Football Index

Football Index: Can form and fixtures make new-look Everton a good bet?


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Into week two of my adventures in the land of Football Index (FI) and I’m learning some lessons already.

Just as a reminder, FI is, in essence, a stockmarket where people use real money to bet on footballers, with the value of these shares then going up or down based on market forces.

Players can also win money on these shares through a series of dividends, which are individual pay-outs based on match day performances, positive coverage in the media and consistent excellence across each month of action.

And the shares I’ve bought in the last week or so have certainly been on a few… journeys recently.

My pick for last week, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, is a great case in point. The Arsenal man enjoyed a decent Gameweek 1 at Fulham, scoring his first goal of the season in a 3-0 win.

That was particularly pleasing for his massive Fantasy Premier League (FPL) ownership – close to 50% now – as he was the captaincy choice of many, so brought in double points.

Over on FI, his performance score of 127 – based on a wide range of metrics, including goals scored, chances missed etc – was well above his average of the past few months, but not good enough to win extra cash from a match day dividend when the likes of Mohamed Salah are hitting hat-tricks and recording a performance score of 358.

Not that dividends and Aubameyang haven’t been a success for me so far. Ongoing contract talks and his solid performance at Craven Cottage have meant he’s been in the news consistently, thus winning me media dividend pay-outs.

I mentioned last week that the Arsenal man was going to be a longer-term bet, and that’s just as well based on his yo-yoing share price.

I bought into him at £2.22 a share. That peaked at £2.53 the day before the season started, and at the time of writing, he’s trading at £2.27. One to hold, especially with the dividend opportunities that await in the Europa League.
To add to a positive week, Aubameyang has just signed his new three-year contract, so was able to win media dividends through this breaking news.

As for my other two bets, Callum Wilson’s share price is (currently) plenty higher than when I bought in and he’s also won me the most in dividends, while Leeds man Rodrigo’s key moment in the 4-3 madness at Anfield was to give away the penalty that won Liverpool the match.

So well done Rodrigo, you mugged me off there. But he’s another one I’ve bet on for the long term, so I’m maintaining a Zen-like calm. For now.

Overall my portfolio is up, so Gameweek 1 has been a qualified success.

This Week I Am Mostly Buying Into… Everton.

One game does not a season make, but the world and their life partner were left very impressed by the Toffees’ away win at Spurs.

James Rodriguez’s debut was a belter and, at the time of writing, he leads the way for Gameweek 1 chances created (five), although it was Lucas Digne who ended up with the assist for Dominic Calvert-Lewin’s winner.

I’m tempted by all of Everton’s attackers, and new man Abdoulaye Doucoure shouldn’t be ignored either – he created four chances against Tottenham, although he had no attempts on goal, whereas James managed three.

The jury is, therefore, out on exactly which Everton player I’ll bet on, but it will definitely be one of them, especially as they’ll be entertaining West Brom next; a team that allowed a Gameweek-high four big chances at the weekend.

Carlo Ancelotti’s men have a great schedule from now through to the middle of December, with their two trickiest matches – a Merseyside derby and Manchester United – both taking place at Goodison Park.

The blessed union of form and fixtures is a beautiful thing in FPL. It’s time to see if the same applies to FI.


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969 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Miguel Sanchez
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 19 days ago

    Two week punt:

    A) Grealish (SHU, ful)
    B) Foden (wol, LEI) - have KDB
    C) Greenwood (CPA, bha) - have Bruno and Martial

    1. Firmino
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 19 days ago

      Grealish

    2. ppv
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 19 days ago

      Grealish

    3. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 19 days ago

      Grealish

    4. pingissimus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 19 days ago

      I like A - gut mostly but nice fixtures in there esp for 2 weeks. Have been eying him up myself

      C gives you really high GI in 2 good fixtures and guarantees Rash hauls but it looks poor after that.

    5. The Sarjeant
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 19 days ago

      Grealish!

