Scout Notes

FPL review: Darwin’s fitness, United’s form, rotation bites

We round up the key Fantasy Premier League (FPL) talking points from Wednesday’s fixtures in our Scout Notes summary.

LIVERPOOL AND CHELSEA ROTATION – MORE TO COME?

Jurgen Klopp and Graham Potter both made five changes to their starting XIs on Wednesday and we can surely expect more to come in Gameweek 13, with Liverpool and Chelsea among the two hardest-hit teams when it comes to turnaround times:

FPL Gameweeks 11-13 rotation risk: How much rest does each team get? 2

Andrew Robertson (£6.7m), newly back from injury, was among those rested by Klopp for this one, which does beg the question about whether the German may be just as cautious with Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.2m) this weekend.

Chelsea’s Raheem Sterling (£9.9m) and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£9.1m) were benched for the second time in three Gameweeks, meanwhile, and Ben Chilwell (£5.9m) was rested altogether.

Mason Mount (£7.7m) kept up his ever-present starter status under Potter but even he was withdrawn just after the hour mark, so the question now has to be asked over whether any outfield Chelsea assets are worth the hassle, particularly with trickier fixtures to come over the next four Gameweeks.

Kepa Arrizabalaga (£4.5m) is prospering under new management, however, and a stand-out set-and-forget goalkeeper target for Gameweek 17 onwards, if not before.

“Every player needs confidence and a push from the head coach. For a goalkeeper, maybe it is even more important when you play games in a row. You always have to be aware, as in training it isn’t the same. Now I am confident, and I think I am playing well. I need to keep working.” – Kepa Arriazabalaga

Kepa’s heroics kept out Brentford and Ivan Toney (£7.4m) in particular: he may have blanked against Chelsea but there was plenty of encouragement for the forward’s owners, as his non-penalty expected goal involvement (NPxGI) figure of 0.86 is the highest of Gameweek 12 so far.

DARWIN’S FITNESS

One of the five changes that Klopp made involved promoting Darwin Nunez (£8.8m) to the starting XI, with the Uruguayan striker scoring the only goal of the game against West Ham, hitting the post and registering six shots in the box in total in a lively outing.

It was a little surprising to see him hooked after 57 minutes, then, but his manager explained after the match that muscle tightness was to blame:

“He felt a little bit the muscles at half-time but it was all fine and after five minutes [of the second half] I was just a bit concerned about long sprints for him and balls where he stretches his legs. I thought, ‘Come on, we cannot take that risk’ and that’s why we changed.

“No, no, no [it’s not a cause for concern]. I think we caught it at the right moment.” – Jurgen Klopp

Darwin’s inclusion meant a return to a right-wing berth for Mohamed Salah (£12.8m), who later moved centrally upon his team-mate’s withdrawal. He still managed to get off four shots while Darwin was on the pitch but after what we saw of him through the middle against Rangers and Manchester City, there was understandable disappointment from an FPL owners’ perspective that he was not front and centre of the Reds’ attack in Gameweek 12.

CLEAN SHEETS ABOUND

After 10 clean sheets were recorded in Gameweek 11, we’re already up to eight in Gameweek 12.

Alisson (£5.4m) has racked up 29 points over the last two Gameweeks, more than doubling his season’s tally, but an assist and a penalty save aren’t exactly everyday occurrences, even for a goalkeeper with pinpoint passing and a reputation for saving big chances.

David Raya‘s (£4.5m) save points seem to be more sustainable, however: he’s made more stops than any other goalkeeper this season, with his 12 saves across the last two Gameweeks crucial in helping him to maximum bonus points in both matches. The Bees’ defence hasn’t actually been all that impressive in 2022/23, ranking 15th for goals conceded despite a favourable set of opening fixtures, but clashes with goal-shy Aston Villa, Wolves and Nottingham Forest next give Raya a great chance to hit the summit of the FPL goalkeepers’ points table.

Contrast that with Nick Pope (£5.3m), who has also claimed back-to-back clean sheets but been stuck on six points in each instance; he hasn’t gained a save point since Gameweek 6.

Even Southampton got in on the act last night, claiming their first clean sheet of the season. After his xG-busting of previous weeks, there was an irony in Dominic Solanke (£5.8m) blanking when posting season-best totals for goal attempts (four), shots in the box (three) and expected goals (0.41).

UNITED IMPRESS

 

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720 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Dammit_182
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 7 months ago

    Afternoon folks. Thinking a -8 is in order to get the team full of city/arsenal again. Squad would be….

    Pope (ward)

    Trippier, Cancello, saliba (Henry, Williams)

    Salah, saka, foden, Sinisterra, zaha

    Toney, Haaland (greenwood).

