Spot the Differential

Fit-again Pereira can return to 2019/20 form in Castagne’s absence

Gameweek 23 is almost upon us after another quick turnaround, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Leicester City, Burnley and Newcastle United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Ricardo Pereira

  • FPL ownership: 0.2%
  • Price: £5.9m
  • GW23-27 fixtures: wol | LIV | avl | ARS | bha

Ricardo Pereira (£5.9m) is showing signs that he is almost back to full-fitness, as he completed his first 90 minutes of the season against Fulham on Wednesday night.

Benefitting from Timothy Castagne’s (£5.7m) injury, which is set to keep him out for a ‘short period of time’, the 27-year-old started at Craven Cottage and even had a goal ruled out in the second half for offside.

The numbers caught the eye, too.

Pereira finished the match with 23 final-third touches. Amongst team-mates, only James Maddison (£7.3m) had more, and for context, his colleague on the opposite flank, James Justin (£5.1m), had nine. He also racked up more penalty area-touches, take-ons and crosses than the English full-back during the match, which is encouraging. 

The return of several injured players, including Çaglar Söyüncü (£5.3m) and of course Pereira, has given the Foxes a boost ahead of a testing run of fixtures, which sees them take on Wolverhampton Wanderers, Liverpool, Aston Villa and Arsenal before the end of the month. However, it’s worth pointing out that two of the next three are on the road, where Leicester have won 26 points so far, their second highest total in a Premier League campaign after their 2015-16 title win.

Now almost up to speed, Pereira is surely a must-start for Brendan Rodgers side, and with his ability to bomb forward like a winger, could be an effective differential in the coming weeks.

“He’s one of the top full-backs in the Premier League. We lost him in a game in which he was outstanding. We’ve gained in two ways because it allowed James Justin to come in and grow. Now, to have Ricky back with all of his qualities. He’s not there yet but he’s getting up to speed. We’re really strong in that area of the field.” – Brendan Rodgers

Ben Mee

  • FPL ownership: 1.9%
  • Price: £4.9m
  • GW23-27 fixtures: BHA | cry + FUL | WBA | tot | ARS

English centre-back Ben Mee (£4.9m) has become one of the Premier League’s most consistent defenders in recent seasons, and could be a solid differential given Burnley’s schedule which now includes a Double Gameweek.

The Clarets started the season slowly going seven games without a win, but saw their performances improve once Mee returned to the starting XI following a thigh injury. Since then, the solidity Sean Dyche’s side are renowned for has returned, and resulted in seven clean sheets in their last 17 attempts in all competitions.

Despite just two of those shut-outs arriving this year, it’s worth pointing out that their recent schedule has been tough, with each of their last six league opponents all in the top 10. However, they now have a run of winnable matches against teams in the bottom half, which includes an appealing Double Gameweek 24 against Crystal Palace and Fulham. 

Encouragingly, they have already kept clean sheets against their next four opponents earlier in the season, too.

Captain Mee also carries a bit of goal threat from set-pieces, which has already seen him score against Sheffield United and Aston Villa this term. That could be important too, given that Brighton and Palace often look vulnerable defending crosses into the box, and while clean sheets remain the most likely source of points, it wouldn’t be a huge surprise if he were again to take advantage from a dead-ball situation in the coming weeks.

Ryan Fraser

Sterling's away form and low ownership can do real FPL damage
  • FPL ownership: 0.2%
  • Price: £5.6m
  • GW23-27 fixtures: SOU | che | mun | WOL | wba

Despite a stop-start season at Newcastle United, largely due to injury, Ryan Fraser (£5.6m) has impressed in recent matches.

That upturn in form has coincided with Steve Bruce’s decision to switch to a 4-4-2 diamond formation, which has seen the Magpies take more shots than any other side since Gameweek 20.

Operating in a more advanced role alongside Callum Wilson (£6.8m), the more ambitious approach is getting the best out of Fraser, who ranks joint-top for chances created among all Premier League players over the last three matches. He’s also created three big chances, a total only Bruno Fernandes (£11.4m) can match, and whipped in a massive 36 crosses.

The 26-year-old’s appeal is further boosted by this weekend’s opponents Southampton, who following their heavy midweek defeat at Old Trafford have now conceded 15 goals in their last four league matches. It’s also worth noting that they’ve given up 21 chances from their right flank during that time, only Burnley have allowed more, which is relevant with Fraser often drifting into those areas, where he can cut inside onto his stronger right foot.

