Spot the Differential

Exciting Saint-Maximin can star in Newcastle’s last two fixtures of 2020/21

With the season so close to an end, Fantasy Premier League differentials have never been more important.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Newcastle United, Tottenham Hotspur and Leeds United who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

Allan Saint-Maximin

  • FPL ownership: 3.3%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: SHU | ful

Allan Saint-Maximin (£5.2m) has been one of Newcastle United’s best players since joining the club from French outfit Nice back in 2019.

And despite enduring a stop-start campaign, mainly due to injuries, his return to fitness in the second half of the season has seen Steve Bruce’s side comfortably avoid relegation from the Premier League.

The 24-year-old, who is fast becoming his side’s talisman, was instrumental in a run of eight points from four games in April which saved the Magpies’ season. He was the match winner against Burnley, coming off the bench to score and provide an assist, and was pivotal against both West Ham United and Liverpool, too.

That upturn in form has coincided with Bruce’s decision to switch to a 3-5-2 / 5-3-2 shape in Gameweek 30. Since then, Newcastle have played some of their best football of the season, with three wins and two draws in their last seven matches, despite a testing schedule which has included games against title winners Manchester City, Leicester City and Liverpool. In fact, during that period, no team has scored more than the Magpies. Granted, it’s a small sample size to draw conclusions from, but it is encouraging ahead of back-to-back matches against relegated Sheffield United and Fulham.

In the new system, the Frenchman has been deployed as a second-striker, and has thrived in a more central role. Interestingly, he even referred to himself ‘playing as a no.10’ in a recent interview.

Saint-Maximin has always had the ability but has often frustrated due to his erratic decision-making. However, his end product is improving, and he could be a useful budget differential for the remainder of the season, especially when you consider his last two matches are against two obliging defences.

Dele Alli

  • FPL ownership: 0.6%
  • Price: £7.4m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: AVL | lei

Despite being frozen out under José Mourinho earlier this season, Dele Alli (£7.1m) has come back into favour in recent weeks under interim head coach Ryan Mason.

The 25-year-old played a key role in Son Heung-min’s (£9.7m) goal in Gameweek 35, and was unlucky not to score against Wolverhampton Wanderers on Sunday, as he struck the post in the second-half.

Despite blanking, it was his best performance of the season so far, as he ended the match with four goal attempts, one big chance and six penalty box touches. His coach later hailed his display as an “excellent no. 10 performance”, and now, after three consecutive league starts, has the potential to finish the season strongly.

Interestingly, since Alli’s return to the starting XI in Gameweek 34, he has actually outperformed Son for shots, efforts in the box and expected goals (xG).

It’s also worth noting that Tottenham Hotspur had 24 shots against Wolves, 13 of which were on target. Both of those totals exceed any amount they had in a single Premier League match under Mourinho, which highlights the potential of their new, more attacking, setup.

Spurs are now into the top six, with their win last weekend ensuring their hopes of qualifying for the Europa League is in their own hands, with Aston Villa at home and Leicester at the King Power Stadium their remaining games. Encouragingly for Spurs’ attacking assets, Villa conceded a whopping 23 shots in their recent trip to Crystal Palace in Gameweek 36, and will again be without the services of Matt Cash (£5.0m) in defence.

Alli is enjoying a decent run of form under Mason, and for those in search of a real midfield differential, could be worth a look.

Rodrigo

  • FPL ownership: 2.2%
  • Price: £5.7m
  • GW37-38 fixtures: sou | WBA

After a frustrating season with injuries and suffering from coronavirus, Rodrigo (£5.2m) has impressed in his last two matches, and surely done enough to earn Fantasy interest for a Gameweek 37 trip to Southampton.

The Spanish striker can operate as a centre forward or attacking midfielder, but replaced Patrick Bamford (£6.5m) in the number nine role at Burnley, and took his chance with a quickfire double. He could have had more too, as he ended the game with three goal attempts, two big chances and six penalty box touches, despite being afforded just 32 minutes off the bench.

His last two matches have proven he does not need to even feature in the starting line-up to perform well. During that period he has appeared as a second-half substitute on both occasions but still produced three goals and a total of five bonus points.

The 30-year-old arrived from Valencia last summer with a big reputation having played in the Champions League, but has only managed 12 starts in the Premier League this season. 

