Pro Pundit Teams

How to use teams’ specific weaknesses to pick the right FPL assets

Despite selling Jamie Vardy (£10.3m) for a hit on Friday, Gameweek 12 turned out to be a pretty good one for me.

After taking my second minus four of the season to accommodate Mohamed Salah (£12.3m), I returned a total of 70 points and as a result, now sit 202,736th overall, with my Wildcard still intact.

So, as focus turns to Gameweek 13, I’m going to have a look at where teams have been conceding most of their chances from this season, in the hope of identifying one or two transfer targets for the Christmas period. 

I’ll then have a closer look at some of the players who stood out, and also discuss plans going forward.

WHERE TEAMS CONCEDE THE MOST CHANCES FROM

Using data from the Premium Members Area, I’ve had a look at where each team is most susceptible to conceding chances. This is something I like to keep track of during the season, in an attempt to find out which fantasy options can exploit those weaknesses. 

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avfc82 https://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/894/history”

2,522 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Uncle Gamst
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 months, 28 days ago

    Is this the way to go, dependent of news of rest/rotation?

    Salah (TOT, cry) > Fernandes (she, LEE) GW 13 & 14

    Fernandes (lei, WOL) > Salah (WBA, new) GW 15 & 16

    I have KdB, Son and Kane

    Thanks

    1. HammersXI
      • 8 Years
      3 months, 28 days ago

      That's a very risky approach tbh. I rather have both Salah and Bruno during this run. Liverpool do not rly have the players to rotate now esp after the dropped points. Would consider removing Son instead if u have kane

      1. Uncle Gamst
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        Thanks for reply 1.1 short of that unfortunately would have to be Kane out and a -4 to do Son > Bruno and lose 0.2 on Son.

        Or KdB to Bruno

    2. GreennRed
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 28 days ago

      No. I think it's a waste of two transfers, they'll prob do similar points. Fixtures are very fickle this season.

      1. Uncle Gamst
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        Thanks for responding, so stick with:

        Son, Salah, KdB (C), Soucek
        Bamford, DCL Kane

        1. GreennRed
          • 9 Years
          3 months, 28 days ago

          I think so. I have Bruno myself but no KDB or Salah. It's tempting to have a blockbuster midfield, some seem keen to take hits to fit KDB, Salah, Bruno and Son in there but it could hinder the remaining 7 starters. Maybe 3 of them with likes of Grealish, Zaha, Soucek or fodder and 3 forwards is a decent alternative.

          1. Uncle Gamst
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            3 months, 28 days ago

            Agreed, it's swings and roundabouts with the 3 premium midfielders. Think your front 7 could do better than that this GW as Spurs are going to park the bus and hit Liverpool on the break. Salah might struggle

  2. HammersXI
    • 8 Years
    3 months, 28 days ago

    Pissed that I am now priced out from getting Bruno in a -4 move. Does this -8 make sense in the long run?

    Martinez ( Forster)
    Coufal James Lamptey (Lewis Justin)
    Grealish KDB (C) Salah Son (Alzate)
    Vardy DCL Bamford

    0.6m ITB

    Thinking of doing this move for -8
    Alzate + Vardy + Justin -> Bruno + 4.3 Striker + Dallas

    Thoughts?
    Could have done Alzate + Vardy till about an hour ago. Don't mind getting rid of Justin due to his fixture

    1. SC not pearls before swine
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 28 days ago

      Would you captain Bruno over KDB this week? If no, I'd probably wait another week. If yes, maybe.

      1. HammersXI
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        Yeah I am considering it tbh.

        It's more of what happens if Bruno scores tons of points against Sheff. His away form is hard to ignore

        1. SC not pearls before swine
          • 10 Years
          3 months, 28 days ago

          Yeah, I get it. I think my instinct would be to be conservative and wait, but making the move could obviously pay off. But Bruno + Dallas vs Vardy + Justin + 8 (Or I guess 4 if you're doing it next week but still) is a pretty tight bet on a single week. The captaincy makes it easier to claw back the points. Although if you captain Bruno and Kevin hauls that might be counterproductive.

          1. HammersXI
            • 8 Years
            3 months, 28 days ago

            I was so conservative I missed the chance to do an easy -4 with Bruno rising today.

            Yeah that's the thing. I'm not intending to play Justin tbh or even so Dallas. So it's just Vardy + 8 vs Bruno which now doesn't seem smart.

            I'm more inclined to captain Bruno over KDB tho. So that too changes things like you said. ugh decisions....

      2. HammersXI
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        If I do -8 this gwk I will be saving a FT the following week.

    2. Uncle Gamst
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 28 days ago

      Everton aren't the tightest defence and can see Vardy scoring, Together with the -8 it eats into any points Fernandes will score.

