Pro Pundits - Lateriser

Which FPL forward should we choose to replace Harry Kane?

It’s been a while since I did the Burning Question format so I thought it would be a good time to revisit it. I asked the community to send me some questions and I’ll be answering a few here. Let’s get stuck right in.

Q1) What is the ideal front three if no budget constraints? @pras_fpl

Hi Pras, thank you so much for the question. Hope you are doing well. The injury to Harry Kane (£11.3m) and the lack of form of Patrick Bamford (£6.7m) has opened up the striker positions. Just a small note on Patrick Bamford, in the last four matches, he sits outside the top 30 players in the league for expected goals (xG). It’s easy to forget that he is still fairly cheap and offers value but he has a mixed bag of fixtures in the next five Gameweeks and doesn’t make my list for the ideal front three. So who does make my list?

Calvert-Lewin and Bamford the Fantasy focus as Everton host Leeds

First up, it’s Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.6m). Yes he has had four blanks in a row but it is worth mentioning that his merry men are back and as noted by Tom Freeman in his excellent article, Everton are a different beast when all their main players are playing together. Here is what Tom cited:

“Everton are a different proposition when they can get Lucas Digne (£6.0m), James Rodríguez (£7.7m), Richarlison (£7.8m) and Dominic Calvert-Lewin all on the pitch at the same time. In fact, in the six league games they’ve started together this season, the Toffees have scored a massive 17 goals.”

Tom Freeman

That is an average of 2.83 goals per game. In the next four Gameweeks, Everton face Newcastle (home), Leeds (away), Manchester United (away) and Fulham (home). Three of those teams are in the bottom six of the league for expected goals conceded (xGC) in the last six matches. Fixtures and the calibre of opposition when they have all their main attackers fit are the reasons why DCL is top of my list of strikers at the moment.

The next two forwards who make up the ideal strikeforce for me are Michail Antonio (£6.4m) and Ollie Watkins (£6.2m). Antonio just makes West Ham better as an attacking outfit and owners were extremely unlucky to come away with just an assist against Crystal Palace.

He should have had a lot more from the game but he looks very sharp on the eye-test, has good underlying numbers, and has a fairly decent fixture run as well. Also worth noting that in the last four matches, West Ham are in the top five in the league for Big Chance Threat (BCT) and for attempts in the box which further justifies the presence of Antonio making the Hammers a much better attacking unit.

The same can be said about Aston Villa who also find themselves in the top five in the league for big chances and shots in the box in the last four matches. They also look like an excellent outfit in attack and are capable of scoring goals against any opposition. Watkins has great underlying numbers as well. He is second among all strikers for BCT in the last four matches and sits third in the league for shots in the box in the same period.

Q2) If someone wanted to take a punt on Chelsea now, with good fixtures and a possible manager bounce, which two or three Chelsea assets would you suggest? (@PierreM80702057)

Hi Pierre. My fellow Pro-Pundit and co-host Zophar always says it is better to be late to the party rather than arriving early and realising it is a dud. As you already know, I’ve been guilty of this crime quite a few times this season and it’s one of the big reasons I’m having a poor campaign.

When it comes to Tuchel’s Chelsea, simply put we just don’t know anything about them right now. I would suggest keenly monitoring them for the next two-to-three games before jumping in because the manager is just getting to know his players right now. Let me quote from this excellent piece on Tuchel on FFScout:

“Whatever system and style Tuchel chooses to deploy at Chelsea, he always tailors it to the players he has at his disposal.”

“My role is that of a service provider, I’m here to help and support the players.”

Thomas Tuchel

It’s very early to tell who is going to benefit from having Tuchel as a manager but I’ll just say that the first game against Wolves looked really encouraging for Kai Havertz (£8.2m) who played a lot closer to goal than under Frank Lampard. That said it is very early to draw any conclusions and I’d urge FPL managers to keenly observe for some time before jumping in.

