Football Index

Unpredictable start to the FPL season making Football Index decisions hard to call


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Six matches into the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) season and it’s fair to say that many managers are not happy.

The football has been so unpredictable, and the results so varied, that finding players producing consistent returns, week in, week out, has proved… tricky.

In fact, it’s boiled down to owning Harry Kane. Or Son Heung-min. And ideally both.

Even FPL experts have been left, at best, bemused.

So imagine what it’s like for someone trying to use FPL to guide his moves in another setting, Football Index.

In case you’re still not sure, Football Index (FI) is a kind of stock market where people use real money to bet on football.

You buy shares in individual players whose value can rise or fall depending on their performance both on and off the field. I’m new to FI and it’s beginning to show.

I’m still in profit, but it’s a figure in decline at present with the widespread unpredictability the season has brought so far.

Dividends – money paid out for the performance or media profile of my players – have been my saviour. Without them, I’d be making a loss right now.

I need to shake up my portfolio. Bring in new faces.

The problem is, only two of the seven players I currently own shares in would make me a profit if I were to sell.

It’s not like these players are doing badly. I own FI shares in three of the top 10 FPL forwards – Danny Ings, Raul Jimenez and Callum Wilson.

All three have had solid starts to the season, scoring four goals apiece. But it’s beginning to dawn on me that solid just doesn’t cut it on FI.

Traders don’t look just for solid performances. They consider many other factors that have an impact on the Index. It’s a bit like the FPL tendency towards knee-jerk decisions that some managers can’t help but display. Slow and steady might win the race, but crash, bang wallop is also a strongly adopted approach on FI, with big haulers paying out big dividends and attracting big trader interest.

As a result, I have three players in good form who would make me a loss if I were to sell them today.

And the less said about Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, the better.

My long-term bet in the Arsenal forward’s value has gotten off on the wrong foot, as Mikel Arteta continues to flirt with the idea of turning the Gunners into a David Moyes-like unit so intent on stopping the opposition that they forget how to actually play.

It’s a notion so dull that even Moyes doesn’t subscribe to it anymore, although Frank Lampard is another who seems to be getting a massive kick out of clean sheets.

Which means that another in my portfolio, Mason Mount, is just not cutting it at the moment with his reduced playing time.

He and Aubameyang are getting close to being sold now. The former should make me a profit, while the latter will not. At all. His sale will hurt, but it really needs to be done with Arteta’s current gameplan.

Then I can look to Fantasy Football Scout Premium Members Area and try to find the next big thing with the form and fixtures to direct my strategy on FI.

But it’s not going to be easy. The three teams with the best upcoming schedule are Crystal Palace (drab), Everton (squad issues) and Aston Villa (bubble burst?).

Chelsea and Manchester United are up there too and have Champions League football to offer the prospect of a tidy midweek dividend for decent performers.

But their players aren’t cheap and, as mentioned, Lampard’s current flirtation with owning a fleet of parked buses has compromised the otherwise excellent pedigree of his attackers.

Whatever I end up doing is likely to come with a short-term loss. But, with the bigger picture in good shape.


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389 Comments Post a Comment
  1. No Professionals
    • 3 Years
    1 month, 5 hours ago

    *unpredictable start to EPL season making Football Index decisions hard to call.

    FPL has nothing to do with it.

    1. Arn De Gothia
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 5 hours ago

      true, all these betting- and other sites promotions makes this my last year as a member

  2. TheSteel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    1 month, 5 hours ago

    Is Podence>Foden worth a hit? Gut says no

    1. No Professionals
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 5 hours ago

      yeah i'd say no. low ceilings on both.

    2. LegendMoon
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 5 hours ago

      not for a hit

    3. Dexters Laboratory
        1 month, 5 hours ago

        This is Podences swan song. Do it next week for free

        1. No Professionals
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 5 hours ago

          he never made it past the ugly duckling stage sadly

    4. TeddiPonza
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 5 hours ago

      What would you think of this? Too top heavy?

