Spot the Differential

Cheaper Lacazette can match Aubameyang on final day of 2019/20 season

Gameweek 38+ offers FPL managers a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

Since the restart, we’ve tipped the likes of Aymeric Laporte (£6.3m), Kieran Tierney (£5.3m), Michail Antonio (£7.1m), David Silva (£7.5m), Junior Stanislas (£5.8m), Jay Rodriguez (£5.7m) and Gabriel Jesus (£9.9m), all of whom we like this week, but this time, our final three selections for the 2019/20 campaign are very much in the punt category.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less. 

Alexandre Lacazette

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £9.2m
  • GW38+ fixture: WAT

Alexandre Lacazette (£9.2m) has had to bide his time at Arsenal this season, but in recent weeks has finally started to find some form.

It’s now five attacking returns for the Frenchman since the restart, all of which have arrived following Mikel Arteta’s decision to switch to a 3-4-3 formation in Gameweek 31+.

The new approach has provided more balance, and despite Lacazette often dropping deep to link play, he’s still managed to accumulate four big chances during that run, which is the same amount as team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£10.9m), despite fewer minutes.

Since the change to a back-three, only five teams have scored more goals than Arsenal, which is an ominous sign for their opponents on Sunday, Watford. To add to their worries, the manager-less Hornets have given up more big chances than any other side since the restart, conceding seven goals in their last two games, and realistically need to avoid defeat to harbour any hopes of securing Premier League safety.

Despite Arsenal being out of the running for a Europa League spot via their league position, Arteta will still be demanding a response having lost 1-0 to Aston Villa on Tuesday night, and whilst Aubameyang remains the popular pick, if funds are needed elsewhere, Lacazette is worth a look.

Gylfi Sigurdsson

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £7.3m
  • GW38+ fixture: BOU

While Gylfi Sigurdsson (£7.3m) has underwhelmed for much of the season, a change in system by Everton boss Carlo Ancelotti in Gameweek 37+ may give the Icelandic international an opportunity to finish strongly. 

Since the Italian’s appointment in December, when selected, Sigurdsson has had to operate in a 4-4-2, either as part of a central midfield duo, or out on the left flank, neither of which he has looked particularly comfortable in.

However, on Monday night at Bramall Lane, Ancelotti switched things up after a dismal run of results, playing both André Gomes (£5.2m) and Tom Davies (£5.3m) behind Sigurdsson, who operated as a number 10, in a 4-2-3-1.

Suddenly, Everton’s captain on the night was finding himself in good positions between the lines, and went on to create three chances, and lay on an assist for Richarlison’s (£8.2m) winner. 

He actually could have scored himself too, had Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£6.1m) been more aware of his team-mate’s position.

Everton will finish the season in 11th or 12th spot, and entertain second bottom Bournemouth on Sunday, who need three points and other results to go their way to stand any chance of staying up.

There is no doubt Sigurdsson looks more comfortable in his natural position behind the forward, and with a share of set-pieces and penalties, could be an intriguing differential for the final round.

Trézéguet

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW38+ fixture: whu

Winger Trézéguet (£5.2m) has taken time to settle in the Premier League, but is now well on his way to becoming a Villa Park hero, having scored three vital goals in as many games.

The Egyptian has often rotated with Anwar El Ghazi (£5.2m) this season, with neither player offering any kind of consistency, but since the restart, Trézéguet ranks first amongst teammates for big chances with five, and against Arsenal on Tuesday night, was the most advanced player in a claret and blue shirt. Finally, he’s starting to deliver on that early season promise he showed against the Gunners back in September. 

Now out of the relegation zone for the first time in five months, Villa’s destiny is in their own hands when they face West Ham United at the London Stadium on Sunday, and you get the feeling they’ll need to score, having failed to keep a Premier League clean sheet on the road all season. 

To do that, they may well have to rely on wide players Trézéguet and Jack Grealish (£5.9m), with both of their forward options, Mbwana Samatta (£5.1m) and Keinan Davis (£4.2m), struggling in front of goal.

