Spot the Differential

In-form Tierney an appealing FPL differential for Blank Gameweek 18

******Please not that this feature was written before the postponement of Aston Villa v Burnley on Saturday afternoon******

Gameweek 18 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

KIERAN TIERNEY

  • FPL ownership: 5.2%
  • Price: £4.8m
  • GW18-22 fixtures: lee | nor | WOL | MCI | tot

At 5.2% ownership, Kieran Tierney (£4.8m) sits just above our usual differential threshold, but with a vastly reduced pool of players to pick from this week, we’ve made an exception.

The 24-year-old has endured a difficult season at the Emirates, having suffered his fair share of injury problems, but now looks to have turned a corner, starting all three of Arsenal’s most recent Premier League outings. During that time, he has produced a whopping 31 points, and ranks joint-fifth amongst all defenders for passes received in the final third.

For Arsenal, it does feel like progress is being made, as they now sit in the Champions League qualification places, having taken 29 points from a possible 42 since Gameweek 4. Notably, they have kept eight clean sheets in those 14 fixtures, a total no team can better and only Manchester City and Liverpool can match.

Up next for Mikel Arteta’s side is a trip to Elland Road, followed by games against Norwich City and Wolverhampton Wanderers, the two worst performing attacks in the division this season. As a result, Tierney has potential for points at both ends of the pitch and could be a smart differential for those on the lookout for a new defender.

JACOB RAMSEY

Five-time top 1k FPL finisher Tom Freeman on Villa under Gerrard and his Gameweek 13 plans 9
  • FPL ownership: 1.1%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW18-22 fixtures: BUR | CHE | lee | bre | MUN

In recent weeks, Jacob Ramsey (£4.5m) has established himself as one of Aston Villa’s main attacking threats.

The 20-year-old has started five of Steven Gerrard’s six games in charge, netting against Norwich City on Tuesday, with his performance in the 2-0 win arguably his best of the season to date.

Whether deployed on the left of Villa’s midfield three, or further forward as an inside forward, Ramsey has excelled, producing a respectable six goal attempts, five shots in the box and nine penalty box touches across his last five starts.

“I never watch my stuff back unless someone else has put it on the telly! But listen, he should try and watch as much football as he can and learn off as many people as he can. That is the mentality I want, for him to keep trying to be the best version of himself. The goal was really impressive, a tight one-two and then the power and speed to get into the box and finish on his weaker side. It was a top, top goal. But I don’t want the goal to take away from the fact his overall performance was really top level. I am really excited to keep working with him.” – Steven Gerrard when asked about Ramsey’s admission that he had been inspired by watching clips of him

Under Gerrard, it’s four wins in six for Villa, having beaten Brighton and Hove Albion, Crystal Palace, Leicester City and Norwich, with their only losses arriving against the current top two: Manchester City and Liverpool. The Villans now take on Burnley in tomorrow’s Gameweek 18 opener, before appealing away trips to Leeds United and Brentford to follow.

In a short space of time, Ramsey has proven he has the physical and technical ability to thrive in the Premier League, and with minutes now more assured in the absence of Marvelous Nakamba (£4.5m), he looks ready to kick-on.

CHRIS WOOD

Scout Notes 4
  • FPL ownership: 1.4%
  • Price: £6.7m
  • GW18-22 fixtures: avl | EVE | mun | lee | LEI

With just three goals in 16 Premier League appearances, it’s been a slow start to the season for Chris Wood (£6.7m).

However, the New Zealand international has been a model of consistency since joining Burnley from Leeds United back in August 2017, scoring at least 10 top-flight goals in each of his four Premier League campaigns.

This season, he has posted team-leading totals for goal attempts, shots in the box, efforts on target, big chances and penalty area touches, and while performances have taken a dip in recent weeks, Wood is generally a dependable member of Sean Dyche’s squad who he often turns to in big moments.

Looking ahead to Gameweek 18, Burnley have a testing trip to a much-improved Aston Villa side, though fixtures against Everton (h), Leeds United (a) and Leicester City (h) to follow are all particularly appealing, given that those three sides rank 16th, 18th and 15th respectively for expected goals conceded (xGC) across the opening rounds.

