The Scoreboard presents the Fantasy Premier League information you need from the day’s matches all on one screen, including the current top five BPS (Bonus Point System) standings from each match (potential Bonus Point earners are in bold). Actual Bonus Points will be shown when added – all points are provisional until then.
Hahaha!
I know... Hahaha
-477 points..
Too many hits I think
he's not made a change in 7 gwks
The most ironic thing is that with GW rank 1 he'll get a red arrow this week because of the newly registered teams 😆
glad to see it broke the 3.5 mil mark
28k last week 25k this week I'm gonna win fpl by gw45
Ha ha 😀
Seriously though, good finish well doneCheers lad
Nice one, Forehead!!! 🙂
Cheers Doos. Cracking season for you 😀
Thanks, mate! 🙂
Funny, GW rank updated yet overall points do not yet include today's scores.
If todays scores were included in overall points wouldnt that mean overall rank is updated
Total points haven't.
Right!
Hi guys, some help would be much appreciated 🙂
Team for next GW is:
Myhill
Terry - Rose - Ivan
Hendo - Sanchez - Hazard - Ozil
Kane - Aguero - Giroud
__________________________
Hamer: Boyd, Alderweireld, PVA
Have 0.9 ITB and 1FT:
Worth doing Ozil > Silva for free?
Anything worth a -4 you reckon?pretty please? anyone?
Cheers guys, great help as always.
PS ... you'll find there won't be heaps of support out there given it's the last game of the year!
Mannion - Ozil > Silva seems the logical transfer IMHO
or
Giroud > Ulloa / Murray for a cheeky differential!
Depends on how much you are ahead or behind and their team.
Ozil to Silva looks a safe move.
Ozil > Silva best bet. I don't like double Chelsea defense for last GW, but not worth a hit
A) garbutt silva lukaku (-4)
B) garbutt Walcott Costa (-4)
£0.9m for my last transfer of the season, Ramsey > Silva looks like the obvious one?
XI and subs look OK too? Ta
Schmeichel
Terry Schlupp Kos
Hazard Gerrard Henderson Ramsey
Aguero(c) Benteke Giroud
Bench - Vlaar, Cambiasso, PVA.
You thinking Ramsey will be rested?
Not particularly. More that Silva has a good chance of scoring a lot of points, and this is my only way of getting him without selling Hazard. Also, Arsenal haven't scored in 3 home games, although Ramsey has been OK I think
Yeah, Ramsey's arguably been their best player in their last two games.
https://whichtransfer.wordpress.com
New post, and im not happy !
I wouldn't be either if
4 top 1k finishes. That's pretty bloody amazing. Congrats.
*grits teeth*woops post fail. The main jist of it is a big congrats to you. You must be pretty close to all time highest HoF.
I've had a go at you in the past on a few occasions but no better man for coming back at the haterz with proven FPL qualitty. RESPECT..
Dullard strats are effective 😉
Again. Typical TL.
So I will reply on your behalf. Thanks. But you are an unworthy worm, that continually fails to even make it into the top 10k.
There. Sorted.
It never works out trying to make nice with ego cases. 🙂
😆
Would be so embarrassing for Liverpool fans if Sterling end up staying. 😀
They all have ripped him to shreads.
Interesting times ahead.He doesn't deserve to play for Liverpool
But what if no bids come in? 😀
Your club will place the first one! 😉
We'll see. 😀
I hope this drags on till deadline day and we get a cut price deal. 😀
He'll go to Bayern for 30m +
Hopefully 30m + Martinez 😉
Why not? The way they get on at him, same as Torres. He'll win nothing there, unfortunately. Can't blame him if he leaves.
I'm a United fan so it's pretty much my job to rip every Liverpool player to shreds.
Very awkward if he stays having been booed off the stage and all that stuff.
Silva lukaku
Or
Walcott Costa
Silva and lukaku obviously.. I'd probably have rather only Lukaku or only Silva rather than the two others combined
A
A
S and L
A
Help a brother out...
A. Bolasie
B. Mata
C. AdamB
A or B
B
Can we still post smug comments about starting mane over hazard or has that moment lapsed?
I'd still be posting about it some time into 2020.
Kane out for Cisse, Perez, Jelavic, N'Doye, Vardy, Ulloa or An Other ?
Ulloa not a bad shout. Or Cisse if we know he'll start. Ulloa got pens?
QPR dead and buried and Leicester witgout pressure and probably eager to finish in style.
