Spot the Differential

Pogba’s new role makes him a useful FPL differential for Triple Gameweek

Triple Gameweek 35 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at West Ham United, Aston Villa and Manchester United who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or below at the time of writing.

Paul Pogba

  • FPL ownership: 2.2%
  • Price: £7.6m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: avl + LEI + LIV | – | FUL | wol

Paul Pogba (£7.6m) has been one of Manchester United’s top performers in recent weeks, producing some of his best football since returning to Old Trafford from Juventus in 2016.

The French midfielder struggled with several minor injuries and a bout of COVID-19 earlier in the season. However, since regaining full fitness, he has become a vital asset to Ole Gunnar Solskjær, which has coincided with a new, hybrid role on the left of United’s 4-2-3-1 formation.

The more advanced position means he is generally further up the pitch when United reach the final third, where he has the vision and ability to quickly switch play. And that’s led to a big improvement from Pogba, who has scored two goals and registered four assists in his last ten matches across all competitions. He also ranks joint-second amongst team-mates for shots in the box, and third for chances created over the last six Gameweeks.

The Red Devils are now unbeaten in 13 Premier League matches, and after the latest fixture amendments were announced earlier this week, now visit Aston Villa before back-to-back home matches against Leicester City and Liverpool in Triple Gameweek 35.

While it’s hard to pinpoint exactly which, if any, of United’s assets will be handed three starts, Pogba’s versatility enhances his chances, and now in a really good moment, could be an effective differential for the remainder of the season.

Michail Antonio

  • FPL ownership: 5.0%
  • Price: £6.4m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: EVE | bha | wba | SOU

Gameweek 34 saw the return of Michail Antonio (£6.4m) to West Ham United’s attack.

The 31-year-old was back in the starting XI after recovering from the hamstring injury which forced him off against Wolverhampton Wanderers last month, and it didn’t take him long to impress.

His quickfire double, finishing off crosses from Vladimir Coufal (£4.7m) and Saïd Benrahma (£5.9m), turned the game in the Hammers favour, and he was perhaps unfortunate not to return more, as he ended the game with six goal attempts, two big chances and 12 penalty box touches. 

In fact, Antonio’s expected goal involvement (xGI) total of 1.43 was not bettered by any other Fantasy Premier League (FPL) player in Gameweek 34, and as pointed out by Neale in his Scout Notes, it is merely a continuation of a season-wide trend as no forward with substantial game-time to their name has a better rate of xGI per 90 minutes.

Manuel Lanzini’s (£6.4m) performance also caught the eye, with the Argentine excelling in a deeper role in Declan Rice’s (£4.7m) absence, and as a result of their win, West Ham now sit fifth, just three points behind Chelsea with four games to play. 

With a crucial run of games coming up against Everton, Brighton and Hove Albion, West Bromwich Albion and Southampton, Antonio can finish the season strongly, and could be one of the very best FPL differentials for the run-in.

Anwar El Ghazi

  • FPL ownership: 1.2%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: MUN + EVE | cry | tot | CHE

Anwar El Ghazi (£5.2m) has not always been a guaranteed starter at Aston Villa this season, but has now scored in back-to-back matches and made a real impact.

The Dutchman’s Gameweek 34 strike at Everton took his tally to eight in the Premier League, making him the Villans’ top scorer behind Ollie Watkins (£6.5m), and there is no doubt that at his best, he has the ability to be a real game-changer.

Interestingly, captain Jack Grealish (£7.5m) recently labelled El Ghazi as Villa’s best finisher at the club, and it was easy to see why at Goodison Park, as he bent the winner past an excellent Jordan Pickford (£4.8m) late on. He also hit the woodwork and enjoyed plenty of success running at Carlo Ancelotti’s backline, which is encouraging.

The winger’s shoot-on-sight policy is evident in the numbers, too. Amongst all midfielders per 90 who have played a reasonable number of minutes, he ranks second for goal attempts, fifth for big chances and third for expected goals (xG), only behind Mohamed Salah (£12.7m) and Gareth Bale (£9.1m).

At this stage, we should point out that longer term, this move carries more risk, as it’s likely we’ll see El Ghazi drop out of the starting XI upon Grealish’s return. However, if the England international continues to be ruled out, and you fancy a short-term differential punt, this could be a good one.

2,781 Comments Post a Comment
  1. supertramp
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Greenwood vs Salah vs Ihea for captaincy?
    And Kane vs Son to start?

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      All three good captaincy options, maybe Salah just.

      Kane, marginally.

