Spot the Differential

In-form Tierney an appealing FPL differential for Blank Gameweek 18

******Please not that this feature was written before the postponement of Aston Villa v Burnley on Saturday afternoon******

Gameweek 18 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

KIERAN TIERNEY

  • FPL ownership: 5.2%
  • Price: £4.8m
  • GW18-22 fixtures: lee | nor | WOL | MCI | tot

At 5.2% ownership, Kieran Tierney (£4.8m) sits just above our usual differential threshold, but with a vastly reduced pool of players to pick from this week, we’ve made an exception.

The 24-year-old has endured a difficult season at the Emirates, having suffered his fair share of injury problems, but now looks to have turned a corner, starting all three of Arsenal’s most recent Premier League outings. During that time, he has produced a whopping 31 points, and ranks joint-fifth amongst all defenders for passes received in the final third.

For Arsenal, it does feel like progress is being made, as they now sit in the Champions League qualification places, having taken 29 points from a possible 42 since Gameweek 4. Notably, they have kept eight clean sheets in those 14 fixtures, a total no team can better and only Manchester City and Liverpool can match.

Up next for Mikel Arteta’s side is a trip to Elland Road, followed by games against Norwich City and Wolverhampton Wanderers, the two worst performing attacks in the division this season. As a result, Tierney has potential for points at both ends of the pitch and could be a smart differential for those on the lookout for a new defender.

JACOB RAMSEY

Five-time top 1k FPL finisher Tom Freeman on Villa under Gerrard and his Gameweek 13 plans 9
  • FPL ownership: 1.1%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW18-22 fixtures: BUR | CHE | lee | bre | MUN

In recent weeks, Jacob Ramsey (£4.5m) has established himself as one of Aston Villa’s main attacking threats.

The 20-year-old has started five of Steven Gerrard’s six games in charge, netting against Norwich City on Tuesday, with his performance in the 2-0 win arguably his best of the season to date.

Whether deployed on the left of Villa’s midfield three, or further forward as an inside forward, Ramsey has excelled, producing a respectable six goal attempts, five shots in the box and nine penalty box touches across his last five starts.

“I never watch my stuff back unless someone else has put it on the telly! But listen, he should try and watch as much football as he can and learn off as many people as he can. That is the mentality I want, for him to keep trying to be the best version of himself. The goal was really impressive, a tight one-two and then the power and speed to get into the box and finish on his weaker side. It was a top, top goal. But I don’t want the goal to take away from the fact his overall performance was really top level. I am really excited to keep working with him.” – Steven Gerrard when asked about Ramsey’s admission that he had been inspired by watching clips of him

Under Gerrard, it’s four wins in six for Villa, having beaten Brighton and Hove Albion, Crystal Palace, Leicester City and Norwich, with their only losses arriving against the current top two: Manchester City and Liverpool. The Villans now take on Burnley in tomorrow’s Gameweek 18 opener, before appealing away trips to Leeds United and Brentford to follow.

In a short space of time, Ramsey has proven he has the physical and technical ability to thrive in the Premier League, and with minutes now more assured in the absence of Marvelous Nakamba (£4.5m), he looks ready to kick-on.

CHRIS WOOD

Scout Notes 4
  • FPL ownership: 1.4%
  • Price: £6.7m
  • GW18-22 fixtures: avl | EVE | mun | lee | LEI

With just three goals in 16 Premier League appearances, it’s been a slow start to the season for Chris Wood (£6.7m).

However, the New Zealand international has been a model of consistency since joining Burnley from Leeds United back in August 2017, scoring at least 10 top-flight goals in each of his four Premier League campaigns.

This season, he has posted team-leading totals for goal attempts, shots in the box, efforts on target, big chances and penalty area touches, and while performances have taken a dip in recent weeks, Wood is generally a dependable member of Sean Dyche’s squad who he often turns to in big moments.

Looking ahead to Gameweek 18, Burnley have a testing trip to a much-improved Aston Villa side, though fixtures against Everton (h), Leeds United (a) and Leicester City (h) to follow are all particularly appealing, given that those three sides rank 16th, 18th and 15th respectively for expected goals conceded (xGC) across the opening rounds.