Would you trust Ulloas recent revival over Vardy's more consistent threat ?
Mot seen much of Leicester tbh. But Vardy is not a goal scorer, Ulloa is. I would pick him over Vardy personally.
Cheers.
Toon fans want Cisse to start but they think conservative Carver will start Riviere cos he scored last GW.
Ulloa. Cisse seems to only play part time.
OR updated yet?
Or only GW rank?only gw
I should go 1st by gw 45 thoughSolid 😉
A) vlaar
B) huth
C) collocini
D) MonrealNone imo
Are these players that you're wishing to bring in?
Got a budget of 4.9, these seem the best options?
Why waste a transfer on a defender in the final GW? History shows there's very few CS in the final round.
Need to transfer out Skrtel to afford silva and lukaku
Mhm..
Vlaar good choice. That game could easily finish 0-0, IMO. And Vlaar would sure to be amongst the bonus if that were to be the case. Monreal obviously not nailed on - Gibbs could again get the nod. Huth rarely scores these days, and Colo the same, plus they've not had a cleanie in weeks on end.
cazorla to ashley young and giroud to costa/benteke for a -4 look good?
No, not sure about that. Costa is not yet on form, Benteke could be rested for the cup. Not for a hit.
Watch out for ADM
How about this:
Sanchez, Hendo, Giroud to Silva, Mata, Lukaku for -4?Why remove Sanchez?
Ineffectual of late, possible rest, and he helps finance the move.
I think he will play, and the other team has nothing to play for this time.
Well, I won't take a hit.
Is that just a general statement about GW 38, or about this particular proposition?
Both. 🙂
Thanks. I might go with Super Zlatan's Caz and Hendo to Silva and Bolasie . . .
That sounds better imo
If you want to see a roller coaster season check my game week history, over 200 points worth of hits, through it all away around gw11 but finishes the season ok, am not taking anything above a 12 hit next season , that's where I messed up on the big +12 hits, 12 or below I've actually ended up with lots of greens including last 3 weeks, been a fun season 🙂
32 pt hit 😯
Everyone dismissing Sterling now as he's set to go for big money.
But what about Shaw?
When United bought Shaw for a huge amount, they were convinced because he was young,talented etc.
Sterling being an attacking player should always go for big money than a defender(Shaw) because that has been the norm in football.
RVP left Arsenal for a big pay packet and to 'win trophies'. So did Suarez and any more.
Agreed they were much more talented and peak of their game when they left but everyone has their right to choose where they want to play be it for money or trophies.
Wouldn't you quit a job if another offered you double the salary?I'd quit for the same money 🙂
😆
Shaw left a lower club for a much larger club that had a spot vacant with Evra aging = Understandable
RVP left a club that didn't show much competitive promise and he was aging = Kinda understandable
Sterling is an unproven player that thinks he capable of competing against some of the worlds best players for a spot in the XI. Chelsea would be a poor move. Arsenal would be an even worse move. He'd be the new Sinclair at City. He needs to go to a team where there is a spot for him or else he is truly ignorant.He is still young but was decent since he was 17.
He'd get in the City team ahead of Navas or Nasri. Chelsea and Arsenal would be a different story for different reasons. Proven premier league player when he's played on the wing and not fkd around from forward to wingback.Bayern are interested in him apparently.
I'd be ecstatic if he went to Arsenal for 30m and Walcott.I agree he'd get into the City team absolutely.
Hart, Silva, Aguero. The only quality players that will remain in the City team next season.
+1
Huge clearout on the cards.I hope they keep Navas. Not as good as the other 3 but still a very good player who always gives his all for his team.
Aye. Good squad player.
Can do a job that his manager asks him to.
The pace also helps late on in the games.
This.
The way people have dismissed him has taken me aback.
One of the top young talents in Europe.
I don't get this. What has he done to prove that? Apart from one good season when he was alongside Luis Suraez...
To be rated as a 'top young talent' in Europe he needs to perform consistently. Not just 'have the potential'. Liverpool is the perfect club for him to start putting in those performances too.Players are 'rated' when they are not yet 'proven'. He has indeed not proven himself to be a top player as he has had only 1 proper PL season under his belt.
Maybe after another 2 seasons he'd be proven.
Liverpool as a whole have performed poorly this year. That's affected him as well.
A player's performance improves when he has better players around him.
He's been poor this season. Maybe it was his happiness, but all in all, his finishing has been poor, his touches have been really poor at times and looked very overrated this season
Absolutely agreed.
