for and fa cup following gw, i am not keen

    3. Maddocio
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      I suspect Auba would quite like to win the golden boot outright

  29. wulfranian
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 26 days ago

    Any thoughts here?

    Pope
    VVD/Tarkowski/Fredericks
    Martial/Foden/Sterling/Fernandes/Stanislas
    Ings/Jesus

    McCarthy King/Boly/Taylor
    1ft 1.3itb

    a)Foden+Fernandes->DSilva+Antonio
    b)Foden+Boly->DSilva+Williams
    c)something else

  30. Alli
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 26 days ago

    GTG with this FH team?

    Pope
    TAA - Aurier - Pieters
    Mané - Sterling - Dilva - Martial
    Kane - Jesús - Greenwood

    Martin - Saka - Lamptey - Thomas