Fraser has had a testing start to his time in the North East, but can provide a genuine threat for Newcastle when fully fit, and could be a nice pick-up for those on the lookout for a real midfield differential in Gameweek 23.

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858 Comments Post a Comment
  1. iL PiStOlErO
    • 2 Years
    3 months, 10 days ago

    McCarthy Forster
    Cancelo Dallas Justin Coufal Lowton
    Sterling Salah Bruno Gundo Romeu
    Antonio Bamford DCL

    2ft, 3.5itb

    What to do what to do??

    A) McCharty to Pope
    B) McCharty + Gundo to Pope+Madders
    C) Forster + Gundo to Pope+Grealish
    D) Gundo to Grealish

    1. Snooze ya lose
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 10 days ago

      A

    2. Krafty Werks
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 10 days ago

      Of those A

  2. OLLY G
    • 4 Years
    3 months, 10 days ago

    Who to captain?

    (A) Son
    (B) Fernandes

    Thanks.

    1. iL PiStOlErO
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 10 days ago

      B

    2. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 10 days ago

      B

    3. Snooze ya lose
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 10 days ago

      B

    4. cruzex
      • 8 Years
      3 months, 10 days ago

      A

    5. Krafty Werks
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 10 days ago

      B

  3. Fantasydreamer
    • 3 Years
    3 months, 10 days ago

    2 week punt before wildcard

    A. Ben mee v Werner?
    B. Raphina v Hudson-odoi?

    1. iL PiStOlErO
      • 2 Years
      3 months, 10 days ago

      B

  4. Fantasy man on the top
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    3 months, 10 days ago

    1 FT 7.7 itb

    Martinez

    Cancelo - Cresswell - Stones (Coufal, Mitchell)

    Grealish - Salah - Fernandes - Gundo (Romeu)

    DCL - Bamford - Antonio

    Should I do:

    A) Coufal -> Shaw
    B) Coufal -> Justin
    C) Coufal -> Chelsea defender

    D) Romeu ->Maddison
    E) Romeu ->Soucek (IF A,B or C first) or for a hit
    F) Romeu -> Rashford

  5. The 12th Man
    • 7 Years
    3 months, 10 days ago

    Drop one of these for Son?
    Salah,Grealish,Soucek.

    If I don't get him captain will be Bruno .

    1. That Was Easy!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 10 days ago

      Think Salah the only one I'd want to lose.

    2. Holmes
      • 7 Years
      3 months, 10 days ago

      Salah

  6. That Was Easy!
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 months, 10 days ago

    Bottomed...quite a benching headache this week..

    1) Do I start Barnes over Sterling or Wilson? Currently benching Barnes.
    2) Which 2 to start out of Cancelo, James and Shaw? Currently on Shaw and Cancelo

    Martinez
    Shaw Cancelo Coufal
    Son Bruno Sterling Grealish
    Antonio Bamford Wilson

    Areola; Barnes, James, Stones

    1. The 12th Man
      • 7 Years
      3 months, 10 days ago

      Think you have it right as it is.

      1. That Was Easy!
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 10 days ago

        I don't love benching James, but I never seem to get it right with him. I wonder if he'll be back on the bench next game. Certainly a great chance of attacking returns against SHU.

        1. The 12th Man
          • 7 Years
          3 months, 10 days ago

          Its just a lottery at the moment.

          1. That Was Easy!
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            3 months, 10 days ago

            Yep. With Thiago out, they could shift formation again. Very tough to predict and given the risk of James coming on for one, I think I'll avoid taking it.

  7. sirmorbach
    • 4 Years
    3 months, 10 days ago

    Am I good to go?

    Martínez
    Dias, Cresswell, Dallas
    Salah, Bruno (c), Grealish, Gündogan, Soucek
    Antonio, Watkins

    McCarthy, DCL, Stones, Digne

    1. That Was Easy!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 10 days ago

      I'd probably put Digne at 2nd on the bench, but looks G2G for me. Have quite a benching headache above as well.

      1. sirmorbach
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 10 days ago

        Cheers, mate! Had a look at yours and would keep as you're currently going with. Good luck!

  8. Gudjohnsen
    • 4 Years
    3 months, 10 days ago

    Mitchell to

    A. Rudiger
    B. Mee
    C. Tarkowski
    D. Lowton
    E. Alonso
    F. Azpilucueta
    G. Dallas
    H. Someone else

    1. doher.ty
        3 months, 10 days ago

        LOL @ someone else

      • That Was Easy!
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 10 days ago

        I wouldn't bring in a Chelsea back with Silva out. Have a soft spot for Mee. Think it's between B/C/G.

