Spot the Differential

FPL Gameweek 36 differentials: Madueke, Willock + Calvert-Lewin

Double Gameweek 36 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is on the horizon, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some fresh differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Chelsea, Newcastle United and Everton, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

NONI MADUEKE

  • FPL ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: NFO | mci + mun | NEW

Noni Madueke (£5.4m) put in another strong showing at the weekend, as Chelsea ended their losing run under Frank Lampard.

After opening his account against Arsenal in Gameweek 34, the England U21 international was a real threat at Bournemouth, racking up three shots and more penalty box touches (12) than anyone on show.

Deployed on the right of a front three for the most part, he saw plenty of the ball, completing six dribbles, twice as many as the next player on the pitch. If he replicates that role against Nottingham Forest in Gameweek 36, he’ll be up against their weaker left flank, something we’ve previously highlighted.

Steve Cooper’s side also rank bottom for big chances conceded (23) in their last six matches, a period that has seen them ship 13 goals, so there is potential for Madueke to do well.

As for Chelsea, they registered their first win under Lampard with a 3-1 victory over Bournemouth last time out. It’s been a miserable campaign for the Blues, but they have improved since moving to a 4-3-3 formation with the ball. Now, they host Nott’m Forest, before their Gameweek 37 double-header.

Madueke is a raw but exciting player, who has proven in his last two matches that he has to be in Lampard’s plans for the run-in. That makes him an excellent differential for the remainder of the season, with potentially four matches in the next three Gameweeks.

JOE WILLOCK

FPL Gameweek 33 differentials: Olise, Willock + Solanke 1
  • FPL ownership: 1.1%
  • Price: £4.7m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: lee + BHA | LEI | che

Joe Willock (£4.7m) has been one of Newcastle’s standout performers in recent months, with one goal and four assists in his last 10 appearances.

In that time (Gameweek 27 onwards), he’s attempted 24 goal attempts and 15 shots in the box, totals only beaten by one team-mate – Alexander Isak (£7.0m). He’s also created 14 chances, and it’s that duel threat that has seen him rack up 5.44 expected goal involvement (xGI), a team-leading total.

Newcastle failed to break down a resilient Arsenal outfit at the weekend, but they had scored a league-high 13 goals in their previous three, so you’d expect them to do well when they visit leaky Leeds United on Saturday, the first of two fixtures in Double Gameweek 36.

A home meeting with Brighton follows before hosting relegation-threatened Leicester City. Both of those opponents conceded five goals in their most recent outings, offering encouragement to those investing in Newcastle’s attack.

It’s also worth noting in their last four matches, the Magpies place top for expected goals (xG), joint-top for big chances and second for shots in the box.

Willock is in a really good moment right now, having started each of the last six matches, and could be a quality budget midfielder to bring in ahead of Double Gameweek 36.

DOMINIC CALVERT-LEWIN

  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £7.9m
  • GW36-38 fixtures: MCI | wol | BOU

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.9m) was back to his best on Monday, claiming his second consecutive attacking return.

Even though he didn’t score at the Amex, he was a constant threat, running Brighton centre-backs Lewis Dunk (£4.8m) and Adam Webster (£4.5m) ragged and earning the assist for Abdoulaye Doucoure’s (£5.3m) opener.

We haven’t seen Calvert-Lewin look this sharp in a long time, with Sean Dyche’s careful management of his star forward starting to pay off.

Indeed, his return has given the whole Everton squad a lift, and they are clearly benefitting from having a proper focal point in attack, as they rank sixth for xG in the last four, coinciding with the former England forward’s comeback.

Everton’s 5-1 win at Brighton moved them up to 17th in the Premier League table, two points clear of the relegation zone. Their immediate fixture against Man City is challenging but anything can happen as we reach this crunch stage of the season, as evidenced on Monday.

Pep Guardiola’s troops will have their hands full at Goodison Park, too, with key UEFA Champions League semi-finals against Real Madrid either side. Beyond that, Everton finish up with two very appealing fixtures against Wolves and Bournemouth.

Calvert-Lewin is finally injury free, on penalties, and we’re backing his good run of form to continue, making him a decent differential pick for the run-in.