      Martinez
      Saiss Mitchell KWP Justin (Lamptey)
      Sterling Son Rashford Salah (Burke)
      Kane DCL (Brewster)

      Thanks

      1. No Professionals
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 5 hours ago

        defence looks too weak, i'd want another 5-5.5m player instead of a 4.5m. When it comes to getting a City and United player in, as well as spurs and liverpool, i don't think you can get the right balance without losing one of kane or son.

      2. dbeck
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 5 hours ago

        my concern is playing two of Mitchell, Lamptey, Justin, Burke and Brewster each week

    5. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 5 hours ago

      Down with this sort of thing.

      1. No Professionals
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 5 hours ago

        i agree. shameless attempt to tie a gambling sponsorship article in with FF.

        1. Miguel Sanchez
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 5 hours ago

          Listened to a FPL video on YouTube this week where they referred to Football Index as the way to 'profit' from football... dangerous use of language there.

          1. No Professionals
            • 3 Years
            1 month, 5 hours ago

            it's a difficult thing to balance promoting mental health and gambling at the same time.

            not that the two can't be balanced, it just feels uneasy.

      2. Fred54
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 5 hours ago

        Sports betting dressed as playing the Stock market...and Stock Market is hardly an easy game.

      3. Arn De Gothia
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 5 hours ago

        agree. i´ll quit

    6. yakirh
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 5 hours ago

      Which Westham defender is the best to get?
      A. Balbuena
      B. Masuaku
      C. Coufal

      1. dbeck
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 5 hours ago

        C

        1. yakirh
          • 4 Years
          1 month, 5 hours ago

          Why? I have no idea where this Coufal came from, can he lose his place to Fredericks?

      2. stu92
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 5 hours ago

        C

      3. Pukki Blinders
        • 1 Year
        1 month, 5 hours ago

        C

      4. Bubbles1985
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 4 hours ago

        B

    7. stu92
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      1 month, 5 hours ago

      Going to work some City/United assets in over the coming weeks to deal with double gameweek (whenever that may be). Which is better?

      A) Son, Bruno, Mahrez, Kane
      B) Son, Rashford, KDB, Jimi/Ings

      1. Ings_is_the_king
          1 month, 5 hours ago

          B

          1. stu92
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            1 month, 5 hours ago

            Cheers mate.

        • Dexters Laboratory
            1 month, 5 hours ago

            C

            1. Dexters Laboratory
                1 month, 5 hours ago

                B*

              • stu92
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 1 Year
                1 month, 5 hours ago

                Thanks for the input mate, appreciate it.

          • Pukki Blinders
            • 1 Year
            1 month, 5 hours ago

            Best option For the next 2 weeks only before a GW9 WC...

            A. Sterling + Maupay —> Kane + Grealish
            B. TAA + Werner —> Kane + Chilwell

            Feel Werner may be rested this week, Tammy probably better suited to play Burnley anyway...

            1. Ings_is_the_king
                1 month, 5 hours ago

                A

              • Dexters Laboratory
                  1 month, 5 hours ago

                  B) Sterling is looking dangerous

              • cemal
                • 3 Years
                1 month, 5 hours ago

                What should my next move be? Any obvious one or am I G2G? 2.1 ITB makes me think I should get someone in. 1 FT

                Martinez, Steer

                TAA, Saiss, R.James, KWP (C.Taylor)

                Sterling, Grealish, Son, Hamez (Burke)

                Hominem, Werner (Brewster)

                1. Ings_is_the_king
                    1 month, 5 hours ago

                    R.James to Chilwell

                2. Sterling Malory
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 5 Years
                  1 month, 5 hours ago

                  A) Grealish to Zaha
                  B) Maupay to Bamford
                  C) Both for free
                  D) Neither

                  Martinez
                  TAA Chilwell KWP
                  Salah Son Grealish Rodriguez
                  Kane DCL Maupay

                  1. mynameisq
                    • 7 Years
                    1 month, 5 hours ago

                    D this week

                  2. Major League Shocker
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 1 Year
                    1 month, 5 hours ago

                    B

                  3. Dexters Laboratory
                      1 month, 5 hours ago

                      D

                    • No Professionals
                      • 3 Years
                      1 month, 5 hours ago

                      neither would mean burning a transfer? in which case B) and roll one, or sort your bench out (if you have any shockers).

                      wouldn't burn one.