However, when on the pitch, his numbers are encouraging. 

Among all forwards per 90 minutes with substantial game-time to their name, he ranks fifth for goal attempts and top for chances created, highlighting his all-round ability.

Following Saturday’s win at Burnley, Leeds United have a four-point cushion over 11th-placed Aston Villa, which means they are closing in on a top-half finish.

It’s been an excellent season back in the Premier League for Marcelo Bielsa’s side, who have now suffered just one defeat in their last nine games. They have the potential to finish strongly, too, with matches against Southampton and relegated West Bromwich Albion up next.

Rodrigo has been superb of late, and could be a smart differential for those on the lookout for a budget forward.

Pro Pundits 21

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1,935 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Luton_Fan
    • 11 Years
    2 months, 8 days ago

    Bruno or greenwood? Money no object.

    1. Bobby_Baggio
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 8 days ago

      bruno

    2. Scholes Out Forever
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 8 days ago

      Bruno if you can afford another transfer next GW

    3. poulteren
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 8 days ago

      Bruno

  2. Slitherene
    • 3 Years
    2 months, 8 days ago

    1 FT, 0.1 ITB | FH next week

    Areola | Sanchez
    TAA Digne Shaw
    Salah Son Mahrez Lingard Saka
    Kane DC-L
    ¦ Iheanacho Vestergaard Phillips

    Lingard to Foden?

  3. Malinwa
    • 4 Years
    2 months, 8 days ago

    Jota > Torres
    Dias > Robertson

    Is this a -4 worth?

  4. Zlatan F.C
      2 months, 8 days ago

      Repost: Pick 3. I have Mendy in goal

      1) TAA
      2) Coufal
      3) Rudiger
      4) Digne
      5) Godfrey

      1. Malinwa
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 8 days ago

        TAA Coufal and Digne

        1. BeWater
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 8 days ago

          Agree with this.

    • Scholes Out Forever
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 months, 8 days ago

      Ugh Bale was going to be such a good punt this week, that's my plans ruined...

      Jota to Alli is surely not worth it right? Straight to Raph or Harrison the much better pick?

      1. Bobby_Baggio
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 8 days ago

        He hasnt said he wont play just that he is unsure - if he asks bale and bale says im good then he'll play him - simple

    • Jinswick
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 months, 8 days ago

      Reckon I'm good to save here?

      Pickford
      Digne, Trent, Dallas
      Salah, Son, Bale, Mahrez
      DCL, Antonio, Bamford

      Meslier, Coufal, ESR, Mitchell
      Bank 1.1m

      1. smix
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 8 days ago

        Similar team. Thinking of getting Kane instead of Bale & DCL but

        1. Fergiesarmy
          • 8 Years
          2 months, 8 days ago

          Similar team.. How comfortable are you not having Bruno?

    • Daniel Jebbison
      • 12 Years
      2 months, 8 days ago

      Apparently, Jota is fine.

      Wow. Just wow. Keep him as a differential next week against Palace or get Greenwood this week?

      1. SHOWSTOPPERRR
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 8 days ago

        Not confirmed, klopp says just and even though he is fit will Oly come off the bench I guess.

      2. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 8 days ago

        Is Jota fine?

      3. Scholes Out Forever
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 8 days ago

        he's not fine, Klopp says "tiny, little, little chance for the weekend"

        That doesnt sound like fine

      4. Fit_to_drop
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 8 days ago

        Are you kidding me? FFS. Just sold him 20 mins ago.

      5. g40steve
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 8 days ago

        Just seen this in the scout tweets

      6. Pat Bonner
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 8 days ago

        Fine is pushing it? Tiny chance for the weekend is what he said is it not?

        1. Pat Bonner
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 8 days ago

          I would probably still get Greenwood

          1. I SPEAK ENGELS AND DRINK GI…
            • 1 Year
            2 months, 8 days ago

            Martial and James coming back for ManU

    • Lacikasz01
        2 months, 8 days ago

        Willock, ASM, Harrison or Raphinha?

      • SHOWSTOPPERRR
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 8 days ago

        Guys sitting in 8.7k rank livefpl shows -5 from 10k so a hit is risky?

        Planning to do this

        A) siggy nacho to Antonio greenwood -4.
        B) siggy nacho to Antonio raph -4

        Is it OK? Suggestions needed guys.

      • Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 months, 8 days ago

        Bottomed

        Guys, ML at the wire. Currently leading with only 5 and 7 pts respectively to those in 2nd and 3rd. They've got Raphinha, so Jota to:
        A. Raphinha
        B. Harrison

        1. Fit_to_drop
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 8 days ago

          Raph and try to nail your captain and hope they dont.

          1. Magic Zico
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 2 Years
            2 months, 8 days ago

            Million dollar top action that! Kane or Salah ... that's it. Will not know what they are going to do ...

        2. SHOWSTOPPERRR
          • 3 Years
          2 months, 8 days ago

          Yeah.

      • Fit_to_drop
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 8 days ago

        Will this lot smash it? Coleman/Coady correct?

        Mendy
        Coleman Shaw Alexander-Arnold Struijk
        Son Salah Fernandes Greenwood Saint-Maximin
        Kane

        BENCH: Forster Iheanacho Coady Davis

      • Wakanda
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 months, 8 days ago

        this GW or next GW to triple captain ? and who ?
        I forgot to click my triple captain on the last double gameweek

        1. Phlajo
          • 2 Years
          2 months, 8 days ago

          I'd probably go Salah GW38, otherwise Bruno this GW

        2. Fit_to_drop
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 8 days ago

          This. I dont like end of season games. Too unpredictable. Bruno/Kane/Salah - pick one and hope for the best.

        3. Lord Flashheart
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 8 days ago

          salah next week

        4. nedsmula
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 months, 8 days ago

          Exactly same boat. Have triple chip to play this week and bench boost next week.
          Don't have Fernandez, so Salah or Kane for triple C.

          Thoughts on Bale captain as a differential?

          I'm fighting on two mini league fronts too

      • g40steve
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 8 days ago

        Klopp playing mind games with tweets Jota?

        1. Pat Bonner
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 8 days ago

          Mind games for Crystal Palace?

      • I Member
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 8 days ago

        Pick one for the last two games:

        A) Lingard (wba, SOU)
        B) Pereira (WHU, lee)
        C) Willock (SHU, ful)

        1. Fit_to_drop
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 8 days ago

          C of that lot.

      • corderz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 8 days ago

        Play one from each:

        A) Lingard
        B) DCL

        1) Reguilion
        2) Holding

      • DaftKing
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 8 days ago

        Start which one?

        Rudiger (LEI)
        Holding (cry)
        Coleman (WOL)

      • Slitherene
        • 3 Years
        2 months, 8 days ago

        Start Areola or Sanchez?

        1. Hazz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          2 months, 8 days ago

          Sanchez. No CS's there, but at least Brighton will put up a fight.

      • paulfantham
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 8 days ago

        Play Watkins or Llorente?

        1. Luton_Fan
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 8 days ago

          Watkins

      • PatrickDawson1976
        • 1 Year
        2 months, 8 days ago

        Bench TWO out of these five defenders:

        [a] Reguilón
        [b] Tierney
        [c] Williams [Rhys]
        [d] Azpilicueta
        [e] Dummett

      • smix
        • 5 Years
        2 months, 8 days ago

        Bale & DCL to Kane (c) & ASM for a hit worth it ?

        1. DannyDrinkVodka
          • 1 Year
          2 months, 8 days ago

          yep

        2. UNDERWORLD7
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 8 days ago

          That could backfire so badly

      • the dom 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 8 days ago

        Leading ML by 51pts.

        Closest rival has; Kane, Salah, Son, Lingard

        Me is have; Bruno, Kane, Salah, Lingard and Son

        who would you captain?

        1. smix
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 8 days ago

          Salah seems the safest bet

        2. UNDERWORLD7
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 8 days ago

          Salah

        3. the dom 1
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 8 days ago

          cheers

      • Tango74
          2 months, 8 days ago

          So fplbhuna is now reporting Bruno not starting ??

          1. Baines on Toast...
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            2 months, 8 days ago

            Who is that?

          2. the dom 1
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 8 days ago

            source/link?

          3. Pat Bonner
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            2 months, 8 days ago

            That means he starts doesn’t it

            1. Tango74
                2 months, 8 days ago

                https://twitter.com/fplbhuna/status/1394648830226878467?s=21

                The guy who broke Carson starting and foden mahrez benched

                1. Hazz
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 4 Years
                  2 months, 8 days ago

                  Damn man, read your sources.