Haaland Foden


838 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Kodap
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 4 days ago

    I'm about 40 points behind one rival and around 20 points clear of all my other rivals, what would my best move here be? Got 0.8m in the bank and just the 1 FT.

    Steele
    Taa - Trippier - Botman
    Mitoma - Rashford - Salah - Mac10 - Grealish
    Haaland - Isak

    Raya - Watkins - Shaw - Zinchenko

    1. Moxon
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 4 days ago

      Roll and hope you pick the better captain

    2. Bavarian
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 4 days ago

      Watkins to Wilson and bench Grealish

      1. Kodap
        • 6 Years
        1 year, 4 days ago

        Can't, already have 3 Newcastle

        1. Bavarian
          • 6 Years
          1 year, 4 days ago

          Sorry missed that part, save is the best option

    3. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 4 days ago

      Grealish to mahrez

      Unused last night

      1. Kodap
        • 6 Years
        1 year, 4 days ago

        Good shout.

  2. Ask Yourself
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 4 days ago

    Anyone got any chelsea punts?

    Now joao felix has a goal and havertz has repeatedly been awful I fancy him to come back in and do well with forest at home and then their double

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 4 days ago

      I wouldn't consider Felix. Also I don't see the appeal when the doubles are two away fixtures against city and United

      https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/comment/25864001

    2. x.jim.x
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 4 days ago

      43% of their goals in their last 10 games came against Bournemouth. Felix has scored 3 league goals in 5 months.

      With United, City and Newcastle in their run-in, I’m alright thanks.

    3. The Knights Template
      • 10 Years
      1 year, 4 days ago

      I just looked at the team and quickly moved on. Just execrable!

  3. balint84
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 4 days ago

    A) TAA+Solanke to Isak(C)+Dunk
    B) keep Taa, but bench Solanke and play Murphy

  4. Fernandito
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 4 days ago

    March to MacAllister like everyone else or go for Gross?

    1. Bavarian
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 4 days ago

      Save if you have bench cover

  5. Dave2008
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 4 days ago

    Team

    G DDG (Raya)
    D Trippier Mee TAA Estupiñán Botman
    M Bruno March Mitoma Salah Grealish
    F Haaland Watkins Greenwood

    0,8 ITB and 2 FT

    Very close at the top of the my league so looking for some differentials to get the win

    One rival has
    Rashford Kane Shaw Zinchenko v my Watkins Bruno Estupiñán Botman
    The other has
    Stones Saka Maddison Rashford Kane Wilson v my Mings Bruno March Salah

    A March and Watkins for McAllister and Isaak
    B March and Watkins for McAllister and Wilson
    C March, Watkins and Grealish for McAllister, Isaak (or Wilson) and Rashford for a -4

    1. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 4 days ago

      I’d probably do C

      1. Dave2008
        • 3 Years
        1 year, 4 days ago

        Ok thanks. Foden or Rashford ?

  6. JohannaAdams10
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 4 days ago

    Grealish to Fernandes (minus 4)?

    1. Bavarian
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 4 days ago

      No

    2. x.jim.x
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 4 days ago

      United can’t buy a goal at the minute.

    3. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 4 days ago

      Wouldn’t do that for +4

  7. Paddyburns
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 4 days ago

    Kepa, Raya
    Tripps, Estu, Shaw, TAA, Botman
    Rash, Salah, Grealish, Mitoma, March
    Isak, Haaland, Watkins

    2 FT, 0,6 ITB. Botman and Watkins to Lindelof and Wilson?
    Cheers

    1. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 4 days ago

      Just Watkins and roll?

      1. Paddyburns
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 4 days ago

        I can’t, I have already 3 New

  8. Robe Wan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 4 days ago

    Leading by 28 points!! Rival has Isak and Mac 10. My plan is Saka and solanke to Mac 10 and Isak -4. Bench martinelli. Make sense??

    Raya (Kepa)

    Trips schar zinch. (Chilwell mee)

    Salah rash mitoma saka martinelli

    Haaland Alvarez (solanke)

    1. Øgaard it's Haa…
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 4 days ago

      I'd probably be looking to ship Chilwell to fodder & Solanke > Isak if funds permit.