      • Weeb Kakashi
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 10 days ago

        Should have taken till Z. This is too easy. Jokes aside B Or C.

      • Krafty Werks
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 10 days ago

        B or G...or A depending on rest of team and plans?!!

    2. ELMEO
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 10 days ago

      Bench:

      A. DCL
      B. Soucek

      Cheers

      1. Ronnies
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 10 days ago

        DCL

      2. Krafty Werks
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 10 days ago

        C

    3. ChelseaGuy
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 10 days ago

      Who scores more for the next 2 weeks

      A) Martinez + Mee
      B) Pope + Cancelo

      1. THFC4LIFE
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 10 days ago

        B

        1. ChelseaGuy
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 10 days ago

          TA

      2. ChelseaGuy
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 10 days ago

        Sorry, framed the question wrong

      3. Krafty Werks
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 10 days ago

        B

    4. The Red Devil
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 10 days ago

      bench 1-
      Mahrez/salah/son/bruno/soucek/Bamford/DCL/Wilson

      Also, bench 1 out of-
      Alioski/Coufal/Stones/Cancelo

      currently on benching mahrez & alioski

      1. Prison Mike
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 10 days ago

        DCL alioski

        1. Prison Mike
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 10 days ago

          Actually maybe mahrez since he might not even start

          1. The Red Devil
            • 6 Years
            3 months, 10 days ago

            yep, thinking same

    5. Prison Mike
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 10 days ago

      Who to start?

      A) Adams (new)

      B) Gundogan (liv)

      1. Ronnies
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 10 days ago

        Tight one, but B

      2. The Red Devil
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 10 days ago

        close, but B, dunno how saints will react to that loss

      3. Lazaretti
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 10 days ago

        Both

    6. Jinswick
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 10 days ago

      Best move here? Planning to WC25/BB26

      A) Mitchell -> Mee
      B) Save FT
      C) Something else

      DDG
      Cancelo, Coufal, Bellerin
      Salah, Sterling, Bruno, Gundogan
      DCL, Bamford, Watkins

      Forster, Targett, Martinelli, Mitchell
      Bank 2.5m, 1FT, all chips

      1. The Red Devil
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 10 days ago

        save & take couple of punts in GW24 before GW25 WC

    7. sirmorbach
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 10 days ago

      Martínez / McCarthy
      Dias / Stones / Cresswell / Digne /  Dallas
      Salah / Bruno / Grealish / Gündogan / Soucek
      DCL / Antonio / Watkins

      A. Watkins to Bamford
      B. Salah to Son
      C. Hold

      1. Ronnies
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 10 days ago

        I did A, so obviously A!

        1. sirmorbach
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 10 days ago

          Cheers!

    8. HM2
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      3 months, 10 days ago

      Bench 2 please:

      a) Mee
      b) Stones
      c) Coufal
      d) Dias

      1. Weeb Kakashi
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 10 days ago

        B D

      2. Krafty Werks
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 10 days ago

        Yup b & d

    9. Old Gregg
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 10 days ago

      My planned move was DCL > Antonio. With the Everton's DGW what should I do :-

      2FT

      a) DCL > Antonio
      b) Wilson > Antonio
      c) something else

    10. The Alli Way
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 10 days ago

      My bench: McCarthy / Dias / Coufal / Rodrigo

      Have I made the right calls?

      Fabianski
      Robbo Cancelo Rudiger
      Salah Bruno (C) Son Gundo Soucek
      Watkins Bamford

      Thanks!

      1. Ronnies
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 10 days ago

        Coufal over Robbo

        1. Neo-Viper
          • 6 Years
          3 months, 10 days ago

          this

    11. Neo-Viper
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 10 days ago

      Captain who?

      1) Antonio
      2) Son
      3) Bruno

      Chasing the leader by 50 odd points

      1. Jellyfish
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 10 days ago

        Beafheart

        1. Neo-Viper
          • 6 Years
          3 months, 10 days ago

          who that, now?

    12. PogBruno
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 10 days ago

      Is there a chance for Leeds to have a DGW26?

      1. wulfrunian
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 10 days ago

        no

        1. PogBruno
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 10 days ago

          Thnx

      2. Silver_and_Gold
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        3 months, 10 days ago

        In case you've missed - Leeds have DGW25.

