Spot the Differential

Pogba’s new role makes him a useful FPL differential for Triple Gameweek

Triple Gameweek 35 is almost upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at West Ham United, Aston Villa and Manchester United who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or below at the time of writing.

Paul Pogba

  • FPL ownership: 2.2%
  • Price: £7.6m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: avl + LEI + LIV | – | FUL | wol

Paul Pogba (£7.6m) has been one of Manchester United’s top performers in recent weeks, producing some of his best football since returning to Old Trafford from Juventus in 2016.

The French midfielder struggled with several minor injuries and a bout of COVID-19 earlier in the season. However, since regaining full fitness, he has become a vital asset to Ole Gunnar Solskjær, which has coincided with a new, hybrid role on the left of United’s 4-2-3-1 formation.

The more advanced position means he is generally further up the pitch when United reach the final third, where he has the vision and ability to quickly switch play. And that’s led to a big improvement from Pogba, who has scored two goals and registered four assists in his last ten matches across all competitions. He also ranks joint-second amongst team-mates for shots in the box, and third for chances created over the last six Gameweeks.

The Red Devils are now unbeaten in 13 Premier League matches, and after the latest fixture amendments were announced earlier this week, now visit Aston Villa before back-to-back home matches against Leicester City and Liverpool in Triple Gameweek 35.

While it’s hard to pinpoint exactly which, if any, of United’s assets will be handed three starts, Pogba’s versatility enhances his chances, and now in a really good moment, could be an effective differential for the remainder of the season.

Michail Antonio

  • FPL ownership: 5.0%
  • Price: £6.4m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: EVE | bha | wba | SOU

Gameweek 34 saw the return of Michail Antonio (£6.4m) to West Ham United’s attack.

The 31-year-old was back in the starting XI after recovering from the hamstring injury which forced him off against Wolverhampton Wanderers last month, and it didn’t take him long to impress.

His quickfire double, finishing off crosses from Vladimir Coufal (£4.7m) and Saïd Benrahma (£5.9m), turned the game in the Hammers favour, and he was perhaps unfortunate not to return more, as he ended the game with six goal attempts, two big chances and 12 penalty box touches. 

In fact, Antonio’s expected goal involvement (xGI) total of 1.43 was not bettered by any other Fantasy Premier League (FPL) player in Gameweek 34, and as pointed out by Neale in his Scout Notes, it is merely a continuation of a season-wide trend as no forward with substantial game-time to their name has a better rate of xGI per 90 minutes.

Manuel Lanzini’s (£6.4m) performance also caught the eye, with the Argentine excelling in a deeper role in Declan Rice’s (£4.7m) absence, and as a result of their win, West Ham now sit fifth, just three points behind Chelsea with four games to play. 

With a crucial run of games coming up against Everton, Brighton and Hove Albion, West Bromwich Albion and Southampton, Antonio can finish the season strongly, and could be one of the very best FPL differentials for the run-in.

Anwar El Ghazi

  • FPL ownership: 1.2%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW35-38 fixtures: MUN + EVE | cry | tot | CHE

Anwar El Ghazi (£5.2m) has not always been a guaranteed starter at Aston Villa this season, but has now scored in back-to-back matches and made a real impact.

The Dutchman’s Gameweek 34 strike at Everton took his tally to eight in the Premier League, making him the Villans’ top scorer behind Ollie Watkins (£6.5m), and there is no doubt that at his best, he has the ability to be a real game-changer.

Interestingly, captain Jack Grealish (£7.5m) recently labelled El Ghazi as Villa’s best finisher at the club, and it was easy to see why at Goodison Park, as he bent the winner past an excellent Jordan Pickford (£4.8m) late on. He also hit the woodwork and enjoyed plenty of success running at Carlo Ancelotti’s backline, which is encouraging.

The winger’s shoot-on-sight policy is evident in the numbers, too. Amongst all midfielders per 90 who have played a reasonable number of minutes, he ranks second for goal attempts, fifth for big chances and third for expected goals (xG), only behind Mohamed Salah (£12.7m) and Gareth Bale (£9.1m).