                  - The link in his tweet has Bruno in the predicted XI
                  - FPLBhuna changed he name on his profile to "utdreport" when he tweeted stuff like this
                  - His name on twitter is currently "King of Nibs" with a fishing hook emoji...

                  1. Tango74
                      2 months, 8 days ago

                      He did leak Man City news last fri

                      1. Hazz
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 4 Years
                        2 months, 8 days ago

                        He wasn't on the wind-up then. He did also tag the source of that news then.

                        1. Tango74
                            2 months, 8 days ago

                            Thanks for heads up. I still trying to work out to keep mahrez and Gundogan ?

                2. Art Vandelay
                  • 10 Years
                  2 months, 8 days ago

                  He is not currying favour with me with that sort of tweet.

              • Kun Tozser
                • 6 Years
                2 months, 8 days ago

                Could this be Kane’s last ever Spurs home game? Is it overthinking with Salah’s form?

                1. Pat Bonner
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 10 Years
                  2 months, 8 days ago

                  Kane was very unlucky not to get a hatrick at the weekend, looks to be in decent form to me

                2. Super Saints
                  • 4 Years
                  2 months, 8 days ago

                  I'm confused by this comment, are you saying Salah's form is good? He has been in steady decline for some time, has not hauled very often this season either.

              • smix
                • 5 Years
                2 months, 8 days ago

                Mahrez(c) worth it ?

              • norab
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                2 months, 8 days ago

                Zaha and Tekkers out for ASM and Antonio has to be good for -4 don't it?

                1. Sgt Frank Drebin
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 4 Years
                  2 months, 8 days ago

                  Tekkers in a form of his life 😛

              • Fergiesarmy
                • 8 Years
                2 months, 8 days ago

                Choose one
                A) DCL to Cavani
                B) Mahrez to Greenwood
                C) Save the FT for GW 38

                Help needed!

                1. nedsmula
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 7 Years
                  2 months, 8 days ago

                  Unless you have a strategy for 2 transfers for GW38, I'd go with B - Greenwood.

                  Cavani will not start GW38, almost definitely saved for final 3 days later. Also meaning Greenwood likely to start.

                  Mahrez might play 180 minutes and score 6 goals, or he night come on for last minute of each game. I've steered away from City players as I find it almost impossible to win at Pep roulette.

              • nalas
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 9 Years
                2 months, 8 days ago

                Chasing, 35 points behind.

                Me:
                Martinez / McCarthy
                TAA / Dallas / Struijk / Holding / Mitchell
                Salah / Son / Greenwood / Willock / Lingard
                Kane / Antonio / Bamford

                ML leader:
                Martinez / McCarthy
                Holgate / Coufal / Ward / Shaw / Castagne
                Salah / Jota / Ward-Prowse / Lingard / Greenwood
                Kane / Benteke / Watkins

                Question 1: Who would you captain and who would you bench? I'm pretty confident that the ML leader will captain Salah.

                Question 2: I have enough funds for Son -> Fernandes. Should I do it?

                1. smix
                  • 5 Years
                  2 months, 8 days ago

                  Definitely not for Son to Bruno. Villa have been quite leaky & Bruno won’t play 38

                  1. nedsmula
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 7 Years
                    2 months, 8 days ago

                    Agree.

              • real ale madrid
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 10 Years
                2 months, 8 days ago

                Hi All

                Playing BB this week so thinking:
                Jota > Raph & Foden > Torres for -4
                Still 2.2 after those moves

                Martinez
                Coleman - Dallas - Robbo
                Son - Salah - Raph - Lingard
                Kane - DCL - Bamford

                (Meslier) - Stones - Coufal - Torres

                Good moves or is there better?

                1. Malinwa
                  • 4 Years
                  2 months, 8 days ago

                  Why not playing Torres?

                  1. real ale madrid
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 10 Years
                    2 months, 8 days ago

                    I would be doing Foden > Torres and playing him

              • TheYogaDaddy
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                2 months, 8 days ago

                Play:

                A. Lingard vs. WBA
                B. Zaha vs. ARS

                1. Malinwa
                  • 4 Years
                  2 months, 8 days ago

                  A

              • Malinwa
                • 4 Years
                2 months, 8 days ago

                Torres is an interesting differential?