    Have 1.1 ITB and losing James, Sterling & trossard for saka, foden & Cancello.

    Don’t normally take the -8 but between now and World Cup worth it??

    1. kamdaraji
      • 14 Years
      1 year, 7 months ago

      Do you need to take a hit. Can you bring them in on FT's?

      1. Dammit_182
        • 3 Years
        1 year, 7 months ago

        I could but over multiple game weeks which could take time

    2. Who let Udogie out?
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 7 months ago

      I think it is worth it despite -8. Maybe keep Sterling if you can get Foden and go for Saka next week for -4 if possible.

      1. Dammit_182
        • 3 Years
        1 year, 7 months ago

        Hmm, would be the mid-option but I guess saka vs Southampton (-4) or Sterling vs United.

        Think I’ll just do the -8 (assuming no injuries) but appreciate you raiding the option

    3. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 7 months ago

      Yeah f--k it, take the -8. Its a big hit but I'm very confident it pays off compared to dragging James/Sterling/Tross around any longer. Could even payoff in just 1 GW

      1. Dammit_182
        • 3 Years
        1 year, 7 months ago

        Cheers, normally my guard goes up at doing a -8 but think in this case it feels justified. Appreciate the comment

    1. Black Knights
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 7 months ago

      Woops.

  2. kamdaraji
    • 14 Years
    1 year, 7 months ago

    Having a great week so far 34 points after hit with 3 to play

    1. :
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 7 months ago

      28 points (after a -8) with Mitro & Andreas to play.

      Freefall.

  3. Bruised Shins
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 7 months ago

    GW13 WC: Am I crazy to go no Salah?

    A)
    Kepa - Ward
    White - Cancelo - Trippier - Gomez - Neco
    Martinelli - Saka - Zaha - Foden - Bowen
    Toney - Darwin - Haaland
    0.6 ITB

    B)
    As above except TAA & Almiron for Zaha & Gomez
    0.0 ITB

    1. g40steve
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 7 months ago

      A is sweet & where I might go, apart from Saliba at back.

      1. Bruised Shins
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 7 months ago

        Great call with Saliba. I have the cash so going with A and swapping out White. Thanks.

        1. how now brown cow
          • 9 Years
          1 year, 7 months ago

          Saliba 4 yellows though

    2. how now brown cow
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 7 months ago

      Going to have some interesting benching choices.

  4. Kevinn
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 7 months ago

    Appreciate any thoughts on this WC

    Pope + VVD + Bowen + Toney + Andreas > Allison + Bueno + Foden + Saka + Darwin

    Losing 0.5m in value, but expecting Saka+ Foden etc to rise shortly.

    Current team
    Ward Pope
    Cancelo Trippier VVD Dunk Dalot
    Salah Zaha Martinelli Bowen Andreas
    Toney Mitrovic Haaland
    0.4ITB

    Thanks in advance.

    1. Bruised Shins
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 7 months ago

      Looks good. Only suggestion is maybe move Dunk to White to cover Arsenal defence.

      1. Kevinn
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 7 months ago

        Yeah that's a good shout. Noticed that WC doesn't even calculate lol but will consider that nonetheless

    2. g40steve
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 7 months ago

      Rather keep Toney than Mitro?

  5. kamdaraji
    • 14 Years
    1 year, 7 months ago

    Zaha to Saka for a hit not worth it right? Should I just bring Saka in for free in GW14 instead?

    1. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 7 months ago

      I'm doing it after tonight's game

      1. kamdaraji
        • 14 Years
        1 year, 7 months ago

        For a hit?

        1. The Mentaculus
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 2 Years
          1 year, 7 months ago

          Yes

  6. DeeJazz
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 7 months ago

    Is it worth to transfer out Kane for Darwin ?

  7. Camzy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    1 year, 7 months ago

    Well here it is... The key question.

    A) Salah + Jesus
    B) Kane + Saka

    Which do you go?

    1. how now brown cow
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 7 months ago

      I'm wracking my brains over kane, salah or neither on WC.

      Would you captain either over haaland in the next 4?

      1. Camzy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        1 year, 7 months ago

        No.

        1. how now brown cow
          • 9 Years
          1 year, 7 months ago

          I think it depends how highly you fancy kanes chances v Bournemouth. I'd expect salah to outscore him the other 3 weeks.

          Saka v jesus feels closer.

    2. Cojones of Destiny
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 7 months ago

      A and pray Jesus plays without booking , I too accidentally kept Jesus in 12 happy to play him in 13/14 .,.

  8. umerlfc
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 7 months ago

    Salah or Kane on Wildcard?