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I like Nacho v Newcastle and given OGS comments possibly a weakened United

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        * and Kane

  2. DycheDycheBaby
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Currently on Greenwood (c). But seriously considering Salah or Nacho. Salah would be a big differential for me and I'm chasing. Decisions!!

  3. Sun Jihai
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Maguire points prediction for GW35?

    1. Bob_the_builder
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      15

    2. drughi
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      4

    3. pingissimus
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      4

    4. Bavarian
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      2

    5. Eh, just one more thing ...
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      4

  4. PascalCygan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    A) DCL + Maguire
    B) Watkins + Digne

    Both with Greenwood for -4

    (B saves a hit next week)

    I want DCL but Watkins helps other areas of my team too...

    Thanks!

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      (as in, both A and B are parts of -4 moves with Greenwood for Son)

  5. _Gunner
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Which is better?

    A- Zaha and DCL/Watkins (only Bruno as a united player)
    B- Greenwood and Watkins (double united)

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B

    3. Eh, just one more thing ...
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B.

      Zaha will eat your last Rolo and chew it with his mouth open.

  6. Pointless
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Any news on news about Zaha?!

    1. Big Ronnie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Would like to know this too. Will get him if confirmed fit

    2. Rotation's Alter Ego
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Wasn't mentioned in the list of players RH said were injured. There was a specific question about him during the embargoed section, but news of that won't drop until like 10:30. Context suggests he's alright though.

    3. Sterling Archer
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      presumed fit

    4. Eh, just one more thing ...
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Breaking news. Zaha hopes to break the most hearts and steal more souls than in any previous game week. Zaha is a trap.

  7. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    How about Shaw,Greenwood,Bruno combo?

    1. TheDragon
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      As good as any

    2. justaguy9
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      due to budget issues i went shaw greenwood rashford.

      Easy sell Rash to Son for gw36

    3. Gross Blank Point
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Have you cover for them not playing GW 36?

      1. justaguy9
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        will do rash to son and greenwood to someone for a hit

    4. Eh, just one more thing ...
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Lovely

  8. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Best option here

    A Fofana ( probably starts both but getting early subs during Ramadan)
    B Holding ( will he get WBA game)

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A

    2. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B

  9. Big Ronnie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Who to play?

    A) Rudiger
    B) Fofana
    C) Holding

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      C

  10. arkom
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Digne / TAA / Dunk / Requilon / Phillips
    Salah / Lingard / Son / Greenwood / Rapinha
    Watkins / Nacho / Vardy

    BB activated

    A) Rapinha & Vardy --> Bruno & Benteke

    or?

    B) Son & Requilon --> Bruno & Targett

    1. ButterB
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      (A) for me. Benteke could work out. Villa have been brutal for clean sheets of late. Not that Benteke has been banging them in, but with the fixtures you'd hope he can get something !

      1. arkom
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Thanks mate, I appreciate!

  11. Redranger
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Which one?

    A) Son > Greenwood/Zaha
    B) Kane > DCL

    1. Luton_Fan
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A

  12. Blanka
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Who's the best United defender and why? Doing my head in ha

    1. Luton_Fan
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Maguire

    2. justaguy9
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      shaw (will start 2 for sure, maybe 3)

      AWB & Maguire will probably start all 3 but unlikely to get assists like shaw

      1. Blanka
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Oh just keep Castagne?

        1. justaguy9
          • 2 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          yes def dont sell Castagne. And Maguire will not start 1 match according to ole

          1. Luton_Fan
            • 14 Years
            2 years, 11 months ago

            He said he wont play 90 in all 3

            1. DycheDycheBaby
              • 8 Years
              2 years, 11 months ago

              Yes. He wasn't saying that we won't start all 3 correct? So maybe some of us misread that

              1. DycheDycheBaby
                • 8 Years
                2 years, 11 months ago

                *he

          2. Blanka
            • 9 Years
            2 years, 11 months ago

            It's a FH

        2. pingissimus
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          Selling Castagne for United defence doesn't add up to me at all.

          1. Blanka
            • 9 Years
            2 years, 11 months ago

            FH tho bud.

  13. ButterB
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Martinez* Pickford*
    Holding* Shaw* Veltman Trent* Dallas

    Bale Lingard Salah* Trossard Jota*

    Kane Watkins* Nacho*

    Advice appreciated. One free transfer and on a BB this week. What's left of the team from a WC a few weeks ago. Looking at Kane Trossard and Lingard > doublers* DCL, Bruno and James Ward-P...(-8) , will swap out Bruno for 36 to have 11 playing.