                  4. ZeBestee
                    • 6 Years
                    1 month, 5 hours ago

                    Martinez
                    TAA Saiss Dallas
                    Mane Salah Foden Son
                    DCL Jimi Watkins

                    4m Mitchell Anguisa Dunne

                    1FT

                    Would you change anything here? Or save?

                    1. Ings_is_the_king
                        1 month, 5 hours ago

                        Save FT or move Dunne to Kilman

                    2. DOUBLEDOWN
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 5 Years
                      1 month, 5 hours ago

                      Looking longish term, which is the better combo?

                      A). Ings and Zaha, or,
                      B). Werner and Foden

                      1. Ings_is_the_king
                          1 month, 5 hours ago

                          A

                        • Dexters Laboratory
                            1 month, 5 hours ago

                            B

                          • parkin' the bus
                              1 month, 5 hours ago

                              A

                          • Leaf
                            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                            • 10 Years
                            1 month, 5 hours ago

                            What’s happened to season ticker ?

                            It’s unusable on front screen now . If you click slider on mobile then you can’t move anywhere on screen

                            1. Fred54
                              • 5 Years
                              1 month, 5 hours ago

                              Works fine on my phone. Upgrade your tin cans.

                          • Ings_is_the_king
                              1 month, 5 hours ago

                              Who should I captain?
                              A) Kane
                              B) Son
                              C) Sterling

                              1. Dexters Laboratory
                                  1 month, 5 hours ago

                                  A

                                • Miguel Sanchez
                                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                  • 4 Years
                                  1 month, 5 hours ago

                                  Sterling - Sheffield United look poor this season

                              2. AnfieldLad
                                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                • 6 Years
                                1 month, 5 hours ago

                                McCarthy
                                TAA Robbo Kilman
                                Salah Son Podence Soucek
                                Kane Werner DCL
                                (4.0 Shaw Bissouma Ferguson)
                                0.0ITB 1FT

                                A) Save FT
                                B) TAA -> Chilwell

                                Was hoping to save but Antonio rumoured to be fit so might be time to ditch double Pool defence

                                1. Dexters Laboratory
                                    1 month, 5 hours ago

                                    A) Slightly sideways. I'd rather have the 2FT next week

                                2. I SPEAK ENGELS AND DRINK GI…
                                  • 1 Year
                                  1 month, 5 hours ago

                                  What do here? 1FT 0,7 itb

                                  Martinez
                                  Robertson, Chilwell, Saiss
                                  Salah, Son, Grealish, Zaha
                                  Kane (c), DCL, Maupay
                                  Forster, Mitchell, Lamptey, Bissouma

                                3. MSTRKRFTSMN
                                  • 7 Years
                                  1 month, 5 hours ago

                                  Might have to wildcard... TAA and Aguero gotta go I think and too much spare change to be lying around from that

                                4. MSTRKRFTSMN
                                  • 7 Years
                                  1 month, 5 hours ago

                                  What’s the consensus... Werner on pens now or back to Jorg at the weekend?

                                  1. Miguel Sanchez
                                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                    • 4 Years
                                    1 month, 5 hours ago

                                    50/50, probably Jorginho still but last chance

                                5. PogBruno
                                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                  • 3 Years
                                  1 month, 5 hours ago

                                  A) Chilwell + Rashford
                                  B) Coufal + Bruno

                                  Which one?

                                  1. ElliotJHP
                                    • 8 Years
                                    1 month, 5 hours ago

                                    A

                                6. Members Q&A Live Stream
                                7. MoSalalalalalalalalah
                                  • 2 Years
                                  1 month, 5 hours ago

                                  Repost from different article

                                  Hey fellas. I'm struggling a bit here on what I should do. Is taking Digne out because he is suspended and my defence is rather weak the move? Or should I be looking elsewhere? Cheers

                                  0.4 ITB

                                  TAA | Säiss | Mitchell
                                  Salah | Sterling | Podence | Son | Anguissa
                                  Werner | DCL

                                  GK: Steer | Lamptey | Brewster | Digne

                                8. TB303
                                  • 3 Years
                                  1 month, 5 hours ago

                                  Hi
                                  2FT. Should I get rid of Robertson??

