Scout Notes

FPL review: Martial injury latest, Bruno on pens?

The Fantasy Premier League (FPL) talking points from two of Saturday’s Premier League fixtures are discussed in our latest Scout Notes article.

Manchester United v Crystal Palace and Newcastle United v West Ham United are the games in question.

The numbers you see in this article are taken from our Premium Members Area, where you can access Opta player and team data for every single Premier League fixture this season.

FERNANDES ON PENS?

One of the most-asked questions of the week concerned who was first on penalties at Manchester United, and we got an answer on Saturday afternoon – we think!

As called by Lateriser in his article earlier this week, it was Bruno Fernandes (£9.9m) who stepped up from the spot to convert after the Red Devils were awarded a seventh-minute spot-kick at Old Trafford.

That was the first time that the Portugal international had scored from the spot since 2020/21.

This was the fourth penalty United have been given this season, and there have been four different takers:

TakerWon byWho else was on the fieldWho wasn’t on the fieldResult
Europa League group stage (Sep 15)RonaldoDalotFernandesRashford, MartialScored
Gameweek 9 (Oct 2)MartialMartialFernandesRashfordScored
FA Cup third round (Jan 6)RashfordGarnachoFernandesMartialScored
Gameweek 22 (Feb 4)FernandesRashford (for handball)RashfordMartialScored

So Anthony Martial (£6.5m) is the only current United penalty-taker who hasn’t been on the field for any of the other spot-kicks that he didn’t take. He did, however, win that Gameweek 9 penalty himself and immediately grabbed the ball.

Getting him on the pitch (more of which below) is another matter altogether, of course.

Fernandes and Marcus Rashford (£7.2m) have each taken a penalty when the other has been on the field but, as Lateriser discussed in his article, there may have been a charitable reason why Fernandes relinquished those duties in the FA Cup third round.

MARTIAL INJURY LATEST, CASEMIRO BANNED

Martial was – surprise, surprise – absent from the United squad on Saturday afternoon, with another injury keeping him out of action.

There was no mention of him in the post-match presser but before kick-off, Erik ten Hag said of the Frenchman:

“He had a setback from the game when he returned. He thought he could build up, but he dropped a little bit back. We have to wait, we have to be patient not to force it.” – Erik ten Hag on Anthony Martial

Casemiro (£4.9m), transferred in by over 100,000 FPL managers ahead of Friday’s deadline, will now be missing for the next three games, keeping him out of league action until Gameweek 26.

The midfielder was sent off for violent conduct midway through the second half of the win over Palace, with United going on to lose their clean sheet.

The shut-out prospects of Luke Shaw (£5.2m) and co may take a bit of dent with the Brazilian spoiler out. First for clearances, blocks and interceptions (CBIs) and second for successful tackles among midfielders since his Gameweek 10 full debut, we saw how open United were at Arsenal last week in his absence.

Marcel Sabitzer (£5.0m) at least looked promising on his own Red Devils bow as a late substitute.

RASHFORD TRIPLE CAPTAINCY

Above: Effective ownership stats for United players by rank tier

Over 550,000 FPL managers made Rashford their Triple Captain in this Gameweek; that’s over 100k more than backed Erling Haaland (£12.2m) in Double Gameweek 20.

Over one in five (21.55%) of the top 100,000 FPL managers used this chip on Rashford.

It’s already advantage Rashford backers with half of Double Gameweek 22 still to go, with his current tally of 12 points four more than what Haaland managed in Gameweek 20.

The Palace game panned out as the underlying stats form guide suggested it would: Rashford betters every single other FPL asset for goal attempts (seven) in Gameweek 22 so far, while Fernandes is joint-top for chances created (four). Doubters of the Portuguese midfielder can claim a hollow moral victory while licking their wounds: outside of his early penalty, he didn’t have a single shot all game. ‘Penandes’, indeed.

xGI v Palacenon-pen xGI v Palace
Fernandes0.900.11
Rashford0.850.85

GORDON’S ALIVE?

Newcastle United conceded their first league goal in three months as West Ham United gained a deserved point on Tyneside thanks to Lucas Paqueta‘s (£5.9m) strike. Kieran Trippier (£6.1m) blanked at home for the first time in over a year as a result.

