Pro Pundit Teams

Is Antonio a keep or sell and is Alonso a good Chilwell replacement in FPL?

We are now approaching the business end of the season and the Gameweeks will come thick and fast. As Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers, we need to react and absorb information over a short period. There is no room for passengers.

Speaking of passengers, I want to start off this article talking about FPL’s top-scoring forward – Michail Antonio (£8.2m).

It’s just one goal in the last six matches for the West Ham United striker, so let’s have a look at his numbers.

MICHAIL ANTONIO: KEEP OR SELL?

Above: Forwards sorted by expected goal involvement (xGI) in Gameweeks 1-6

Antonio notched 47 of his 63 points in the first six Gameweeks, despite missing one game due to suspension.

He topped the numbers for forwards in that period, with a whopping 21 shots in the box, 11 chances created and seven big chances. He was also top for expected goal involvement (xGI) (5.21) by some distance.

Above: Forwards sorted by expected goal involvement (xGI) in Gameweeks 7-12

A look at the last six weeks sees a significant drop in his numbers. While his chance creation has actually gone up (12 from 11), his shot volume has dropped massively (10 shots in the box vs 21 earlier). There have been only two big chances, too, which sees his xGI fall to just 2.39, less than half of his Gameweek 1-6 total. Again, it’s worth mentioning he played one game fewer in the previous sample. 

We discussed the merits of premium wing-backs in our latest episode of The FPL Wire. With Chilwell’s injury, you can easily substitute Alonso into the conversation. I highly recommend watching it. 

Good luck and see you next week. 


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466 Comments Post a Comment
  1. cheeky moses
    • 6 Years
    7 days, 3 hours ago

    If you still had Azpi in your team, would you use a FT to move him to Alonso or give him one more GW to see if he gets back in the team?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 2 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      He doesn't apear to be first choice alongside Rudiger at the moment and is competing against Christensen and Chalobah for RCB. I would get rid.

    2. teneighty
      • 6 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      I have 2 FT's and using one to boot him.

    3. enrico.palazzo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 days, 2 hours ago

      I have him and thought I would wait this week and hold my TF

    4. McGazza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      7 days, 2 hours ago

      Boot him. His only value is when you have you have an ESR haul sitting first on your bench 😉

  2. Fuddled FC
    • 9 Years
    7 days, 3 hours ago

    I have Chillwell, Foden & Gray with terrible bench.

    All for a (-4) which transfer looks best

    a) Chillwell & Gray > Lamptey/Ati-Nouri & Jota
    b) Chillwell & Gray > James & Gallagher
    c) Chillwell & Foden > James & Jota

    If a I would do Dias > James next week as I could get away without a CHE defender v Man U this week

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 2 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      A

    2. Bucket Man
      • 3 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      A and getting James next week looks good.

  3. NateDog
    • 1 Year
    7 days, 3 hours ago

    Not sure if anyone's interested but The Athletic have an offer on until Monday for a year's subscription for £1 a month. Think I'll finally sign up.

    1. Ⓙⓐⓡⓥⓘⓢⓗ CMIUK
      • 6 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      Don't forgot to have a strong and unique password 😉

      1. NateDog
        • 1 Year
        7 days, 3 hours ago

        Oh dear they didn't have security issues did they?

        1. Ⓙⓐⓡⓥⓘⓢⓗ CMIUK
          • 6 Years
          7 days, 3 hours ago

          Nah, that was FF Hub, but it's good practice anyway!

    2. zeslinguer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      I signed up on a similar deal a few months ago. Love their reporting

    3. HMC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      Do you have a link?
      I saw it the other day but now giving me a different price

        1. HMC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          7 days, 3 hours ago

          Cheers that works. I had this deal last year but expired for a little while

        1. HMC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          7 days, 3 hours ago

          Thanks Natedog

  4. zashar2awy
    • 2 Years
    7 days, 3 hours ago

    Roll the FT? Or sell Chilwell? Reguilon or Alonso?

    Sanchez Steer
    TAA James Cancelo Chilwell Duffy
    Salah Jota Mbeumo Gallagher Foden
    Antonio Toney Jimenez

    1ft 1.5itb

    Thank you!

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 2 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      Chilwell to Alonso

    2. Bam Saka Laca
      • 2 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      Reguilon

      1. EL tridente
        • 4 Years
        7 days, 3 hours ago

        Maybe Chilwell to Rudiger?