The positive for Villa is they have momentum, having picked up seven points from the past nine available, and despite inconsistencies throughout the season, Trézéguet is now stepping up, and could be a nice differential for those on the lookout for a budget midfielder.

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4,295 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Gooner Kebab
    • 8 Years
    2 months, 26 days ago

    Need to free up funds.

    A) TAA to Robbo
    B) Bruno to Martial

    1. Amey
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      B

      1. Gooner Kebab
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 26 days ago

        Leaning B too

    2. bautasten
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      B

    3. Dash4
        2 months, 26 days ago

        B

      • AD2110
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 26 days ago

        B

      • acidicleo
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 26 days ago

        B

      • Tinkermania
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 26 days ago

        B

    4. bautasten
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      1 FT 1.1 ITB

      A) Vardy > Jesus
      B) Bruno > D. Silva

      Or for a -4:

      C) Vardy, Foden > Conolly, Sterling
      D) Vardy, Bruno > Kane, D.Silva
      E) Bruno, Doherty > Sterling, Branthwaite

      1. AD2110
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 26 days ago

        Quite like E

        1. bautasten
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 26 days ago

          Cheers

    5. FDMS All Starz
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 26 days ago

      Which combo is better?

      A) Ings - Mahrez - Mane

      B) Auba - Jesus - Martial

      1. bautasten
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 26 days ago

        Tough one! hope to get some early team news to make this descision for you.

      2. Dash4
          2 months, 26 days ago

          Could you have Auba Silva Martial ?

          1. FDMS All Starz
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 26 days ago

            Silva already in team

      3. Villa Velour
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 26 days ago

        A) Doherty & Jesus -> Mendy/Davies & Kane
        B) Doherty & KdB -> Taa/Mendy/Davies & Dilva

        Good luck all tomorrow! What a season.

        1. bautasten
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 26 days ago

          Why would you want to remove KDB or Jesus?

          1. Villa Velour
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 26 days ago

            I'm preparing in fear for the early team news.

      4. Wılly
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 26 days ago

        Play
        A. DCL
        B. Foden

        1. Jealous Viper
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 26 days ago

          Anybody but DCL

          1. Wılly
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 26 days ago

            Can't be that bad, ultimate differential then

            1. Bubz
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              2 months, 26 days ago

              He is that bad

        2. bautasten
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 26 days ago

          I'd go A if Foden is benched, otherwise B (obv)

        3. Dash4
            2 months, 26 days ago

            DCL has played 9 games on the trot and not broken two points. I would love him to be a differential but he isn’t!

          • acidicleo
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 26 days ago

            B

        4. Jealous Viper
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 26 days ago

          No scout picks today it seems

          1. Amey
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 26 days ago

            They are waiting for leaks too i guess 😉

          2. St Pauli Walnuts
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 26 days ago

            Yesterday

        5. Burger
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 26 days ago

          How was St Tropez watch today, did Sterling get his flight home safely?

          1. George Agdgdgwngo
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 26 days ago

            Pictured training today

        6. Dušan Citizen
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 26 days ago

          Would you rather have Richarlison or Ings?

          1. bautasten
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 26 days ago

            Rich if chasing, Ings if protecting.

            1. Dušan Citizen
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 26 days ago

              Well I am chasing 11 points to be 1st in Serbia... So not sure if I should play safe with Ings or take differential with Rich

              1. bautasten
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 2 Years
                2 months, 26 days ago

                Does the serbia #1 have Ings?

                1. Dušan Citizen
                  • 6 Years
                  2 months, 26 days ago

                  Yup

                  The 2nd has free hit available

                  1. acidicleo
                    • 4 Years
                    2 months, 26 days ago

                    Then go for rich.. sheff utd can shut saints out..

          2. Jealous Viper
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 26 days ago

            Richarlison

          3. Bubz
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 26 days ago

            Ings by a mile

          4. George Agdgdgwngo
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 26 days ago

            Ings

          5. UnitedFan
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 26 days ago

            Ings.

