Spot the Differential

Pogba’s new role makes him a useful FPL differential for Triple Gameweek

Triple Gameweek 35 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at West Ham United, Aston Villa and Manchester United who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or below at the time of writing.

Paul Pogba

  • FPL ownership: 2.2%
  • Price: £7.6m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: avl + LEI + LIV | – | FUL | wol

Paul Pogba (£7.6m) has been one of Manchester United’s top performers in recent weeks, producing some of his best football since returning to Old Trafford from Juventus in 2016.

The French midfielder struggled with several minor injuries and a bout of COVID-19 earlier in the season. However, since regaining full fitness, he has become a vital asset to Ole Gunnar Solskjær, which has coincided with a new, hybrid role on the left of United’s 4-2-3-1 formation.

The more advanced position means he is generally further up the pitch when United reach the final third, where he has the vision and ability to quickly switch play. And that’s led to a big improvement from Pogba, who has scored two goals and registered four assists in his last ten matches across all competitions. He also ranks joint-second amongst team-mates for shots in the box, and third for chances created over the last six Gameweeks.

The Red Devils are now unbeaten in 13 Premier League matches, and after the latest fixture amendments were announced earlier this week, now visit Aston Villa before back-to-back home matches against Leicester City and Liverpool in Triple Gameweek 35.

While it’s hard to pinpoint exactly which, if any, of United’s assets will be handed three starts, Pogba’s versatility enhances his chances, and now in a really good moment, could be an effective differential for the remainder of the season.

Michail Antonio

  • FPL ownership: 5.0%
  • Price: £6.4m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: EVE | bha | wba | SOU

Gameweek 34 saw the return of Michail Antonio (£6.4m) to West Ham United’s attack.

The 31-year-old was back in the starting XI after recovering from the hamstring injury which forced him off against Wolverhampton Wanderers last month, and it didn’t take him long to impress.

His quickfire double, finishing off crosses from Vladimir Coufal (£4.7m) and Saïd Benrahma (£5.9m), turned the game in the Hammers favour, and he was perhaps unfortunate not to return more, as he ended the game with six goal attempts, two big chances and 12 penalty box touches. 

In fact, Antonio’s expected goal involvement (xGI) total of 1.43 was not bettered by any other Fantasy Premier League (FPL) player in Gameweek 34, and as pointed out by Neale in his Scout Notes, it is merely a continuation of a season-wide trend as no forward with substantial game-time to their name has a better rate of xGI per 90 minutes.

Manuel Lanzini’s (£6.4m) performance also caught the eye, with the Argentine excelling in a deeper role in Declan Rice’s (£4.7m) absence, and as a result of their win, West Ham now sit fifth, just three points behind Chelsea with four games to play. 

With a crucial run of games coming up against Everton, Brighton and Hove Albion, West Bromwich Albion and Southampton, Antonio can finish the season strongly, and could be one of the very best FPL differentials for the run-in.

Anwar El Ghazi

  • FPL ownership: 1.2%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: MUN + EVE | cry | tot | CHE

Anwar El Ghazi (£5.2m) has not always been a guaranteed starter at Aston Villa this season, but has now scored in back-to-back matches and made a real impact.

The Dutchman’s Gameweek 34 strike at Everton took his tally to eight in the Premier League, making him the Villans’ top scorer behind Ollie Watkins (£6.5m), and there is no doubt that at his best, he has the ability to be a real game-changer.

Interestingly, captain Jack Grealish (£7.5m) recently labelled El Ghazi as Villa’s best finisher at the club, and it was easy to see why at Goodison Park, as he bent the winner past an excellent Jordan Pickford (£4.8m) late on. He also hit the woodwork and enjoyed plenty of success running at Carlo Ancelotti’s backline, which is encouraging.

The winger’s shoot-on-sight policy is evident in the numbers, too. Amongst all midfielders per 90 who have played a reasonable number of minutes, he ranks second for goal attempts, fifth for big chances and third for expected goals (xG), only behind Mohamed Salah (£12.7m) and Gareth Bale (£9.1m).

At this stage, we should point out that longer term, this move carries more risk, as it’s likely we’ll see El Ghazi drop out of the starting XI upon Grealish’s return. However, if the England international continues to be ruled out, and you fancy a short-term differential punt, this could be a good one.

