Spot the Differential

In-form Tierney an appealing FPL differential for Blank Gameweek 18

******Please not that this feature was written before the postponement of Aston Villa v Burnley on Saturday afternoon******

Gameweek 18 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

KIERAN TIERNEY

  • FPL ownership: 5.2%
  • Price: £4.8m
  • GW18-22 fixtures: lee | nor | WOL | MCI | tot

At 5.2% ownership, Kieran Tierney (£4.8m) sits just above our usual differential threshold, but with a vastly reduced pool of players to pick from this week, we’ve made an exception.

The 24-year-old has endured a difficult season at the Emirates, having suffered his fair share of injury problems, but now looks to have turned a corner, starting all three of Arsenal’s most recent Premier League outings. During that time, he has produced a whopping 31 points, and ranks joint-fifth amongst all defenders for passes received in the final third.

For Arsenal, it does feel like progress is being made, as they now sit in the Champions League qualification places, having taken 29 points from a possible 42 since Gameweek 4. Notably, they have kept eight clean sheets in those 14 fixtures, a total no team can better and only Manchester City and Liverpool can match.

Up next for Mikel Arteta’s side is a trip to Elland Road, followed by games against Norwich City and Wolverhampton Wanderers, the two worst performing attacks in the division this season. As a result, Tierney has potential for points at both ends of the pitch and could be a smart differential for those on the lookout for a new defender.

JACOB RAMSEY

Five-time top 1k FPL finisher Tom Freeman on Villa under Gerrard and his Gameweek 13 plans 9
  • FPL ownership: 1.1%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW18-22 fixtures: BUR | CHE | lee | bre | MUN

In recent weeks, Jacob Ramsey (£4.5m) has established himself as one of Aston Villa’s main attacking threats.

The 20-year-old has started five of Steven Gerrard’s six games in charge, netting against Norwich City on Tuesday, with his performance in the 2-0 win arguably his best of the season to date.

Whether deployed on the left of Villa’s midfield three, or further forward as an inside forward, Ramsey has excelled, producing a respectable six goal attempts, five shots in the box and nine penalty box touches across his last five starts.

“I never watch my stuff back unless someone else has put it on the telly! But listen, he should try and watch as much football as he can and learn off as many people as he can. That is the mentality I want, for him to keep trying to be the best version of himself. The goal was really impressive, a tight one-two and then the power and speed to get into the box and finish on his weaker side. It was a top, top goal. But I don’t want the goal to take away from the fact his overall performance was really top level. I am really excited to keep working with him.” – Steven Gerrard when asked about Ramsey’s admission that he had been inspired by watching clips of him

Under Gerrard, it’s four wins in six for Villa, having beaten Brighton and Hove Albion, Crystal Palace, Leicester City and Norwich, with their only losses arriving against the current top two: Manchester City and Liverpool. The Villans now take on Burnley in tomorrow’s Gameweek 18 opener, before appealing away trips to Leeds United and Brentford to follow.

In a short space of time, Ramsey has proven he has the physical and technical ability to thrive in the Premier League, and with minutes now more assured in the absence of Marvelous Nakamba (£4.5m), he looks ready to kick-on.

CHRIS WOOD

Scout Notes 4
  • FPL ownership: 1.4%
  • Price: £6.7m
  • GW18-22 fixtures: avl | EVE | mun | lee | LEI

With just three goals in 16 Premier League appearances, it’s been a slow start to the season for Chris Wood (£6.7m).

However, the New Zealand international has been a model of consistency since joining Burnley from Leeds United back in August 2017, scoring at least 10 top-flight goals in each of his four Premier League campaigns.

This season, he has posted team-leading totals for goal attempts, shots in the box, efforts on target, big chances and penalty area touches, and while performances have taken a dip in recent weeks, Wood is generally a dependable member of Sean Dyche’s squad who he often turns to in big moments.

Looking ahead to Gameweek 18, Burnley have a testing trip to a much-improved Aston Villa side, though fixtures against Everton (h), Leeds United (a) and Leicester City (h) to follow are all particularly appealing, given that those three sides rank 16th, 18th and 15th respectively for expected goals conceded (xGC) across the opening rounds.

Notably, Wood didn’t score his third goal of the campaign until December last year, but then went on a run, finding the back of the net nine times across his next 20 appearances. Hitting those same heights again is a big ask, but Wood has proven he can deliver consistently over the years, and could be an effective differential for our frontlines in the coming weeks.