  5. HMC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    7 days, 3 hours ago

    @Zophar, shame we didn’t get the Chilwell news in time for the FPL wire podcast. Based on your above advice, I assume you would still prioritize James over Alonso if Chilwell is your only Chelsea asset?

    1. zøphar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      Yep james over alonso

      1. HMC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        7 days, 2 hours ago

        Cheers!

    2. The Knights Template
      • 8 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      Where is he?

      1. The Knights Template
        • 8 Years
        7 days, 3 hours ago

        Right here! I wanted to know the answer to this too.

        1. HMC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          7 days, 2 hours ago

          You’re welcome

          1. The Knights Template
            • 8 Years
            7 days, 2 hours ago

            Much obliged!

  6. 272MK
    • 8 Years
    7 days, 3 hours ago

    Dias(WHU) Jota(SOU)

    Vs

    Alonso(ManUtd) Benteke (AVL)

    This week?

    1. Bucket Man
      • 3 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      Dias and Jota

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 2 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      Former

  7. golfboy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    7 days, 3 hours ago

    Hello chaps. Quick one.

    Play Wilson or Antonio?

    1. GreennRed
      • 10 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      Wilson

    2. Bucket Man
      • 3 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      If happy with Rank Id go Antonio

    3. Pegboy
      • 11 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      Wilson

  8. Warby84
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    7 days, 3 hours ago

    Is there not a hint that Pulisic could be played as an explosive wing back or is this overthinking?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 2 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      I think Tuchel tried it during pre-season but didn't go well

      1. Warby84
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        7 days, 3 hours ago

        Ok

  9. Finding Timo
    • 1 Year
    7 days, 3 hours ago

    Do these seem ok/right way round?
    GW13 chilwell & foden to Alonso & silva then GW14 Omo to reguilion?

    1. Pegboy
      • 11 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      Fine, but only if Foden is injured

      1. Finding Timo
        • 1 Year
        7 days, 3 hours ago

        Cheers yeh will wait til tomorrow- other option is to keep foden and do Antonio to benteke

  10. Miro
    • 11 Years
    7 days, 3 hours ago

    Any Liverpool fans here ? Will Ox start at the weekend ? Is he nailed now ?

    1. Warby84
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      I still think he’s a rotation risk..

      1. Skonto Rigga
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 4 Years
        7 days, 3 hours ago

        Agreed - he's benefitted from injuries elsewhere of late. Liverpool had Milner, Henderson and Fabinho on the bench last plus there's Thiago in the equation and Keita isn't too far away from a return (I think). Can't imagine a scratched eye keeps Jones out for too much longer, either.

    2. The Knights Template
      • 8 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      Who does he replace if nailed?

      1. Miro
        • 11 Years
        7 days, 3 hours ago

        Well at first sight it looks like it's his place to lose as he started last 3 pl games and also the cl game

        1. The Knights Template
          • 8 Years
          7 days, 2 hours ago

          Who did he replace?

          1. Miro
            • 11 Years
            7 days, 2 hours ago

            Not sure, Hendo ? Fabinho, Thiago surely untouchable when fit. Ox higher offensive ceilling then Hendo so I would guess him.

    3. HMC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 days, 2 hours ago

      Nailed = first choice
      First choice = Fabinho Hendo Thiago

      So he’s far from nailed but getting an extended run atm due to injuries but it helps he’s playing well.

      If Hendo is deemed fit to start now I think Ox moves back to the bench

      1. Miro
        • 11 Years
        7 days, 2 hours ago

        Ok, thanks!

  11. Yorkiepie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    7 days, 3 hours ago

    Only have Chilwell out of the Chelsea defenders. Should I get James or Alonso? Who is more likely to get the most minutes?

    1. Warby84
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      James

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 2 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      James - also go see Zophar's answer above to this question

    3. HMC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 days, 2 hours ago

      See my post just above 🙂

  12. Warby84
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    7 days, 3 hours ago

    Play Dennis/Duffy or Chilwell to Alonso -8??

