Spot the Differential

In-form Tierney an appealing FPL differential for Blank Gameweek 18

******Please not that this feature was written before the postponement of Aston Villa v Burnley on Saturday afternoon******

Gameweek 18 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

KIERAN TIERNEY

  • FPL ownership: 5.2%
  • Price: £4.8m
  • GW18-22 fixtures: lee | nor | WOL | MCI | tot

At 5.2% ownership, Kieran Tierney (£4.8m) sits just above our usual differential threshold, but with a vastly reduced pool of players to pick from this week, we’ve made an exception.

The 24-year-old has endured a difficult season at the Emirates, having suffered his fair share of injury problems, but now looks to have turned a corner, starting all three of Arsenal’s most recent Premier League outings. During that time, he has produced a whopping 31 points, and ranks joint-fifth amongst all defenders for passes received in the final third.

For Arsenal, it does feel like progress is being made, as they now sit in the Champions League qualification places, having taken 29 points from a possible 42 since Gameweek 4. Notably, they have kept eight clean sheets in those 14 fixtures, a total no team can better and only Manchester City and Liverpool can match.

Up next for Mikel Arteta’s side is a trip to Elland Road, followed by games against Norwich City and Wolverhampton Wanderers, the two worst performing attacks in the division this season. As a result, Tierney has potential for points at both ends of the pitch and could be a smart differential for those on the lookout for a new defender.

JACOB RAMSEY

Five-time top 1k FPL finisher Tom Freeman on Villa under Gerrard and his Gameweek 13 plans 9
  • FPL ownership: 1.1%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW18-22 fixtures: BUR | CHE | lee | bre | MUN

In recent weeks, Jacob Ramsey (£4.5m) has established himself as one of Aston Villa’s main attacking threats.

The 20-year-old has started five of Steven Gerrard’s six games in charge, netting against Norwich City on Tuesday, with his performance in the 2-0 win arguably his best of the season to date.

Whether deployed on the left of Villa’s midfield three, or further forward as an inside forward, Ramsey has excelled, producing a respectable six goal attempts, five shots in the box and nine penalty box touches across his last five starts.

“I never watch my stuff back unless someone else has put it on the telly! But listen, he should try and watch as much football as he can and learn off as many people as he can. That is the mentality I want, for him to keep trying to be the best version of himself. The goal was really impressive, a tight one-two and then the power and speed to get into the box and finish on his weaker side. It was a top, top goal. But I don’t want the goal to take away from the fact his overall performance was really top level. I am really excited to keep working with him.” – Steven Gerrard when asked about Ramsey’s admission that he had been inspired by watching clips of him

Under Gerrard, it’s four wins in six for Villa, having beaten Brighton and Hove Albion, Crystal Palace, Leicester City and Norwich, with their only losses arriving against the current top two: Manchester City and Liverpool. The Villans now take on Burnley in tomorrow’s Gameweek 18 opener, before appealing away trips to Leeds United and Brentford to follow.

In a short space of time, Ramsey has proven he has the physical and technical ability to thrive in the Premier League, and with minutes now more assured in the absence of Marvelous Nakamba (£4.5m), he looks ready to kick-on.

CHRIS WOOD

Scout Notes 4
  • FPL ownership: 1.4%
  • Price: £6.7m
  • GW18-22 fixtures: avl | EVE | mun | lee | LEI

With just three goals in 16 Premier League appearances, it’s been a slow start to the season for Chris Wood (£6.7m).

However, the New Zealand international has been a model of consistency since joining Burnley from Leeds United back in August 2017, scoring at least 10 top-flight goals in each of his four Premier League campaigns.

This season, he has posted team-leading totals for goal attempts, shots in the box, efforts on target, big chances and penalty area touches, and while performances have taken a dip in recent weeks, Wood is generally a dependable member of Sean Dyche’s squad who he often turns to in big moments.

Looking ahead to Gameweek 18, Burnley have a testing trip to a much-improved Aston Villa side, though fixtures against Everton (h), Leeds United (a) and Leicester City (h) to follow are all particularly appealing, given that those three sides rank 16th, 18th and 15th respectively for expected goals conceded (xGC) across the opening rounds.