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2,781 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Gizzachance
    • 6 Years
    4 months, 20 days ago

    b boost: forster vydra holding holgate?
    give a potential 11 dgw players, and save trans to sort out blank players next week
    cheers

  2. SoShy
    • 5 Years
    4 months, 20 days ago

    No United player will start all 3 games even more unlikely for a CB (unless due to an injury) to be subbed on midway through a game

    1. mynameisq
      • 8 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      Ole literally said its impossible for anyone to play all the games yet people are still talking about who gets more points in 270 minutes! Now don't get me wrong maybe one or two will squeak 3 starts but we can't expect it at all

    2. Duke Silver ☑
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      I could see AWB starting all 3. Not much coverage at RB.

      1. mynameisq
        • 8 Years
        4 months, 20 days ago

        Williams, he ain't great but top 4 is sorted but you're right awb stands the best chance imo, shaw is historically injury prone and telles is a handy back up, usually

  3. gawa11
    • 5 Years
    4 months, 20 days ago

    Thoughts on this for a hit?
    Son & Kane out
    Salah & DCL in

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      Yeah nice.

    2. Cojones of Destiny
      • 3 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      would try and keep one of them

  4. wonkeydonkey
    • 3 Years
    4 months, 20 days ago

    A) Son + Kane -> Watkins + Bruno (-8pts, will have 7 players in GW36)
    B) Son -> Greenwood (-4pts, will have 7 players in GW36)
    C) Son -> Zaha (-4pts, will have 8 players in GW36)

    1. Heiro
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      I can't get rid of Son Kane when they have Leeds and wolves next.

      1. wonkeydonkey
        • 3 Years
        4 months, 20 days ago

        Reckon Son to Greenwood/ Zaha is worth it? (Need to do this to do planned move of Vydra to DCL)

        1. Heiro
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          4 months, 20 days ago

          Not for me. Whats the rest of your team?

          Gotta be someone else you can move to Zaha/Greenwood.

          1. wonkeydonkey
            • 3 Years
            4 months, 20 days ago

            Mendy, Forster
            TAA, Shaw, Digne, Castagne, Holding
            Salah, Jota, Lingard, Maddison, Son
            Kane, Vydra, Nacho

            Only have £0.5itb, and 1FT. Playing BB so wanted to upgrade Vydra and get in DCL. Would therefore need to downgrade Son to £7.3m unless you have any better suggestions?

            Concerned about squad for GW36, but will need to take a -8pt hit then anyways.

            1. Heiro
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 11 Years
              4 months, 20 days ago

              Wow, same midfield a me.

              I am actually thinking Jota to Greenwood/Zaha.

              Not convinced Jota is palying both and the second game is against United...

              1. Zladan
                • 4 Years
                4 months, 20 days ago

                Liverpool HAVE to win for any chance of CL.

              2. wonkeydonkey
                • 3 Years
                4 months, 20 days ago

                Don't want to remove Jota as think he's still a decent option off the bench at his price, plus Liv need to go for it/ Man U could be tired. Thinking of downgrading Son to fund the Vydra to DCL move, but can't work out whether I need to do anything this week or not!

                1. Heiro
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 11 Years
                  4 months, 20 days ago

                  Do it. But possibly make sure you can get Son/Bae in for the following week.

                  1. wonkeydonkey
                    • 3 Years
                    4 months, 20 days ago

                    Would have the exact money to do:

                    Maddison, Castagne, Mendy -> Bale, £4.4m DEF (Ayling, Lowton), Meslier

                    Which should give me 11 starters in GW36 for a -8pt hit, if I go with Zaha this week.

    2. Manani
      • 9 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      neither, especially since you dont have enough GW36 player to begin with

      1. wonkeydonkey
        • 3 Years
        4 months, 20 days ago

        Using BB this week so want DCL and another DGW/TGW player for Vydra and Son. Think the extra 2/3 fixtures would be worth basically a -8pt hit, especially given the better GW36 fixture for DCL.

  5. Aster
    4 months, 20 days ago

    Lingard to Zaha?

    1. yanky
      • 11 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      free yes, hit no

  6. Fernando Torres
    • 10 Years
    4 months, 20 days ago

    Will Mitchell start both?