The absence of the banned Bruno Guimaraes (£5.6m) was lamented by Eddie Howe after the game:

“He’s our difference maker, he’s got that creative flair we possibly missed today.” – Eddie Howe on Bruno Guimaraes

It should be said, however, that Newcastle hadn’t scored a single goal with him on the pitch since Boxing Day. In fact, it could be argued that they missed him more defensively on Saturday.

From having a press-resistant, ball-retaining number six in Guimaraes and operating with a conservative left-winger – Joelinton (£5.9m) – to going with neither against West Ham, Newcastle did look a bit more open and were second best for much of the game.

Replacing Guimaraes in the starting XI, Allan Saint-Maximin (£6.1m) was barracked by some of the home support for his display. Over half of the big chances that the Magpies have conceded (14 of 25) in 2022/23 have come with the ‘luxury’ French winger in the starting line-up – and he’s only started five matches all season. A grossly unfair apportioning of blame, perhaps, but the personnel change did appear to affect Newcastle going in both directions.

While Saint-Maximin didn’t take his chance on a rare start, debutant Anthony Gordon (£5.2m) certainly made the most of his second-half cameo with a lively display. Barely any FPL manager will be bringing in a Newcastle asset now given the upcoming blank in Gameweek 25 but Gordon is one to monitor for Gameweek 27 onwards, given his bargain price.

“I’m really pleased with his debut. Teams when they play us now will make it difficult for us, The onus is on us to break teams down.” – Eddie Howe on Anthony Gordon

Callum Wilson (£7.1m), temporarily deprived of competition due to an Alexander Isak (£6.6m) concussion, put Newcastle 1-0 up but there was another blank for the quiet Miguel Almiron (£5.7m). This was Almiron’s second-lowest xGI total of the season (0.05) and he’s not had a single big chance since Gameweek 17 – although he was admittedly centrimetres away from claiming an early assist for Joe Willock (£4.7m), only for VAR to spot that the ball had crept out of play.

More FPL sales will justifiably follow this week but the next two fixtures, against Bournemouth and leaky Liverpool, may be enough to persuade his remaining owners to keep whatever faith still exists.

SOLID WEST HAM

TeamGCxGC   ΔMins/ xGC
 MCI2015.70+4.30122.1
 NEW1219.00-7.00106.4
 ARS1718.67-1.67102.8
 WHU2623.65+2.3584.7
 MUN2625.36+0.6479.1

Above: Premier League teams sorted by mins per expected goals conceded (xGC) in 2022/23


Every season there’s a team (usually Brighton) who look great on the underlying stats front but who don’t translate that into FPL returns.

West Ham are a bit like that in 2022/23. Only four sides have conceded fewer goals than the Hammers (who are also fourth for xGC, above), yet only Southampton (one) have kept fewer clean sheets than David Moyes’s side (four).

The recent return to fitness of Nayef Aguerd (£4.8m) could be key on the shut-out front, with the Moroccan absolutely superb on Tyneside – as was midfield shield Declan Rice (£4.7m).

Moyes mostly going with a more conservative shape (a wing-back system) in the last month also perhaps bodes well for future clean sheets. Budget FPL defenders Emerson Palmieri (£4.0m) and Vladimir Coufal (£4.1m) stand to benefit from this tactical set-up, each starting again here.

“They’re a big, big side. They can put the ball on top of you when they don’t go round you. Nayef had a brilliant tackle. Part of your job is to defend well and we did defend well today.” – David Moyes


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705 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Well you know, Triffic
    • 13 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Anyone got a better GW25 back 5 than this:

    Trippier Shaw Pinnock Bueno Patterson

    🙂

    1. OPTA FPL
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      0 playing then considering Trippier EO

    2. g40steve
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      I have 7 blanks to deal with before 25, 3 NewC, 3 United, Toney & possibly 8 if Beuno is not an option

    3. banskt
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      I do.