    6. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 19 days ago

      Cheers all - unanimous despite my slight gerrymandering

      1. gunthourinho
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        Foden

    7. Greasy Grealish Gang
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 19 days ago

      The Villa skipper.

  2. Miguel Sanchez
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 19 days ago

    Just four goals in the last 6 PL matches between Brighton and Newcastle with 3x 0-0s

  3. gooberman
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 months, 19 days ago

    Anybody else finding the FFS site not working? Nothing is opening for me from the main menu, team news etc. I'm on mobile.

    1. Seanigula
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 19 days ago

      I can’t get on the site at all

  4. jay01
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 19 days ago

    Avoided a kneejerk reaction but after thinking about it this wwek i feel Kai Havertz to James Rodriguez is a good move for now.

    Would love kai in the future but i think he will take time to settle

    1. The Sarjeant
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 19 days ago

      I’m holding until the West Brom game at least.

      1. jay01
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        Feel like it will be every year where i hold on to a player who blanks then i sell too late and miss out on good bandwagons. Although not scoring i feel Hames passed the eye test for me.. thinking of either Kai or Son to him (funds would also be useful for other transfers later)

        1. The Sarjeant
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 19 days ago

          I did Alli to Rodriguez. I think it would be wise to give Havertz and Chelsea a few more weeks still. They’ll be different with their players fit. Tottenham could be a mess for a while.

          1. jay01
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 19 days ago

            This is true. I am a chelsea fan so have the slight bias in my picks. I feel Son is a hot and cold player. His value going down faster on that price changes website. Kai also stated his best position is number 10 in his interview day or two after the game so may play there

          2. fordy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            2 months, 19 days ago

            I'm keeping Havertz for a few games and then see

    2. Boly Would
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 19 days ago

      I'm holding. I don't think it will take Havertz too long to get up to speed. That Brighton game was on the back of just a few days training probably with only half the squad, so he'll now have another week under his belt.

      1. tokara
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        and u think Hames and Allan had weeks of training? they probably had lesser training than Havartz

        1. Boly Would
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 19 days ago

          Obviously not, but perhaps as older and more experienced players who have moved club and country before, they adapted quicker than a young lad moving countries for the first time. My point is that in my opinion he will be up to speed and much improved relatively quickly, and so I'm happy to hold.

          1. tokara
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 19 days ago

            Good point and i wish u all the best.

            I was pissing watching that game, so much hype about him lol

      2. jay01
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        this is true.. i think i need a longer think about this hahah

    3. tokara
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 19 days ago

      go for it i am doing the same

      Kai was totally CLUELESS in the last game, he was simply INVISIBLE. i would have rate him NA. not even 1.

  5. davies
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 19 days ago

    Which scores more?

    A) Mitchell (mun/EVE) + 4 points
    B) Saiss (MCI/whu)
    C) Mitchell/Saiss (mun/whu)*

    *Vinagre > Saiss next week instead of now

  6. ace3.1415
      2 months, 19 days ago

      Barnes > Rashford this week or next week?

      1. The Sarjeant
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        Barnes looked good and Leicester have decent fixtures. I’d keep him.

    • Ruinenlust
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 19 days ago

      Will Reguilon stert this week?

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        Prob not given it has been completed yet and Spurs squad are now travelling so he won't have an opportunity to train with them

    • jay01
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 19 days ago

      Thoughts on Son? Spurs dont look to great right now.. unsure of keeping him

      1. Seanigula
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        It was 1 game, keep him

        1. jay01
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 19 days ago

          Really have a gut feeling hames will haul. Only way i can bring him with no hit is taking Son or Kai out

          1. Seanigula
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 19 days ago

            Havertz might not even start regularly until he’s up to speed

      2. tokara
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        i am keeping Son. So many chances in that game didnt u watch? He was their sharpest player.