Notably, Wood didn’t score his third goal of the campaign until December last year, but then went on a run, finding the back of the net nine times across his next 20 appearances. Hitting those same heights again is a big ask, but Wood has proven he can deliver consistently over the years, and could be an effective differential for our frontlines in the coming weeks.

1,755 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Goat
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Why is Ramsay given as a differential after he has scored, got 10 points and stood out?

    I bought him 2 weeks ago on wildcard because I saw his potential and benefitted this week. Anyone could just suggest to buy him now. Surely these suggestions should be made before a player stands out

    1. Pep Roulette
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      He's only owned by 1.5% of the managers. Massive differential. Good move from you that you got him early.

    2. panda07
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      He's a differential because of his low ownership

      1. Goat
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        This section used to be called “spot the differential”. Harvey Price could spot Ramsey now

        1. panda07
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          I don't think you know what differential means!

    3. Murder on Zidane's Flo…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      For the very literal singular reason he is 1.5% owned and represents an actual point of difference. If it is being represented as totally original thinking well that's off base.

    4. panda07
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Congratulations on being a true hipster btw

      1. Goat
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        TY.

    5. DARE TO BISCAN
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Either you don't know what differential means. Or, you're pretending not to so you can brag how clever you are.

      1. Goat
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Low owned bandwagon I’d call it.

        Any 1% owned player that scores can just be added in future

        1. DARE TO BISCAN
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Don't believe you, kid. They explained their reasoning.

  2. More Cowbell
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Please can I get some opinions on my team for this week? 1ft 3m itb

    Ddg*
    TAA, James, white, cancelo
    Salah, Jota, Raphina, Bilva, Brownhill
    Watkins

    Bachman*, antonio* king* Livra*,

    1. nolard
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Move DDG to Ramsdale or Martinez.

      If you take a hit depends on if the move is also something you'd do long term.

      Livra to Cash?
      Raph to Foden or Mount?

    2. DARE TO BISCAN
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Looks better than most. Could do Bach to Ramsdale. Or Liv to good, playing Def. Both solid, long-term moves.

  3. 50pipsDaily
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    A) Dalot ~> Tierney -4
    B) Allan ~> Ramsey -4
    C) DDG/Sanchez ~> Ramsdale -4

    DDG*,Sanchez*
    James,Alonso,TAA,Cancelo,Dalot*
    Salah,Foden,Bilva,Jota,Allan*
    Watkins,Dennis*,Pukki*

    Cheers.

  4. Kevin Twine
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Watkins or Laca

    1. Pep Roulette
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Laca

    2. Gabbiadini
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Think I'm going to go Watkins and then an Arsenal mid.

  5. OptimusBlack
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    GTG ?

    Cash TAA James Cancelo
    Salah © Jota Bilva(Allan Gallagher)
    Watkins Laca (Dennis)
    Next move would be
    A- Allan > ESR
    B- Gallagher > Foden

  6. Pep Roulette
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Is triple Arsenal too risky with all this Covid chaos?

    1. Gabbiadini
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      there should be a pretty strong indication as to whether the game is going ahead or not before the deadline closes.

    2. CROWLEY NOT CRAWLEY
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      3x any team carries risk. I'm willing to do it for Liverpool or City, but only because the upside is so great. Not sure I can make that argument on 3x for Arsenal, but having a Defensive player and Offensive player on Arsenal makes sense.

      We are all playing a bit blind...all a matter of your risk profile.

    3. Salah’s Sonnet
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Have triple Pool & City now and that seems alright, just with Arsenal they seem in a good place and it's just a risk we take with the teams in form.

  7. Gabbiadini
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    What are your thoughts, Vardy, Livramento/Goode & Gilmour to Watkins, Cash and Saka for a -4, Yes/No (gives me 11 playing)?

    Ramsdale
    TAA | Cancelo | R James | Cash
    Salah | Foden | Jota | Saka | Brownhill
    Watkins

    Steele | Ronaldo | Dennis | Livramento/Goode

    Trading out Livra leaves, 0.4 ITB to allow the possibility of Saka to Bowen GW20.
    Whereas trading out Goode leaves, 0.1 ITB, Livramento would also then have likely dropped from 4.2 to 4.1 in my team.

    Thanks.