Q3) Is Man City double defence a risk now with Laporte back and raring to go? (@fpl_saffer)

Hi Kevin, thank you so much for the question and first up huge congratulations for the season you’re having. I know you’re currently in the top 50 Overall Ranking at the moment so you definitely don’t need to be taking any advice from me.

→ How many FPL points did Aymeric Laporte register across Manchester City's three Double Gameweeks?

With regards to the Manchester City centre-backs, I see no reason for Pep to change the partnership he has at his disposal right now which is why both remain good picks. I think he’ll persist with the same two in defence and you’ll probably only see a little bit of rotation due to fixture congestion and that’s about it. I wouldn’t worry about them until Pep actually makes some changes.

Q4) Who are the second best premium defensive assets (with some attacking output) behind the City boys? Liverpool, Leicester, United, Chelsea, Spurs? Or just go budget? (@FPLAlternative)

If you’re looking for a defender to pick outside of the Manchester City names, the one I’d like to recommend is Lucas Digne.

Returning Digne can help Everton's attacking assets return to form in Gameweek 20

Like I mentioned earlier in the article, Everton have a great bunch of fixtures coming up. It is worth noting he was played as a left-winger in the previous game which makes him a very enticing option and even if he isn’t out-of-position (OOP), his numbers this season have been really good.

He’s top of the league for assists per 90 (0.49 assists per 90mins) and especially with James Rodriguez back in the team and in form, I think it increases his points potential a lot. Ben Godfrey’s (£5.0m) form also means that he could potentially still be OOP for a while. Only two teams have conceded fewer goals and big chances than Everton in the last six matches so that is very promising as well.

That’s it from me for this week and I hope you enjoyed this article. Our latest episode of The FPL Wire has some more detailed information as well which you can view below in case you fancy it.

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3,541 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Pad Randa (The OG)
    • 9 Years
    3 months, 6 days ago

    WC. Good to go? Nothing ITB.

    Areola
    Cancelo - Stones - Digne (c)
    Son - Salah - Maddi - Bruno - Gundo (v)
    Watkins - DCL

    Martinez, Cresswell, Maguire, McGoldrick

    1. Lindelol
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 6 days ago

      Maddison or Barnes?

      1. Carlton P
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 6 days ago

        I’ve gone for Barnes, couple be OOP

    2. Carlton P
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 6 days ago

      Can you do
      Cress > Targett
      Maddy > Barnes
      Mc gold > Watkins

      1. Pad Randa (The OG)
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 6 days ago

        So, Watkins twice? 😉

        1. Carlton P
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 6 days ago

          Whoops

    3. DK_13
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 6 days ago

      Is the bench that strong for a reason? You will find it insanely hard if someone 9mil+ starts firing soon(or comes back from injury like vardy).

  2. Lindelol
    • 2 Years
    3 months, 6 days ago

    WHIch is better
    1. Wilson to DCL
    2. Soucek to Barnes/Son/Grealish

    1. FPL-(VAR)dy
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 6 days ago

      2

      1. Lindelol
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 6 days ago

        FOr 2 which one out of those

    2. Carlton P
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 6 days ago

      2 Son easily

  3. BurnMyBread
      3 months, 6 days ago

      For mid to long term:

      A) Barnes + DCL
      B) Rodriguez + Watkins

      1. FPL-(VAR)dy
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 6 days ago

        a

      2. Carlton P
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 6 days ago

        A

    • jaguar shark
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 months, 6 days ago

      Start Soucek or Bamford?

      1. FPL-(VAR)dy
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 6 days ago

        Soucek

      2. Yank Revolution
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 6 days ago

        Soucek is unbenchable now no?

        1. Lindelol
          • 2 Years
          3 months, 6 days ago

          Vs pool?