Notably, Wood didn’t score his third goal of the campaign until December last year, but then went on a run, finding the back of the net nine times across his next 20 appearances. Hitting those same heights again is a big ask, but Wood has proven he can deliver consistently over the years, and could be an effective differential for our frontlines in the coming weeks.

1,755 Comments Post a Comment
  1. NATSTER
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Laca or Watkins?

    1. Tommy Tynans Left Shin Pad
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I went Laca

    2. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Watkins more long term

    3. RogDog_jimmy
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I’m doing Watkins.
      Either could be great. Both might be the best.

      1. NATSTER
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        -0.3m short which is probably good for me not to do it 🙂

    4. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      both

    5. Well you know, Triffic
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Watkins

    6. Jambot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Watkins for me

    7. AgentRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I've just gone Watkins between the two

    8. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Why not both?

      1. NATSTER
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        unfortunately, i cannot do it in -4

    9. NATSTER
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Watkins seems the preferred choice here. Thank you.

  2. Vjm6891
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    I have 10 players who may play and my front 3 are Wilson Antonio and King.

    I want to get Lacazette in. Do I do it for:-

    a) Antonio (who isn't playing but I have 0.2m "invested" in)
    b) Wilson, who does actually play and would be my only sub who plays in I did A?

    Also Keepers Sanchez and Foster so none playing. Do I:-

    c) swap Foster to Martinez (Seems to work well with Sanchez over the next few game weeks (matches permitting) for Minus 4?
    d) Just leave it

    1. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      don’t sell a player like Wilson that has a fixture, sell some one like Antonio that blanks

      Foster to a playing keeper is a good move

  3. RogDog_jimmy
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Ok so I’m locked on Vardy > Watkins. Going to do before price change tonight and accept the added risk. Will leave me,

    Ramsdale
    TAA, Cancelo, James, Alonso
    Salah, Jota, Foden, Brownhill
    Watkins

    Foster, Livramento, Gallagher, Antonio, Dennis
    1ft, 4.3 itb

    a/ Livramento > Gabriel/Cash
    b/ Brownhill > Mount/Grealish/Bernardo/Gundogan
    c/ a + b (-4)

    Is it worth a hit to upgrade Brownhill basically?

  4. Bobby_Baggio
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Evening all. How are these moves for -8. 1st WC still available as FYI. Cheers

    *DDG*
    TAA - James - Rudiger
    Salah - Mount - *Gallagher* - BSilva - Raphinha
    *Hwang* - *Dennis*

    (Steele) - *Livra* - *Ronaldo* - *Dalot*

    Ronaldo + Hwang + Gallagher >> Watkins + Lacazette - Foden.

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      In isolation they are good moves. It's hard to say if they are justified for a -8 but as they are not playing, and you back the others to get more than 8 points for sure, it is value added.

  5. Trovsmash
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Ramsdale
    Trent, James, Dias, Cancelo
    Jota, Salah, Bernardo, ESR
    Watkins

    Bowen, Antonio, Livra, Foster, Dennis

    got here with a -4. Anything else worth a hit?

    1. Bobby_Baggio
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      you are in a good place sir

      1. Trovsmash
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        thanks my friend!

    2. boroie
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Antonio to Laca?

      1. Trovsmash
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        I actually dont mind that at all, i'll consider it!

  6. Teahupo'o
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Anything worth a hit?

    Ramsdale
    TAA Cancelo Rudiger Cash
    Salah Jota Mount Bernardo Foden
    Watkins

    (Foster, Davis Dennis* Livramento*)

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Nope, great team. Similar to mine. Yours: Rudiger Cash Mount, Mine: James Targett ESR.

      1. Teahupo'o
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers.

  7. Stranger Mings
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Was set on cash but is konsa the better option as better odds to score?

  8. Meme2011
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Can I make a transfer in before doing the Free Hit chip or does clicking the free hit cancel any previous transfers?