    1. The FPL Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Yes but prefer ESR

      1. Gabbiadini
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Interesting, if he hadn't have scored late v West Ham would this still be your opinion?
        Hasn't played a full 90 for 4 GWs now.

      2. Gabbiadini
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        For instance, would you go Laca and ESR over Watkins and Saka because I can afford the first option?

        1. Gabbiadini
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          I possibly prefer this option more actually as they arguably have the better fixture this week, simply, Leeds concede more goals than Burnley.
          And they definitely have the better fixture next GW, Norwich compared to Chelsea.

  8. Champions League Varane
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Bernardo isn’t going to play in my opinion, and don’t think he’s the greatest option going forward anymore. Would you replace him with Gundo or Saka? Thanks

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Gundo if you are that confident.

    2. nolard
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Agree.
      I might get KDB, but not this week as I have other moves I need to make.

    3. Salah’s Sonnet
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Silva is still the man! Get rid at your peril imo but the best of luck with whatever you decide bud.

  9. Gandalf
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Got no forwards but lucky to have a 10 with fixtures otherwise

    A. Ronaldo > Watkins
    B. Bilva > Foden (take the 0 to keep Ronaldo)
    C. Both for -4

    Would leave cash ITB to get Ronaldo back

  10. yanky
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    anything worth a hit? nothing in bank and 8 playing

    TAA Cancelo Dias James
    Salah Jota Gundo
    Watkings

    DDG, Dalot, Bowen, Gray, King, Antonio

  11. The FPL Units
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Will Marcal play this week?

  12. MountainBeach
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Lads, only got 7 playing players this GW. Thinking of this for -4, which would give me 10 playing players:

    Lukaku to Watkins
    Gallagher to Foden
    Allan to Saka

    Thoughts?

    1. GoonerSteve
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I've thought about similar to first two, but with Ronaldo and Gallagher. I don't really want to lose Gallagher though.

      1. MountainBeach
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Neither, but these are desperate times with games being called off. 7 playing players just aren't going to get me enough points.

    2. Fish up a tree
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Great moves squire

      1. MountainBeach
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers man

    3. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      do or die

  13. RWB_1991
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Chances of Bernardo playing?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Depends if you own him. A game he could easily be rested for.

  14. GoonerSteve
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Think I'm just going to do Antonio to Watkins to field a max 10.

    Ramsdale
    Trent, Cancelo, James, Regullion
    Salah (c), Jota, EST, Douglas L
    Watkins

    Foster, Ronaldo, Dennis, Livramento.

    Or is it worth a 4pt hit and sell Rknaldo instead to enable Foden perhaps?

    I'd have to lose Gallagher and not keen on that.

  15. camarozz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Guaita/Gilmour/Bowen/Antonio ➡️

    Ramdale/Martinelli/Ramsey/
    Watkins. - 8?

    Gives me 10 players and getting rid of some I need to anyway and keeping those I wnat...

  16. Freshy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Steele to Ramsdale is the FT - 2.0 Bank
    Got 10 outfield players including BSilva & Reg
    Taking a hit to put Reg as my only bench player

    Who ya like best?
    A- Maddison to ESR - 2.7 Bank - (dbl ARS)
    B- Maddison to Saka - 2.5 Bank - (dbl ARS)
    C- Maddison to Mount - 1.1 Bank - (trip CHE)
    D- Maddison to Ramsey - 4.2 Bank - (dbl Villa)

    1. Fish up a tree
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

  17. More Cowbell
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Who’s the better option: Foden or Mount?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Foden

      1. Salah’s Sonnet
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        This

    2. Yank Revolution
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      More cowbell is always the better option!

      1. More Cowbell
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Well Obv!
        But dya like Foden or mount? Lol

        1. Yank Revolution
          • 12 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Mountbatten

    3. Shearer & Sutton
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Foden

  18. outernational
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    My goalkeepers are currently Sanchez and Steele. I'm going to use my free transfer to bring in Ramsey and have 3.5M ITB. Which keeper would you transfer out?

    A: Sanchez
    B: Steele

    1. outernational
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      *Ramsdale

    2. _Ninja_
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Normally A but nowadays.
      B

    3. CROWLEY NOT CRAWLEY
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Doing the same - it will be B to a new playing keeper, likely Ramsdale.

