Spot the Differential

Pogba’s new role makes him a useful FPL differential for Triple Gameweek

Triple Gameweek 35 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at West Ham United, Aston Villa and Manchester United who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or below at the time of writing.

Paul Pogba

  • FPL ownership: 2.2%
  • Price: £7.6m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: avl + LEI + LIV | – | FUL | wol

Paul Pogba (£7.6m) has been one of Manchester United’s top performers in recent weeks, producing some of his best football since returning to Old Trafford from Juventus in 2016.

The French midfielder struggled with several minor injuries and a bout of COVID-19 earlier in the season. However, since regaining full fitness, he has become a vital asset to Ole Gunnar Solskjær, which has coincided with a new, hybrid role on the left of United’s 4-2-3-1 formation.

The more advanced position means he is generally further up the pitch when United reach the final third, where he has the vision and ability to quickly switch play. And that’s led to a big improvement from Pogba, who has scored two goals and registered four assists in his last ten matches across all competitions. He also ranks joint-second amongst team-mates for shots in the box, and third for chances created over the last six Gameweeks.

The Red Devils are now unbeaten in 13 Premier League matches, and after the latest fixture amendments were announced earlier this week, now visit Aston Villa before back-to-back home matches against Leicester City and Liverpool in Triple Gameweek 35.

While it’s hard to pinpoint exactly which, if any, of United’s assets will be handed three starts, Pogba’s versatility enhances his chances, and now in a really good moment, could be an effective differential for the remainder of the season.

Michail Antonio

  • FPL ownership: 5.0%
  • Price: £6.4m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: EVE | bha | wba | SOU

Gameweek 34 saw the return of Michail Antonio (£6.4m) to West Ham United’s attack.

The 31-year-old was back in the starting XI after recovering from the hamstring injury which forced him off against Wolverhampton Wanderers last month, and it didn’t take him long to impress.

His quickfire double, finishing off crosses from Vladimir Coufal (£4.7m) and Saïd Benrahma (£5.9m), turned the game in the Hammers favour, and he was perhaps unfortunate not to return more, as he ended the game with six goal attempts, two big chances and 12 penalty box touches. 

In fact, Antonio’s expected goal involvement (xGI) total of 1.43 was not bettered by any other Fantasy Premier League (FPL) player in Gameweek 34, and as pointed out by Neale in his Scout Notes, it is merely a continuation of a season-wide trend as no forward with substantial game-time to their name has a better rate of xGI per 90 minutes.

Manuel Lanzini’s (£6.4m) performance also caught the eye, with the Argentine excelling in a deeper role in Declan Rice’s (£4.7m) absence, and as a result of their win, West Ham now sit fifth, just three points behind Chelsea with four games to play. 

With a crucial run of games coming up against Everton, Brighton and Hove Albion, West Bromwich Albion and Southampton, Antonio can finish the season strongly, and could be one of the very best FPL differentials for the run-in.

Anwar El Ghazi

  • FPL ownership: 1.2%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: MUN + EVE | cry | tot | CHE

Anwar El Ghazi (£5.2m) has not always been a guaranteed starter at Aston Villa this season, but has now scored in back-to-back matches and made a real impact.

The Dutchman’s Gameweek 34 strike at Everton took his tally to eight in the Premier League, making him the Villans’ top scorer behind Ollie Watkins (£6.5m), and there is no doubt that at his best, he has the ability to be a real game-changer.

Interestingly, captain Jack Grealish (£7.5m) recently labelled El Ghazi as Villa’s best finisher at the club, and it was easy to see why at Goodison Park, as he bent the winner past an excellent Jordan Pickford (£4.8m) late on. He also hit the woodwork and enjoyed plenty of success running at Carlo Ancelotti’s backline, which is encouraging.

The winger’s shoot-on-sight policy is evident in the numbers, too. Amongst all midfielders per 90 who have played a reasonable number of minutes, he ranks second for goal attempts, fifth for big chances and third for expected goals (xG), only behind Mohamed Salah (£12.7m) and Gareth Bale (£9.1m).

At this stage, we should point out that longer term, this move carries more risk, as it’s likely we’ll see El Ghazi drop out of the starting XI upon Grealish’s return. However, if the England international continues to be ruled out, and you fancy a short-term differential punt, this could be a good one.

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2,781 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Hitthewall
      2 months, 20 days ago

      I’ve got Mendy/Forster, probably meaning no keeper in 36. Is it worth shipping out Mendy for another doubling keeper for a -4?

      If I go Guaita/Pickford I could also get DCL instead of Watkins (Will do Vydra to either anyways).

      I'm also bench boosting this GW.

