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Pro Pundits December 14

How to use teams’ specific weaknesses to pick the right FPL assets

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Despite selling Jamie Vardy (£10.3m) for a hit on Friday, Gameweek 12 turned out to be a pretty good one for me.

After taking my second minus four of the season to accommodate Mohamed Salah (£12.3m), I returned a total of 70 points and as a result, now sit 202,736th overall, with my Wildcard still intact.

So, as focus turns to Gameweek 13, I’m going to have a look at where teams have been conceding most of their chances from this season, in the hope of identifying one or two transfer targets for the Christmas period. 

I’ll then have a closer look at some of the players who stood out, and also discuss plans going forward.

WHERE TEAMS CONCEDE THE MOST CHANCES FROM

Using data from the Premium Members Area, I’ve had a look at where each team is most susceptible to conceding chances. This is something I like to keep track of during the season, in an attempt to find out which fantasy options can exploit those weaknesses. 

The Complete Guide to FPL Gameweek 13
Kane and Son deliver again as Spurs prepare for appealing fixture swing
2,522 Comments Post a Comment
  1. DALEDOBACK
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Salah to Bruno (c) for free?

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    1. Dr. Ante Pavlovic
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Lol no

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      1. DALEDOBACK
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Spurs have 25 points this season. Sheff Utd have 1.

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        1. Ajax Hamsterdam
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          have kdb ? i woudlnt sell salah

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          1. DALEDOBACK
            • 4 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            I have no value tied up in him. Yes got KDB

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    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Yes I am

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    3. Homer21
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Yep

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    4. Podge
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Just did

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  2. OverTinker
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Bench one
    1. Adams
    2. Dallas
    3. Either of James or Chilwell

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    1. flynner25
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Dallas

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      1. OverTinker
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Adams away at Arsenal and Dallas vs Newcastle at home??

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        1. flynner25
          • 13 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          Leeds looked pretty toothless against West Ham and really should have lost by 3 or 4.

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          1. OverTinker
            • 5 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            thanks for the info

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        2. popey
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          i benched Watkins away at Arsenal for same reasons you are thinking...

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  3. flynner25
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Martinez
    Lamptey - Lewis - Justin
    KDB (c) - Salah - Son - Soucek
    DCL- Kane - Wilson

    McCarthy - KWP - Kilman - Burke

    A - Save Transfer
    B - Kilman to Balbuena
    C - Son + Lamptey to Bruno + Balbuena (-4)

    Really not sure what to do.........scared of Bruno v Sheffield Utd.

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    1. DALEDOBACK
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I'm leaning towards Salah to Bruno (C)

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    2. FPL Laurenzo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      If I had Salah, KDB and Kane I would save.

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  4. TaiwanHC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Martinez - 4.0
    Bellerin - Dias - Lamptey - Dallas - Mitchell
    Salah - KDB - Grealish - Jota - Burke
    Kane - DCL - Adams

    1 FT and 1.1 ITB.

    What would you do?

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    1. flynner25
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Sell Jota anyway.......maybe Soucek.

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  5. Dr. Ante Pavlovic
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    With how many points would you be satisfied when playing bench boost on a DGW?

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    1. King Kohli
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      15-20

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    2. OverTinker
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      10 more than everyone else

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    3. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I played it in GW1 and got 20 points from my bench

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  6. davies
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    A) DCL Taylor

    B) Adams James

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  7. jay01
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Anyone know is Hames has returned from injury?

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  8. DV8R
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Current defensive line

    Chilwell, Dallas, Justin, Taylor, Kilman

    Is it worth swapping Justin/Taylor out to Konsa/Coufal or can I hold for one more week?

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  9. King Kohli
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Thoughts on this transfer plan?

    Gw 13: Chilwell > Reece James ( Free up cash)
    Gw 14: Kilman > Taylor ( Rotates in for gw 14,16,17)
    Gw 15: save Ft
    Gw 16: KDB + Adams/DCL > Zaha + Kane ( Double up with Son for Spurs good fixtures)

    Meslier Martinez
    Chilwell Konsa Coufal Kilman Mitchell
    Salah KDB Bruno Son Anguissa
    DCL Bamford Adams

    1Ft 0.1 ITB

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  10. GW13 Fixtures and clean sheet odds
    G-Whizz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    GW13 fixture odds can be found here:
    http://prntscr.com/w2lsns
    (Provided by Betbrain)