At this stage, we should point out that longer term, this move carries more risk, as it’s likely we’ll see El Ghazi drop out of the starting XI upon Grealish’s return. However, if the England international continues to be ruled out, and you fancy a short-term differential punt, this could be a good one.

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2,781 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Babelcopter
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    2 months, 17 days ago

    Triple United off the cards I think.

    1. PLerix
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 17 days ago

      You’ll get at least a double gameweek, maybe 200-250 minutes.

    2. Chandler Bing
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 17 days ago

      Why?

  2. Steve The Spud
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    2 months, 17 days ago

    Lingard to ward prowse worth -4 as a punt ?

    1. Biggsy
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 17 days ago

      I wouldn't. WHU have some reasonable fixtures beyond this week and chasing CL spot

  3. Biggsy
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 17 days ago

    Masuaka & Son to:

    A. Digne and Zaha (-4)
    B. Digne, El Ghazi + Vydra to DCL (-8)

    Thanks

  4. AC/DC AFC
    • 5 Years
    2 months, 17 days ago

    Vardy is still the second highest points per game striker.

    So better to hold for Newcastle and the double.

    Which means i can afford Pogba and Cavani (for Wood) but forego Bruno.

    Thinking about it Pogba is more likely to be pushed in the run in in the league to field decent teams.

    Good idea... Pogba over Bruno to field Vardy over Wood?

  5. Ruinenlust
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 17 days ago

    A) Kane and Philips

    or

    B) Watkins and Digne

    1. Zladan
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 17 days ago

      A comfortably.

    2. iCon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 17 days ago

      This GW only…B

  6. Atimis
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 17 days ago

    Assume Zaha is GTG?

    1. Biggsy
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 17 days ago

      Seems so

    2. Eh, just one more thing ...
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 17 days ago

      GTG as in a total and utter trap that will pi55 in your milk and hold eye contact with you as you drink it all down ... then yes.

  7. DavidKent
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    2 months, 17 days ago

    Which to start please?
    1) Kane vs Leeds
    2) Ward Prowse vs Liv, Cry?

    1. Eh, just one more thing ...
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 months, 17 days ago

      2

  8. Zlatan F.C
      2 months, 17 days ago

      Would Digne not be a better option than Maguire for the next 2 game weeks?

      1. Duke Silver ☑
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        Over the course of the next 2 gameweeks yes.

      2. Arteta
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        I believe so.

      3. Biggsy
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        I think so

      4. Karan14
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        Yes

      5. SweepaKeepa
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        I chose Digne over Maguire if that helps.
        Although he does have as many game weeks with negative scores as double figures.

    • The Head-Ake
      • 4 Years
      2 months, 17 days ago

      Is Nat Phillips gonna play for sure?

      Is Kabak a better option?

    • TheDragon
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 17 days ago

      Zaha for this gameweek

      A) Brilliant
      B) Terrible

      1. iCon
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        Somewhere in between

      2. Brimble82
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        Potentially Brilliant. Quite possibly terrible!
        The point Andy & Gianni made in their FH video sealed it for me...

        Zaha loves to 'play for a contract' - and it's that time of the season again!
        Palace may be on the beach, but Wilf is longingly looking to Goodison/Emirates/anywhere but Selhurst!

      3. The Ilfordian
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        Somewhere in between. He’s been training (I think I saw on Reddit) and you’d guess at least one goal in the two matches against that opposition (he’s averaging one in three)

    • Tshelby
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 17 days ago

      Nothing to lose all is already lost..

      Vardy and ESM out -> DCL and Pogba in? (-4)

      1FT/ 0.1 ITB

      Martinez*, Guita*
      Konsa*, TAA*, Dallas, Castagne*, Veltman
      Salah*, Greenwood**, Jota*, Lingard, ESM*
      Kane, Vardy*, Nacho*

    • Arteta
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 17 days ago

      Leaning towards Iheana(c)ho who is balling at the moment. Makes so much sense when you consider all factors and informations.