        7. SHOWSTOPPERRR
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 26 days ago

          No replies

          Guys chasing 20 points...

          Rival has sterling and no pool attacker and might get Kane ..and he would tc sterling I guess...other than this we have almost similar team.. so is it good to do

          Vardy doh Bruno to auba pieters sterling and tc mane or auba for -8 ? So around 30 points final to chase.

          Need suggestion guys

          1. TorresMagic™ - 48n69x
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 26 days ago

            Do you want Sterling to fail or it's just impossible?

            1. SHOWSTOPPERRR
              • 2 Years
              2 months, 26 days ago

              Sterling haul...Its inevitable I feel..i was hoping for the past couple of weeks and thrown away a lead of 40...

          2. Mondeo
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 26 days ago

            Would prefer to limit to a -4 and keep Vardy, think he scores this week

        8. Jealous Viper
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 26 days ago

          FH team looks like
          Martinez
          Pieters Bardsley Walker
          Sterling(c) Salah Silva Antonio
          Kane Auba Greenwood

          Bench- Braithwaite Williams Guendouzi so essentially no bench. Thoughts?

          1. dmirkovic1986
              2 months, 26 days ago

              Dont waste man city spot with defender

          2. tommo1989
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 26 days ago

            On free hit

            Pope, Digne, Aurier, Alexander-Arnold, Sterling, David Silva, KDB, Antonio, Salah, Greenwood, Kane

            OR

            Pope, Digne, Aurier, Branthwaite, Sterling, KDB, Salah, Fernandes, Jesus, Greenwood, Kane

            It’s Basically Alexander-Arnold, David Silva & Antonio FOR Branthwaite, Fernandes & Jesus

            1. Whiskerz
              • 7 Years
              2 months, 26 days ago

              A

              1. tommo1989
                • 4 Years
                2 months, 26 days ago

                Thanks mate, that’s what I was thinking. Top 5k and hoping to stay there

                1. Whiskerz
                  • 7 Years
                  2 months, 26 days ago

                  awesome rank. Good luck. Hoping to squeeze into the top 10k myself.

                  1. tommo1989
                    • 4 Years
                    2 months, 26 days ago

                    I was top 1k until captain Bruno, Tony and Marcus did nothing for me on Wednesday haha. Not much difference between top 5 and top 10 - hope you do it!

            2. jimmy.floyd
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 26 days ago

              A

            3. Bob Vrabkab
              • 8 Years
              2 months, 26 days ago

              A

          3. YoungPretender
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 26 days ago

            GTG?

            Martinez
            VVD Pieters Bardsley
            Salah Sterling(C) Mahrez Dilva Antonio
            Kane Ings

            Martin Nketiah Lamptey Thomas

            1. Mondeo
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 26 days ago

              nice team G2G

            2. Bubz
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              2 months, 26 days ago

              Yep

          4. Mondeo
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 26 days ago

            I am stuck big time, anyone able to save me this week? Rival has TC but otherwise dead even, looking at:

            A) Doherty > Robertson
            B) Foden > Silva (-4)
            C) Fernandes or Willian > Son (-4)

            1. Jealous Viper
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 2 Years
              2 months, 26 days ago

              Must you really take a hit?

              1. Mondeo
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 6 Years
                2 months, 26 days ago

                Only for the more maverick moves! Doh > Robertson feels dullard but think its the best FT move available...

                Pope
                Maguire | TAA | Doh
                Willian | KDB | Mahrez | Fernandes
                Vardy | Rashford | Ings

                ^ is what I'm working with (Basham, Saiss & Foden on the bench)

            2. Apwilkin
                2 months, 26 days ago

                B

                1. Mondeo
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 6 Years
                  2 months, 26 days ago

                  thanks!

              • bautasten
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 2 Years
                2 months, 26 days ago

                Boring answer but I'd lean towards A.

                1. Mondeo
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 6 Years
                  2 months, 26 days ago

                  boring is sometimes good, thanks for the reply!

