Spot the Differential

FPL Gameweek 5 differentials: Nunes can exploit Bournemouth

Gameweek 5 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Wolverhampton Wanderers, Brighton and Hove Albion and Leicester City, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of five per cent or less at the time of writing.

MATHEUS NUNES

FPL transfers: The latest new Premier League signings assessed 44
  • FPL ownership: 0.2%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW5-9 fixtures: bou | SOU | liv | MCI | whu

Matheus Nunes (£5.0m), Wolverhampton Wanderers’ new club-record £38m signing, has performed well for the club in his first two starts.

The box-to-box midfielder was thrown straight into the starting XI for Wolves’ visit to Tottenham Hotspur in Gameweek 3, before his Premier League home debut against Newcastle United on Sunday.

In that time, Nunes has racked up six goal attempts, four shots in the box and one ‘big chance’, and is clearly suited to the advanced midfielder role in Bruno Lage’s 4-3-3 set-up. From that position, it’s expected he’ll get the license to attack and join the front three when the opportunity arrives, given that Joao Moutinho (£4.9m) and Ruben Neves (£5.5m) are more likely to sit in.

Wolves were denied their first Premier League win of the season in Gameweek 4, as a late Allan Saint-Maximin (£6.5m) volley cancelled out Neves’ opener. However, Raul Jimenez (£6.9m) made his first Premier League start of the season, and elements of their attacking play caught the eye at Molineux. Indeed, Nunes had a great chance with a free header from the Mexicans cross in the first half, while his pass for Pedro Neto (£5.3m) almost produced an assist.

That suggests attacking returns are on the horizon, ahead of an appealing two-match run against Bournemouth and Southampton.

Nunes has hit the ground running at Wolves and is perhaps being overlooked as a budget midfielder.

PERVIS ESTUPINAN

FPL transfers: The latest new Premier League signings assessed 41
  • FPL ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW5-9 fixtures: ful | LEI | bou | CRY | liv

Pervis Estupinan (£4.5m) caught the eye with a lively home debut in Gameweek 4, as Brighton and Hove Albion maintained their unbeaten start to the season.

The energetic full-back/wing-back whipped several dangerous crosses into the box and regularly got forward in Graham Potter’s 3-4-1-2 formation, ending the match with a game-high three created chances and one attempt on goal.

It’s also worth noting that among all players on the pitch, only Moises Caicedo (£5.0m) registered more final-third touches than Estupinan. He didn’t neglect his defensive duties, either, with 10 ball recoveries and two interceptions.

The match saw Brighton keep their third clean sheet in four matches, and with a great run of fixtures, now is a good time to invest in the Seagulls. Indeed, they sit top of our Season Ticker from Gameweeks 5 to 8, a period which sees them face Fulham, Leicester City, Bournemouth and Crystal Palace. They are in fine form, too, having gone nine consecutive top-flight matches without a defeat, extending back to the 2021/22 season.

Estupinan will help cover the void left by the departure of Marc Cucurella (£5.1m) to Chelsea, and while not quite as nailed as team-mate Lewis Dunk (£4.5m), could potentially develop into a first-choice player. If Saturday’s performance is anything to go by, that isn’t far away.

HARVEY BARNES

Barnes offering differential potential between now and end of FPL season 1
  • FPL ownership: 1.0%
  • Price: £6.9m
  • GW5-9 fixtures: MUN | bha | AVL | tot | NFO

Harvey Barnes (£6.9m) netted for Leicester City in their 2-1 away loss to Chelsea in Gameweek 4, his first goal of the season in just his second start.

The winger was the Foxes’ main attacking threat as he combined well with Jamie Vardy (£9.4m), ending the match with four goal attempts, three of which were on target. That means he’s racked up a respectable five shots in the box in the last two Gameweeks, a tally that ranks joint-seventh among all midfielders.

“Harvey Barnes was outstanding for us, we knocked on the door a lot. There was a lot of good for us but we’re disappointed with the result.” – Brendan Rodgers on Harvey Barnes after their loss at Chelsea

On Saturday’s evidence, further goals and assists will follow for Barnes, who could become an effective differential pick. Indeed, three of Leicester’s next five opponents – Manchester United, Aston Villa and Nottingham Forest – have hardly been convincing defensively so far this season.

Meanwhile, no club has allowed more ‘big chances’ than Brendan Rodgers’ side across the opening four rounds, which suggests they’ll need their attacking players to step up and score if they can’t rely on their defence for clean sheets.

Barnes is a real difference maker in the final third, and after producing six goals and 12 assists in 2021/22, carries significant potential in FPL.

Haaland Foden


553 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Badger Badger Mushroom Mush…
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 8 months ago

    Bournemouth or not, wouldn’t touch a Wolves asset right now.

    Or Leicester.

  2. Stamford B
    • 2 Years
    1 year, 8 months ago

    Bournemouth 1 Wolves 0

  3. Stamford B
    • 2 Years
    1 year, 8 months ago

    Like the Barnes pick. He look good at the weekend.

  4. Kaptenen
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 8 months ago

    Thoughts on Gundo this gw?

