Spot the Differential

Alonso offers great potential as one-week punt for Gameweek 31 Wildcarders

Tom Freeman has finished inside the top 1k in five of the last 11 Fantasy Premier League seasons. He picks out three differentials for Fantasy Football Scout readers every Gameweek.


Gameweek 30 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Chelsea, Wolverhampton Wanderers and Southampton, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Marcos Alonso

Tuchel's wing-back system renews interest in old hands Azpilicueta and Alonso
  • FPL ownership: 2.6%
  • Price: £5.7m
  • GW30-34 fixtures: WBA | cry | BHA | whu | FUL

Spanish defender Marcos Alonso (£5.7m) has been given a new lease of life at Chelsea under Thomas Tuchel.

The 30-year-old was banished from Frank Lampard’s squad after a disastrous 45 minutes at West Bromwich Albion back in September, but has since started five league matches under his new manager, and taken full advantage of the opportunity.

When it comes to playing in a back four, Alonso often struggles, but when used correctly as a wing-back he has real quality, something Tuchel has recognised. 

Since Gameweek 21, when Alonso made a return to Chelsea’s starting XI in a 3-4-3 system, he has taken 13 shots. No defender can match that total during that period, despite limited minutes. He has also accumulated 25 penalty area touches (only Luke Shaw (£5.2m) has more) and created 10 chances for his team-mates.

At this stage, we should point out that a move for the defender this week does carry some risk, knowing that Ben Chilwell (£5.8m) is also pushing for a start. However, the fact Alonso was rested during the international break, while his English colleague played 180 minutes against San Marino and Poland, is encouraging. 

Alonso has delivered a string of impressive displays of late, and could be a perfect one-week punt for FPL managers planning a Gameweek 31 Wildcard.

Conor Coady

  • FPL ownership: 4.7%
  • Price: £4.8m
  • GW30-34 fixtures: WHU | ful | SHU | BUR | wba

With two clean sheets and a goal in his last five appearances, plus an appealing set of forthcoming fixtures, Conor Coady (£4.8m) could be a solid under the radar pick for the run-in.

Last season, investing in one of Wolves’ backline was one of the easier decisions FPL managers had to make, given that their record of 13 clean sheets was bettered by only three teams. 

And though they have struggled to replicate that defensive form this term, some of which can be attributed to the 4-2-3-1 / 4-3-3 experiment, their performances at the back have improved of late.

The England international’s goal threat is on the up too. Having not had a shot in the Premier League before this season, Coady scored his first top-flight goal against Man City in Gameweek 26, and came close to netting twice at Villa Park the following week, hitting the post with a header before forcing a superb save from Emiliano Martínez (£5.4m).

However, the real appeal lies in Wolves’ clean sheet potential, and with home games against West Ham United, Sheffield United and Burnley in the next five, plus away trips to Fulham and West Brom, further shut outs could be on the way.

Priced at just £4.8m, Coady offers the cheapest route into Wolves’ defence and is the most likely to start every match too. He could be a nice set-and-forget option given his schedule.

Stuart Armstrong

  • FPL ownership: 0.4%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW30-34 fixtures: BUR | wba | tot | – | LEI

Despite a stop-start season at Southampton, largely due to niggling injuries and a positive COVID-19 test, Stuart Armstrong (£5.5m) has been one of the club’s top performers in recent matches, with two assists in his last three Premier League outings.

The Scottish international was excellent against Bournemouth in the FA Cup, causing all sorts of problems for the Cherries defenders with his direct running. He ended the game with an assist but was unfortunate not to return more, as his pass found Che Adams (£5.8m) to score in the second half, only for VAR to rule it out, before his strike came back off the post for Nathan Redmond (£6.4m) to score Saints’ third.

Though Armstrong was used in a deeper midfield role at Everton in Gameweek 26, the Scot usually features in a more advanced position, where he can drift infield in Ralph Hasenhüttl’s 4-4-2 / 4-2-2-2 setup, allowing Kyle Walker-Peters (£4.7m) to provide the width on the right. That’s important with Burnley up next, given that only Fulham and Crystal Palace have conceded more chances down that side since the turn of the year.

Southampton may sit seven points above the drop zone, but with just one win in their last 12 Premier League matches, will be looking nervously over their shoulder. They now have a massive double-header against Burnley and West Bromwich Albion, and will need to get points on the board in these games, knowing that they have a tough run to follow.

At his best, Armstrong is a real asset to Southampton, and could be a nice budget pick for these crucial back-to-back games.