      1. Biggsy
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 20 days ago

        Same situation. Would have said no, but of course 37 is after FA Cup, so Kepa likely to play (if recent patterns remain) therefore if Forster is an unknown then maybe a hit to have a playing keeper in 36 and 37 is worth it

      2. HMC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 20 days ago

        No. Just swap him out next week

    • Krafty Werks
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 20 days ago

      Which trio do you prefer?

      A - Rashford, Greenwood, Digne.
      B - Bruno, JWP & Maguire.

      1. REDMOND IN SANDALS
          2 months, 20 days ago

          Not captaining bruno might end the season prematurely.

        • Goons
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 20 days ago

          A

      2. BurnMyBread
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 20 days ago

        How nailed is Martinelli?

      3. The Reptile
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 20 days ago

        Anyone have any idea whether Leno or Ryan start next 2 games?
        I have Leno & Mendy & BB

        1. Peekay
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 20 days ago

          Same dilema.. i have Leno and Forster

      4. Goons
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 20 days ago

        Start Son or Jota?

        1. DBossman_2000
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 20 days ago

          Son

      5. Arteta
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 20 days ago

        https://twitter.com/SmuelMartinFPL/status/1390620854254542849

        Ricardo's owners will finally be rewarded with 21 pointer.

      6. DA Minnion (In Bielsa we tr…
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 20 days ago

        Good to go or play Son instead of Jota?
        Mendy
        Shaw Holding Trent
        Salah Bruno Jwp Jota
        Watkins Vardy Nacho

        Son Veltman Coady Forster

        Thanks lads.

        1. Crunchie
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 20 days ago

          I think Liverpool will have to go for it. Jota was benched yes, but i think he will start against a tired Utd

      7. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 20 days ago

        On FH:

        Digne or Castagne?

        Guaita, Alisson, Henderson or Pickford?

        Greenwood or Rashford?

        1. Keeptrying
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 20 days ago

          not sure
          Alison
          Greenwood

        2. Boly Would
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 20 days ago

          I have Castagne, Henderson, Greenwood, so will say them.

        3. liverpool01
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 20 days ago

          Digne, Guaita, Greenwood

        4. NATSTER
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 20 days ago

          Digne
          Alisson
          Rashford

      8. Fergiesarmy
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 20 days ago

        Start A Veltman (wolves away) or B Dawson (Everton Home)

        1. SHOWSTOPPERRR
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 20 days ago

          Veltman

      9. Hazardous1983
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 20 days ago

        son to greenwood or zaha

        1. REDMOND IN SANDALS
            2 months, 20 days ago

            Depends if you have enough players for gw36. If yes I would go with Greenwood

            1. Hazardous1983
              • 10 Years
              2 months, 20 days ago

              Think i have 8

              1. REDMOND IN SANDALS
                  2 months, 20 days ago

                  Zaha should be a no brainer then

          • checkit_j
            • 1 Year
            2 months, 20 days ago

            Thinking of doing this for a -4.

            Lingard -> WP
            Burn -> Mitchell
            Bam -> DCL

            Thoughts?

            Martinez
            Taa - Castgne - Shaw (Mitchell , Dallas)
            Gwood - Bruno (c) - WP - Son (Jota)
            Kane - DCL - Hencho

            (2)

          • Holmes
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 20 days ago

            James Tomkins and Nathaniel Clyne played for U23s on Monday - both players are training with the first team. Ferguson is hoping to be cleared by the Sports Science dept. and rejoin the group from next week. "Connor has a slight strain, Sakho has not recovered yet." #CPFC

          • liverpool01
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 20 days ago

            Guaita
            Castagne, Kabak, Shaw
            (C)Bruno, Lingard, Son, Mount, Jota
            Kane, Ineanacho

            Martinez, Lowton, Bamford, Dallas

            BB Active

            0 FT 2.9 ITB

            Gtg?

          • Arteta
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 20 days ago

            Vardy & Semedo ➡ DCL/Richarlison & Digne. Is this a mad hit?

            1. xHaTr
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 3 Years
              2 months, 20 days ago

              Definitely wouldnt be selling vardy

          • JONALDINHO
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 20 days ago

            Which one to keep?
            Kane or Son

            1. Fit_to_drop
              • 1 Year
              2 months, 20 days ago

              A

              1. Fit_to_drop
                • 1 Year
                2 months, 20 days ago

                B's stats have nosedived. More so, with Bale on the pitch.

          • Differentiator
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 20 days ago

            Best 6.6m or less mids for this week? Already have JWP

            Thanks

          • lastmanback
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            2 months, 20 days ago

            Anyone else think Bruno C is a big trap? He's blanked in all but 2 of the last 8, and most are agreed there's no way he plays all 3, so it's better to compare him to the likes of Salah and Nacho who also have 2 - in which case he's surely not the best choice? I'm an owner, but I think i'll regret captaining him.