            3. Sondre van Bank
              • 7 Years
              2 months, 26 days ago

              Which duo would you prefer?
              a) Sterling(C) and Wood
              b) Dilva and Kane

              1. Apwilkin
                  2 months, 26 days ago

                  B

                • Jealous Viper
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 2 Years
                  2 months, 26 days ago

                  Who's the cap for B?

                • Sondre van Bank
                  • 7 Years
                  2 months, 26 days ago

                  Dno yet. Probably KDB, Salah or Kane

                  1. Jealous Viper
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 2 Years
                    2 months, 26 days ago

                    A then

                • Mondeo
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 6 Years
                  2 months, 26 days ago

                  actually prefer B

                • Miguel Sanchez
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 4 Years
                  2 months, 26 days ago

                  That’s comparing three players vs two

                • dmirkovic1986
                    2 months, 26 days ago

                    B

                • lilmessipran
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 8 Years
                  2 months, 26 days ago

                  On FH which is the better option

                  A Auba + Long (triple Bur defense)
                  B Martail/Richa + Robbo (double Bur defense)

                  1. Jealous Viper
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 2 Years
                    2 months, 26 days ago

                    B

                  2. Apwilkin
                      2 months, 26 days ago

                      B

                    • George Agdgdgwngo
                      • 11 Years
                      2 months, 26 days ago

                      B. But Bruno

                    • acidicleo
                      • 4 Years
                      2 months, 26 days ago

                      B

                  3. Apwilkin
                      2 months, 26 days ago

                      Having serious paralysis of decision-making here.
                      Bringing in Dilva, but cant decide who to transfer out:

                      A- Martial (have Rash and greenwood)
                      B- Pulisic (no other Chelsea coverage)

                      Thoughts?

                    • AD2110
                      • 3 Years
                      2 months, 26 days ago

                      Which free hit team do you prefer?

                      A) Son, Antonio, Auba

                      Martinez
                      TAA, Aurier, Pieters
                      Salah, Sterling, D.Silva, Son*, Antonio*
                      Auba*, Ings

                      B) Mahrez, Martial, Kane

                      Martinez
                      TAA, Aurier, Pieters
                      Salah, Sterling, D.Silva, Mahrez*, Martial*
                      Kane*, Ings

                    • YouReds
                      • 6 Years
                      2 months, 26 days ago

                      Is it worth taking a -4 to replace any of these defenders?

                      Pope
                      Digne Doherty Egan (Saiss)

                      I’m thinking bringing another Burnley defender?

                      1. Apwilkin
                          2 months, 26 days ago

                          Nah. I dont think -4 is worth it. Any of those defenders could pull in just as much as a burnley defender.

                      2. Rolls-Royce
                        • 6 Years
                        2 months, 26 days ago

                        FH38 folks, how we shaphing up then?

                        1. Whiskerz
                          • 7 Years
                          2 months, 26 days ago

                          Feeling settled. On this atm

                          Martinez
                          TAA . Bardsley . Pieters
                          Salah . Sterling. Son. Dilva
                          Kane. Auba . Greenwood

                      3. Bubz
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 7 Years
                        2 months, 26 days ago

                        Im tempted by VVD on this FH, quite fancy him to score a header against the toon

                      4. The Littlest Robbo
                        • 5 Years
                        2 months, 26 days ago

                        I'm currently got Fabianski, are the any other goal keeper's I should consider that are 4.9 or below. I'm not really sure on Arsenal's motivation so I think I'm going to avoid Martinez

                        1. Miguel Sanchez
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • 4 Years
                          2 months, 26 days ago

                          McCarthy

                      5. RamboRN
                        • 9 Years
                        2 months, 26 days ago

                        I have sterling kdb and mahrez. I'm looking to bring dsilva in for the last game. Which one of kdb or mahrez should make way for him?

                        1. Jealous Viper
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • 2 Years
                          2 months, 26 days ago

                          That's so tough. Not sure I'll like to take any of those out

                        2. acidicleo
                          • 4 Years
                          2 months, 26 days ago

                          Wait for team news... if all 4 start stick or at a push KDB as he play deep and may not take pen and freekicks..