1,755 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Sun God Nika
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Sanchez* S

    Taa cancelo rudi James
    Salah jota Smith rowe Bernardo
    Vardy* Denis*

    Steele * toney* livra* galla*

    Long term choices

    A. Vardy to Watkins
    B. Sanchez to ramsdale
    C. Livra to tierney, targett, cash?

    Got 2 fts transfers but tempted to do 3 today

    1. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      I think Sanchez can have a DGW soon, so maybe Steele out instead? I like the rest, just not sure if you can make the money work

      1. Sun God Nika
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        I have have enough to do all 3, even if I take out steele for ramsdale!

  2. The Mighty Hippo
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    I've got a few options here, recommdations are mist welcome.

    Ramsdale
    TAA James Cancelo Alonso Regulion
    Salah Foden Mount Jota
    Watkins
    -------------
    Foster Antonio Bowen Scarlett

    A) Regulion to Tierney
    B) Reguljon to a Villa defender (which one)?
    C) Bowen to Saka (bench Regulion, play Saka)
    D) roll the FT

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Great position to be in, I’d save

    2. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Id go Reg to Cash. Bowen will have some nice fixtures if games continue

  3. Totalfootball
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Ronaldo to Laca for a hit?

    1. Scots Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Yes

    2. Warby84
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      I will do it

    3. Salalalalah
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      You will want Ronaldo back after this GW, that would be 2 transfers. You think Laca is worth 2 transfers for 1 game?

      1. Totalfootball
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        You sure the next United game will be played?

  4. Nightf0x
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Rams
    Taa can rudi *lampty (dalot)
    Salah jota bsilva *galla (bowen)
    *Locadia watkins (denis)

    Which 2 transfers to do with a -4?

    A) lampty to target/cash/tierny/white/tomiyasu/james
    B) bsilva to foden/kdb/raz
    C) locadia to laca
    D) galla to foden/esr

  5. Ashleyajolly
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Are the other matches definitely being play or will they be postponed?

    1. Warby84
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Silly question

    2. Salalalalah
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      We will know more tomorrow, anything can happen

      1. Ashleyajolly
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        Ok so no point doing transfers until tomorrow as could be wasted.

        1. DaisyDaisyDaisyDaisy
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 5 months ago

          Im probably gonna gamble on Watkins for Antonio to save the 0.2

    3. The Mighty Hippo
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      There is still time for additional postponements to be announced, so we can't be sure.

    4. Arteta
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Nobody knows really.

  6. Ci Siamo
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    If in a rare position where you can field 11, is taking a hit just silly to get bench cover?

    1. lugs
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      yeah very, just do nothing and enjoy starting the week with a green arrow 🙂

      1. Ci Siamo
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        Makes sense 🙂

    2. Tcheco
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Yes

    3. Il Capitano
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Yes, roll with what you've got

  7. Salalalalah
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    People are buying Laca just for this GW or he looks good to start next 3? Otherwise he is just a transfer waiting to happen and he is not really that explosive.
    Thinking Saka or ESR might be a better Arsenal cover

    1. Warby84
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Leeds and Norwich next so probably worth keeping for the next couple

    2. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      With auba out of the picture he should be good for next few and fixtures don’t get much better. Also no decent forwards at the moment, whereas plenty of decent midfield options and for my team I don’t want to take out someone playing this week to get saka ESR

    3. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Leeds Norwich Wolves(H) isnt bad at all.

      Id be more tempted by Tomiyasu or Tierney if im honest

    4. FourLokoLeipzig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Any half-decent forward in a good team could be explosive against Norwich. I like the move partly due to easy trades from him if he doesn’t do much though

    5. Fish up a tree
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      No strikers are cutting it aside Dennis & now Watkins, Laca is worth a crack given the other options. He is nailed too with Auba training with the kids & then going Afcon

  8. Going Home
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Doing Livra -> Cash for free tomorrow.

    Is it worth -4 to turn Bowen/Gallagher into Mount? If so, which to lose?

    a) Not worth it
    b) Gallagher
    c) Bowen

    1. Going Home
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      I have Antonio and zero chelsea coverage, if that makes a difference

  9. Il Capitano
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    1FT 0ITB

    Guaita*
    TAA James White Cancelo
    Salah Jota Bernardo ESR Brownhill
    Watkins

    Foster* - Ronaldo* King* Livra*

    Ronaldo > Laca, Guaita > Martinez (-4)? Any other suggestions?

  10. Scholes Out For Summer
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    What to do here with only 1FT and non money itb?