      Trippier Botman Shaw Martinez Patterson

      1. NABIL - FPL otai
        • 11 Years
        1 year, 4 months ago

        Similarly screwed

        Trippier Botman Shaw White Bueno

        1. banskt
          • 10 Years
          1 year, 4 months ago

          One of your defender, White, plays in GW25. 🙂

  2. Lord of Ings
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Any Leeds lineup news?

    1. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Bamford, Harrison, Sinisterra and (of course) Gnonto start

    2. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Gnonto & Sinisterra start

      https://twitter.com/C345Sam/status/1622204641306894336

  3. Dammit_182
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    On radio 5 guardiola got asked to name which 3 city players would be in his squad - he went akanji, KDB & Haaland. Hard to argue with that!

    1. DonaldDrapier
      • 4 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      And then he promptly benched KDB. What a troll.

      1. Dammit_182
        • 3 Years
        1 year, 4 months ago

        Haha, it’s the mind games!

  4. FCHaalandaise
    • 1 Year
    1 year, 4 months ago

    What are your highest finishing positions in FPL?

    I've had one top 4k, one top 25k and one top 30k finish.

    My goal is to someday break into the top 1k!

    With all chips remaining and currently just outside the top 150k I have a chance this year!

    1. Touré De Force
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      619 🙂

      1. TheTinman
        • 8 Years
        1 year, 4 months ago

        That's awesome, nice one

      2. FCHaalandaise
        • 1 Year
        1 year, 4 months ago

        Incredible well done

        Tis much harder now with so many millions of players, although I'd bet up to half are dead teams or bots or something like that at this point.

    2. JBG
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      18/19: 6801 (2400pts)
      19/20: 27743 (2324pts)
      20/21: 59668 (2420 pts)

      My 3 best rank

      I got 130k something last season.

      1. FCHaalandaise
        • 1 Year
        1 year, 4 months ago

        I actually had another top 20k finish 2013/14

        2016/17 I finished 3,981 my best yet

        1. JBG
          • 6 Years
          1 year, 4 months ago

          Nice, I thought I was going to continue my good streak of close to 100k if not better, but this season has been awful. Been bouncing around 1mill since GW 10 or something.

    3. Firminooooo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      18/19: 549
      19/20: 204

    4. Jinswick
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      2nd (so close!)

      1. NABIL - FPL otai
        • 11 Years
        1 year, 4 months ago

        Ouch. My man's a nearly man

        1. Jinswick
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          1 year, 4 months ago

          Yep, was leading at half time on the final day too! Same season as your best OR in 14/15.

          1. NABIL - FPL otai
            • 11 Years
            1 year, 4 months ago

            Ugh must be so frustrating.

            Many regulars here did well that season. Iirc Dr. Agabuse also in top 20 or 40

          1. NABIL - FPL otai
            • 11 Years
            1 year, 4 months ago

            Can't believe I missed this article. Great and thanks for sharing. FWIW it's an honour to only be beaten by Simon March, he's far too analytical for such a game 😛

    5. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      OR 38 back in 2014/15

    6. FCHaalandaise
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Heavy hitters here wow!

    7. saata
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      1165 in 2014/15.

  5. The Mentaculus
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 2 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Til Sim/Classix get here...

    Leeds:
    Meslier, Ayling, Cooper, Wober, Struijk, Adams, Roca, Sinisterra, Harrison, Gnonto, Bamford

  6. Ze_Austin
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Bamford is baaaaack

    1. Touré De Force
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Hurdle 1 of the punt cleared anyway, let's see if he can get on the scoresheet now

      1. Ze_Austin
        • 5 Years
        1 year, 4 months ago

        Oh wow. That's bold, but not many great forward options atm. Good luck 🙂

        1. Touré De Force
          • 13 Years
          1 year, 4 months ago

          Gotta take some calculated risks to try and improve rank. Most active players have 8-9 players in common

          1. TheTinman
            • 8 Years
            1 year, 4 months ago

            I went for him too and feeling really confident. It was the assist in the cup game that did it for me, top quality.

    2. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Lets hope he can get a solid 60-70 mins

    3. TheTinman
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Yes let's go. Big haul coming and then bust the Man Utd clean sheet next match.

    4. g40steve
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      My Toney replacement for 25

  7. TheTinman
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Starting with my 1st season

    213k
    4k
    56k
    320k
    9k
    14k
    Currently 150k all chips available... Target is top 10k again but I honestly can't see it.