      Roll the FT and do it for -4 next week.

      1. HammersXI
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        Okay thanks man. Picturing not having Bruno vs Sheff just scares me. I don't not think their game against Leeds is going to be as easy as what the fixture rating puts it out to be.

        Good point on the Everton defense. In that case would you play Justin over Coufal / James / Lamptey this week? I mean he could still start if Lamptey is out

        1. Uncle Gamst
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          3 months, 28 days ago

          Probably over Coufal as Palace always good for a goal nd Justin gets forward

  3. bigdip
    • 8 Years
    3 months, 28 days ago

    1 FT with 1.8itb.

    Mccarthy (Forster)
    Cancelo Justin James (Taylor Lewis)
    Bruno SON Sterling (c) Soucek (Gordon)
    Vardy DCL Wilson

    A) Son & DCL to Salah & Bamford for -4 hit
    B) Keep FT and do A next GW for free
    C) Keep FT and do Sterling & Vardy to Salah & Kane for free next GW

    1. Nay08
        3 months, 28 days ago

        C

      • Lucky Z
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        C looks ideal

    2. C_G
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 28 days ago

      Should I:

      A) play KWP or Lamptey
      B) do Jota ---> Gross on FT and play him
      C) Jota & Wilson ---> Gross & Bamford (-4)

      1. HammersXI
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        Lamptey.
        Not keen on B / C. I wouldn't take out Wilson for Bamford for now.

        1. C_G
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 28 days ago

          I meant Watkins not Wilson, sorry!!

          1. HammersXI
            • 8 Years
            3 months, 28 days ago

            If Watkins.. Hmm I will hold for a week.

    3. C_G
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 28 days ago

      post above fail!!

      Should I:

      A) play KWP and Lamptey
      B) do Jota ---> Gross on FT and play him
      C) Jota & Watkins ---> Gross & Bamford (-4)

      1. Reeker
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        I don't think bringing in Gross is a good move but I'm interested what your plan is for Jota if you don't make that move for next week

      2. Luton_Fan
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        A

    4. Dr. Ante Pavlovic
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 28 days ago

      Mendy
      Chilwell, Cancelo, Targett
      Salah, KDB(c), Bruno, Grealish
      DCL, Bamford, Giroud

      Soucek, Coufal, Justin

      All set ?

      1. GreennRed
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        Looks good. I like your Giroud pick. Maybe consider fodder mid and defender for extra cash after this GW.

        1. Dr. Ante Pavlovic
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 28 days ago

          Preparing for DGW already

          1. Dr. Ante Pavlovic
            • 3 Years
            3 months, 28 days ago

            Planning of using BB in DGW

            1. Live Lad
              • 6 Years
              3 months, 28 days ago

              Which are the teams with DGW in 19? Thanks.

              1. Dr. Ante Pavlovic
                • 3 Years
                3 months, 28 days ago

                Still not clear

      2. Drogba Legend
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        Similar to mine, I think you're fine. Thoughts on mine below?

    5. Drogba Legend
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 28 days ago

      Save FT, Son out, or Son and DCL out for a hit? Maybe even drop Robbo to someone?

      Mendy
      Robbo - Chill - Dallas - Dias
      KDB (C) - Son - Grealish - Salah
      Bam - DCL

      Steer - Giroud - Stephens* - Douglas*

      A) Save
      B) Son > Rash, Bowen (allows me to do DCL > Kane next GW), Mahrez or Torres
      C) Son + DCL > Bruno + 6.5 forward (-4)
      D) Son + Robbo > Bruno + Stones/Mendy/Cancelo (-4)
      E) Son + Giroud > Bruno + De Cordorva Reid (-4)

      Cheers!

      1. Dr. Ante Pavlovic
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        Maybe C

        But not bad at all with saving FT

        1. Drogba Legend
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 28 days ago

          Cheers

      2. Scratch
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        None of the suggested moves look particularly good so A

        1. Drogba Legend
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 28 days ago

          Cheers

      3. Boberella
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        Not really that keen on the options listed as I'd hold Son, but there's not much point having Giroud in your team if you're not gonna play him.

    6. Live Lad
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 28 days ago

      What are the teams having DGW in in 19?
      Thanks!

      1. Scratch
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        West Ham vs WBA moved from GW18 to a DGW 19. More TBA within the next week or two

    7. AK_FC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 28 days ago

      Best Man City defender?

      1. Scratch
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        Dias the most assured starter but nobody is completely safe.

      2. FortunesAlwaysHiding
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        Walker

    8. Scratch
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 28 days ago

      This is probably not answerable but do we know when we'll have an idea of how GW 18 & 19 blanks and DGWs look? I have a FT burning a hole in my pocket but I'd love to have this info first and it's only a month away.