    GW12 clean sheet results:
    ARS: 44% ❌
    SOU: 43% ✅
    LIV: 41% ❌
    TOT: 38% ❌
    NEW: 36% ❌
    LEI: 34% ✅
    MCI: 34% ✅
    WOL: 34% ❌
    CHE: 32% ❌
    AVL: 26% ✅
    LEE: 26% ❌
    WBA: 26% ❌
    BHA: 22% ❌
    SHU: 21% ❌
    WHU: 20% ❌
    CRY: 19% ❌
    BUR: 18% ✅
    EVE: 17% ✅
    MNU: 17% ✅
    FUL: 10% ❌

    GW13 clean sheet odds:
    MCI: 59%
    MNU: 47%
    CHE: 43%
    AVL: 38%
    LEE: 36%
    WHU: 35%
    LIV: 33%
    BHA: 31%
    ARS: 30%
    FUL: 28%
    LEI: 28%
    CRY: 24%
    SOU: 22%
    EVE: 21%
    WOL: 21%
    BUR: 19%
    NEW: 19%
    TOT: 17%
    SHU: 16%
    WBA: 7%
    Provided by Betbrain)

    Clean sheet totals:
    Aston Villa: 5
    Chelsea: 5
    Manchester City: 5
    Southampton: 5
    Tottenham: 5
    Burnley: 4
    Leeds: 4
    Leicester City: 4
    Liverpool: 4
    Manchester United: 4
    West Ham: 4
    Wolves: 4
    Arsenal: 3
    Brighton: 2
    Everton: 2
    Newcastle: 2
    West Bromwich: 2
    Crystal Palace: 1
    Fulham: 1
    Sheffield United: 0

    It's that thick and fast time of the year again...

    Have a good'un 🙂

    G

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    1. It’s gonna Ben Mee
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Should put some money on a Soton CS. Easy money.

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    2. JONALDINHO
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Southampton only 22% against Arsenal. That’s surely a good bet

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      1. G-Whizz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Maybe they think Arsenal will bounce back against Southampton? I know on current form which team I'd be backing in that race 😆

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    3. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Good stuff G

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      1. G-Whizz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        You're welcome mate 🙂

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    4. wulfrunian
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      cheers

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      1. G-Whizz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        My pleasure! Hope life is treating you well 🙂

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        1. wulfrunian
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          Thank you.I hope the same for you. 🙂

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  11. ViperStripes
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    a) Transfer now:
    Guaita vs West Ham > Martinez vs Burnley

    b) or wait a week:
    Guaita vs Liverpool > Martinez vs West Brom

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  12. Corgz Dark side of the Loon
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Evening people. I need to play ONE ?........Help !!!

    A, Balbuena (H) Palace.
    B. KWP (A) Arsenal.
    C. Dallas (H) Newcastle ( I have Wilson )

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    1. DV8R
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      C

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    2. Pitch Perfect
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      B. Arsenal are in a rut and Bellerin is suspended. Southampton flying high.

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  13. Honker Muddlefoot
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Start McCarthy in goal at Arsenal or give rare start to Ryan at Fulham?

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    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Mc

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      1. Honker Muddlefoot
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Thanks!

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  14. Irish Villan 1985
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Lads, worried about not having KDB, is this stupid?

    Son, Chilwell & Justin

    To (-4)

    KDB, Lewis, Dunne (3.9)

    Team would be:

    Martinez

    James, Gabriel, Lewis

    Salah, KDB (C), Bruno (VC), Grealish

    Watkins, Vardy, DCL

    Bench: Button, Dunne, Kilman, Riedewald

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    1. DGW Sane TC Fail....
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Captain Bruno and save transfer

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  15. Podge
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Salah and Grealish or Son and Bruno ?

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    1. DV8R
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Son and Bruno

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    2. Pitch Perfect
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I have Salah Grealish Son and Bruno. But if I had to take two over the next 3 I'd take Son and Bruno.

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    3. drughi
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      have all 4 but bruno and son

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    4. Irish Villan 1985
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Grealish should be on penos now if El Ghazi is not on the pitch, plus Son has a few tough fixtures coming up so A. for me!

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      1. Podge
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        So does Grealish though, I know I’m gonna want rid soon.
        Could backfire awfully

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  16. mr messi
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Need to bench one of Raphinha, DCL or Adams. Help!

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    1. Ci Siamo
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      DCL if James Rod is out

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  17. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    i can see a cs for brighton in the next 2, fulham and sheffield utd.

    best mitchell replacement? webster white or veltman?

    thanks

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    1. Steve The Spud
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      White

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    2. The Ilfordian
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I need a 4.3 player and Veltman is interesting me. Dutch international with a few goals to his name, good fixtures and pretty nailed. What’s not to like?

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  18. Totti
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    what do u rather guys?

