FPL first-draft team reveals: Double Chelsea and Liverpool defence

Saka is nailed and has good fixtures. Mendy also has good fixtures, if Che recruit good centre backs I’m going with him. Coutinho has good opening fixtures to and is nailed. Those would be my picks, spend the extra 1m on your defense.

Given that Kane did little to nothing in the first few months of last season I think he might be under priced in comparison.

Under Conte:
26 starts. 19G 8A.
203pts. Pts/start 7.8
Mins/pt 10.9

I'm planning to cap him GWs 1, 3, 4, 6.

they look tricky enough to me, Chelsea(A), Wolves, Forest(A), West Ham(A) don't scream goals, even Southampton beat them in the reverse fixture last season

Cash & Coutinho

Reply fail to Bartowski

I'd like both but can't fit them in. Ultimately Kane allows me a playing 4.5 mid while Son gives me a non playing striker.

Can play left back as well which means Chilwell will be prone to rotation, maybe more than James if Aze goes to Barca.

Not nailed by any stretch of the imagination. James and Chilwell are no brainers now though, it's effectively a 9 player game.

It's because I'm going with Kulveski as well. His numbers are ridiculous for the second half of the season.

All good

If you like it and think it will do well ignore the rest of us

Personally wouldn't have Mings, wouldn't go without TAA, wouldn't pick Bilva or Sterling either

Johnson bandwagon coming

Welcome back! Think it looks pretty good, only options I don't love are Bernardo (mostly playing as a defensive CM now) and maybe Mings, just because he's very prone to a booking and I'm a little unsure if he's nailed with the signings Villa have made. I know he's captain but I'd find it hard to see Konsa benched regularly

I quite like this.

If you swapped Silva to someone like Olise at Palace (who is one of the most graceful players I've seen), or someone like that you've got another £1.5 in the bank to upgrade the bemch

Or your defence

bolster the mid, i think having 1 8m mid beside Salah would be ideal

Reply fail

Cheers mate lol

Perisic not nailed, who is wissa

Tomi & Jonny are cheap and rotate well so both

no club suspension for a certain player not charged with anything yet, so not sure they need another midfielder with Zink being able to play there too

should definitely get another mid, Partey is very injury prone

Pretty sure Tielemans deal went cold weeks ago. Maybe it will pick up but I'm doubting it given how quiet it's been

1) Performance doesn't directly affect price changes, people buying or selling a player is what results in price changes. Naturally that's linked to performances but the best thing to look out for is if you have a player with high ownership which starts plummeting in ownership, or a player with very low ownership that suddenly picks up a lot of owners. An example of the former could be Neto if he doesn't kick off quickly given his high backing so far, people may jump off quickly resulting in value decreasing. The latter might be someone like Wan-Bissaka in his first season, was priced at 4m (?) and was a surprise starter but had a great first game and his low price enabled people to spend money elsewhere.

2. Position makes no difference
3. Base price doesn’t matter
4. This is the key one. The higher the ownership, generally you'll need a lot of people to buy a player for them to rise. The lower the ownership, then the less buyers will be needed to trigger a rise. The problem is often with losing value, if you have a low-owned player then you'll probably be unlikely to see drops unless a lot of people sell, but the inverse is also true. I think there's generally a certain percentage of buys/sales relative to ownership that need to be reached to trigger a change but I'm not sure.

Couple of other things to note:
- A flagged player will have to meet a higher threshold of sales to drop in price compared to normal, and the more significant the flag the higher the threshold
- Players that are newly registered normally have a period of 7 days where any price changes are blocked
- If a player goes from a yellow/orange flag to being unflagged, or from a red flag to an orange/yellow flag, their price can change. If a player goes directly from a red flag to unflagged (i.e. returning from suspension) price changes are blocked for a week.
- Price changes generally occurr around 1.30AM GMT if I remember correctly

Your best bet at keeping track of potential changes is FPL stats: http://www.fplstatistics.co.uk/Home/IndexAndroid2

It's not perfect and isn't always right (FPL don't release the exact mechanisms behind price changes and there have been occasions where, going on the norm, changes should or shouldn't have occurred and the opposite has happened, or players seem to take forever to rise so it feels like a manual block is on them (a good example is Lukaku last season, after the block should have been lifted he rose in ownership by about maybe 15-20% and didn't rise in price once despite being predicted to every day for weeks).

Sorry for the overly long post, hope it helps.

Oh and Friday is generally the busiest day for transfers, whether there's a Friday or Saturday deadline. If Saturday then that's busy too but Friday is probably when most casual players make their changes, and it makes most sense for more involved players too as manager press conferences are on on Thursdays and Fridays

Firstly, if you're not aware of it, there's fplstatistics.co.uk to check price changes - usually fairly accurate for indicating which players are on the verge of rising/dropping in price.

I'm sure there's some round here who know more about this but I'll give it a go. Basically the higher the ownership % the more transfers it takes to budge price. So the biggest & most rapid changes come from low-owned assets - often mid-price/budget bandwagons that people hop on at the same time for a favourable fixture run. Highly owned premiums will change more gradually. Reece James & Ramsdale kind of fall in between these categories really; I would imagine their prices would be fairly stable if you're talking 2 week timeframe, unless Chelsea/Arsenal make a really shockingly bad start.

Not sure how/if position affects changes.

Pretty template that except for mateta

Oops rice = botman

Yep go for low owned striker fodder

Yea, I decided to go with a less owned fodder up top because of this.

Conte back at the club that sacked him, be more shouty than usual.

reply fail

Absolutely agree. Great timing to play them

Triple Arsenal for me and Foden along side Saka.

Think City only have two friendlies to give us any info before the PL starts. I don't really fancy playing Pep roulette that early.

Foden only becomes a real option later in the season with City have 2/3 other mids out.

Don’t be sorry, as long as it’s the oasis version it’s all good!

why

the new guy will surely be backup to Raya for the first 5 or 6 games and then we WC anyway

I’m not sure I get this logic. Spence has only played championship. Conte will go for the league. He won’t rely on Spence…

Emerson Royal will leave, and Spence will be back up to Doherty.

Could be great if ake deal goes through

Diaz 64 points in 900 or so mins could be 2.5x that this year as he started in Jan. Plus second season and is now familiar with the team and klops system

It’s just following the crowd. Both Alisson and Robertson are better than Diaz, imo. Looks a bit raw, whilst not translating good performances into consistent FPL returns. Happy to be proven wrong, however.

Mane

Mane going from Liverpool opens the spot up, Richarlison joining Spurs closes anl spot down

Leaning yes but its still up in the air really. I'd like to see the pattern of UCL rotation before I commit

Robo to chilli and Williams to a 5m solves that

Close but son just

Valued at 240 v 230, looks about right.

It’s a massive if but Son. Think purely through lack of rotation

Son can score c. 50% more points for each goal due to CS point and extra point for mid

Plus he's the focal point of Spurs attack

Goals will still be spread around at City. Peps not going to turn the team into a feeding Haaland only effort