                                  Also thinking

                                  Dallas -> Coufal
                                  Grealish -> Zaha

                                  Ryan-(McCarthy)
                                  Dallas- Robertson- Saïss
                                  Grealish- Salah- Rodríguez -Son
                                  Calvert- Kane- Maupay

                                  Bissouma, Konsa, Mitchell.

                                  Dallas -> Coufal

                                9. Uns95
                                  • 2 Years
                                  1 month, 5 hours ago

                                  Sterling to Son for the next 2 fixtures? Unsure what to do here. £1.2 ITB

                                  McCarthy
                                  Robertson Saiss Chilwell
                                  Salah Zaha Barkley Sterling
                                  DCL Jimenez Wilson

                                  Steer Podence KWP Mitchell

                                  1. IRBOX ⚽
                                    • 3 Years
                                    1 month, 5 hours ago

                                    Jimenez to Kane, via Podence or Wilson

                                    1. Uns95
                                      • 2 Years
                                      1 month, 5 hours ago

                                      Can do Jimi + Wilson > Kane + Brewster.

                                      Unfortunately Jimi + Podence > Kane + 4.3m is all I can do there, 0.1m short to get 4.4m fodder...

                                10. yakirh
                                  • 4 Years
                                  1 month, 5 hours ago

                                  Thoughts on TAA & Jimenez to Coufal & Kane?
                                  (Will play Justin/KWP instead of Coufal this GW)

                                11. xHaTr
                                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                  • 2 Years
                                  1 month, 5 hours ago

                                  Thoughts for 2 free transfers?

                                  Trossard and Jimenez to Rashford and Bamford

                                  1. IRBOX ⚽
                                    • 3 Years
                                    1 month, 5 hours ago

                                    Jimenez plays Palace. Don’t transfer him out

                                    1. Zim0
                                      • 2 Years
                                      1 month, 5 hours ago

                                      It lets him do trossard to Rashford tho.

                                      1. IRBOX ⚽
                                        • 3 Years
                                        1 month, 5 hours ago

                                        Rashford - no thanks. Arsenal are setting up well defensively

                                        1. Zim0
                                          • 2 Years
                                          1 month, 5 hours ago

                                          Still better than Trossard

                                      2. Shatner's Bassoon
                                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                        • 2 Years
                                        1 month, 4 hours ago

                                        One half decent thing about Arsenal right now is their defence. I wouldn't sacrifice Jimenez to get Rash in this particular week.

                                  2. No Professionals
                                    • 3 Years
                                    1 month, 5 hours ago

                                    i don't like Jimenez out this week, but the sum of the parts looks better.

                                  3. StayoutheSpiceZone
                                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                    • 3 Years
                                    1 month, 5 hours ago

                                    I’m thinking over the exact same moves

                                  4. MSTRKRFTSMN
                                    • 7 Years
                                    1 month, 5 hours ago

                                    Surely Bamford can’t carry on like this

                                    1. No Professionals
                                      • 3 Years
                                      1 month, 5 hours ago

                                      maybe, but better to react when it stops rather than keep second guessing it. i did that with Salah in his first season.

                                12. Michelle Davin
                                  • 3 Years
                                  1 month, 5 hours ago

                                  Robertson & Podence
                                  to
                                  Zaha & saiss for free

                                  Yes or no?

                                  1. xHaTr
                                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                    • 2 Years
                                    1 month, 5 hours ago

                                    Wouldnt be bringing in Saiss right now. Not sure if he will start

                                    1. Michelle Davin
                                      • 3 Years
                                      1 month, 5 hours ago

                                      Whi other defender around that price except Chilwell then?

                                      1. xHaTr
                                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                        • 2 Years
                                        1 month, 4 hours ago

                                        Coufal at 4.5 interests me. No need to spend all the money

                                  2. The Road to Turfdom
                                    • 4 Years
                                    1 month, 5 hours ago

                                    No

                                13. BadgersBoys
                                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                  • 7 Years
                                  1 month, 5 hours ago

                                  Hi all, Zaha or Grealish? And is it worth a hit for Barnes? Thanks.