    1. Warby84
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      I have James/Cancelo/Trent in a back 3

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 2 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      Easily play Dennis v a poor LEI side

      1. Warby84
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        7 days, 3 hours ago

        Thanks was currently 4-3-3 as it stands

    3. Pegboy
      • 11 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      Play Dennis

    4. teneighty
      • 6 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      Play Dennis

    5. Ze_Austin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      7 days, 2 hours ago

      Play Dennis, like I'm playing Hwang

      Chilwell to Alonso for free next GW is almost perfect, especially since Alonso's price is locked until the deadline, and Chilwell is unlikely to drop twice before then

  13. Pegboy
    • 11 Years
    7 days, 3 hours ago

    Ramsdale (Foster)
    TAA James Cancelo Dias (Livra)
    Salah Raph Foden Mbeumo (Luiz)
    Vardy Hwang (Antonio)

    2FT £0.9m

    a) Mbeumo + Dias > Jota + Royal (exact cash)
    b) Mbeumo + Dias > ESR/Gallagher + Alonso/Reguilon
    c) Dias > Alonso/Reguilon (roll FT)
    d) Mbeumo > ESR/Gallagher (roll FT)
    e) Foden > Jota (depending on injury)

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 2 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      I would hold Dias for the December period. E then D Gallagher would be my picks

      1. Pegboy
        • 11 Years
        7 days, 2 hours ago

        Thanks. I think you're right on Dias. If Alonso looks nailed, I might end up switching, but it's probably wait and see on that.

  14. zeslinguer
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    7 days, 3 hours ago

    Is anyone else thinking the City game could be Antonio's kind of game given West Ham will be playing on the break? He looked great in the game vs Pool

    1. golfboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      I had him 1st sub until just now but think I'll start him ahead of Wilson for this reason

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 2 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      Yup, I'm starting him and he is getting a full rest from the Europa game

    3. The Knights Template
      • 8 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      Time to hop off I think.

      1. zeslinguer
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        7 days, 2 hours ago

        Can't imagine it will be a priority for me any time soon. Mid term fixtures look good and WH attacking numbers are still up there. Can't see any other strikers with better bang for your buck tbh. Probably why I'm playing 451 atm ha

        1. The Knights Template
          • 8 Years
          7 days, 2 hours ago

          Ok, you’ve convinced me with a sound argument. Arise, Sir Zeslinguer the Logical!

    4. boc610
      • 9 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      yes defo, he scored twice against them least season and city do look vulnerable at times, Everton actually looked threatening on the break until they lost Gray

  15. Fuddled FC
    • 9 Years
    7 days, 3 hours ago

    Best budget defender under £4.6m for the Christmas period. I already have Livra

    a) Ati Nouri
    b) Lamptey
    c) Lowton
    d) White
    b) Other?

    1. GreennRed
      • 10 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      Duffy. Do you want a starter or fodder enabler?

    2. Pegboy
      • 11 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      White

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 2 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      White

    4. TheBiffas
      • 1 Year
      7 days, 2 hours ago

      lamptey

    5. BERGKOP
      • 10 Years
      7 days, 2 hours ago

      white

  16. GreennRed
    • 10 Years
    7 days, 3 hours ago

    Will Johnson keep Coufal out of the West Ham team long-term if he maintains his form?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 2 Years
      7 days, 3 hours ago

      I think it is his spot to lose at the moment but I can see some rotation over December

  17. cigan
    • 3 Years
    7 days, 3 hours ago

    Foden & White > Gallagher & Cancelo for free a good move?

    Would give me this team with Semedo 1st sub (taking him out for James for a hit next week)

    Sanchez
    Trent Cancelo Rudiger
    Salah Jota Raphinha Gallagher Mbeumo
    Vardy Antonio

  18. The Mighty Whites
    • 6 Years
    7 days, 3 hours ago

    1FT, 2.0 ITB, thoughts?

    Sanchez - Steele

    TAA - Cancelo - Chilwell - White - Livramento

    Salah - Foden - Raphinha - Mbeumo - Allan

    Vardy - Antonio - Toney

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 2 Years
      7 days, 2 hours ago

      Chilwell to James

  19. boc610
    • 9 Years
    7 days, 2 hours ago

    im sure this has been pointed out but chillwell out could effect james returns -il still be getting james for him- but it has crossed my mind that tactics could change with alonso

  20. Hryszko
    • 4 Years
    7 days, 2 hours ago

    Bench one...

    1. Antonio
    2. Rudiger

    1. boc610
      • 9 Years
      7 days, 2 hours ago

      you have no other options?

