Spot the Differential

Set-piece duties and three assists in last four warrant DGW32 punt on Moura

Gameweek 32 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Manchester United, West Ham United and Tottenham Hotspur who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Lucas Moura

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £6.6m
  • GW32-36 fixtures: eve + SOU | – | SHU | lee | WOL

Tottenham Hotspur are the only team who play twice in Double Gameweek 32, as they travel to Goodison Park to take on Everton tomorrow night, before playing Southampton at home on Wednesday.

Loading up on their assets is a no brainer, but if your budget won’t stretch to Son Heung-min (£9.4) or Harry Kane (£11.7m), or if you fancy complementing them with a differential, FPL bosses could do a lot worse than look at Lucas Moura (£6.6m).

Until last month, it felt like another patchy season for the Brazilian, as he struggled to establish himself in the starting XI. However, the 28-year-old has now started nine of the last ten league matches, providing two goals, four assists and 47 FPL points during that time. Interestingly, that’s five more than Son over the same period, and you could argue that along with Kane, he is one of Spurs’ in-form players right now.

Moura’s numbers over the last six Gameweeks are also encouraging. Among team-mates, he ranks second for chances created and joint-third for shots in the box, while no player has touched the ball more often in the final-third. Crucially, he has been taking some corners too, which could yield returns against Everton, who rank third-worst for set-piece attempts conceded over their last six home matches.

Son and Kane remain the stand-out picks in Double Gameweek 32, but Moura continues to be overlooked and could offer real value at just £6.6m.

Jarrod Bowen

  • FPL ownership: 2.3% 
  • Price: £5.9m
  • GW32-36 fixtures: new | CHE | bur | EVE | bha

With Michail Antonio (£6.6m) side-lined with a hamstring injury which could see him miss the remainder of the season, Jarrod Bowen (£5.9m) is impressing in his absence.

The 24-year-old has now scored three goals in as many games, and also provided an assist against Leicester City last time out. 

In his new role as a striker, Bowen has shown he is capable of leading the line by using his pace to make clever runs in behind the opposition’s backline. His partnership with Jesse Lingard (£6.5m) is thriving, and the duo’s movement in recent matches suggests Newcastle’s defenders could be in for a long afternoon on Saturday. It’s also worth noting that the Magpies’ have conceded more goals from counter-attacks than any other side this season, and have kept just one Premier League clean sheet at St James’ Park.

West Ham continued their charge towards Champions League football with a win in Gameweek 31 and most of their remaining matches are against teams currently in the bottom-half. In fact, the home game against Chelsea in Gameweek 33 looks to be the only fixture to be truly wary of.

Though Lingard has stolen the show since arriving in east London, Bowen is stepping up right when the Hammers need him most, and could be an effective differential for the run-in.

Mason Greenwood

How Spurs' FPL assets fared in their final match before Double Gameweek 32
  • FPL ownership: 2.1%
  • Price: £7.0m
  • GW32-36 fixtures: BUR | lee | LIV | avl | LEI

After a difficult start to the season, Mason Greenwood (£7.0m) has now scored three goals in his last four appearances.

The 19-year-old played a decisive role in Manchester United’s 3-1 win at Tottenham Hotspur last weekend, as he came off the bench and provided a goal and assist.

Tactically, it was an interesting setup, with Paul Pogba (£7.6m) starting as the left-sided player in a 4-2-3-1 formation. However, as the game went on, he and Marcus Rashford (£9.5m), who Greenwood later replaced, took up narrower positions and effectively swung the clash in Ole Gunnar Solskjær’s side’s favour.

If Pogba is to continue in a similar, more advanced role, where he has the vision and ability to quickly switch play, United’s right-sided forward stands to benefit most.

Rotation at clubs still involved in Europe is always a concern at this stage of the season, but Greenwood has now started eight of the last ten matches in all competitions, and with Anthony Martial (£8.6m) out injured, more opportunities should come his way.

The number 11’s push for a place in Gareth Southgate’s England squad for the European Championships this summer could be an important factor, too, as he will need to showcase his undoubted talent during the run-in. Encouragingly, the fixtures offer him an opportunity to do exactly that, as the Red Devils now face Burnley, Leeds United and Aston Villa between Gameweek 32 and 35.

Greenwood is one of the Premier League’s brightest young stars, and with an ownership of just 2.1%, is a tempting midfield differential.