    9. Johan Queef
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 28 days ago

      Is Cavaleiro worth considering? He's got crazy XG stats and has looked dangerous (but he might just be a bad player!)

      Need to move Ziyech on but maybe I'm overthinking and should just get a Soucek/Bowen.

    10. tabby98
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 28 days ago

      What should I do here please help?

      Mccarthy, (Nyland)
      Chilwell, Reece James, Justin, KWP (Mitchell)
      Salah, KDB, Grealish, Pulisic (Stephens)
      DCL, Vardy, Bamford

      0.3itb 1ft

      1. Cojones of Destiny
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        puli to bowen

    11. Alisson WondHaaland
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 28 days ago

      Best transfer? (2FT)

      A) Vardy + Bowen to Welbeck + Bruno
      B) Vardy to Martial
      C) Vardy to Jesus
      D) Vardy + Bissouma to Brewster + Rashford (Switch to 3-5-2)

      1. Scratch
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        Don't like any of those tbh

        1. Alisson WondHaaland
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 28 days ago

          Tbh same, it just feels like I have nothing to do with my FTs

          1. Scratch
            • 11 Years
            3 months, 28 days ago

            IF you've absolutely nothing to do then just ship PF to Forster. Or tidy up Ferguson since you may be relying on a bench when teams are playing 2 games in 3 days.

            1. Alisson WondHaaland
              • 5 Years
              3 months, 28 days ago

              Might do Ferguson to Douglas for 0.1, 3rd bench is basically never needed anyway

    12. MidTableFantasy
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 28 days ago

      Debating to get KDB or not... which would you prefer?

      A) Grealish + Werner (+ Riedwald bench fodder)
      B) KDB + Soucek (+ Brewster bench fodder)

      Current team:
      Martinez
      Chilwell Justin Walker
      Salah Bruno Grealish Son
      Werner Bamford DCL

      1. 007 [RoboKlopp]
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        B

    13. ClaireT
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 28 days ago

      What should I do with this team, any help appreciated!

      Martinez, Forster
      Dallas, James, KWP, Coufal, Lamptey
      Son, Bruno, Salah, Grealish, Bissouma
      Watkins, DCL, Bamford

      3.6 itb, 1ft

      1. Scratch
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        Grand team. Son to KDB/Sterling obviously a decent shout but depends if you've planned to use that money elsewhere in the next couple weeks.

        1. ClaireT
          • 11 Years
          3 months, 28 days ago

          Thank you 🙂 If I do the Son to KDB/Sterling move this week - which 3 would you say to bench from the rest of my team? 🙂

          1. Scratch
            • 11 Years
            3 months, 28 days ago

            Tricky to choose your best 3 defenders, go with your gut it's more fun.

    14. bigdip
      • 8 Years
      3 months, 28 days ago

      1 FT & 1.8mn itb.

      Mccarthy (Forster)
      Cancelo Justin James (Taylor Lewis)
      Bruno SON Sterling (c) Soucek (Gordon)
      Vardy DCL Wilson

      A) Son & DCL to Salah & Bamford for -4 hit
      B) Keep FT and do A next GW for free
      C) Keep FT and do Sterling & Vardy to Salah & Kane for free next GW

      1. Luton_Fan
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        C

      2. Scratch
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        Agree with all 3 options, very tricky to pick one

    15. Cto
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 28 days ago

      Do we think Mahrez will play? I have him and thinking of shipping.. mates calling me crazy. Stinks of a benching to me though

      1. Gun gun
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        I think mahrez totally suit to start this game, surely he get smth already.

    16. Luton_Fan
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 28 days ago

      Jota replacement under 6 ?

      A. Soucek
      B. Lookman
      C. Raphinha (already have bamford)

      Tia

      1. bigdip
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        A

      2. Baron Saturday
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        I'm also looking at a < 6 mid, but leaning toward Dendonker to free up some extra funds, or go with Eze based on stats alone.

        Of the above I'd go A.

    17. bigdip
      • 8 Years
      3 months, 28 days ago

      Start 3 defenders:
      A) Cancelo
      B) Justin
      C) James
      D) Taylor
      E) Lewis

      1. Luton_Fan
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        A, b, c

    18. bigdip
      • 8 Years
      3 months, 28 days ago

      Captain choice:
      A) Sterling
      B) Bruno
      C) Vardy

      1. Luton_Fan
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        Bruno

      2. 007 [RoboKlopp]
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        Bruno

    19. Alisson WondHaaland
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 28 days ago

      Which punts do you think might be worth it?

      A) Aguero
      B) Martial
      C) Rashford
      D) Jesus
      E) F. Torres

      1. Dthinger
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        Rashford the only one more than 60% nailed

    20. Dthinger
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 28 days ago

      Was going to save my transfer but now I’m worried that my bench is Kilman Neco Brewster. I should deal with that right? So...Kilman to...