    • JONALDINHO
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 17 days ago

      If I were guessing surely United play their strongest team on Sunday and Thursday against Villa and Liverpool. That double isn’t inspiring at all. Iheanacho(C) locked in

      1. Qaiss
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        Villa are not good defensively. Neither are Pool.

        1. JONALDINHO
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 17 days ago

          Villa haven’t conceded more than 2 goals against a top 7 team all season. We know how United will set up against Liverpool too. Not terrible fixtures but definitely not good. Would fancy Nacho much more against a weakened United and Newcastle. Not to mention Leicester still have UCL to play fot

          1. Qaiss
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 17 days ago

            I totally agree that Nacho is a very solid captain and fair play if you’re doing so. But Bruno Et al can still get something against Villa and Pool, that’s all.

      2. Biggsy
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        Yeah, maybe a Williams, Tuanzabe, Bailly, Telles back four could leak a few against Leicester...

      3. iCon
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        They won’t want to lose to Leicester though

      4. TheDragon
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        Penandes will ruin you

        1. JONALDINHO
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 17 days ago

          Penandes doesn’t exist without Martial

      5. pingissimus
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        Just posted similar below

        Rather doubt he shuffles completely for one match but Liverpool likely to get full team and Villa and Leicester mix and match teams

    • aleksios
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 17 days ago

      Azpi to who for a hit?Max 5.5m.

      Rest is
      TAA--Veltman--Holgate--Fofana.

      Thanks .

      1. PascalCygan
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        Probably wouldn't get rid for a hit. Probably starts at least one in a great defence?

    • PascalCygan
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 17 days ago

      Worth getting Watkins instead of DCL if it means I can get Digne instead of Maguire?

      Also bringing in Greenwood (and have Bruno already)

      1. WHUFCSmith23
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        2 months, 17 days ago

        Funny I would rather have Maguire and DCL. Different strokes

        1. PascalCygan
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 17 days ago

          Cheers, had my heart set on Maguire and DCL but Solskjaer comments about Maguire (plus one eye on next week blanks for me) have changed my mind

    • Pegboy
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 17 days ago

      Martinez (Meslier)
      TAA Fofana Holding Dallas Veltman
      Bruno(c) Greenwood Jota Son Lingard
      Kane Watkins Nacho

      1FT £0.3m Bench boosting this week

      a) Dallas + Veltman/Holding > Shaw + Phillips (-4) (but could block Bruno>Salah next week)
      b) Dallas + Veltman > Shaw + Ward (-4)
      c) Kane + Son > Salah(c) + DCL (-4) (feels a bit short-sighted for next week)

    • Zladan
      • 3 Years
      2 months, 17 days ago

      GtG?

      Greenwood or Pogba?

      Mendy
      Maguire Coleman Philips
      Bruno(c) Salah Jota Greenwood/Pog
      Kane Vardy Nacho

      1. The Ilfordian
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        Marginally Gwood I’d think. Both get two games and in form

      2. The Ilfordian
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        I’ve gone Pogba cos I like him

    • ZakyJ
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 17 days ago

      who do i sit out of:
      A) Kane (single fixture)
      B) JWP
      C) Konsa
      D) Rudiger

      1. LFC4EVER
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        D. Konsa

      2. Eh, just one more thing ...
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        Kane ... he gets 2 points vs Leeds.

    • LFC4EVER
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 17 days ago

      Draft league - play one GK:

      1. Henderson
      2. Guaita

      Thanks

      1. The Mighty Whites
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        1

      2. TheDragon
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        Guaita

      3. Eh, just one more thing ...
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        1

    • The Mighty Whites
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 17 days ago

      2FT, 0.1 ITB, thoughts?

      Meslier / Guaita

      TAA / Castagne / Rudiger / Coady / Coufal

      Salah / Fernandes / Son / Jota / Lingard

      Kane / Iheanacho / Vydra

      Rudiger and Son to Digne and Greenwood sound alright?

      1. Biggsy
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        You have almost identical team and that is my move.