    1. Egyptian Giza
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      gonna explode .. I am doing rashford + martenelli > 5.5 + gundo

  5. FOO FIGHTER
    • 4 Years
    1 year, 8 months ago

    Something tells me there will be plente of transfers in for Gomez @ 4.5 GW5.

    Don't know why, it is just suspicion.

  6. Josh.E
    • 2 Years
    1 year, 8 months ago

    What's the better pick till the international break?
    A. Salah and Stansfiled
    B. Kane and Rodrigo

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      B

  7. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 8 months ago

    Any of these worth -4?

    A) Patterson to Perisic, play 4-4-2
    B) Andreas to Gross, play 3-5-2

  8. JPSpurs
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 8 months ago

    Looking to burn a transfer - Jensen to Nunes?

    1. Mozumbus
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      No

  9. dr.No88
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 8 months ago

    Hi,
    wc dilema

    1. Pascal Groß
    2. Martinelli

    i have Jesus.

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      1

    2. Scots Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      1

    3. mrelpea
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      1

    4. JPSpurs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      1

    5. Firmino
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      Obviously 2. Can't believe the answers.

    6. dr.No88
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      ty all

  10. AD105
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 8 months ago

    If I currently have 2 free transfers and use 1 this week, do I have 2 to use next week?

    1. -GK22-
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      Yes

    2. Scots Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      Yep

    3. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      Yes

  11. -GK22-
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 8 months ago

    GTG, save FT? £0.4m itb

    Sanchez
    TAA, James, Cancelo, Saliba
    Salah, Martinelli, Kulu, Aaronson
    Haaland, Jesus

    Ward, DaSilva,Trippier, Archer

    1. Scots Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      Looks solid. I'd roll

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      Yes

  12. iL PiStOlErO
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 8 months ago

    First transfer of the season, burned last two. Any ideas?

    Ramsdale Wars
    Robbo Walker Dier Jansson N.Williams
    Salah L.Diaz Kulu Mount Andreas
    Jesus Haaland Greenwood

    1. Scots Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      Mount to Gros?

      1. iL PiStOlErO
        • 5 Years
        1 year, 8 months ago

        One that goes out will be Mason yes but not sure if for Gross. You reckon that he can do good in next few?

      2. mrelpea
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 8 months ago

        This

        1. mrelpea
          • 7 Years
          1 year, 8 months ago

          Reply fail to the ‘Mount to Gros’ comment

  13. Smoky Johnson
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 8 months ago

    Whats the main reason for your current captaincy choice?

    Haaland in super form but might only play 30-60 min at home vs NFO.
    Salah has scored in last 5 home games vs Newcastle and looking to revenge his massive blank.

    Currently on Salah.

    1. Scots Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      I keep chopping and changing.

      For what it’s worth, I imagine they’ll both do well this week.

      Salah the safer of the two.

    2. Do I Not Like Orange
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      Haaland. Partly due to not wanting to double down on a bad pick from the weekend, partly because Newcastle are a far better team than Forest, especially defensively.

  14. Drip Doctor
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    1 year, 8 months ago

    Uh oh. Rodrigos time will soon be numbered. Sinisterra looking closer to a start too.

    “Patrick Bamford will be really close for that match [Everton], so we should have options.”

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      Probably get 1-2 matches, his spot to loose

      1. Drip Doctor
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        1 year, 8 months ago

        We all know Rodrigo by now, he'll fumble.

    2. SpaceCoyote97
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 8 months ago

      What makes you say that? He's on fine form at the moment, I'd wait for his form to drop off before saying that.

  15. ZiZou10
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 8 months ago

    Is Salah likely to drop to £12.9m tonight? Any way of knowing?

    1. International Richard
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      No way he’s dropping tonight

    2. bitm2007
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      FPL Statistic is the best guide.

      http://www.fplstatistics.co.uk/

      Only 19.6% of the way to a drop according to them.

  16. FPLheadwreck
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    1 year, 8 months ago

    Who to start - Jensen or Andreas?

  17. Drip Doctor
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    1 year, 8 months ago

    Is anyone tempted by Salah to De Bruyne?

    Salah - NEW, eve

    De Bruyne - NOT, avl

    1. That Was Easy!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      I'd consider it if I had a luxury transfer for sure

    2. The Wayfarer
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      Yep, doing this before the next deadline.

    3. mrelpea
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      I went with KDB over salah from the off and not regretted it. As much as I think salah could ruin riot vs Everton, not sure it’ll be a walk in the park vs newcastle.
      I would

    4. House Frey Wedding Planner
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      Not for me

    5. Scots Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      Considering it for next week if Salah fumbles again

    6. internal error
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      No but I’m tempted by Diaz to Foden

  18. That Was Easy!
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 8 months ago

    Ward
    James Cancelo Saliba Trent
    Salah Gundo Mart Mount
    Haaland Jesus

    Iverson; Andreas, Nico, Greenwood, 2FT, 0.0itb

    Mount + Iverson > Rodrigo + Sanchez the easiest two transfers ever this week?