    • HMC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 19 days ago

      Thiago in on 4 year deal, taking no.6 shirt from Lovren

      https://mobile.twitter.com/JamesPearceLFC/status/1306528798171631617

    • hustler7
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 months, 19 days ago

      Good article on spurs if they get Reguilon & Bale. Switching to a back 3. Might work well for Son too, not sure I agree with the Alli comments though.

      https://www.skysports.com/football/news/11675/12073455/gareth-bale-and-sergio-reguilon-could-change-tottenhams-system

      1. Fulchester's New Centr…
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        Seen it mooted elsewhere and would make Davies a keep for a bit longer, but has Jose regulalrly played 3 at the back before anywhere?

      2. tokara
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        Bale and Reguilon in means Kane is now droppable which is a good thing. Son or Bale can play upfront.

    • Pukkipartyy
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 19 days ago

      Who is the best 4.0m def?

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        Mitchell cause he is playing but Ferguson perhaps longer term

    • Emery thing I do
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 19 days ago

      Awful first week guys - WC already played but can still amend. Would love thoughts!

      McCarthy,
      TAA,Justin,KWP,Gabriel
      Auba, Salah, Bruno
      Wilson, Martial, Mitro

      Button, ASM, Mitchell, Bissouma

      All thoughts welcome, thank you

      1. soup natsi
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        If I played mine I would replace McCarthy and KWP, Soton not in great shape.

        1. The Sarjeant
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 19 days ago

          I agree.

        2. Inazuma X1
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 19 days ago

          Yeah go for Ryan and Lamptey

      2. Warby84
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        Or Martinez

    • Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 19 days ago

      Careful to those who bring in Reguilon early if he doesn't start first game. You don't want to be in the corner, you don't want to be in the spotlight...

      1. soup natsi
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        Thought he was injured anyway?

    • Slurpy
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 19 days ago

      Ramsdale (BPF)
      Digne TAA Justin Dallas (Ferguson)
      Auba (C) Salah Son ASM (Soucek)
      Adams Werner (Davies)

      1ITB

      A) Hold 2FT ( Auba and Son to City and United Mids next week)
      B) Son to Rashford
      C) Salah to Fernandes ( Salah back GW4)
      D) Other (your opinion)

      1. soup natsi
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        I'd hold

    • Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 19 days ago

      Fraizer Campbell is 33 years old. How did that happen?
      Next thing you know somebody will be telling me young Lingard is 27 or something.

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        Wilshere is 28

        1. Puntillimon
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 19 days ago

          Wait what how

        2. The Knights Template
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 19 days ago

          Vardy 48

          1. Miguel Sanchez
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 19 days ago

            Red Bull keeps you young

      2. Fulchester's New Centr…
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        Also 33: Aaron Lennon; Joe Hart, John Ruddy and Jamie Vardy.
        Ryan Shawcross 33 on day before transfer deadline day.

        1. The Knights Template
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 19 days ago

          Vardy only tells people he is 33, actually 48

      3. Pariße
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        Walcott is now 31

    • Flair
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 19 days ago

      Bale incoming, a true golfer should always have more than one club

      1. Puntillimon
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        4/5 stars

      2. The Knights Template
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        You're late for the Dad Jokes Anonomous meeting!

      3. Karan14
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        Excited for his return. The only thing I like about Spurs this season!

      4. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        Should have joined Palace (the Eagles)
        Should have joined West Ham (the Irons)
        etc...

      5. The 12th Man
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        Can I chip in?

      6. Puntillimon
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        He’ll get you in the green

      7. Kannbury
          2 months, 19 days ago

          Had it rough at Madrid though.

      8. OneMan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        Pickford
        VVD, Digne, Laporte, Dier, Wan B,
        Salah, DeBrunyne, Fernandes
        DLC, Wilson
        Bench: Steel, Podence, Bissouma, Davis

        Is this WC team okay ? Thanks for any help in advance.

        1. Inazuma X1
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 19 days ago

          Too much money at the back

        2. Noah’s Ark
          • 8 Years
          2 months, 19 days ago

          Wealth of good options in all positions this year. People on here probably won’t like that much money in defence but I think it is a very solid team. Would change Dier to Saiss personally, fixtures are great gw3 onwards and he was a beast in gw1. Brewster over Davis if his move to the blades goes through.