      1. Hryszko
        • 4 Years
        7 days, 2 hours ago

        Not really, team at the moment is:

        Sanchez
        TAA - Cancelo - James
        Salah - Son - ESR - Jota
        Antonio - Toney - Jesus

        Steele - Rudiger - Livra - Sissoko

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 2 Years
      7 days, 2 hours ago

      Probably 1

  21. Steevo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    7 days, 2 hours ago

    A) Foden -> Jota (-4)
    B) Start Foden with Normann first sub

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 2 Years
      7 days, 2 hours ago

      I'm edging towards A as it release funds to get in Alonso next GW.

  22. Pep Roulette
    • 4 Years
    7 days, 2 hours ago

    Hey fam! 2 FTs 3.7 ITB!

    Foster
    TAA James Cancelo
    Salah(C) Son Raphinha Mbeumo Havertz
    Toney Eduoard

    Raya Duffy Livramento Davis

    Thoughts on Havertz & Eduoard to Jota & Jesus for free? Will upgrade Raya to Ederson next week for free!

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 2 Years
      7 days, 2 hours ago

      Jota moves is good. Not overly convinced with Jesus as a FPL pick

  23. AnfieldLad
    • 7 Years
    7 days, 2 hours ago

    A) Chilwell Raphinha -> Alonso Jota
    B) Chilwell MBeumo Hwang -> Alonso Jota Davis (-4)
    C) Chilwell Foden -> Alonso Jota

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 2 Years
      7 days, 2 hours ago

      B but it depends on Foden injury status

  24. Disturbed
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    7 days, 2 hours ago

    Any update on Sarr’s fitness?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 2 Years
      7 days, 2 hours ago

      No, Watford presser tomorrow

      1. Disturbed
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        7 days, 2 hours ago

        Thanks

  25. Finding Timo
    • 1 Year
    7 days, 2 hours ago

    Just seen Chelsea got a game every 3/4 days over next month = rotation!

    1. Bertonian
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      7 days, 2 hours ago

      So have a lot of teams so strong bench will be needed, 2-3 deep

      1. Finding Timo
        • 1 Year
        7 days, 2 hours ago

        Yeh totally agree - I have chilly (inj), livra & Omo currently on my bench so upgrading Omo to playing defender my strategy

    2. HMC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 days, 2 hours ago

      It’s probably riskier just owning the one for that reason but that’s the position I’m in.
      Gonna be lots of rotation across the board so that bench will come in handy to avoid hits

      1. Finding Timo
        • 1 Year
        7 days, 2 hours ago

        Love to have both James & Alonso but May end up just going for Alonso to enable upgrade of Omo to reguilion

  26. Disturbed
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    7 days, 2 hours ago

    Better option for the next few gws- Kane or Vardy?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 2 Years
      7 days, 2 hours ago

      Kane

    2. TheDragon
      • 3 Years
      7 days, 2 hours ago

      Neither 😮

      Kane is the effective ownership play

  27. FPL MAN 123
    • 4 Years
    7 days, 2 hours ago

    Antonio or Benteke or Other in price range

    Bentekes fixtures are so much better

  28. basilfawlty
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    7 days, 2 hours ago

    Morning All - Chilwell to Alonso the obvious move?

    Tempted to take a hit and get Jota, thoughts?

    Ramsdale
    TAA Cancelo James Chilwell Livramento
    Salah Foden Raphinha Mbeumo Brownhill
    Kane Antonio Armstrong

    1FT 0.5 ITB

    1. TheDragon
      • 3 Years
      7 days, 2 hours ago

      It appears to be the ‘approved’ transfer.

      I think Reguillon is at least worth considering

  29. KirkhamWesham
      7 days, 2 hours ago

      Which move would you make?

      A) Chilwell to Reguilon (451)
      B) Chilwell to Alonso (451)
      C) Raphinha to Jota (352)
      D) A or B & C -4pts

      Ramsdale
      Cancelo TAA James
      ESR Raphinha Salah Son Mbeumo
      Toney Wilson

      Foster Livramento Davis Chilwell

      3.6m itb
      1ft

      1. KirkhamWesham
          7 days, 2 hours ago

          Mbeumo to Jota could, also, be done.

      2. Dynamic Duos
        • 8 Years
        7 days, 2 hours ago

        Alonso or James?

        1. KirkhamWesham
            7 days, 2 hours ago

            James