    Sanchez (Foster)
    TAA - Cancelo - Alonso - White (Livra)
    Salah - Gundo - Bernardo (Bowen Brownhill)
    Watkins (CR7 King)

    CR7 out is the only play right? Just will have to use another hit to bring him back in later? Feels wrong when looking at his fixtures coming up assuming its not postponed

    1. Going Home
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      I thought this when I got rid. But I’m actually far happier with my squad with him gone. I don’t see him going huge in the coming fixtures (9 v Norwich was good, but hardly a killer blow if you didn’t have him). And a big playing squad when these fixtures start to back up is essential

      1. Scholes Out For Summer
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        yeah not a killer blow, but a strong differential. Im at 250K so looking to rise ranks, and Newcastle Burnley then DGW looks so appealing. just dont know if worth -8 to flip flop him in and out

        1. Going Home
          • 12 Years
          2 years, 5 months ago

          I’ll only bring him in for the confirmed DGW. He hasn’t proved value otherwise. Not to mention the fact that United seem to have genuine issues with covid in their squad rather than being the victim of games cancelled for others

        2. Heres hoping x 7
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 5 months ago

          Has a DGW been rumoured then? News to me

  11. Zalk
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    I have a free transfer to get 9 players playing, so I'm thinking about taking a -4 to get 10 players at least.

    Question time:
    Who would you gamble on for the -4 this weekend?
    Money and position doesn't matter and I already have Salah, Jota, TAA, Cancelo, Bilva.

    I'm thinking Foden myself but would be nice to hear your opinions.

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      i m doing gilmour and lukaku to foden and watkins for -4. will give me 10 players, no gk

      1. Zalk
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        Nice, I'm probably doing Vardy and Gallagher to Watkins and Foden. Should be a good gamble!

    2. PastaFasul
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Yeah, me too. Hits have paid off for me if the right player plays: Watkins in worked, Foden might as well for non-starter.

  12. Teahupo'o
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    No bench and Bernardo doubt. Fearful of James, as he looked incredibly threatening against Everton. Best option?

    Ramsdale
    TAA Cancelo Rudiger Cash
    Salah Jota Mount Bernardo Foden
    Watkins

    (Foster, Davis Dennis* Livramento*)

    A) Livramento to James -4
    B) Dennis to Lacazette -4
    C) Hope everyone plays

  13. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    “Everyone is fit, it’s just Ferran [Torres] missing. Joao [Cancelo] is back after [his suspension against] Leeds and we will travel to Newcastle with everyone ready to play,” said Pep Guardiola.

    1. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      did he have a press conference?

    2. Zalk
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      B, Martinez has good next 10 GW's in case you can't get DDG back.

  14. Espanyolie
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    1FT, 0,5itb

    DDG*
    Cancelo TAA James White
    Salah Jota Bilva D.Luiz
    Jesus Antonio*

    Bench : Sanchez* Reg Dennis* Gallagher*

    Already settled on Antonio >Watkins

    But should I do
    A Sanchez to Ramsdale?
    B DDG to Martinez?

    A gives me a double up on Arsenal def which I’m not sure I like and a possible benching headache in the coming weeks

    B would spread the chances a bit more, but I think I’ll want DDG back…

    Pretty clueless here

    1. Zalk
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      B, Martinez has good next 10 GW's in case you can't get DDG back.

  15. Cheeto__Bandito
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Veltman to Cancelo -4

    or Play with 11?

    1. Cheeto__Bandito
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      10*

    2. Tcheco
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Cancelo can easily pay back the hit & it’s a good long term move. Yes

    3. Il Capitano
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Get Canc

    4. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Def would get cancelo. Could pay off straight away but should over next few gws

  16. Tcheco
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    1 FT transfer will give me 10 players this GW. Would you do Sissoko to Ramsey for a -4?

    1. lugs
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      yeah probably

  17. Nightf0x
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Rams
    Taa can rudi *lampty (dalot)
    Salah jota bsilva *galla (bowen)
    *Locadia watkins (denis)

    Which 2 transfers to do with a -4?
    A) lampty to target/cash/tierny/white/tomiyasu/james
    B) bsilva to foden/kdb/raz
    C) locadia to laca
    D) galla to foden/esr

  18. cutch
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Ramsdale
    Cancelo, James, Alonso, Dier
    Salah, ESR, Mount, Raph, Bernardo
    Watkins
    Subs: Sánchez*, VVD*, Antonio*, Watkins*
    1 FT

    A) Roll FT
    B) Bernardo > Foden
    C) Antonio > An available striker. Who?