    1. TheTinman
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Reply fail 😎

    2. Touré De Force
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Very doable. You could do that in 2gws

      1. TheTinman
        • 8 Years
        1 year, 4 months ago

        Would have to be an unreal 2wks. If I really want to go for it I have to drop Trippier, Rashford and or Haaland at some point. Hard to close the gap with just 8 live picks

    3. FCHaalandaise
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Easy doable!

    4. JBG
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Nice rank history.

  8. Weak Become Heros
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Fear factor back at Old Trafford.

    1. My heart goes Salalalalah
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Which episode are they filming there?

      1. JBG
        • 6 Years
        1 year, 4 months ago

        The were Joe Rogan fights grizzly bear.

        1. JBG
          • 6 Years
          1 year, 4 months ago

          The one*

  9. southernpacific
    • 13 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Benching dilemma next week. Mitoma or mitro.

    Leaning on mitro first sub atm.

    Front line

    Odegard saka Fernandes ( will get in Kdb) Mitoma rash

    Kane Haaland mitro

    1. Jinswick
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Same front 8 (except with Martinelli in for Saka) and I think I'm benching Mitoma - he's on form but if you have Mitrovic you should really be starting him at home to NFO.

    2. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Probably Mitrovic. Mitoma obviously a benchable price but performances making him unbenchable for me at the moment

  10. mdm
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Almiron (bou) to Mahrez (AVL, ars) worth a -4?

    1. Shultan
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Yes

    2. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      I really think so

  11. Shultan
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    What would you do here with 2FT & 2.9 ITB (including hits)

    Kepa/ward
    Shaw/trip/bot/white/cancelo
    Rash/bruno/marti/almiron/Andrea
    Kane/haaland/nketiah

    1. JBG
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Replace Cancelo with any other defender you want, Akanji/Ake or anyone else. Almiron to Mahrez.

      1. NABIL - FPL otai
        • 11 Years
        1 year, 4 months ago

        This

  12. imvs
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Martinelli --> Mahrez or Saka?

    1. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Mahrez

    2. banskt
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Saka. More minutes.

  13. NABIL - FPL otai
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Shaw to Ake worth it?

  14. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Good afternoon all!!! Have TC left, should I use on on Haaland for next gameweek or save it for a double further down the line do we think???!!! Would have used it on Rashford this week but I Used the WC instead!!

    Advice welcomed!!!

    Cheers everyone!!!

    1. The Pesci challenge
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Wait

    2. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Save it

      1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        1 year, 4 months ago

        Cheers fellas!!! Leaning this way currently!!!

    3. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Going to save mine for later. Had a look at Crellin and Mikkel Tokvam's chart & seems like there's a pretty good chance of City DGW34 being ful WHU, so TC Haaland then is my hope

      1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        1 year, 4 months ago

        Niiiiiice!!! Will have some of that mate!!! Cheers for that info!!

    4. mdm
      • 12 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Use it

  15. Ruudy Van
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 4 months ago

    Anyone else not have a clue what they’re doing benching GW 23?!?

    Team looks great atm and will have the triple ups.

    Going forward is just damage limitation.

    P.s have the triple captain still and almost paralysed into fear not using it this week

    1. Mirror Man
        1 year, 4 months ago

        I know exactly what I'm doing. I'm a professional.

        1. Ruudy Van
          • 12 Years
          1 year, 4 months ago

          Can I pay you a monthly subscription of rotten pickles for your advice?

    2. Count of Monte Hristo
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Ake or Akanji? Who do you prefer?

      1. saata
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        1 year, 4 months ago

        Ake

    3. FPL Emu
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 4 months ago

      Good Sunday y'all

      I need to downgrade Toney to allow getting Saka in. Which do you prefer?

      A) Ferguson
      Pros: Good player, good team, many upcoming doubles
      Cons: Doesn't add to either 25 or 28 team. Somewhat unsure place in their 11.

      B) Greenwood
      Pros: Saves me quite a lot of money, good fodder to have, allows Shaw to James for GW24
      Cons: May only get 0-1 points in GW25

      C) Gnonto
      Pros: Game in 25, maybe in 28, seems a bit underpriced
      Cons: Will need a hit (Shaw-Tarkowski)

      D) Brennan Jonson
      Pros: Completely nailed, game both 25 and 28, hitting form.
      Cons: More expensive as 8th attacker, will need a hit. Few doubles