      1. outernational
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        I'm considering keeping Sanchez so I have a backup keeper if Ramsdale is out for some reason in the coming weeks.

        1. CROWLEY NOT CRAWLEY
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Yes - we are on the same page here. Hence why I said B. Keep Sanchez and add Ramsdale.

  19. MagicMessi
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Jesus will start?

    1. FPL Alaska
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Who knows. Probably?

      1. MagicMessi
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Right

      1. MagicMessi
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Much needed thanks!!

      2. DARE TO BISCAN
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers! Benching Sané

  20. FPL Alaska
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Which option?

    A) Antonio > Watkins (have exact cash now)
    B) Ronaldo + Brownhill > Watkins + Foden (-4)

    1. MagicMessi
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

    2. MagicMessi
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Afor now then wait on B till tom

  21. MagicMessi
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Ronaldo >>>
    A. Jiminez
    B. Jesus
    C. Laca. ??
    Thx

    1. FPL Alaska
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Of those, Laca

    2. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Laca
      but I have little confidence in any of them

    3. DARE TO BISCAN
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I'm grudging going for C (closer to deadline)

  22. GRPunk
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Apparently my last post didn’t take…

    I have 8 if Bilva plays. How many moves do I make with 1 ft and quite a bit in the bank?

    Antonio > Laca
    Bowen > Foden or ARS mid
    Livramento > Cancelo or budget def

    1. MagicMessi
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Cancelo essential

    2. DARE TO BISCAN
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Without knowing your team, just Cancelo.

  23. Sun Jihai
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Think I'll just do Antonio to Watkins for exact cash and save the other FT, very boring and but gives me:

    Ramsdale
    TAA James Cancelo Reguilon
    Salah Jota Foden ESR Brownhill
    Watkins
    Foster* Ronaldo* King* Lamptey*

    Sensible?

    Still quite tempted to stick the armband on Cancelo or Foden. Feel like Liverpool will only get 1 goal (which to be fair will be Salah probably!)

    1. DARE TO BISCAN
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Sounds reasonable. I'd go full sensible and stick to Salah

  24. HD7
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Maybe its Gundogan time again like last last season?

    Or just go with Foden and dont overthink it
    (have Bernardo and Foden)

  25. tabby98
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    What to do here guys? Have 5 players out

    Guaita*, Foster*
    TAA, Cancelo, Rudiger, James, Tsimikas
    Salah, Raphinha, Bernardo, Bowen*, Sissoko*
    Watkins, Dennis*, Antonio*

  26. Boomerang V
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    A Jota
    B Foden

    1 Laca
    2 Jesus

    pick 2 please

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A1

    2. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      b
      1

    3. MagicMessi
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A 2

  27. putana
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    really considering bernardo -> foden for free.

    Doubt he starts against newcastle and have no subs to cover for him

    1. Hart-ake
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Don't play the roulette!

    2. outernational
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I'm considering this too. But for me it would be a -4 or play with no goalkeeper. What do you think?

      1. putana
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        i think you should get a goalie. take the risk of bernardo not playing

    3. FPL Alaska
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Could easily backfire. I am keeping for sure.

      1. outernational
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Will be interesting to see the predicted City lineup in the Team News. Looks like it hasn't been updated yet.

  28. Gabbiadini
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Is Laca definitely nailed over the next 2 with Auba's absence or does he still face the risk of being preferred by all four of Martinelli, Odegaard, ESR & Saka?

    1. Hart-ake
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I suppose Martinelli could be played upfront.

      1. Fabreghastly
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        He's tried it but still has a lot to learn in that role

    2. Fabreghastly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      His presence up front helps all the others so I doubt he will be dropped. The alternatives are Nketiah and Balogun and Arsenal need some experienced players to balance out the kids

      1. Gabbiadini
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Yeh, I was thinking similar.

  29. Hart-ake
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Both Saka and Laca overkill?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Probably no

  30. Tonyawesome69
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Exact funds to do Pukki to Watkins for a hit. Do the move tonight or wait until tomorrow and lose Antonio instead?

    0FT 1.8TB
    Ramsdale
    TAA James Alonso Cancelo
    Salah Jota Bernardo Foden
    Antonio* Pukki*
    (Foster* Gallagher* King* Livramento*)

    1. MagicMessi
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Do it