    1. That Was Easy!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      I would like to look elsewhere (Gross, Trossard, ASM, Zaha)

    2. mrelpea
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      I think Gros is a better pick than Rodrigo

      1. That Was Easy!
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        1 year, 8 months ago

        Yeah, has really looked on it. They're all in the same boat of having historically been let downs long-term, but suppose we've got to jump on them while they're hot.

  19. mrelpea
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 8 months ago

    2 FT’s and 0.1 ITB

    Raya
    TAA Cancelo James
    KDB Diaz Martinelli Gros
    Jesus Toney Halaand

    Ward Neco Patterson Andreas

    Would quite like to have two FT’s for next gameweek so only looking at doing one transfer this week, the problem is I can’t really see any worth doing.

    GTG and just burn the transfer?

    1. Moxon
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      Raya to Sanchez or shave 0.1m off your bench

    2. wulfrunian
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      I would sell Raya for Sánchez.

      1. bitm2007
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        1 year, 8 months ago

        I was about to suggest this as well.

    3. rambo.
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      Great team. Probably what the other said Rays > Sanchez

    4. mrelpea
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      Cheers all! It’s got to be Raya to Sanchez

    5. Crunchie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      Does anyone think Fulham will score a goal against Brighton? They have looked very strong at home?

  20. Pringle
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 8 months ago

    Diaz or Gundo? Tempted by Gundo as I have 2FT for next round. Thoughts?

    1. mrelpea
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      Gundo better short term pick but Diaz the better long term one

      1. In a Rush
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 8 months ago

        Diaz

  21. AD105
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 8 months ago

    Who would you prioritise trying to bring in?

    A) Groß
    B) Rodrigo
    C) Harrison

    1. Drip Doctor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      A

    2. La Roja
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      None

      A if u must

  22. Bod
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 8 months ago

    Best replacement for Maddison?

    1. La Roja
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      Depending on budget

      1. In a Rush
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 8 months ago

        This.
        But probably Diaz for me if possible.

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      Diaz

  23. In a Rush
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 8 months ago

    Good to see my new signing estupinan getting a mention and glowing report as a good differential.

  24. HD7
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 8 months ago

    Any bright ideas how to upgrade this, mates?
    2 FTs 0.0 ITB

    Ederson
    
TAA Robo Cancelo James Trippier
    
Salah Martinelli Rodrigo
    
Haaland Jesus

    

Bench: Ward DaSilva Pereira Greenwood

    1. JPSpurs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      Tempted to say just burn the transfer (looks like I will) or downgrade Robbo to provide more funds

  25. My heart goes Salalalalah
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 8 months ago

    Good ebening. Thinking of saving ft here. Any suggestions? Bench order?

    Sachez
    TAA Robbo Cancelo
    Salah Marti Rodrigo Dasilva
    Haaland Jesus Toney
    Ward Andreas Trip Neco

    1. waltzingmatildas
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      Looks good

      1. My heart goes Salalalalah
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 8 months ago

        Cheers

    2. Christina.
      • 14 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      Ek sal Andreas speel ipv da silva

      1. My heart goes Salalalalah
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 8 months ago

        Mmmm Sanchez doen goed vir my. Dink hulle gaan weer clean sheet kan hou. Sal 'n coin flip. Hoe gaan dit met jou span? Ek op 2.8m

  26. mrelpea
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 8 months ago

    Robbo to James?

    1. waltzingmatildas
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      I would

    2. JPSpurs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      Yes if you have TAA

    3. Sailboats
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      Yes, I will be doing the same transfer before GW5.

  27. BKRV
    • 2 Years
    1 year, 8 months ago

    Have 2 FT

    Vardy to Haaland
    Jesus to Kane
    Taking a couple of hits
    Cancelo to Peresic
    KDB to Diaz

    Thoughts?

  28. waltzingmatildas
    • 13 Years
    1 year, 8 months ago

    Hey guys,
    Either of these worth a hit?
    A) Ait-Nouri to Saliba
    B) Greenwood to Mitro
    Otherwise I play Andreas

    1. wulfrunian
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      play Andreas

  29. wulfrunian
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 8 months ago

    Bad start,bad team.Any thoughts?

    Meslier
    Perisic/TAA/White/Walker
    Son/Salah/Saka/Rashford
    Jesus/Johnson

    Pickford/Greenwood/Williams/Stanislas
    1ft 1.5itb

    a)Son->Sterling/Kdb
    b)Stanislas->Palhinha
    c)Son+Johnson->Gross+Haaland(-4)
    d)something else

    1. waltzingmatildas
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      A..... Tempted by Sterling

    2. Sailboats
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      C

    3. Traction Engine Foot
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      I think I'd be tempted to WC that tbh. C looks the best move of those.

    4. wulfrunian
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 8 months ago

      cheers all

  30. Erez Avni
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 8 months ago

    would really appreciate your thoughts

    2 FT 0 ITB

    Ramsdale
    TAA Robo James Trippier Cancelo
    Salah Martineli Gross
    Halland Jesus

    Ward Bailey Andreas Greenwood

    A. Robo & Bailey to Rodrigo & Dunk
    B. Ramsdale & Trippier to Sanchez & Gabriel

    Cheers