    2. The Biscuitmen
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 4 days ago

      Looks good

  9. FootballRookie
    • 1 Year
    1 year, 4 days ago

    What would be your top 2 transfers to do?

    I have 2 FT and will use Free Hit the week after.... Current team:

    DDG
    TAA, Trippier, Dunk,
    Grealish, Rashford, Salah, Mitoma
    Haaland, Isak, Jota

    Bench: Steele, Stones, Kilman, Andreas

    A.Change my keeper?
    B.Change Dunk?
    C.Grealish to Mahrez/Foden?
    D.Jota to Wilson?

    1. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 4 days ago

      C either

  10. The Knights Template
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 4 days ago

    The path to glory leads but to the Hall of Shame! Mahrez or Foden captain?

    1. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 4 days ago

      Foden just for the love of watching him play

      1. The Knights Template
        • 10 Years
        1 year, 4 days ago

        He never lets you down!

    2. waltzingmatildas
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 4 days ago

      Mahrez

  11. Exelcius
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 4 days ago

    Raya, Kepa
    Trippier, TAA, Botman, Lindelöf, Veltman
    Rashy, Bruno, March, Mitoma, Grealish
    Álvarez, Kane, Haaland

    1FT and 2.0 ITB.

    What to do? I have two injured Brighton players and no attacking Newcastle assets. My ML rival has Mac A, so I am not too keen on him. And I don't really want to sell Utd or City players before gw37. Any suggestions? Is March to Joelinton a good differential move?

    1. waltzingmatildas
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 4 days ago

      Yeah, I like that move! Or Willock?

  12. waltzingmatildas
    • 13 Years
    1 year, 4 days ago

    Hey guys,

    I'm really unsure on what to do with 2fts, 1.7itb.

    DDG
    TAA Trippier Botman Estupinan
    Salah Bruno Rashford Mitoma Mac
    Haaland
    (Raya Alvarez Coufal Greenwood)

    Don't have money to go Greenwood to Isak/Wilson. Reluctant to go triple Newcastle, e.g. Raya to Pope.
    Do I consider losing Salah?
    A) Salah, Greenwood to Son, Wilson
    B) Salah, Greenwood to Willock, Kane
    C) Anything else?

  13. Kiss of death
    • 1 Year
    1 year, 4 days ago

    In reply to football rookie I’d do
    Grealish to Murphy
    Jota to Kane

  14. Kodap
    • 6 Years
    1 year, 4 days ago

    Grealish > Mahrez for free?

  15. balint84
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 4 days ago

    A) downgrade TAA to Konate to get Wilson (C), bench March
    B) Kane to Wilson (C)
    C) play March, no newcastle attacker

    1. waltzingmatildas
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 4 days ago

      March to New mid?

      1. balint84
        • 8 Years
        1 year, 4 days ago

        Who is nalied from that midfield?

    2. Robe Wan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 4 days ago

      C is not an option

  16. Øgaard it's Haa…
    • 1 Year
    1 year, 4 days ago

    If you have KDB are you starting him this GW?

    1. The Mentaculus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 2 Years
      1 year, 4 days ago

      Unsure... I feel like he probably won't start, but I'll see predicted lineups & pressers first. I only really have one proper sub now so its basically Estupinan / KDB.

      1. Øgaard it's Haa…
        • 1 Year
        1 year, 4 days ago

        Yeah, feel the same. If I played him would probably be Gakpo on the bench, and if he just gets a leg stretch could miss out on possible Gakpo points. But does Gakpo start? All a bit tricky. GL anyway.

  17. Prinzhorn
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 4 days ago

    Why are so many selling Salah?

    1. bitm2007
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 4 days ago

      No DGW mania.

  18. Seb_H
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 4 days ago

    Bit of a pickle with injuries and selection worries. Thinking of using my 1FT on Nacho to Isak, but also considering a -4 to move out March, or possibly Grealish to Mahrez. Would rather not take the hit but may need to.

    Any advice?

    Kepa
    Taa Schar Estu Stones
    Salah Rashford Mitoma Grealish
    Haaland Wilson

    Raya Henry March Iheanacho

    1. Seb_H
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 4 days ago

      Would be March to Mac10 probably

    1. Now I'm Panicking
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 4 days ago

      "The average and the needy"