    1. wowo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      4 months, 20 days ago

      If he starts one, it would be lucky. I reckon

    2. Free Hat
      • 2 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      Reading twitter comments i dont think so

  7. Hazardous1983
    • 10 Years
    4 months, 20 days ago

    lingard to zaha for -8? and bench kane?

    1. Aster
      4 months, 20 days ago

      Thinking exactly the same

    2. yanky
      • 11 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      hell no keep ling and start kane

    3. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      My god no.

      1. Torres76
        • 11 Years
        4 months, 20 days ago

        Crazy move!!

    4. wowo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      4 months, 20 days ago

      not a -8 especially you have Kane to play
      Lingard has lots to contribute when Whu keeps creating chances

    5. Zladan
      • 4 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      I’ve seen some crazy moves b this might top it!

      Zaha!? I’d start Kane over Zaha all day.

  8. Zlatan F.C
    4 months, 20 days ago

    Rate my team out of 10 please. Bench Boost played

    Mendy Forster
    TAA Maguire Rudiger Coufal Godfrey
    Salah Bruno (c) Greenwood Jota Lingard
    Kane Vydra Nacho

  9. iCon
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    4 months, 20 days ago

    Why are people dumping Rudiger? Is he unlikely to play or just the tough fixtures?

    1. wowo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      4 months, 20 days ago

      Maynot play both 2 due to rotation and no GW36 plus many other double weeks players

    2. Pompel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      Will play against City, but unlikely to play next against Arsenal

  10. Forza Papac
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    4 months, 20 days ago

    Which would you rather have this week?

    A) Havertz -4
    B) Bale

    1. iCon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      B for sure

  11. JoJoRed
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    4 months, 20 days ago

    Chasing
    Greenwood an option for a captaincy punt?

    1. DycheDycheBaby
      • 6 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      Same. Or Salah/Nacho

  12. Bubz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 months, 20 days ago

    Lingard ---> Zaha (-4)...

    Worth it in your opinion?

    1. Little Red Lacazette
      • 4 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      -4 is tricky...could work out.

    2. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      For free it’s a pretty big punt.

    3. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      Not looking beyond 35 for me. West Ham have some good fixtures and will be chasing that top 4 spot until the end

    4. pingissimus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      Don't think so.

      Lingard looks good for the run in and Zaha is not in prime form at all - minor contributions since his return from injury. One goal and assist form the 5 Palace have scored,

    5. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      No. If Zaha were fully fit, might consider as FT. But neverthless might work, if he plays 180.

  13. Little Red Lacazette
    • 4 Years
    4 months, 20 days ago

    Play Rudiger or Phillips?

    Martinez
    Castagne Shaw Phillips
    Bruno Jota Salah Greenwood
    Watkins Nacho Kane

    Sanchez Rudiger Lingard Coady

  14. Karan14
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    4 months, 20 days ago

    Ole admits Maguire is unlikely to play in all three upcoming fixtures: “Harry, he’s played every minute for us in the PL since he came. I don’t think that’s possible now. That’s another stat that he could have been very, very proud of but I can’t really see that happening.” #MUFC

    1. Zlatan F.C
      4 months, 20 days ago

      Now i might just go Digne instead

    2. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      Cheers. Tried to post that myself but failed hard.

  15. Cojones of Destiny
    • 3 Years
    4 months, 20 days ago

    play
    a. Veltman
    b. Konsa

  16. G Banger
    • 3 Years
    4 months, 20 days ago

    Quick couple of questions please:

    Play one DEF (have Mendy):
    1) Fofana
    2) Rudiger

    Play one MID:
    a) Martinelli (WBA/CHE)
    b) Lingard (EVE)

  17. I Member
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    4 months, 20 days ago

    I don't think I have the balls to not captain Bruno.

    1. JONALDINHO
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      I might be going without him completely!

    2. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      Member how Pogba playing affects his scoring?