Become a Member and get unrestricted access to our data and articles

Full-year memberships are now available, as are monthly subscriptions. A FREE trial is now available.

Join now to get the following:

  • Plot your transfer strategies using the fully interactive Season Ticker.
  • Get projections for every Premier League player provided by the Rate My Team statistical model.
  • Use Rate My Team throughout the season to guide your selections and transfers.
  • Get access to over 150+ exclusive members articles over the season.
  • Analyse our OPTA-powered statistic tables specifically tailored for Fantasy Football Managers.
  • Use our exclusive tool to build custom stats tables from over 100 OPTA player and team stats.
  • Enjoy our brand NEW Flat-Track Bully feature which introduces an opposition filter to your tables.
  • View heatmaps and expected goals data for every player.
  • Use our powerful comparison tool to analyse players head-to-head.

ALREADY A USER? CLICK HERE TO UPGRADE YOUR FREE ACCOUNT

NEW TO SCOUT? CLICK HERE TO START A MEMBERSHIP ACCOUNT

avfc82 https://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/894/history”

1,023 Comments Post a Comment
  1. randypriest
    • 11 Years
    2 months, 1 day ago

    I want to bring in either Lloris or Reguilon for Spurs coverage. Who is the better pick?

    Have Son and Kane.

    1. Konstaapeli
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 1 day ago

      Reg

    2. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 1 day ago

      Probably depends how you are dealing with GW33 and who is best covered by the rest of your team.

      1. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 1 day ago

        This, wiseman

    3. Ooh Ah Cantona
        2 months, 1 day ago

        I'm just not sure if Reg plays two full games in a row without getting tired or injured

    4. ajk1211
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 1 day ago

      Afternoon all

      What is the consensus on Cresswell? No chance of passing a late fitness test?

      If so, play Dallas or bring in somebody like Rudiger/Boly/Holding etc for -4?

      1. randypriest
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 1 day ago

        I'd play Dallas

      2. g40steve
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 1 day ago

        Since Lingz exploded onto the scene Cresswells numbers are very poor.

      3. acidicleo
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 1 day ago

        Get rid...
        I decided to go Cresswell over Lingz few weeks ago which destroyed my rank...

    5. Konstaapeli
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 1 day ago

      Everything in order here?

      Martinez
      TAA - Rudiger - Shaw
      Bruno - Son - Jota - Lingard - Foden
      Nacho - Kane ©

      Nipples - Cresswell - Bamford - Dallas

      1. g40steve
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 1 day ago

        Nice, you have a Foden I have Sterling 🙂

    6. g40steve
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 1 day ago

      Son C too risky?

      1. Konstaapeli
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 1 day ago

        No, why?

        1. g40steve
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 1 day ago

          C him 2 weeks ago 2 points, last week Sterling C 4 points, previously had Lingz for his big hauls

      2. Pukki Party
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 1 day ago

        No i'm captaining, tempted to use TC.

        1. g40steve
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 1 day ago

          Cheers, had both since beginning & whenever I C one the other hauls 🙁

      3. Biggsy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 1 day ago

        Kane's EO will be massive, but if you think Son will score more then captain him

        1. g40steve
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 1 day ago

          Only worry is penalties & Sou have given away plenty

          1. Biggsy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 1 day ago

            Well if Son wins it, you're only down 1 point.

            It's a risk, the reward potential is pretty high as most will captain Kane, even if Son is heavily owned

            1. g40steve
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              2 months, 1 day ago

              Good point on the A

    7. Dirty Harry
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 1 day ago

      What to do:

      1. Save transfer
      2. Dias > Reguilon

      (Have Kane/Son)

      1. Biggsy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 1 day ago

        1 - assuming you are better placed having 2FT when at least three of your assets blank

    8. Daghe Munegu
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 1 day ago

      Play 2

      A Rudiger
      B Fofana
      C Holding (have Leno)
      D ESR

      1. Pukki Party
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 1 day ago

        AB

    9. Pukki Party
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 1 day ago

      Thoughts here? 2ft and not sure either of DCL or Raphina is worth transfering out. 2ft 0.3itb

      Martinez
      TAA Alonso Shaw
      SonC Bruno Gubdogan Jota
      Kane DCL* Iheanacho

      Forster Rudiger Raphina* Phillips

      A) DCL to Cavani
      B) DCL, Raphina to Lingard, Watkins
      C) Raphina, Alonso to Lingard, Dier

      1. Konstaapeli
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 1 day ago

        B

        1. Pukki Party
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 1 day ago

          Thanks

    10. Tshelby
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 1 day ago

      Seems a bit sideways but vardy and bamford to laca and nacho? Or just coufal to Alonso or Castagne?