Notably, Wood didn’t score his third goal of the campaign until December last year, but then went on a run, finding the back of the net nine times across his next 20 appearances. Hitting those same heights again is a big ask, but Wood has proven he can deliver consistently over the years, and could be an effective differential for our frontlines in the coming weeks.

1,755 Comments Post a Comment
  1. JohnBlack
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Yes or no?

    Ronaldo Bowen Sissoko > Watkins Foden Mount (-8)

    1. Well you know, Triffic
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      No to Mount.

      1. Jeremy Corbyn
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Why

        1. Scholes Out For Summer
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Wolves Villa Brighton arent the easiest attacking fixtures, then liverpool and city, then blanks

        2. Well you know, Triffic
          • 13 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Wolves won't be a free scoring game. Mount has blanks coming up and Chelsea are hardly free scoring.

    2. Jeremy Corbyn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Good moves

  2. ZTF
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Lacazette or Tierney?

    1. Stranger Mings
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Laca

  3. yanky
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    can field 8 without any hits….
    is any -4 pt hit worth fielding 9 ?
    nothing in bank and bench is:
    DDG Dalot Gray Bowen Antonio King

    1. Stranger Mings
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Yes worth it .. Antonio to Watkins

  4. frankiefernandez
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Can't decide which City midfielder to bring in - is De Bruyne worth the extra money over Foden? Been avoiding City so far due to Pep roulette but not many other options this week!

    1. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Foden Bernardo KDB Gundo in that order imo

  5. Nightf0x
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Rams
    Taa can rudi *lampty (dalot)
    Salah jota bsilva *galla (bowen)
    *Locadia watkins (denis)

    Which 1or2 transfers to do with a -4?
    A) lampty to target/cash/tierny/white/tomiyasu/james
    B) bsilva to foden/kdb/raz
    C) locadia to laca
    D) galla to foden/esr

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      D Foden

  6. Steve The Spud
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Which 2 city mids on a free hit ?

    1. Well you know, Triffic
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Foden + KDB

      1. Arteta
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        I agree.

      2. Steve The Spud
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        No love for sterling?

      3. Scots Gooner
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Yep. Defo Foden and KDB.

    2. frankiefernandez
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      If you're picking two, I'd say De Bruyne and Foden - I'm trying to decide between the two of them at the moment!

      1. Well you know, Triffic
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Foden. KDB may mess your team structure up.

    3. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Sterling and Foden IMO

    4. Snake Juice
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Sterling and Foden

  7. Louis99
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Sanchez > Ramsdale surely worth a hit if no playing back-up keeper?

    1. PattBrofield
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I’m gana do it

  8. Bleh
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Best move(s)?

    A. De Gea > Ramsdale
    B. Allan > Martinelli
    C. Antonio > Lacazette
    D. De Gea, Antonio > Ramsdale, Lacazette (-4)

    DDG*
    James, TAA, Mings, Cancelo
    Salah, B.Silva, Son, Jota
    Watkins, Antonio*
    (Steele*, Livramento*, Dennis*, Allan*)

    1. Well you know, Triffic
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      C.

      1. Bleh
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers!

  9. PattBrofield
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    A) Jiminez -> lacazette
    B) Brownhill to Saka

    1. MGD
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

    2. Bleh
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      A

  10. Scholes Out For Summer
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    if taking a -8, which move would you prefer?

    Sanchez + Brownhill --> Martinez + Saka
    Sanchez + Livra --> Ramsdale + Cash

    1. Well you know, Triffic
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Brownhill might play so i'd say keep him.

      1. Scholes Out For Summer
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        I get that but i never understood why, since he's basically a guaranteed 1 pter

        1. Well you know, Triffic
          • 13 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          1 point will make a difference this week especially with many hits flying around.

      2. Scholes Out For Summer
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        like if it was Sanchez + Bowen to Martinez + saka would that be a better move?