  19. Gazza2000
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Martinelli or Ramsey?

  20. The Ilfordian
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    So I’ve seen a few comments suggesting there’s a lack of strikers for this game week. Well I’m going to reveal a striker considered one of the greatest of all time that I think everyone is overlooking. His name? Kane. Harry. You can all thank me later.

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Don’t do it 🙂

    2. Teahupo'o
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Lacking sharpness, 1 goal all season, surrounded by an unknown amount of reserves, against Liverpool. No thanks.

      1. The Ilfordian
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        You’re probably right. My rules are that I’ve got to choose England players. I’m down to 7 players with 1FT. Really struggling and hoping he might find that old magic, but he’s been hopeless and I’m sure you’re right. I heard he’s been told he might be let go in January so probably heart not in it

    3. Arteta
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      I'd rather spend that money on KDB if I wanted to invest in expensive asset.

  21. Monya Meow Meow
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Stumped at what to do here, hate to triple up on players in the current situation but no other forwards I like...

    Rams
    Cancelo Rudiger TAA
    Salah ESR D.Luiz Bilva Gallagher*
    Watkins Vardy

    Vardy to ?

    A) Laza
    B) Jesus
    C) Wilson
    D) Wood
    E) Someone else???

    1. Going Home
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Leave him be for now and either let it roll or change a defender/mid and set up differently. Like you say, the triple up is madness currently.

      I have double city and arsenal, and triple Liverpool and I want to spread my risk, not narrow it

      1. Monya Meow Meow
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        All the defenders I want have tough fixtures this week haha, gonna be a headache this one...

        1. Going Home
          • 12 Years
          2 years, 5 months ago

          Cash is the one I’m eyeing up. Villa have some lovely fixtures coming up so Livra to cash and then maybe also Gallagher to ESR/Mount for a hit to get XI out this week. Will decide on that tomorrow lunchtime

          1. Monya Meow Meow
            • 5 Years
            2 years, 5 months ago

            Already have double Villa in D.Luiz & Watkins so Cash is pretty much no for me to spread the risk.
            Reckon Mount is nailed on to play next match?

  22. JPSpurs
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Sanchez, Bowen, Antonio to Ramsdale, Saka, Watkins for - 4 makes sense?

    1. waltzingmatildas
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Like it

  23. Ci Siamo
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    A move just to bolster the bench:

    A) Livramento to Lowton (4.4)

    B) Livramento to Konsa (4.9)

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Save

  24. Stranger Mings
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Pick 1 a) gundo 2) silva or 3) mount

    1. The Ilfordian
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      I’m watching Gogglebox and Mount has just fallen over while trying to look over Werner’s shoulder. Could be a shoulder injury there.

      1. Stranger Mings
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        Not sure how to respond to that !

        1. The Ilfordian
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 5 months ago

          In all seriousness, I’ve had Mount since week 1 and he’s been a real surprise package. I’d still probably go for Silva because City seem to be scoring more than Chelsea but it seems Mount is amongst the goals each week

          1. Stranger Mings
            • 3 Years
            2 years, 5 months ago

            Yeh both good options - already got 2 Chelsea and 2 City so guess risk of owning 3 players from same time

  25. Mr. O'Connell
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Anyone know if Super Saints bought Ramsdale? Considering him in for a hit, but if he did, then I'll probably swerve it.

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Lol

  26. EffPeeEll
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Great game week for picking your team, and particularly if you're biting the bullet and resisting the hits or the dreaded ultra early free hit chip, and not checking FPL until monday.

    just avoid the results and spend time with summat more real and summat that adds value to your lives.

    this is just pretendee nonsense.

  27. Assisting the assister
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    7 players atm. 2FTs and 0ITB

    A. Ron and Luiz to Watkins + Foden
    B. Antonio to Watkins (tonight or priced out)

  28. waltzingmatildas
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Which is best?
    A) Dennis to Watkins
    B) antonio to Watkins
    C) Antonio to lacazette

    If I lose antonio, I could also afford:
    D) bowen to saka
    E) bowen to foden

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Like C and E

    2. Warby84
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      B/C as I think Bowen is worth holding

  29. Footieboot
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Antonio to Watkins worth a -4?

    1. Warby84
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Yep

  30. Warby84
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Ramsdale
    Trent Cancelo Cash James
    Bernardo Smith-Rowe Salah (c) Jota
    Watkins Lacazette (vc)

    Davies Dennis Gilmour

    -4 and good to go?

    1. Fish up a tree
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      The dogs b….

      1. Warby84
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        Cheers