      1. g40steve
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 1 day ago

        Like it both could haul to the end of season, why not Pereira he got an assist last time out?

        1. Tshelby
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 1 day ago

          Can’t afford him

          1. g40steve
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 1 day ago

            Ahhh, Castagne also attacking

    11. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 1 day ago

      Defense benching and order correct?

      TAA, Coady, Dias (Rudgier, Masuaku)

      1. Detweiler
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 1 day ago

        Probably yes - fully expect Rudiger in for Dias when he doesn't play!

      2. g40steve
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 1 day ago

        What keeper you got ?

    12. popey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 1 day ago

      Neto to Moura isn't worth a -4 if it means benching Rudiger, right?

    13. tissae
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 1 day ago

      Play one:

      A) Rudiger (BHA, have Mendy already)
      B) Holding (FUL)

      1. Detweiler
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 1 day ago

        Rudiger

      2. Froes
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 1 day ago

        rudiger can be benched by tuchel they played porto now they have city , I think some will rest

    14. Detweiler
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 months, 1 day ago

      Bamford & Gundo to Iheanacho and Lingard for a -8?

      1. g40steve
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 1 day ago

        Two of the hottest players could easily pay off

      2. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 1 day ago

        Yes for that

      3. markus808
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 1 day ago

        Definitely, but figure it out why didn't you do it last week, and you'll become a better manager, if you can correct that thinking

        1. Detweiler
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 1 day ago

          Very fair point - thanks!

    15. Lignja
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 1 day ago

      Mendy
      Rudiger, Coady, Shaw, Holding
      Salah, Son, Jota, Bruno
      Kane, Ihenacho

      Forster, Gudnogan, Phlips, DCL

      a. save
      b. DCl to Bamfrod (use BB)
      c. DCL, Gudogan to Bamford, Lignard -4 (use BB)
      d. DCL, Gudongan to Lacazete, Saka -4
      e. DCL, Gundogan to Moura, Bamford -4

    16. FPLMACKEM
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      2 months, 1 day ago

      Bench one?

      A Rudiger
      B Holding
      C Coady

      * Have Mendy as gk

      1. dabber7
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        2 months, 1 day ago

        A

    17. MGD
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 1 day ago

      A) Schmeichel
      B) Mendy

      I think Leicester fixtures look absolutely amazing...

    18. RedWolf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 1 day ago

      Bruno or Salah to Son (c) for a one week move (-4)?

      Have Kane and Moura

      1. Echoes
          2 months, 1 day ago

          Bruno

        • Rabb05
            2 months, 1 day ago

            Bruno. I'm.doing the same

        • DonBenzema
            2 months, 1 day ago

            Is this move worth it?

            Targett or Struijk (Which one?) -> Reguilon

            If yes, bench one of Dias (avl) or Rudiger (BHA)

            1. popey
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 2 Years
              2 months, 1 day ago

              Targett has WBA at home in the blank 33, not sure on Struijk mins going forwards.

              Probably Rudi

          • Horlicks esq.
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 1 day ago

            I’m at odds with my decision.

            -4 to get son in, only to -4 him out again next week. (Does Son get 8 points minimum) - is that even worth the move?

            Going with Kane TC, and 10 starters in gw33. So no hits over two weeks and 11 starters in each match.

            Son for a -8 is the quick question then?

            1. popey
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 2 Years
              2 months, 1 day ago

              who plays instead of Son this week? -8 when not capping him means almost certainly not worth it

              1. Horlicks esq.
                • 11 Years
                2 months, 1 day ago

                Raphina

              2. Horlicks esq.
                • 11 Years
                2 months, 1 day ago

                Yes, he will remove a gw33 player so he’ll have to go straight away or risk playing 9 in 33?

                I’m damned if I do, damned if I don’t

            2. markus808
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              2 months, 1 day ago

              Well definitely no, you could have another hot midfielder instead. You are basically thinking that you are going to miss some megahaul, and it's worth even -8 to get in on that 28 pointer.