    2. Stranger Mings
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      2nd one

  11. Well you know, Triffic
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Got Vardy going down and Watkins going up. So tempted to pull the trigger now....what's the worst that could happen (lol)

    1. Stranger Mings
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      If can afford the price change wait

    2. BrockLanders
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I'm probably gonna do it tonight. Highly unlikely that game is called off now..

      1. Zimo
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        They're gonna get tested tomorrow as well u know. Can easily get postponed

    3. Steve The Spud
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Worst that happens is it’s called off and your in the same boat anyway, he’s good long term - id probably just do it but that’s me

    4. waldo666
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      If I don't do Antonio to Watkins now I'll be priced out so will probably go early.

      1. Pointless
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        I did same move this evening for same reason. So if it backfires you’ll know you’re not alone.

  12. BrockLanders
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Would you go to -8 to field 11 and replace Steele with Ramsdale?? (Have DDG)

    1. Stranger Mings
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Yes

    2. TheSteel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      No. Matches could yet be postponed and your new players could have blanks

    3. MGD
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I’m probably taking -4 for keeper
      (Guita -> Ramsdale)

  13. Cactus247
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    9 players out this GW, worth using the Free hit or what?

    1. BrockLanders
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      At that level, I would.

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I'm playing with nine and no hits

    3. OptimusBlack
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      If 9 players out sure use it

    4. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      If taking a hit would mean bringing in someone you would not want for a reasonable amount of time then yes. Make sure you have a solid bench!!

  14. Atwood
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Would you rather get rid of Gallagher or Antonio?

    Gallagher/King > Foden/Lacazette
    Sissoko/Antonio > Foden/Lacazette

    1. OneDennisBergkamp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B for sure

    2. Stranger Mings
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

  15. OneDennisBergkamp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    those selling Ronaldo... are you expecting him not to play vs Newcastle on 27/12?

    1. Steve The Spud
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      This is one reason I want to free hit

      1. Scholes Out For Summer
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        this... but seems like such a waste, not even a gamble

    2. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I think that's why I'm keeping I think. If I sell it's going to be difficult to get him back for NEW/BUR (if they even happen).

      Crellin even suggesting an outside chance (though this seems 99% unlikely) that MUN vs. BHA could be moved midweek and stay in GW18 if the COVID outbreak dies down in time...

  16. Jones Kusi
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    What to do here?
    2 FT 0.0 ITB

    DDG Gunnarsson
    Dalot Taa James Cancelo Livramento
    Salah Jota B.Silva Bowen Brownhill
    King CR7 Benteke

    1. TheSteel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Ddg to Martinez

    2. BrockLanders
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Tough one that. Can't actually think of an option

  17. Drip Doctor
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    People going with KDB not concerned about minutes? I'm sure Pep would have taken him off instead of Bernardo had the latter not picked up a niggle. Slowly working up his minutes? He looked shattered by full time.

    1. Grande Tubarão
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      If anyone’s going KDB I’ll have a bit of what they’re smoking.

    2. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Grr Man City so difficult
      I'm sure they are the 'right' captaincy pick this week
      7 goals vs. Leeds last game
      Playing a Newcastle team that shipped 4 vs. Leicester and 3 vs. Leeds
      Meanwhile Liverpool play a Spurs team that have only conceded a single PL goal since Conte took charge and a quite concerning heatmap for Salah...
      But who do you captain, they take it in turns to haul. Got a feeling it will be Sterling some how!

      1. Drip Doctor
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Its the early substitutions which can frustrate aswell.

        1. Sun Jihai
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Yep. I'm really tempted by the Cancelo armband, though knowing my luck he'll get a 59 min sub.

          1. Drip Doctor
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            2 years, 4 months ago

            I am too. Didn't play last game so should get 90. City have tended to concede 1 sloppy goal in most games though.

            1. Sun Jihai
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              2 years, 4 months ago

              Yeah, in theory Liverpool should have had a slam dunk CS against them last match on paper.

              1. FPL_Crisis
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 13 Years
                2 years, 4 months ago

                No VVD no Fabinho played a part
                Also expect Wilson to start not sure that makes a huge difference ha

                1. Sun Jihai
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 12 Years
                  2 years, 4 months ago

                  Good point re VVD.