        1. PogBruno
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 10 days ago

          Aware of the DGW in 25, and came across Andy saying there is a possibility of them having another double in 26 depending on the FA Cup results

    13. Releasebreaks
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 10 days ago

      Bench 1

      Mee (BHA)
      Dias (liv)
      Justin (wol)

      1. SharkyT
        • 7 Years
        3 months, 10 days ago

        Justin

    14. Don Kloppeone
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 months, 10 days ago

      Locked and loaded. Wish me luck!

      1FT 1.2itb
      Pope
      Dias, Dallas, Coufal
      Salah, Bruno (v), Son, Gundogan, Soucek
      Antonio (C), Bamford
      (Martinez) (DCL, Robbo, Stones)

      GL to all!

      1. BeWater
          3 months, 10 days ago

          Decided on Antonio captain then 🙂

          I might have talked myself into that by the deadline.

          1. Don Kloppeone
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            3 months, 10 days ago

            Still battling in my mind between Bruno and Antonio tbh! 😆

      2. fpl_austria
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        3 months, 10 days ago

        So, who is going to sell Salah then?
        MCI, lei, EVE the next 3.

        Surely Rashford with EVE, wba, NEW should match him for £3m less? Raphinha/Grealish also looking good.
        Also not many are going to (C) him over this period with 2 doubles coming up as well.

        I'm certainly tempted to move him on.

        1. Baps hunter
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          3 months, 10 days ago

          On his day he can brace against any team. I already have Rashford and even though Grealish is decent pick he hasn't hauled lately. I have Dier who is probably dropped, so don't have ft:s for luxury moves.

      3. THFC4LIFE
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 10 days ago

        Need to bench one player

        A. Cancelo
        B. Dias
        C. Coufal
        D. Shaw

        Currently on B

        1. fpl_austria
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          3 months, 10 days ago

          B for me as well.

          Playing Cancelo, Lowton and Coufal.

          Dias, Digne bench.

        2. wulfrunian
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 10 days ago

          b

        3. SharkyT
          • 7 Years
          3 months, 10 days ago

          Tricky. Maybe Dias with him as your first sub

      4. SharkyT
        • 7 Years
        3 months, 10 days ago

        Bellerin or Kilman to:

        A) Rudiger
        B) Mee
        C) Azpi
        D) Shaw

        £3.5m ITB

      5. Forza Papac
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 months, 10 days ago

        Start Salah or Mee?

        1. wulfrunian
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 10 days ago

          Salah

          1. Forza Papac
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            3 months, 10 days ago

            I really don't want to though

            1. Baps hunter
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              3 months, 10 days ago

              Well... Don't then!

        2. SharkyT
          • 7 Years
          3 months, 10 days ago

          Mo

        3. Gudjohnsen
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 10 days ago

          Salah

      6. andres
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 10 days ago

        Best Burnley defender?

        1. wulfrunian
          • 4 Years
          3 months, 10 days ago

          Taylor if he is fit.

        2. SharkyT
          • 7 Years
          3 months, 10 days ago

          Mee

        3. Forza Papac
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          3 months, 10 days ago

          Mee

      7. Auba Xhaka Laca Saka Laca
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        3 months, 10 days ago

        martinez / forster
        TAA / Robbo / Dunne / Alioski / Stones
        Salah / Sterling / Fernandes / Gundo / Bissouma
        DCL / Antonio / Bamf

        2 ft and 1.0 in the bank

        what do i do?

      8. ShaunGoater123
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 months, 10 days ago

        Anyone else putting Pope in?

        1. andres
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          3 months, 10 days ago

          Him or a defender

        2. Van der Faart
          • 9 Years
          3 months, 10 days ago

          Trying to get him in, proving pricey

      9. MoSalad
        • 7 Years
        3 months, 10 days ago

        Sterling & Zaha ----> Gundo & Son (C) for free make sense?

        Need to free up some cash for the DGW's.

        Current team is:

        Areola, Johnstone
        Cancelo, Stones, Cressy, Coufal, AWB
        Sterling, Zaha*, Salah, Penandes, Barnes,
        BamBam, Tonio & BobbyDR

      10. Stand By Mee
        • 4 Years
        3 months, 10 days ago

        How do you like this WC?

        Martinez - Pope
        Dias - AWB - Digne - Dallas - Mee
        Sterling - Bruno - Rashford - Gundo - Harrison
        Ings - Dcl - Bamford

        So I BB in 24 with 8

        and play 25 with triple Leeds and Ings