              I think it's highly unlikely, and you will still lose points on everyone who owns Son.

          • Froes
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 1 day ago

            Sanchez (che) or Johnstone(lei) to start ???

            Chelsea has 3 games in a week or so , Brighton has a low defensive block I think it will be though for them

            what do you guys think

          • Magic Zico
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 1 day ago

            Take -12, DCL Gundo DDG Cresswell > Nacho Son Lloris Coady.

            Have done the first two Nacho & Son. Which one would you do?
            A. Yes do it
            B. No, play Martinez & Cresswell, Dallas 1st bench

          • yanky
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 1 day ago

            Bench one

            a) Rudiger BHA (starting Mendy)
            b) Holding FUL
            c) Saka FUL

          • Erez Avni
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 1 day ago

            G2G?

            Martinez (Areola)

            Dias Shaw Cresswell Dallas
            Lingard Bruno Son Jota
            Kane (c) Nacho

            Bamford Gundo Burn

          • arkom
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 1 day ago

            Requilon / Digne / Gresswell
            Salah / Lingard / Bruno / Gundogan
            Kane / Watkins / Nacho

            1. Phillips 2. Rapinha 3. Dunk

            0 FT
            1.8£ ITB

            A) Save
            B) Cress —> TAA
            C) Gundo or Rapinha —> Lucas Moura
            D) Dunk —> Shaw or CHE def.

          • DannyDrinkVodka
            • 1 Year
            2 months, 1 day ago

            FT Sterling out for:

            A) Bruno
            B) Lucas Moura (own Kane and Son)

            1. Magic Zico
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 2 Years
              2 months, 1 day ago

              Chelsea mid?

              1. DannyDrinkVodka
                • 1 Year
                2 months, 1 day ago

                Are any of them rotation-proof?

                1. Magic Zico
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 2 Years
                  2 months, 1 day ago

                  Who is not in rotation these days?

          • kysersosa
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 1 day ago

            Don’t listen to this article, no one should have Moura in their team.....

            Apart from me, who worked out his potential last week before WC’ing.

            1. Horlicks esq.
              • 11 Years
              2 months, 1 day ago

              Moura, Kane and son in your team? If you have city too you’re in potential mud next week eh?

              1. kysersosa
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 6 Years
                2 months, 1 day ago

                Martinez,
                TAA, Holding, Reguilon, Coady
                Salah, Moura, Bruno, Jota
                Nacho, Kane - TC

                Forster, Gund, Wood, Targett

                rolling FT so have 2FT to take out Reg and Moura. I'll be good for next week, (bar injuries)

          • Bobby Digital
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 1 day ago

            Do we think Auba will play?

            1. Brehmeren
              • 11 Years
              2 months, 1 day ago

              Zero chance.

              1. Bobby Digital
                • 3 Years
                2 months, 1 day ago

                Auba to Bruno worth a hit?

                1. Froes
                  • 7 Years
                  2 months, 1 day ago

                  pogba is starting to sound as a good reliable difrential

              2. Bobby Digital
                • 3 Years
                2 months, 1 day ago

                Have Trossard coming on for Auba otherwise

            2. Horlicks esq.
              • 11 Years
              2 months, 1 day ago

              Malaria bro. Horrible disease. Never really goes away either. He’ll be wounded for a while.

              1. Bobby Digital
                • 3 Years
                2 months, 1 day ago

                Cheers, missed that

          • Rundmc
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            2 months, 1 day ago

            Nope he’s not in England yet is he?

          • Froes
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 1 day ago

            johnstone (lei) or Sanchez (che) ??

          • beetlejuice
            • 4 Years
            2 months, 1 day ago

            Saka is not in the predicted lineups vs Fulham here in FFS, that's strange. What do you guys reckon? I am doubting between him and Bowen and Podence perhaps.

            1. kysersosa
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 1 day ago

              Bowen for this week, Podence for long term.

          • Krupinho
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            2 months, 1 day ago

            Dilemma, need help!!!

            Mendy
            TTA Shaw Coady
            Gundo Salah Jota Bruno Lingz
            Kane (c) Inacho

            Forster Rudi Vydra Dawson

            Got the following choices;
            1. Bruno or Salah out - Son in (for one week only)
            2. Gundo out - Moura in

            Leaning towards option 1 and ditching Bruno for 1 GW