                                  1. MSTRKRFTSMN
                                    • 7 Years
                                    1 month, 5 hours ago

                                    What anybody sees in Barnes s an FPL plater I’ll never know. He’s the patchiest player on the game

                                    1. The Road to Turfdom
                                      • 4 Years
                                      1 month, 5 hours ago

                                      Isn't that a potential appeal for a FPL asset?

                                      1. MSTRKRFTSMN
                                        • 7 Years
                                        1 month, 5 hours ago

                                        No

                                    2. BadgersBoys
                                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                      • 7 Years
                                      1 month, 5 hours ago

                                      Thank you.

                                  2. The Road to Turfdom
                                    • 4 Years
                                    1 month, 5 hours ago

                                    Zaha, not for me

                                    1. BadgersBoys
                                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                      • 7 Years
                                      1 month, 5 hours ago

                                      Thanks.

                                  3. Dexters Laboratory
                                      1 month, 4 hours ago

                                      Really think Grealish is the better of the two. Foden also an option with the future fixtures in mind. Not sure either is worth a hit though

                                    • Over Midwicket
                                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                      • 8 Years
                                      1 month, 4 hours ago

                                      Grealish
                                      Foden
                                      Zaha in that order

                                      Basically if you have one it's not worth swapping though

                                  4. Iceball
                                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                    • 6 Years
                                    1 month, 5 hours ago

                                    Podence will come good, sort of mini Hazard, their best player

                                    1. Black Knights
                                      • 8 Years
                                      1 month, 5 hours ago

                                      He's only getting Palace for me, then he's gone for Bowen or Rashford somehow.

                                    2. No Professionals
                                      • 3 Years
                                      1 month, 4 hours ago

                                      mini hazard in as much as he runs a bit like him.

                                      non threatening player in a non threatening team.

                                      And Jimenez is head and shoulders their best player.

                                  5. Kingtekkerz
                                    • 3 Years
                                    1 month, 5 hours ago

                                    Who would you drop for Chilwell?

                                    A) Saiss
                                    B) Taylor
                                    C) Lamptey

                                    1. Stoichkov#8
                                      • 5 Years
                                      1 month, 4 hours ago

                                      A - hard fixtures comming plus may be rotation risk now

                                    2. Dexters Laboratory
                                        1 month, 4 hours ago

                                        What does the rest of your defense look like?

                                        1. Kingtekkerz
                                          • 3 Years
                                          1 month, 4 hours ago

                                          TAA and Mitchell are my last defenders

                                          1. Dexters Laboratory
                                              1 month, 4 hours ago

                                              Think I'd at least give Saiss this week and reevaluate next week. But leaning towards him. I really like wolves defense though (I've Saiss and Semendo). It's more a case of fund distribution. With TAA & Chilwell starting every week you can afford three cheap players rotating based on fixtures for the final spot

                                        2. Gazza2000
                                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                          • 8 Years
                                          1 month, 4 hours ago

                                          B

                                      • circusmonkey
                                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                                        • 10 Years
                                        1 month, 5 hours ago

                                        *Auction league question.

                                        Is it fair to say that Davinson Sanchez is now out of the team because of the (hilarious) West Ham debacle?

                                      • TNB
                                          1 month, 4 hours ago

                                          I've got 2FT with 0.1 ITB

                                          McCarthy
                                          Mitchel-Castagne-Saiss
                                          Salah-Son-Grealish-J Rod
                                          Bamford-Kane-DCL

                                          (Martin-Zaha-Lamptey-Benardo)

                                          I am minded to swap Saiss+Lamptey to Chilwell + Kilman

                                          Any thought or suggestions

                                          1. The Road to Turfdom
                                            • 4 Years
                                            1 month, 4 hours ago

                                            Good team - could you do Castagne to Chilwell for free?

                                            1. TNB
                                                1 month, 4 hours ago

                                                It's a good suggestion but was thinking of keeping Castagne long term (considering a decent run of fixtures other than)