    Captain Salah or Bruno this week (looking at Salah at the moment)

  14. Luton_Fan
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Any of these worth hits?

    A. forster to guita (also guarantees keeper in 36)

    B. Maddison to zaha

    1. Pukkipartyy
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I dont know if i would do B even free?

  15. Reeker
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    With the Ole presser about Maguire. Who would you rather transfer in now? Shaw or Maguire?

    The original plan before the TGW was announced was to get Shaw and DCL in anyway.

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Still Maguire

    2. Paul Psychic Octopus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      My guess is Maguire would miss the LEI match but play the LIV game.

      1. b91jh
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        My guess is Lindelof+Tuanzebe vs Villa, then Maguire starts the another two.

    3. pingissimus
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Shaw

      Don't think that interview makes any real difference. Maguire was simply used as an example to vent his frustration. Someone might start all three - Pogba? - but it's impossible to pick who and the safest course is to assume that the regular crew will all get two.

  16. Tinmen
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Guys how is Vardy as a pick?

    I’m torn between
    A) Robbo and Watkins
    B) Phillips and Vardy

    1. Gross Blank Point
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      If you are chasing then I think he's a balls to the wall captain pick!

  17. Paul Psychic Octopus
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Am in a bit of a quandary. Would appreciate any thoughts.

    Still have WC, FH and BB left (yes, I know…). Plan was to WC last week and BB in the DGW, but I missed the DGW news late last Friday as I was at the pub.

    My team currently has 9 DGW players (one MUN, one LIV) and 2 FTs.

    Would you take a -12 and field 14 DGW players + Lloris and play BB? What then to do with the WC? Or use the WC now to tweak the DGW team?
    FH for the blank obviously. Then just punt BB on the last day of the season.

  18. King Kohli
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Mane or Vardy on FH?

    Both have a plum home game and away to UTD as their 2nd game.

    Do we think Vardy starts both?

    1. Eh, just one more thing ...
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      As it’s a FH go for it. I wouldn’t touch him in any other scenario.

  19. Sterling Archer
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Who scores more over the double......

    N Phillips or JWP

    does Phillips go up for set pieces anyone know?

  20. Neves say Neves
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    How likely is Holding to play both games?

    1. DAVESAVES
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Likely imo

  21. Blanka
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    FH best keeper? Palace guy? Or just Martinez?

    1. The Final Boss
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Palace Guy

    2. bautasten
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Guita/Henderson

    3. ButterB
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      I'd prefer Palace over Villa for this week

  22. bautasten
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Hey, some thoughts appriciated:

    A) Son, Welbeck > Zaha, DCL (-4).
    B) Son, Holding > Zaha, Digne (-4)
    C) Son, Welbeck, Rudiger > JWP, DCL, Digne (-8).

    Option A means a hit to get to 11 next week. B and C no hit GW36.

    1. ZakyJ
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B as its the only -4

      1. bautasten
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        It is...you don't think DCL could pay that back over Digne?

    2. The Final Boss
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      B

      1. bautasten
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        Thanks, probably the most sensible move. Really like DCL for the upcoming fixtures though and won't be able to get him later without hits.

  23. Ruinenlust
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    AWB or Mag?

    1. The Final Boss
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Awb

  24. ZakyJ
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    sit one:
    A) Kane (single fixture)
    B) Rudiger (rotation risk)
    C) Konsa

    im 30 points behind, so is sitting Kane crazy if the other guy has Kane?

  25. Zlatan F.C
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Points prediction over the next two GW's for

    A) Maguire
    B) Digne

    1. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      A) 4
      B) 11

    2. pingissimus
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      4
      10

  26. SpaceCadet
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Final shout out. BB team g2g?

    Mendy
    Taa castagne Shaw
    Salah Bruno(c) siggy zaha
    Dcl Watkins nacho

    Pickford Dallas lingard Ward

  27. OptimusBlack
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    What to do if you already -8 pts and BB Activated Would you sell one of
    Areola Dunk and cost -12 ??
    Areola > Gauita
    Dunk > Ward

  28. Johnny too hotty
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    cant see any presser on zaha?

  29. Jambot
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    G2G? (I hope so because I took a -12!)

    Forster*
    Shaw** TAA* Phillips*
    Bruno** Salah* Son Eze*
    DCL* Vardy* Nacho*

    Sanchez Saiss Dallas Raph

  30. Joey Barton and Friends
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 11 months ago

    Looking for a differential or two for my FH. Already have Zaha. Thinking about Madisson. Currently have Mane but not so sure...

    1. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 11 months ago

      Lacazette

      1. Joey Barton and Friends
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 11 months ago

        did he not go off injured last night?

        1. Sun Jihai
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          2 years, 11 months ago

          You're right sorry! I just saw he got back into the team but never watched the game!