                      6. FOO FIGHTER
                        • 1 Year
                        2 months, 26 days ago

                        I say we all pick a dead team for next season, open up a league and leave it to see who takes no 1 in the end just for shits and giggles. Ha ha.

                      7. More Cowbell
                        • 10 Years
                        2 months, 26 days ago

                        Just a yes or no please team...

                        Mane, Guendouzi > Sterling & Dilva (-4)
                        TC on Sterling, Jimi first sub

                        Pope,
                        TAA, Doherty, Kiko
                        Sterling, KTB, Dilva, Pulisic, Bruno
                        Ings, Greenwood

                        Subs: Jimi, X, X

                        1. Dash4
                            2 months, 26 days ago

                            Yes..............but I’d go Jimi over Pulisic. Soz, couldn’t help it.

                          • sminkypinky
                            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                            • 9 Years
                            2 months, 26 days ago

                            Yep

                        2. The Dark Lord
                            2 months, 26 days ago

                            Play Fernandez (LIV) or Kiko (ARS)?

                            1. UnitedFan
                              • 5 Years
                              2 months, 26 days ago

                              Kiko if you have to.

                            2. FOO FIGHTER
                              • 1 Year
                              2 months, 26 days ago

                              Kiko yeah

                            3. Dash4
                                2 months, 26 days ago

                                I wouldn’t sweat about it, they will both get 1 or zero points.

                                1. The Dark Lord
                                    2 months, 26 days ago

                                    haha yeah, you're probably right

                              • Moresi
                                • 4 Years
                                2 months, 26 days ago

                                Hey all!
                                I’m leading by lots in ML

                                Should I do salah to sterling for free? Only way I can get ster w/o a hit

                                Thanks and GL gents

                                1. United10
                                  • 4 Years
                                  2 months, 26 days ago

                                  wait in case there are early team news tomorrow

                                  1. Moresi
                                    • 4 Years
                                    2 months, 26 days ago

                                    Sure thing thanks. But all things being equal let’s say they both play 90 what do you think

                              • United10
                                • 4 Years
                                2 months, 26 days ago

                                Best pick for last GW?
                                a) Mahrez
                                b) D.Silva
                                c) Pulisic

                                1. Will J 256
                                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                  2 months, 26 days ago

                                  B

                                2. Pukki Party
                                  • 3 Years
                                  2 months, 26 days ago

                                  B

                                3. FOO FIGHTER
                                  • 1 Year
                                  2 months, 26 days ago

                                  B

                                4. acidicleo
                                  • 4 Years
                                  2 months, 26 days ago

                                  B

                              • Scratch
                                • 11 Years
                                2 months, 26 days ago

                                My last FH decision basically boils down to

                                A. TAA & Mahrez & Greenwood
                                B. Arsenal def & Martial/Bruno & Jesus

                                1. 7shadesofsmoke
                                  • 7 Years
                                  2 months, 26 days ago

                                  A

                                2. UnitedFan
                                  • 5 Years
                                  2 months, 26 days ago

                                  Bit tough. Maybe A.

                                3. acidicleo
                                  • 4 Years
                                  2 months, 26 days ago

                                  A

                              • Will J 256
                                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                2 months, 26 days ago

                                Is Kane and Greenwood good enough up top in a 3-5-2?

                                1. 7shadesofsmoke
                                  • 7 Years
                                  2 months, 26 days ago

                                  Its what im on

                                  1. 7shadesofsmoke
                                    • 7 Years
                                    2 months, 26 days ago

                                    (so probably not 😆 )

                                2. UnitedFan
                                  • 5 Years
                                  2 months, 26 days ago

                                  Not the best fixture for Greenwood but I suppose he enables a lot.

                              • Pukki Party
                                • 3 Years
                                2 months, 26 days ago

                                Play

                                A) Jimenez (che)
                                B) Greenwood (lei)

                                1. acidicleo
                                  • 4 Years
                                  2 months, 26 days ago

                                  B