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693 Comments Post a Comment
  1. crazysidz
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 13 days ago

    Kindly RMT,

    Martinez,
    Shaw, Rudiger, Dias,
    Bruno, KDB, Son, Mount,
    Kane (c) , DCL (vc), Watkins

    Subs: Mccarthy, Lingard, Vestergaard, Alioski

    Dont know where to fit in Lingard.

    1. That TV angle at Highbury
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 13 days ago

      Lingard in for Watkins

      1. jayzico
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 13 days ago

        I don't know I think this might be the right setup re lingard. Tempting me to do the same. A wolves defence against (an albeit stronger) Fulham defence

    2. jayzico
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 13 days ago

      Lingard on bench. Wow that's as tough as my decision. See below.

  2. jayzico
    • 10 Years
    2 months, 13 days ago

    Hey guys,

    Who would you:
    A. Captain
    B. Have first on bench

    Martinez
    Dallas - Azpi - Shaw
    Raphinhia - Bruno - KdB - Lingard
    Kane - Watkins - DCL

    Forster. Gundo - Cancelo - Mitchell

    3.5m ITB

    Really appreciate the advice. Dug my own grave here with bench options.

    1. That TV angle at Highbury
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 13 days ago

      (C)ane
      Bench order looks good

      1. jayzico
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 13 days ago

        really Gundo over lingard or watkins or even dcl as first on bench?

        1. That TV angle at Highbury
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 13 days ago

          Yeah, personally I would play Gundo instead of Watkins.

          1. jayzico
            • 10 Years
            2 months, 13 days ago

            Done

  3. bigdip
    • 9 Years
    2 months, 13 days ago

    0 FT with 2.6mn itb (Doing WC in GW 31). G2G?
    Mcarthy (Pope)
    Christensen Rudiger Dallas (Konsa, Lewis)
    Fernandes Gundo Son Bale (Soucek)
    Bamford Kane (c) Antonio

    1. That TV angle at Highbury
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 13 days ago

      Can you do bale to Salah?

  4. Thomas Magnum
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 13 days ago

    Can someone please explain to me the logic of saying that players who have played during the IB will be getting a rest for a player who hasn’t played for nearly 2 weeks? I get it if they’re that tired and won’t be as productive. But couldn’t one also look at it from the perspective that such player who played in the IB will be right at the speed of the game from kick off, rather than the player after a fair rest who may take a bit to adjust to the pace of the game after a time off. Or am do I need to go to sleep cause it’s nearly quarter to 1 in the morning

    1. Amey
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 13 days ago

      It's all confirmation bias.
      We don't know shite about any managers selection logic.

    2. Pep bites Kun
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 13 days ago

      Yep, time for sleep. There are always counter-arguments to made to the perceived logic. Fact is we don't know. My guess is as good as yours but never as good as the coach. Sleep on that 😉

  5. VaVaVoom14
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    2 months, 13 days ago

    Would you do Auba to kdb/Bruno or just roll the transfer?

    1. The VAR Team
      • 1 Year
      2 months, 13 days ago

      If no WC I’d get Bruno

  6. Pep bites Kun
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 13 days ago

    Anyone got Tuchel's number? If I was to bring in Alonso and had the expectation of CS+score, I would really expect him to at least start. Gambling against the odds l&g's

  7. VinMar
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 13 days ago

    Start Stones or Strujik?

    1. Sid07
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 13 days ago

      Stones

  8. Sid07
    • 7 Years
    2 months, 13 days ago

    wc next week
    Ditch
    1) cancelo
    2) veltman

    Get
    1) azpi
    2) Alonso
    3) rudiger

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 13 days ago

      1b

      1. Slouch87
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 13 days ago

        Lol. Replace one rotation risk with another.

    2. artvandelay316
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 13 days ago

      Ditch 2 Get 1

    3. jayzico
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 13 days ago

      Get Azpi. Not Alonso. Unless you have a very strong bench backup for defence

  9. Whazza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 months, 13 days ago

    Do we think Jose will unleash Kane Son Lucas Bale vs Newcastle?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 13 days ago

      No Bale

      1. Whazza
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 13 days ago

        Why not, he got a couple of braces last time

    2. Amey
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 13 days ago

      If Bale is fit and in Jose's good books why not ...

      1. pingissimus
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 13 days ago

        Confirmation bias says Bale minutes for Wales make him less likely this week 🙂

        1. Amey
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 13 days ago

          He is in my H2H opponents team so a cameo for 1 point will be awesome

    3. Sid07
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 13 days ago

      Son and kane unleashes each other

  10. artvandelay316
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    2 months, 13 days ago

    Ok, transfer done so no going back now.