          1. DK_13
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 6 days ago

            Lack of height and no proper CB to defend set pieces

    • FPL-(VAR)dy
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 6 days ago

      Start
      Cresswell(vs Liv)
      Holding (vs Mun)

      1. Sid07
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 6 days ago

        Cresswell

    • Carlton P
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 6 days ago

      Any changes on WC? 0.3ITB

      Martinez | Areola

      Cancelo l Digne l Chilwell l Targett l Mitchell
      Salah l Sterling l Gündogan l Son l Barnes
      DCL l Antonio l Watkins

      No Bruno but having to go different as I’m chasing

    • tinear
      • 1 Year
      3 months, 6 days ago

      Martinez
      Cancelo Stones Mitchell Coufal
      Salah Son Bruno Gundo
      DCL Bamford

      Steer Zouma Bissouma Kane

      1.5 itb 1 ft

      1. Zouma to Digne
      2. Kane to Antonio
      3. Bissouma to Soucek
      4. Bamford to Antonio

      Clueless here. Don’t mind taking -4 for any of the above.

      Any thoughts?

    • WE GO FOR IT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 6 days ago

      McCarthy | Forster
      Cancelo | Dias | Coufal | Alioski | Ferguson
      Salah | Sterling | Bruno | Son | Soucek
      Bamford | Antonio | Brewster

      1ft and 1.9 itb.

      Pick one:
      A. Soucek to Barnes
      B. Alioksi to Targett/Digne
      C: Bamford to DCL

      1. GreennRed
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 6 days ago

        B. Targett.

      2. Karan14
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 6 days ago

        Like all 3 tbh but Alioski is probably the weakest of all.

      3. Sid07
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 6 days ago

        B to digne

      4. Carlton P
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 6 days ago

        B to Targett if it leaves £ ITB for A or B in future

      5. WE GO FOR IT
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 6 days ago

        Yeah. Alioski is the weakest link and mases most sense. Targett does allow me getting DCL next week but I guess I'm missing the main fixture for him this GW. Digne doesn't allow me much later on. Also, not fully sold on his price tag at 6m. CS aren't Everton's strong suit.

      6. WE GO FOR IT
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 6 days ago

        Cheers all! 🙂

      7. GuenDoozy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        3 months, 6 days ago

        B, Digne

    • The Red Devil
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 6 days ago

      Start coufal Or Mitchell
      Kane/Bamford to Watkins/Antonio for a hit? (If I sell Kane, I'll bench Bamford)

      1. AMP
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 6 days ago

        I m on Mitchel atm

    • Xanthorpe
        3 months, 6 days ago

        A) Rashford -> Rodriguez
        B) Bamford -> DCL

        1. Ha.
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 6 days ago

          B

      • TheBabyfacedAssassin
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 6 days ago

        Right lineuo here, guys? Cheers.
        Areola
        Cancelo, Shaw, AWB
        Salah, Sterling , Gundo, Bruno
        DCL, Bamford, Wilson
        Subs Martinez. Soucek, Holding, Coufal

      • Karan14
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 6 days ago

        Martinez
        Robbo Cancelo Dias
        Salah Bruno Grealish Gündo Raphinha
        DCL Antonio

        (Steer Cresswell Mitchell Brewster)

        A) Raphinha ➡️ Son -4
        B) Raphinha ➡️ Barnes -4

        Any of these worth a hit?
        Not liking Leeds next 2 fixtures (lei, EVE)
        Will need Son for GW23 captaincy anyways so I could either get him now or get Barnes for the next 2 (LEE, ful).

        1. Sid07
          • 6 Years
          3 months, 6 days ago

          Hold this week

          1. Karan14
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 6 days ago

            If I hold this week then selling Raph for Barnes or Son next week is pointless I feel.

        2. Carlton P
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 6 days ago

          A

        3. GuenDoozy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          3 months, 6 days ago

          Not considering Mane?

          1. Karan14
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 6 days ago

            Doubling up on Pool attack doesn't work out for me ever. Already got burnt twice this season.

            1. GuenDoozy
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 1 Year
              3 months, 6 days ago

              Ive done it. Even considering Mane (c)

              1. Karan14
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 5 Years
                3 months, 6 days ago

                Could work out his stats after the Spurs game are insane.