          1. OneMan
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 19 days ago

            Thanks. Coincidentally planned to move Dier or Wan B to Saiss or next week.

            Brewster is one that I missed.

      9. Inazuma X1
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        Anyone has Chris McGowan's team link?

        1. jamesjoseph2770
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 19 days ago

          https://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/24266/history

          He had 29 points in GW 1.

      10. BEEZUS
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        Happy with my team but have no City or United.

        Sensible to roll the FT and have 2 for next week to see how City and Utd do?

        1. Mr.K
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 19 days ago

          I probably would.

        2. The Knights Template
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 19 days ago

          My plan and I'm a knight

      11. The Tinkerman
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        Tempted by Son, Trent > Bruno, Digne (-4)

        Talk me out of it?

        1. Jam0sh
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          2 months, 19 days ago

          Don't do it

        2. Mr.K
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 19 days ago

          You think Bruno and Digne will score 4+ points more than Son and Trent?

        3. LSK
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 19 days ago

          Son will be dangerous this week. Palace are tight at the back.

      12. jamesjoseph2770
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        Is the Clyne news true? Is he signing for Palace?

      13. 03farmboy
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 19 days ago

        Transfering Davies out a good move now they signed a new leftback?

        Holding or lamptey?

        1. Fulchester's New Centr…
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 19 days ago

          Probably still play this weekend. Keane?

      14. Dynamic Duos
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        Hello

        1. Miguel Sanchez
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 19 days ago

          ...darkness my old friend

        2. Fulchester's New Centr…
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 19 days ago

          hello, it's good to be back.

      15. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        GW 3 only big hittersplaying H is City (lei) and Pool (ARS), not really good home fixtures.

        Manu (vei), Eve (CRP), CHE (WBA) away fixtures look more tempting.

        Planning future transfers in/out, who do you Think you’ll c GW 3?

        1. Miguel Sanchez
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 19 days ago

          Bruno or Martial vs bha or KDB vs LEI

      16. waltzingmatildas
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        Lampard isn't going to give anything definitive on Pulisic, is he?
        So, it comes down to:
        A) Play Bissouma
        B) Transfer in Jamez
        C) Transfer in Martial and Jamez (-4)

      17. mr messi
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        Should I lose Ings for DCL or Wilson? Or hold this week and do 2 changes next week for free to bring in Martial? I’ve no money in the bank to do it this week without taking a hit..

        1. tokara
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 19 days ago

          next week for JIM

      18. Dynamic Duos
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        Thoughts on this draft league team, did i do well in the 1st draft? any major issues I need to try and trade out?

        Schmeichel
        Targett Ake Lewis
        Bruno Son Hames Barnes Podence
        Wilson Watkins

        Patricio C Taylor Siass Iheanacho

        1. Miguel Sanchez
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 19 days ago

          Who is left in the pool of unpicked players?

          1. Miguel Sanchez
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 19 days ago

            Your forwards are very 50/50 - could be great or could really be an issue. Forwards are so few and far between in draft that the likes of Vardy/Jimenez are really as important as the premium mids.

          2. Dynamic Duos
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 19 days ago

            For which position mate, who needs changing?

            1. Miguel Sanchez
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              2 months, 19 days ago

              Forwards mostly

        2. Party time
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 19 days ago

          Vardy & Kdb

      19. tokara
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        Not surprise if Bale can stay injury free. Like he did for Wales.

      20. Party time
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 19 days ago

        Thiago would be a great addition for Liverpool. Their attack will flourish. No perma captain, not a bad strategy tbh

        1. Party time
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 19 days ago

          Mo*

      21. Teror
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 19 days ago

        Play Kyle Wenker-Peters or Bissouma?

        1. Party time
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 19 days ago

          It doesn’t really matter. Play either, they are both pants

        2. Bob Vrabkab
          • 8 Years
          2 months, 19 days ago

          Wenker

        3. Chandler Bing
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 19 days ago

          Despite being a wenker, I'd play the Southampton man.