  18. AD2110
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    4 months, 20 days ago

    Stuck on what to do....anything you’d do to this team? 1FT and 0.4 ITB

    Martinez
    TAA, Dallas, Shaw
    Salah, Jota, Bruno Lingard, Son
    Kane, Nacho

    Forster, Veltman, Struijk, Davis

  19. yanky
    • 11 Years
    4 months, 20 days ago

    somebody slap me, i have NO united players and dont think any are worth -4 since it would be an extra hit in gw36. I have Saka Holding Mendy Rudiger Nacho all who already arent playing

    1. wonkeydonkey
      • 3 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      I'm in a similar situation with lots of GW36 blankers:

      Mendy, Forster
      TAA, Shaw, Digne, Castagne, Holding
      Salah, Jota, Lingard, Maddison, Son
      Kane, Vydra, Nacho

      Thinking I may just have to bite the bullet then, as I fancy DCL & Zaha for Vydra & Son (playing BB this week)

    2. ChippyT
      • 10 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      I have no Utd either, can't bring myself to ship Kane or Son!

      Martinez
      Konsa|Rudi|TAA
      Salah|Jota|Lings|Son
      Kane|Nacho|Watkins

      Fabri|Dunk|Raph|Dallas

    3. Heiro
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      I am coming to the same conclusion. It could really ruin me next week. And putting players in who just played Roma and need to be fit/ready for final and missing next week!

  20. wowo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    4 months, 20 days ago

    Which one is better? Cheers
    (1) Zaha + AWB + Castagne or
    (2) Greenwood + Digne + J. Evans

  21. Daniel Jebbison
    • 12 Years
    4 months, 20 days ago

    These Friday deadlines are so excruciating. I mean it is so difficult to tinker after the press conferences. hope we have fewer Friday deadlines next year

  22. Atimis
    • 5 Years
    4 months, 20 days ago

    Thoughts on: Son Davis to Zaha Watkins?

    Mendy/Forster
    TAA/Castagne/Shaw/Rudiger/Holding
    Salah/Bruno/Son/Siggy/Lingard
    Kane/Nacho/Davis

  23. PaulParker
    • 7 Years
    4 months, 20 days ago

    Fernandes captain right?

    1. Babelcopter
      • 2 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      Salah

  24. Duke Silver ☑
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    4 months, 20 days ago

    Any chance these Friday games will be scrapped next season? I hate this Friday deadline.

  25. sirmorbach
    • 5 Years
    4 months, 20 days ago

    Should I start Holding (WBA, che) our Rudiger (mci, ARS)?

  26. shirtless
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    4 months, 20 days ago

    McCarthy & Struijk > Guiata & Vestergaard a sensible use of a -4 to fill my BB..? I’d like Maguire but I’d have to get Forster which seems a bit silly. I’m not sure I trust either Saints keeper to start!

    McCarthy JWP Keane Struijk

  27. PascalCygan
    • 3 Years
    4 months, 20 days ago

    OGS on Maguire:

    “Harry, he’s played every minute for us in the PL since he came. I don’t think that’s possible now. That’s another stat that he could have been very, very proud of but I can’t really see that happening.”

    Damn. Kinda expected it but still.

    https://twitter.com/BenDinnery/status/1390646733210796033

    1. dwain100
      • 7 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      Ole is threatening to put a weakened side in one of the fixtures. Posted earlier

  28. dwain100
    • 7 Years
    4 months, 20 days ago

    Afternoon. Which of the two choices :
    A) Vardy or
    B) Watkins

    1) Auba or
    2) Zaha

  29. NATSTER
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    4 months, 20 days ago

    Who to score more points?

    A: DCL
    B: Watkins + 4 points

    1. Pompel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      Beat me to it (see below)
      Has to be looked at over GW35+36, so I'd say it's pretty close

      1. NATSTER
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        4 months, 20 days ago

        FH on 36 and I think this spot will be taken by Antonio on GW37.

        So, in my case, it's more about DGW35 decision.

        1. Pompel
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          4 months, 20 days ago

          Watkins then

  30. Pompel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    4 months, 20 days ago

    Reall fancy DCL for GWs 35+36, but would mean one hit extra over Watkins:

    A) Bamford -> Watkins -4pts
    B) Bamford + Rudiger -> DCL + Phillips -8pts
    C) keep Bumford

    Which one?

    1. NATSTER
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 months, 20 days ago

      Haha.. And I'm also considering to sell Bamford too.

      It's Bamford + Lingard -> DCL + JWP in my case.

      1. Pompel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        4 months, 20 days ago

        Would be 0.2 off DCL + JWP., so would be El Ghazi instead , or possible downgrade of defender