    Pope
    Stones, Rudiger, Dallas
    Bruno (C), Gundo, Lingard, Salah
    Kane (VC), DCL, Bamford

    (Forster, Cresswell, Mount, Mitchell)

    Captaincy and bench order correct here?

    Thanks.

  11. Amey
    • 2 Years
    2 months, 13 days ago

    After long calm here comes the RMT flood ..... 😆

    1. pingissimus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 13 days ago

      Well now you're asking is DCL worth a further hit here?

      Martinez
      Cresswell Dallas Shaw
      Lingard Bruno (R)aph Son Jota
      Bamford Kane

      Ederson Watkins Konsa Stones

      1. Amey
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 13 days ago

        Nahh. You have enough juice for free.
        I'm mostly doing Watkins to DCL for free though 😀

        1. pingissimus
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 13 days ago

          You on (K)ane?

          Had a look at recent stats for Newcastle at home and defensively they're really solid - in theory!

          1. Amey
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 13 days ago

            I am
            They are without Hayden (wrong spelling I guess)
            Also worth noting that Brighton scored goals from distance, which Kane & Son are well accustomed to.

            1. pingissimus
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 2 Years
              2 months, 13 days ago

              Was it Hayden who went off against Brighton? If so then I might think again - they certainly looked much leakier after the injury.

              1. Amey
                • 2 Years
                2 months, 13 days ago

                Yes
                He was injured in the game

    2. Pep bites Kun
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 13 days ago

      Rate my team ..

      In our ml, one's a fireman, one works in construction. There's also Donald, the local doctor .. they call him the local quack

      Between us we have a mix of Disney & the village people

      1. Amey
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 13 days ago

        Any Pirate in the ML ?

        1. Pep bites Kun
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 13 days ago

          Well there's Caroline. Does he count?

          1. Amey
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 13 days ago

            Well ..... Yeah 😀

  12. Monya Meow Meow
    • 2 Years
    2 months, 13 days ago

    If you could only keep 1 City defender, who would you keep?

    1) Dias
    2) Cancelo

    1. dshv
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 13 days ago

      Dias

    2. artvandelay316
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 13 days ago

      2

    3. Amey
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 13 days ago

      Dias

    4. Monya Meow Meow
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 13 days ago

      Thanks all

  13. dshv
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 13 days ago

    Raphinha for Captain ??

    anyone on that boat ?

    1. Whazza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 13 days ago

      No reason not to 🙂

    2. Scholes Out Forever
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 13 days ago

      Him or Son for me

  14. Scholes Out Forever
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    2 months, 13 days ago

    Is this bench boostable?

    Johnstone - Rudiger - Gundogan - Dawson

    Would be getting in Rudiger for a hit, which i dont mind since he's a long term buy

    1. Amey
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 13 days ago

      Considering the hit & GK fixture I'd hold off

      1. Scholes Out Forever
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 13 days ago

        im debating the hit regardless tbh.

        Would bench Dias and the bench would become Johnstone - Dias - Gundo - Dawson. Just tempted cause Chelsea isnt lighting it up offensively and feels wrong to bench two City players haha

        1. Amey
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 13 days ago

          Indeed. I am doing same atm. Hopefully Leicester will turn up

    2. Pep bites Kun
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 13 days ago

      2 are strong for this week. Is there a stronger possibility in the future?

      Obviously the most advantageous time is after wc. When I wildcarded I had 5 injuries during the dgw. Subjectively looking at 31 now

  15. Rival Sons Blackberry Smoke
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 13 days ago

    Whats the story with Pickford?

    Thought he was out for season?

    That 4.3 back up a cert then? Or was Olsen just temporarily out?

  16. The VAR Team
    • 1 Year
    2 months, 13 days ago

    In what order would you rate the city defenders for this week only?

    1)Cancelo
    2)Stones
    3)Dias

  17. bigdip
    • 9 Years
    2 months, 13 days ago

    0 FT with 2.6mn itb

    Mcarthy (Pope)
    Christensen Rudiger Dallas (Konsa, Lewis)
    Fernandes Gundo SON BALE (Soucek)
    Bamford Kane (c) Antonio

    For a -4 hit, Son or Bale to:
    A) Jota
    B) Mount
    C) Lingard
    D) Grealish
    E) KDB

  18. FPL ElasticO
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 13 days ago

    What to do with Bale?

    A. Start him
    B. Bench him

    1. Amey
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 13 days ago

      Start definitely

    2. pingissimus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 13 days ago

      You left out the sell option!

      Think I'd probably bench him - depending on your options. Working on the premise there that he might well revert to supersub status. Also thinking Spurs are much less than prolific away and Newcastle more or less match Chelsea for XGC in home fixtures in the last 6.