        4. Salan
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          3 months, 6 days ago

          I would not take hit, and play Mitchell (yes, it's him) over Raphinha.

          1. Karan14
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 6 days ago

            No way Leicester are without Ndidi and Palace concede for fun lol.

      • Salarrivederci
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 6 days ago

        Gtg? 1.0 ITB and on -8

        Areola
        Cancelo - Dias - Stones
        Salah - Mane - Bruno - Maddison - Barnes
        Antonio - Watkins

        (Martinez, AWB, Coufal, Brewster)

        1. Sid07
          • 6 Years
          3 months, 6 days ago

          What were your transfers

          1. Salarrivederci
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 6 days ago

            Kane, Smith Rowe and Cavaleiro -> Watkins, Mane and Barnes

      • Sid07
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 6 days ago

        1) Bamford to dcl
        2) soucek to gundo
        3) grealish to gundo

        1. Karan14
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 6 days ago

          2 is more of a priority I feel.

        2. sozopol
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          3 months, 6 days ago

          yeah, 2

        3. Ha.
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 6 days ago

          1

      • shiraz
          3 months, 6 days ago

          Who to start, pairing with my 2 city's defence

          A. Dallas
          B. Coufal
          C. Mitchell

          1. sozopol
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            3 months, 6 days ago

            C

          2. Ha.
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 6 days ago

            A

        • Ruinenlust
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 6 days ago

          Son or DCL??

          1. sozopol
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            3 months, 6 days ago

            Both!

        • PepSala
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 6 days ago

          Captain dcl or gundo? So tough

          1. ZombieEaten
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 6 days ago

            DCL right now but could change. Despite Pep's comments will he give Gundo more than 60?

          2. Ha.
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 6 days ago

            Gundo

          3. sozopol
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            3 months, 6 days ago

            Close, but Gundo

          4. Salan
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            3 months, 6 days ago

            Gundo. On form and proven.

          5. vincentwsho
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            3 months, 6 days ago

            Gundo on pens

        • ZombieEaten
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 6 days ago

          Bench Soucek or Bamford?

          1. Ha.
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 6 days ago

            Bam

          2. sozopol
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            3 months, 6 days ago

            Souc

        • Ritchies Magic Hat
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          3 months, 6 days ago

          Dallas to Digne or Cancelo for a hit?

          1. Ha.
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 6 days ago

            Cancelo for free next week

            1. sozopol
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              3 months, 6 days ago

              agree

        • Ha.
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 6 days ago

          For the next few:

          A. Salah
          B. Mane
          C. Sterling
          D. Gundo

          1. GuenDoozy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            3 months, 6 days ago

            I think D is priority.

            1. Ha.
              • 5 Years
              3 months, 6 days ago

              Thanks

          2. sozopol
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            3 months, 6 days ago

            D

          3. F_Ivanovic
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 6 days ago

            A

            1. Ha.
              • 5 Years
              3 months, 6 days ago

              Class is permanent?

        • Pad Randa (The OG)
          • 9 Years
          3 months, 6 days ago

          1. Salah / Maddison / Maguire / Mcgoldrick
          2. Mane / Barnes / Shaw / Antonio and 0.4 ITB?

          1. Ha.
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 6 days ago

            2 is more balanced

        • DK_13
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 6 days ago

          Wc in 25
          Dier to (-4)
          A)digne
          B)chilwell
          C)hold and play
          (Reason for hit is, whoever I bring in has a great chance of an attacking return this week to cover up for the hit)

          1. Ha.
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 6 days ago

            C

          2. F_Ivanovic
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 6 days ago

            I have similar situation. Already on a -4, but could go for a -8 to bring in one of the above. Deciding to hold it though (actually playing mitchell over Dier atm, but still unsure about it)

            1. DK_13
              • 5 Years
              3 months, 6 days ago

              I am not on a hit, but that doesn't really matter. I look at each hit separately.
              With wc in 25 I think this is the time to try and cut down the leads in my mini league, but then I don't wanna overdo it, so really confused

        • Roy Rovers
          • 6 Years
          3 months, 6 days ago

          GTG? ....Martinez or McCarthy?