    A) vardy and jota-> de bruyen and bamford -4
    B) jota -> zaha/ torres / mount and captain bruno

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  19. Zlatan F.C
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Best Jota replacement? I have 0m in the bank 1 FT

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    1. Pedersen
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Soucek and cash in

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      1. Pitch Perfect
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        This

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    2. Totti
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      torres / mount

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  20. nicecat
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Would you bring KDB in for Salah and use funds elsewhere or upgrade Mahrez?
    I have Jesus and no City defenders.

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    1. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      I'm going to see this Mahrez card... Got him for Citys good fixtures and they've barely started. So keep him atleast.

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  21. Pep Roulette
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Maddison or Torres?

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    1. OverTinker
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      none - Torres might work this GW but think long term

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  22. OverTinker
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Martinez
    James Chilwell Dias
    Salah KDB Bruno Grealish
    DCL Adams Bamford

    (Forster) - Dallas, Dunne, Burke

    Good to go??

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    1. scarlet
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Yup

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    2. Pitch Perfect
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Pretty starting XI

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      1. OverTinker
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        pretty what?

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        1. Pitch Perfect
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          Just pretty. Attractive. Sexy.

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          1. OverTinker
            • 5 Years
            3 years, 4 months ago

            Cheers and GL

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    3. OverTinker
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      cheers

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  23. Ci Siamo
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Good to go?

    Martinez
    Coufal / Dias / Ayling
    Salah / Bruno / KDB / Grealish / Raphinha
    Adams / Kane

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    1. scarlet
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Who is on the bench?

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      1. Ci Siamo
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Lamptey, Brewster and a fodder

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        1. Pitch Perfect
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          Tempted to start Lamptey over Ayling. If he no shows then auto subs.

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  24. scarlet
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Who is the best fourth midfielder for £5.5m or less?
    A) Klich
    B) Rafinha
    C) Soucek
    D) Other (who?)

    Can be rotated with fourth defender.

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    1. JONALDINHO
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Lookman the answers obvious

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      1. scarlet
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        Ha

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    2. Pitch Perfect
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Soucek if you're looking to raise funds, Raphinha if youre actually gonna play him.

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  25. FPLMACKEM
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Best captain for this week and why?

    A KDB
    B Bruno

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    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Bruno - a bit more rest, beast away form, plays bottom side

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      1. Mile Plankton
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 4 months ago

        What you mean bit more rest?
        Bruno played UCL and PL games for Utd.
        KDB only played in PL for City

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        1. FPLMACKEM
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 4 months ago

          Think he means between games. Bruno doesn't play till Thursday. KDB plays Tuesday.

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    2. scarlet
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Fernandes - Sheffield Utd have been hugely weak in transition. This is where Bruno does his thing and others draw penalties (which he puts away).

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    3. It’s gonna Ben Mee
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Bruno. Longer rest, better away form and abysmal opposition.

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    4. MIGHTY JOE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      KDB

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    5. FPLMACKEM
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Cheers guys. Very difficult to disagree with the case for Bruno.

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    6. SEXY SOLO SAUCE
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Salah

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  26. jay01
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Start:
    A) Hames with risk of one pointer
    B) KWP most likely one pointer

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    1. Pitch Perfect
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Arsenal are in a rut and Bellerin is suspended. Southampton flying high. B.

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  27. 03farmboy
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Would you get rid of Werner and mahrez this week? I have 2 free transfers and is so who for?

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    1. Tsparkes10
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      Mahrez nah

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    2. Pitch Perfect
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      No other pressing issues or candidates? Hard to say who you'd sell for if we don't know who you've got. But Grealish and Kane could come in at similar price.

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  28. Zlatan F.C
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    Is Son and Jota to Fernandes and Soucek worth a hit?

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  29. Tsparkes10
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    0itb 1FT

    Mccarthy
    Konsa Chillwell Coufal
    Salah Son Bruno Greal
    DCL Werner Bamford
    (Nyland,KWP, Podence, Mitchell)

    A) Salah to KDB
    B) Werner to Jesus
    C) Werner, Podence to Watkins, Mahrez
    D) Save

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    1. drughi
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      save and try to get kane in for werner next week somehow

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    2. popey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 4 months ago

      B dont need to take a hit as decent starting 11 without podence

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  30. popey
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 4 months ago

    thoughts on this;
    1 FT 0.3ITB

    Martinez
    Robbo Chil James, Cancelo (Coufal)
    Salah, Bruno, KDB Grealish (Jota)
    Adams Watkins (Brew)

    a) Adams > Bamford (long term move)
    b) Jota > Torres (2 week punt before the position becomes Son)
    c) other
    d) hold

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