So if he goes to a club that has a spot vacant for him then that'd be alright you say. Then both Chelsea and City could be good moves as City have the RW spot vacant atm and he's do a better job than Willian at Chelsea.
Sterling would also be a leaving 'a club that didn't show much competitive promise'.
I think every player wants to win trophies and Liverpool don't look like winning one soon and he doesn't like the manager.
So maybe not a bad idea for him to leave.No player should ever be pressured into signing a new contract. It's not his fault that he doesn't want to sign, thats his decision. But he has a for sure spot at Liverpool. I don't see him breaking into the starting XI for Chelsea when they have Cuad and Willian. Not for Arsenal when they have Welbeck Ozil Sanchez Wally Ox Ramsey. Maybe City, maybe. ManU, tough for him to beat Young, Mata, Di Maria, and Depay. He'd be smart to stay at Liverpool, have a spot and less pressure, all while racking in the big bucks.
Didn't think Shaw was remotely worth that money. At all.
Don't use the double the salary remark as it is very different when talking about a professional footballer in the PL, as no matter if he stays or goes he'll be a multi millionaire.
Point is I didn't think Shaw was remotely worth that money, nor do I think Sterling is remotely worth 40 million or whatever crazy sum he might go for.That's where I disagree with you.
You're dismissing two(Both Shaw and Sterling) of the very best young talents in Engalnd without having seen seeing much from them.
Too early to judge that is all what I'm saying.
Paying that money to get them may not look so bad after 5 years.
Who'd have thought Bale would be the player that he is 5-6 years ago?And you have every right to, by all means!
Best young talent in England may not necessarily equate to best young talent in other countries who could join for a lot less money, that is where my issue is. I certainly hope Shaw works out, of course. My point is that paying nearly a superstar fee based on potential is very risky business. Yes it may come off, it may fail shockingly as well. And when there are possibly others from other countries that cost a lot less, it is very often paying purely because the player is English.
Look at Can for example. Has had a pretty good time at Pool this season, had a good one at Bayer Lev. the season before. Signed for Liverpool for £9.75 million. Had he played for the PL equivalent of Bayer the season before, he'd have gone for at least double that if not more.I agree with you on this one. Of course the foreign imports could be cheaper.
But then I'd be tempted to get Sterling if he's available only for the fact that he could be the next 'Superstar'.
Then if he doesn't turn out to be one, you could always sell him and cut your losses. He'd still go for a fair bit as he's English which you wouldn't get from your foreign import if he fails.
So all in all I think the upside in these sort of transfers are huge and hence the big money involved.And Sterling doesn't have injury issues as well.
Aye and I do genuinely understand what you're saying. But for myself I couldn't say I'd be over the moon if my team spent a large portion of their transfer fees on him, simply because I think he needs a few seasons of proving it, not just one good season.
Shaw is going to be an absolute beast of a player if he can stay injury free
And that there is my issue. The kid is 19 and we're already talking about his injuries. I think he's a great player, I really do and am very hopeful of what he can become in time, but that much money is a very big risk as well
Shaw has been injured most of the season. He started to look good when LvG played 4 at the back. He's only 19!!
I remember he played quite well against ivan.
Time will tell whether he will do well..but this season has been disappointment and waste of money from utd..well who can predict yeahHe was awesome against Chelsea.
Sterling's also only 20 and an ATTACKER.
If Shaw's price is justified then 45m for Sterling is very justifiable.
if sterling goes City, we r right to say he is the version 2 of shaun wright philips lol
And you are basing that on what?
Sterling could be the next Bale.
Could be either. Bale was proven when he went to RM. Sterling has proven nothing other than that he is quick. But he's 20, right? He's not supposed to be the finished article yet.
As for fees - Shaw's price was ludicrous. Therefore using it as a benchmark is ludicrous. Fabregas cost £27m. Is Sterling as valuable a player as Fabregas?
I'd say £20m to 24m would be about right for Sterling. Though it wouldn't entirely surprise me if someone paid more, mainly because he's homegrown qualified.Your question should be 'Was Bale proven when he joined Spurs?'. And the answer is No.
Comapring Fabregas and Sterling is not fair at all..
Sterling can give a club 10 years. Fabregas can't do that.No, not when he joined Spurs. But Spurs paid £5m (rising to £7m). Not the stupid money (£45m???) you are saying Sterling is worth.