            1. trinzoo
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 20 days ago

              He looks like back to his best form last 2 matches with Roma, also, he will probably play aroun 210 minutes.

            2. SHOWSTOPPERRR
              • 3 Years
              2 months, 20 days ago

              But again it's 3 Vs 2 whatever we are saying. Pools aren't that strong defensively and they will go for it and it gives Utd a chance. Leicester also conceding. The only problem I see is 2 of the 3 are at home. But again it's bruno

            3. HMC
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              2 months, 20 days ago

              EO will be off the charts this week
              There’s no fun in captaining such a player when it’s not an obvious choice

          • OptimusBlack
            • 8 Years
            2 months, 20 days ago

            Any help here ??
            PS: BB Activated
            Already -8 it worth to get Gauita instead of Areola ??

            1. Holmes
              • 7 Years
              2 months, 20 days ago

              Nope

            2. Boly Would
              • 5 Years
              2 months, 20 days ago

              No

          • Jolly Good
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 20 days ago

            Greenwood or Lindelof?

            1. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
              • 7 Years
              2 months, 20 days ago

              I don't like either

            2. V-2 Schneiderlin
              • 10 Years
              2 months, 20 days ago

              Greenwood

          • Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 20 days ago

            What do I do here lads? 2FT, 2.3 ITB

            Mendy,Forster
            Shaw,Fofana,Philips,Coady,Holding
            Salah,Son,Bruno,Bowen,Lookman
            Kane,Icheanacho,Vydra

          • Ruinenlust
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 20 days ago

            A) Kane and Philips

            or

            B) Watkins and Digne?

          • V-2 Schneiderlin
            • 10 Years
            2 months, 20 days ago

            anyone chasing and thinking of Richarlison instead of DCL? - he's due!

            1. Athletico Underachieving
                2 months, 20 days ago

                I was but he looked poor last week v Villa

            2. Tshelby
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 20 days ago

              No Bruno for me? Chasing and nothing to lose.. Get Pogba in?

              1FT/ 0.1 ITB

              Martinez*, Guita*
              Konsa*, TAA*, Dallas, Castagne*, Veltman
              Salah*, Greenwood**, Jota*, Lingard, ESM*
              Kane, Vardy*, Nacho*

              1. zotter
                • 11 Years
                2 months, 20 days ago

                how would you get Pogba in?

            3. Alisson WondHaaland
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              2 months, 20 days ago

              Saka + Kane to Rashford (c) + DCL for free

              yay or nay?

            4. trio80
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              2 months, 20 days ago

              Leno vs. Forster?

              1. zotter
                • 11 Years
                2 months, 20 days ago

                hmm probably Leno

            5. zotter
              • 11 Years
              2 months, 20 days ago

              A. Anything worth a hit? zero itb
              B. Start ESR or Lingard?

              Martinez
              TAA. RObertson. Shaw
              Salah. Bruno c. Greenwood. ESR
              Watkins. Kane. Nacho

              Fabri. Lingard. Dallas. Veltman

            6. Athletico Underachieving
                2 months, 20 days ago

                Roy says 3 out, Sakho, Wickham and Ferguson...sounds like Zaha is G2G

                  1. Athletico Underachieving
                      2 months, 20 days ago

                      You’d think given he’s their main man one of the journos would have asked ‘will he play tomorrow after the groin issue’...

                1. Karan14
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 5 Years
                  2 months, 20 days ago

                  Solskjaer warns Premier League he could field an entirely different XI in one of their next three games #mufc
                  https://t.co/GmFRJWwUct

                  1. JONALDINHO
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 3 Years
                    2 months, 20 days ago

                    *Pretends to be shocked

                  2. pingissimus
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 2 Years
                    2 months, 20 days ago

                    This needs to be hulked.

                    Anyone going Maguire should think again if they think he's getting all three. Always thought there was a strange doublethink in assuming the player who has never been rested wouldn't get rested.

                  3. Arteta
                    • 5 Years
                    2 months, 20 days ago

                    Thanks for sharing!

                2. Terry Tibbs: Top Pundit
                  • 4 Years
                  2 months, 20 days ago

                  Start Lacazette and hope plays double, or get in DCL early as was intending for GW36?

                3. mcraz
                  • 4 Years
                  2 months, 20 days ago

                  chasing 15pts on BB
                  Areloa to Gaita - 4 ? or stick

                  Bruno or salah (c) ? knowing leader will most lily (c) Bruno

                  1. zotter
                    • 11 Years
                    2 months, 20 days ago

                    with Ole comments on rotation - it has made me switch to Salah