      1. LLoris
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 13 days ago

        Is he gonna even start?

    3. HashAttack
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 13 days ago

      Is that with or without Son? - Bale's currently 1st bench for me, but I could play him ahead of Watkins

  19. LLoris
    • 2 Years
    2 months, 13 days ago

    For 1 week who scores more points
    A) Bruno
    B) Azpi

    1. aleksios
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 13 days ago

      Bruno.

    2. Milkman Bruno
        2 months, 13 days ago

        A

    3. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 13 days ago

      Unflag my Son!

      1. LLoris
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 13 days ago

        Waiting for that as well

        1. ppv
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 13 days ago

          already

    4. Fernando Torres
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 13 days ago

      Is Forster, Gundo, Konsa and Dallas worth bb?

      1. Milkman Bruno
          2 months, 13 days ago

          Forster to start?

          1. Fernando Torres
            • 9 Years
            2 months, 13 days ago

            Ye he will

      2. FPL ElasticO
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 13 days ago

        What to do with Gundo?

        A. Start
        B. Bench for Cresswell

        1. Milkman Bruno
            2 months, 13 days ago

            A

          • aleksios
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 13 days ago

            B .

          • ZimZalabim
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 13 days ago

            A

        2. drughi
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 13 days ago

          Bale>Bruno worth doing for free?

          1. Milkman Bruno
              2 months, 13 days ago

              I think so but it’s risky

            • aleksios
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              2 months, 13 days ago

              No brainer for me.

            • LLoris
              • 2 Years
              2 months, 13 days ago

              Same dilemma don't know weather to get rid of Bale or Auba

          2. Milkman Bruno
              2 months, 13 days ago

              Hi folks. Bench order correct here?

              Mendy
              Shaw, Rudiger, Digne
              Salah, Bruno, Mahrez, Jota, Gundogan
              DCL, Werner

              Martinez, Cancelo, Struijk, King 0ft .7itb

              1. aleksios
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 5 Years
                2 months, 13 days ago

                Yes.

                1. Milkman Bruno
                    2 months, 13 days ago

                    Thank you

              2. aleksios
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 5 Years
                2 months, 13 days ago

                Want to do
                Johnstone-Dunk-Digne-KDB-Bale
                To
                Mendy-Alonso-Coady-Bruno-Son.
                Use wc or not worth it?.

              3. L S P
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 5 Years
                2 months, 13 days ago

                Anything worth a hit here? 3.2ITB. Planning to BB.

                Martinez
                Digne-Azpi-Shaw-Dallas
                Bruno-Mount-Raphinha
                DCL-Bamford-Watkins

                Areola-Salah-Gundo-Stones

                Cheers

                1. aleksios
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 5 Years
                  2 months, 13 days ago

                  Would do Gundo to Son if BB.

                  1. L S P
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 5 Years
                    2 months, 13 days ago

                    .1 short unless i go cheaper than Azpi for my CHE def

              4. jimbo90
                • 5 Years
                2 months, 13 days ago

                Martinez
                Dallas Cresswell Dias
                Son Bruno Raph Gundo
                Watkins Bamford Kane
                Bench: Mccarthy Bale Veltman Burn

                1ft 2.7 itb

                Thoughts on this team? Really stuck on what to do. Bale > KDB and bench Watkins worth a shout?

                1. aleksios
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 5 Years
                  2 months, 13 days ago

                  Go for it .

              5. Steve The Spud
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 1 Year
                2 months, 13 days ago

                Are people still happy to double up on Chelsea def with Kante out ?

                1. Hy liverpool
                  • 7 Years
                  2 months, 13 days ago

                  Yep

                2. pingissimus
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 2 Years
                  2 months, 13 days ago

                  WBA Palace Brighton feels fairly safe for the double up

                  If pushed I might back Palace to score a sneaky 0.1 XG goal against them but that's it really. My greater doubt is whether Chelsea defenders with cs will outpoint attacking defenders elsewhere. They haven't much so far.

              6. Bobby Digital
                • 3 Years
                2 months, 13 days ago

                Got 1FT and 4.5m ITB... What to do?

                McCarthy
                Dias Targett Dallas
                Son Auba Gundo Soucek
                Kane Bamford Watkins

                Pope Coufal Trossard Dunk

                A) Save transfer
                B) Get rid of Trossard and bench Soucek

              7. royals forever
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                2 months, 13 days ago

                Pick 2 to play out of

                Dias
                Stones
                Aina
                Mee

                Any ideas would be welcomed