      A) Lewis
      B) vestergaard
      C) someone else up to 4.6

      1. Cojones of Destiny
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        b

    21. fcsaltyballs
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 28 days ago

      Martinez
      Robertson Chilwell Cancelo
      Salah Son KDB Grealish Foden
      DCL Bamford

      Forster Dallas Brewster Ferguson

      1 FT, 0.3 itb

      1. Salah >> Fernandes (for GW13/14 then back to Salah for GW15)
      2. Save FT

      Cheers.

      1. Gun gun
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        Done 1 alr

    22. De Gea is GOAT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 28 days ago

      Repost for more opinions. Do i use FT to swap Chilwell to a City defender?

      Not so sure about the CHE double up anymore. Thanks guys

      Ryan
      Robbo Chilwell James
      Grealish Salah KDB Bruno
      DCL Bamford Reid

      Taylore Alzate Mitchell

      1. Dthinger
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        No

      2. 007 [RoboKlopp]
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        No

      3. De Gea is GOAT
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        Thanks lads!

      4. Cojones of Destiny
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        save, i deal gk sooner or later

        1. De Gea is GOAT
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 28 days ago

          Yeah he's definitely out next week. Who would you bring as a set and forget?

          1. Cojones of Destiny
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            3 months, 28 days ago

            Marti did well for me so far, Fabs got a great potential if u can squeeze him in

            1. De Gea is GOAT
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 4 Years
              3 months, 28 days ago

              Thank you. really appreciate it. Will be hard to get to Fabs. I do also prefer Mccarthy over Marti.

    23. Cojones of Destiny
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 28 days ago

      chasing, my ML rivals only got Bruno, I got him and KDB surely i C KDB?!

      1. De Gea is GOAT
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        KDB for sure.

    24. Esalman
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 28 days ago

      At this point I've switched C between Bruno and KDB several times. I have forgot who it is on now. I'm not even gonna look at my team anymore unless there's an injury.

      1. Cojones of Destiny
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        yeah that helps

    25. Slitherene
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 28 days ago

      Bench 1?
      A. Watkins
      B. Wilson
      C. Soucek

      Start 1?
      1. Lascelles
      2. Ayling
      3. Taylor

      Help needed!

      1. Holmes
        • 7 Years
        3 months, 28 days ago

        Soucek

        Taylor

    26. prateikmahendra
        3 months, 28 days ago

        Mccarthy
        Bellerin chillwel justin
        Salah DeBryne Klich Grealish
        dcl Kane wilson

        Want to do klich->zaha and bellerin to a def but only 4.1 left
        Neco williams is one option but no play time expected.
        Any other options or suggestions? (1.0 in the bank)

        1. Lucky Z
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 28 days ago

          What is wrong with Klich vs NEW?

          1. prateikmahendra
              3 months, 28 days ago

              Nothing, I have had Klich for all season, and have been wanting Zaha for long now for the attacking threat

          2. Holmes
            • 7 Years
            3 months, 28 days ago

            You can get someone like Soucek and upgrade Bellerin to James/Dias instead

            1. prateikmahendra
                3 months, 28 days ago

                That I can do while keeping Klich (who is on penalties as well)

          3. Lucky Z
            • 3 Years
            3 months, 28 days ago

            Mendy
            Chilwell | Targett | Dallas
            Salah | KDB (c) | B.Fernandes | Son | Grealish
            DCL | Bamford

            Forster | Reguilon | Brewster | Mitchell

            Saving FT this GW. Is it worth to fit Kane in this team with 2FTs after Liverpool? And how.

            1. Lucky Z
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 28 days ago

              0 ITB

            2. RogDog_jimmy
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              3 months, 28 days ago

              you want to get Kane think you have to remove one of the big-hitters. does Grealish >4.5 and DCL > Kane work?

              1. Lucky Z
                • 3 Years
                3 months, 28 days ago

                0.5 short of it. But frankly better to lose one of KDB/Salah/Bruno than DCL (consistency at 7.0) and Grealish (also 7.0 and DGWs to come)

          4. Warbling Wendy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            3 months, 28 days ago

            Martinez Mccarthy
            Chilwell, Lamptey, Targett, KWP, Lewis
            Salah, KDB, Fernandes, Son, Bissouma
            DCL, Wilson, Bamford

            2FT, no idea what to do with them, 0.0m in the bank

            Wouldn't normally ask blindly for help, but the only thing I can think to do is downgrade one of the goalkeepers to the 4m understudy of the goalkeeper I keep, so I have those funds in the bank for a move I might want to make the week after. Anything jump out as a obvious weakness or a move to make?