          Martinez or McCarthy
          Cancelo Stones Creswell
          Bruno Grealish Salah Son Gundogan
          DCL (C) Antonio

          Bamford Mitchell Dallas

          1. Ha.
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 6 days ago

            Martinez for upside

        • Danny De Gea
          • 6 Years
          3 months, 6 days ago

          Which combo is better this GW?

          A. Sterling + Watkins
          B. DCL + Bamford

          1. Ha.
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 6 days ago

            A

        • Nay08
            3 months, 6 days ago

            Who to Captain? Salah, Bruno, Gundogan, Grealish, DCL, or Cancelo?

            and who to play? Watkins or Bamford?

            1. Ha.
              • 5 Years
              3 months, 6 days ago

              Gundo
              Watkins

              1. Danny De Gea
                • 6 Years
                3 months, 6 days ago

                Already have Gundo..

                1. Ha.
                  • 5 Years
                  3 months, 6 days ago

                  ?

                  1. Danny De Gea
                    • 6 Years
                    3 months, 6 days ago

                    Omg failed reply, sorry 😀

          • Gentlemens club
            • 2 Years
            3 months, 6 days ago

            Team in right order?

            Mendy
            Stones Cancelo Justin
            Gundo Son Salah Bruno
            Watkins DCL Antonio

            Martinez/Soucek/Dallas/Coufal

          • DAZZ
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            3 months, 6 days ago

            Captain who? DCL, Salah, Bruno, Cancelo, Grealish?

          • Disturbed
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            3 months, 6 days ago

            Take a risk with Sterling cap or play it safe with gundo?

            1. Ha.
              • 5 Years
              3 months, 6 days ago

              Sterling

              1. Disturbed
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 7 Years
                3 months, 6 days ago

                Cheers

            2. Surfreak
              • 11 Years
              3 months, 6 days ago

              Sterling!

          • WE GO FOR IT
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 6 days ago

            Is Digne worth 6m?

            Next 4 fixtures are : NEW lee mun FUL

            Newcastle looks like the most possible CS. Attacking returns are always a possibilty but enough to warrant 6m?

            1. Ha.
              • 5 Years
              3 months, 6 days ago

              Yes
              Yes

              1. WE GO FOR IT
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 5 Years
                3 months, 6 days ago

                Cheers! 🙂
                I'm actually between him and DCL. Can get one of them. DCL may be more explosive.

                1. Ha.
                  • 5 Years
                  3 months, 6 days ago

                  Disagree

                  Digne more explosive when you consider CS and BAPS also

            2. Disturbed
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              3 months, 6 days ago

              Same dilemma. Not sure whether to get him for zouma for a hit. Other option is to start Dallas.

              1. Ha.
                • 5 Years
                3 months, 6 days ago

                Start Dallas

                1. Disturbed
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 7 Years
                  3 months, 6 days ago

                  Not with the hit? Will have to deal with zouma soon though.

                  1. Disturbed
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 7 Years
                    3 months, 6 days ago

                    *worth

              2. WE GO FOR IT
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 5 Years
                3 months, 6 days ago

                I porbably would start Alioski if I don't get Digne/Targett

            3. Salan
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 11 Years
              3 months, 6 days ago

              I don't trust Everton's CS until Pickford dropped. Digne may get some attacking returns in the coming 4 gws, but we may have better choices from Manchester City in the coming 2 gws and Westham/Manchester United thereafter.

          • amit1964
            • 4 Years
            3 months, 6 days ago

            good morning!

            on wc :
            a) taa
            b)robertson
            thank you

            1. Ha.
              • 5 Years
              3 months, 6 days ago

              C

            2. Surfreak
              • 11 Years
              3 months, 6 days ago

              Was Robbo, now Trent.