        Only alternative is maybe to do Son to El Ghazi and upgrade Vydra to DCL

        1. The Mighty Whites
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 17 days ago

          Cheers mate, think I'd like to have two Man Utd players

          1. Biggsy
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 17 days ago

            I was thinking that, but Oles comments actually making me think about Zaha over Greenwood. Plus I won't field 11 in 36 even if I didn't bring in Greenwood

      2. TheDragon
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        I’m going the other way

        Son & Vydra -> DCL & Zaha/ Greenwood

        Need to have next week in mind as Vydra is likely to get dropped soon with Barnes back

        1. Biggsy
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 17 days ago

          Wish I had the 0.2 to do this..

    • Eric Banternaaa
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 17 days ago

      Bench boost active. 12 DGW/TGW players.

      Mendy Forster
      Castagne Shaw Digne Phillips Veltman
      Salah Jota Maddison Lingard Greenwood
      Kane Iheanacho DCL

      -8 already made. Somebody talk me out of Forster to Pickford.

      Seems sensible to gurantee DGW and a keeper next week?

      1. bitm2007
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        I'm on BB with 12 DGW/TGW players and have done Forster to Guaita for a hit. I'd prefer him to double Everton for the next couple of GWs

        1. wonkeydonkey
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 17 days ago

          I have a very similar team and on BB as well!
          Mendy, Forster
          TAA, Shaw, Digne, Castagne, Holding
          Salah, Jota, Lingard, Maddison, Son
          Kane, Vydra, Nacho

          Planned move this week is Vydra + Son -> DCL + Greenwood/Zaha (-4pt) but this leaves me with 7/8 starters for GW36.

          1. bitm2007
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 17 days ago

            My moves are similar except I've switched out the keeper as well. Forster + Bamford + Son -> Guiata + DCL + Greenwood (-4)

    • pingissimus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 months, 17 days ago

      OGS more likely to shuffle completely against either Leicester and Villa than Liverpool presumably.

      1, Watkins looks a better prospect
      2. Nacho looks a better captain prospect than Mo

      The complete shuffle looks unlikely - just grumpiness - but still he's United through and through so Liverpool most likely to get something approaching a full team?

      1. Hktrader88
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        Hard to say. The obvious thing to have done last night was to rest key players but he didn't.

        Could easily prioritise Villa and Leicester, as if he wins them CL is guaranteed and in prime position to finish 2nd.

        1. pingissimus
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 17 days ago

          Only needs one draw between now and season's end to guarantee CL football.

          1. Hktrader88
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 17 days ago

            I think it's 4 points? West Ham can still get 70 points.

            1. pingissimus
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 2 Years
              2 months, 17 days ago

              Right you are - can't count

    • Garfield1001
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 17 days ago

      Is anybody considering Lindelof?

      1. Biggsy
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        If any United defender is being rotated, it's him

    • Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 17 days ago

      Captain Salah or Greenwood?

      1. Sterling Archer
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        salah 100%

      2. Nomar
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        Salah

      3. J ⚒ Salah & Vinagre
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        Greenwood

      4. Eh, just one more thing ...
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        A nice salad ... but not a green one.

    • Ha.
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 17 days ago

      Waiverng on Bruno (c)

      Inside top 10k but have big ML leagues, so Nacho (c) could be a great differential and not the end of the world if it doesn't work out

    • Garfield1001
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 17 days ago

      So do we think Maguire misses one of the games?

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        Yes

      2. Ha.
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        Yes

      3. Pompel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        Ole more or less explicitly stated so

        1. Brimble82
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 17 days ago

          Or was that because Ole wanted to be the only one to TC him?

    • WhatWouldYourZlatanSay
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 17 days ago

      Salah captain over Bruno, given how much rotation Ole might insist on?

      1. Nomar
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        Bruno should still get 2 games.

      2. Malkmus
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        I wouldn't. Bruno doesn't like being rested. But who knows?

    • Malkmus
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 17 days ago

      Have Mendy. Play:

      A - Rudi
      B - Nat

      Ta!

    • Pointless
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 17 days ago

      Was there any mention of Zaha in the presser please?

      1. Eh, just one more thing ...
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 17 days ago

        Because even Roy knows he’s a trap.

    • Zlatan F.C
        2 months, 17 days ago

        I'm still leaning towards Digne now instead of Maguire even though i have Godfrey. I'll have Bruno and Greenwood for United