    1. Make Arrows Green Again
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Free hit cancels transfers

  9. FITZ-G
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Hey all,

    Trying to beef up my subs bench with 2 FT. Will be using 1 FT and to downgrade Vardy to Watkins, leaving 3.8 ITB.

    Duffy———> ?
    &
    Foster (GK) or B.Williams - ——>?

    Thanks in advance.

  10. Well you know, Triffic
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    We seem awfully confident that Foden starts tomorrow. It's Pep + it's Newcastle + others can fill in: Bilva, Grielish, Sterling, Mahrez and Jesus.

    1. AgentRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I own him and have been assuming he won't start given he played 90 the other night

      1. Well you know, Triffic
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Welcome to Pep roulette

        1. AgentRed
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Yep exactly - not complaining because you know the risk when you buy City players.

  11. boroie
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    What to do with this? 1FT, 2.3 ITB…

    DDG*
    Cancelo(VC) TAA James Dier
    Salah(C) Foden Jota Bernardo* Brownhill
    Watkins

    Foster*; Antonio* Dennis* Livramento*

    Thinking of taking a -4 to do…

    Foster & Antonio -> Ramsdale & Lacazette

    Any other recommendations?

  12. Feanor
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Played my free hit chip

    Ramsdale (Gunnarsson)
    TAA,Cancelo, James (Manquillo, Williams)
    Salah (c), Foden, Jota, Mount, Gundogan
    Lacazette, Watkins

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Can’t wait for DGW??

      1. Feanor
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Having a shocking season, so I thought screw it.

    2. Life_Ban
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Laca captain rather than a cagey 1-1 affair between poll and spurs

    3. Trovsmash
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I have 7 of a starting 11 on a free hit, that cheers me up! looks good mate, could go for martinelli as a punt?

      1. jason_ni
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Id have 9 if I take -4, just missing gundo and mount

      2. Feanor
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        I only had 6 before the free hit

        TAA, Cancelo, James
        Salah, Jota,
        Watkins

  13. PattBrofield
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Saka or Lacazette?

  14. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Vardy and Hendo > Laca and Foden

    Thus would be for a -4.

    Y or N

    1. luk46
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I like Liverpool and Hendo as well, but why would you own him in FPL? 😀

      Hit will pay off straight away ofc

      1. the dom 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Was a move where I got CR7. Think I’ll hit the transfer button now lol

  15. DavidKent
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    I’ve got 9 players with games this weekend. I’ve got 1ft.

    Should I do Gallagher > Mount? I get an extra player for this weekend, although I otherwise think Gallagher is the better value option

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      If you think you’ll score well with 9 then bank FT. If not use it lad

    2. Vinyl78LP
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Gallagher offers zero value this weekend though? and Mount is flying.

  16. The Ilfordian
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Any reason Bernardo’s on -138 at the moment? Thought his injury was an insignificant niggle?

    1. Eh, just one more thing ...
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Knee jerk panic sellers …

      1. The Ilfordian
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks. Thought there was some news

    2. NATSTER
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      His flag has been removed, so the threshold is back to normal and require less transfers to price change.

  17. Tmel
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Best use of FT?

    1) Livra > Dias (already have Cancelo)
    2) Livra > AVL defender
    3) Bowen > Saka
    4) Antonio > Laca

    1. putana
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I like 4. Higher upside than other options

  18. putana
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Just did vardy -> watkins

    wanted to do before 0.2 swing. If i get burned I deserve it

    1. Well you know, Triffic
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Apt username in that case.

  19. jason_ni
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Any preference

    A) Gilmour to J Ramsey ft - starting D Luiz and J Ramsey in my 11(holding cr7 for next week)

    B)Gilmour and Cr7 to Foden and Lacazette for a -4,.starting them and Luiz drops to bench.

  20. OneDennisBergkamp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    is Marcal nailed? wheres he been, dropped or injured?

    1. jason_ni
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Dropped, was always going to happen. Air nouri injury he may get a game or 2, but nouri is much better player.