    3. FPL_Crisis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      No city presser either so anyones guess

  18. lumaunited
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    How much chance to Son play?

    1. Hits from the Bong
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      95%

    2. Grande Tubarão
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      He’s trained. Maybe even as high as 40% chance of playing imo

    3. Halftime
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      He's had a lot of rest lately, very high

    4. YEAH PITCH!
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      If the game goes ahead, total guess, very high. He trained.

  19. Nespinha
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Sanchez
    Dias Cancelo Rudiger TAA
    Salah Raphinha Brownhill
    Vardy António Watkins
    Subs - Gunn Livramento Gallagher Bowen

    1FT 0.9ITB

    Thinking Vardy to Lacazette

    Any alternatives?

  20. Bennyboy1907
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Livra to cash or roll transfer

    Have 10 playing atm

    1. Stranger Mings
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Same for me and doing that transfer to get 11

    2. Grande Tubarão
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I did Livra to Tierney for 11. Think of Cash the only option I’d have probably stuck with 10 and rolled

  21. gooberman
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    where are the GW18 scout picks?

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Good question actually - I glanced at the top right and saw 4-5-1 and assumed that was this week, then I saw Dennis.

  22. The Train Driver
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Rumour flying around that Salah has covid. Some of the same sources that posted the VVD covid news.

    Only rumours so far based on some vague facts but will be interesting to follow.

    Source: https://mobile.twitter.com/LFCTransferRoom/status/1471964607732461570

      1. The Train Driver
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Yeah, just saw that one as well and was going to update. Cheers...

        1. Zimo
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Short story to follow 😛

      2. Zimo
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        He doesn't have it

    1. BrockLanders
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      *sigh*

    2. BENOIT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Rubbish. Salah was live earlier with Klopp and tested negative.

    3. Scots Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I'd advise everybody to transfer him out immediately

  23. BrockLanders
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Good to see Ben Davies back in full training. One less transfer to worry about..

  24. Abhishek Chitre
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Gundogen or Bernardo for this gw?

    1. BrockLanders
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Toss a coin job that

  25. footballfreak
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    1 ft and 0.8 in bank thinking about selling livra for mings to field 11..any other suggestion?
    Ramsdale
    TAA alonso james white
    Jota salah bilva d.luiz
    Watkins
    Subs: mcarthy, ronaldo, livra, gallacher,

    1. footballfreak
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      And dennis

  26. Zimo
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Cool Pep doesn't have Covid and Bernardo isn't injured

  27. OneDennisBergkamp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Pep interview this evening....

    City were forced to replace Bernardo Silva with Ilkay Gundogan at half-time in the midweek, after the Portugal international suffered from "muscular niggles," according to Guardiola.

    The Sky Blues were also without Kyle Walker for the win over Leeds, with the right-back said to have been "short of full fitness."

    However, both are in contention to feature against Newcastle, with Guardiola revealing that only Ferran Torres is unavailable for the game.

    “Everyone is fit, it’s just Ferran [Torres] missing. Joao [Cancelo] is back after [his suspension against] Leeds and we will travel to Newcastle with everyone ready to play,” said Pep Guardiola.

    1. Scholes Out For Summer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      he said everyone is fit for last GW, then bam, Walker is not fit like a day later

      cant trust the man

  28. The Count of Monte Cristo
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Still kicking myself for missing deadline last GW but I at least have 2 FT.

    DDG + Toney --> Ramsdale + Watkins (FT) the obvious move?

    DDG*
    TAA -- Cancelo -- White -- James
    Salah -- Jota -- Raphinha -- B.Silva -- Saka
    Wilson

    Foster* - Dennis* - Toney* -- Livramento [2FT + 2.9m ITB]

    1. Well you know, Triffic
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Toney -> Watkins fine
      I'm not a fan of swapping keepers around. How about Livra to someone?

      1. The Count of Monte Cristo
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks. I have WC to play so was thinking it would be worth making the GK move / Bilva --> Foden.

  29. Mr Johnson
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Sanchez and Toney to Ederson and Lacazette for -4??

    1. BrockLanders
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Yeah