  21. Freddiemac123
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Only 5 players available but have 2 free transfers.. worth free hit or best wait to double game week? Have 3 United players so they should be back in action next game?

    1. Well you know, Triffic
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Take a -4.

      1. Freddiemac123
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers. Seems mixed opinions on here with free hit. I’m same as u thinking save the free hit for DGW

        1. jason_ni
          • 8 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          As above save fh, take-4 and get 8 players.
          Fh even more of a waste if you have 2 fts, as you'd lose them!

          1. Freddiemac123
            • 3 Years
            2 years, 4 months ago

            Good point, thanks

  22. FPL Alaska
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Which option here? Currently can field 9 if B.Silva starts. 1 FT, 0.0 ITB

    A) Antonio > Watkins (have exact cash)
    B) Ronaldo + Brownhill > Watkins + Foden (-4)

    Ramsdale
    TAA - Cancelo - James - Alonso
    Salah (c) - Jota - B. Silva - Brownhill

    (Foster; Ronaldo, Antonio, Gallagher, Livra, Davis)

  23. boroie
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    What to do with this? 1FT, 2.3 ITB…

    DDG*
    Cancelo(VC) TAA James Dier
    Salah(C) Foden Jota Bernardo* Brownhill
    Watkins

    Foster*; Antonio* Dennis* Livramento*

    Thinking of taking a -4 to do…

    Foster & Antonio -> Ramsdale & Lacazette

    Thoughts?

  24. More Cowbell
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Any keepers worth bringing in other than Ramsdale?

    1. boroie
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Martinez?

    2. Danstoke82
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Not really. I’d say DDG but obviously not right now

  25. Danstoke82
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    With Bilva’s flagged lifted I know have the following at -4, GTG?

    Ramsdale
    TAA Cancelo James Reguilon (flagged)
    Salah Bilva Mount Jota
    Watkins Dennis*

    Subs: Steele* Gallagher* Livramento* Benteke*

    -4

  26. RWB_1991
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    How many hits are people taking?

    1. Danstoke82
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      1 for now -4. Don’t want to take another one really

    2. Shteve
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Zero, finding it hard enough to decide on one transfer and that's with just 9 players who have fixtures.

    3. waldo666
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      1 or 2 max, I reckon. I only have 7 players so hand forced somewhat.

  27. JONALDINHO
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Don’t mean to scaremonger but I’d be surprised if Liverpool lSpurs went ahead. VVD, Fabinho and Hendo are 3 key players out with Covid. Klopp will be doing everything in his power to get the game off

    1. Brehmeren
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Weren't they also missing in the previous game?

      1. YEAH PITCH!
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Henderson played

    2. Qaiss
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      If there are no further cases within the team, they should be made to play.

    3. how now brown cow
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Its quantity, not quality.

    4. jason_ni
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      They would have cancelled the midweek game based on same info.

      Klopp was saying how he doesn't see the point in cancelling games did he not?

    5. The Polymath
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Klopp wants the matches to be played according to the interviews.

  28. only2
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Livramento -> Tierney or Cash?

    Cash more nailed right?

    1. Skogen89
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Why not targett? Cash on 4 yc

      1. only2
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        ah, thanks! just his underlying stats are so good! also very soon yc will be removed

  29. George James
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Best pair?

    A) Cancelo + Ramsey

    B) Laporte + ESR

    C) Dias + Martinelli.

  30. Drogba Legend
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Luckily can field 10 this week to start. Have 2FT as well: Sitting at 40k OR and thinking this below:

    Ramsdale
    Cancelo - TAA - James - Rudiger
    Salah - Jota - Saka - Raph - Brownhill
    Ronaldo

    4.0 - Dennis* - Toney** - Livra**

    A) Ronaldo + Raph + Brownhill > Watkins, Foden, Bilva (-4)
    B) Ronaldo + Raph + Brownhill > Laca, Foden, Gundo (-4)
    C) Ronaldo + Brownhill > Foden and Watkins/Laca

    1. Shteve
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Why not keep brownhill when he has a fixture? Even to have a sub this week is good going and who knows what other games will be called off..

    2. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B or C