Shaw is quality and not yet there. Imagine when he's fully developed and PL fit. Heard about this Adkins interview but never heard the interview yet. Played him in the PL at 17 but wasn't strong enough then to play more than 30 minutes.
http://talksport.com/football/shocking-shaw-revelation-he-physically-couldnt-play-90-minutes-says-former-southampton-bossHopefully LvG sorts his fitness out over the summer.
They are promising youngster which has high re-sell value. Even if sterling fails u still can move him on with a decent price
Exactly my point.
The upside is HUGE whereas the downside is much smaller.
Don't really understand why the Pool fans are happy to get rid of him.Because they only want "true believers".
It doesn't suit Liverpool's mythology that a good young player with potential wants to leave them. Therefore they will boo him when he gets the Young Player of the Season award that they previously voted to give him and revise history to say they didn't want to keep him anyway. 😕because he is a young kid with a bad attitude that wants to leave and is gonna bring a big fee. adios amigo 🙂
great talent though. could be a great player if he keeps his head down and makes the right choices.But you have got to ask what's that attitude due to?
He knows Liverpool can't win anything in the next few years and he knows he could get a bigger pay packet at another club.
So if he wants to play with more talented players and earn more money and win more trophies, then I think it's wrong to blame him.I don't blame him for anything. Just pointing out why as a liverpool fan I am "happy to get rid of him"
Fair enough.
You're right on that one.Funnily enough, those reasons were part of why I was delighted when Chelsea offloaded Sturridge.
The other part is that he is an over-rated Flash Harry physical coward who doesn't like heading the ball and has convinced himself he is genetically pre-disposed to injuries.
Has the overall rank updated. I've just finished work.
Not yet
is a -8 worth it if I have a 40 pt lead on my rival and do these transfers?
Ozil + Sterling + Giroud > Silva + Lukaku + Milner/Ashley.YIt could work out (Young), but -8 asks for a lot of things to come together.
yeah, I don't know if Young will start. Milner seems a sure thing
Alright triple arsenal mid fail..only consolation is that i can pick panti as my gk next season lol
Dgw results. Three Sunderland and no Arsenal for maximum points.
Haha was half expecting arsenal not to do that well especially end of season and arsenal spread of points in midfield..but again there are not much excellent choices in mid so might as well.
Sun surprised me though..never expected 2csI spent months figuring which Arsenal players Id need. 🙁
Is De Gea grand for keeping a cleansheet, saving three penalties and 20 more saves v Hull ?
De Gea is certainly capable of stopping them but I dont think Hull are capable of taking 20 shots 😆
Hull to win 1-0
3 peno saves plus 20 saves are assured then 😉
Yes, for Harper
Start Skrtel (sto) or Hutton (BUR)?
Skrtel
Skrtel. Villa defenders having extra training this week.
Hutton. At home to Burnley with less scoring power than Stoke and Pool away not keeping CS lately.
Any chance of a green with 60 at 5k? 🙂
Nope, slight red
Small red. I have 62 and think I'll get a red.
So which Arsenal players are expected to rested vs WBrom FFS people?
I would guess: Giroud, maybe Santi
Sanchez, Ozil, Cazorla would be the obvious ones. Giroud maybe not so obvious with Danny Wel a doubt. Walcott could come in as a CF of course but my thinking is that he is more likely to replace one of the above 3 in the starting 11.
Just my take on it.
Who knows with defenders.. that could be a bit more random
its final week, poor rank (but have 40 pt ML margin), mulling over:
Skrtel (sto)>Morgan(QPR)
Hendo (sto)>Adam(LIV)
to fund
Kane(eve)>Benteke(TOT)
....-12...?
obvious, logical, virtuoso move right?Not looking good for me with 17 from today. I guess a lot will have Bellerin and Kos. More so Panti.
PVA was the most highly owned. Top 10k average went up 22 points from today's match.
jaysus
Things seem to be going slow enough to make this point.
Is -8 just one more -4? No, I don't think so.
People often say you should look at your second hit in isolation, and just ask if it makes sense to make that single move for -4. I'm no statistician, but I think it doesn't work that way. Unless you can't field 11, each hit involves taking a possible scorer away and hoping a replacement scorer does 4 better. Each time you do that you make a rough guess--most people don't put a number on it but I will for illustration--that there is, say, a 40% chance your purchase scores 4 more than what you sell. You decide it's worth that risk. If you do it again, those two 40%s don't sit in parallel: they multiply each other. If you might be willing to take a 40% chance of your move working out, are you equally happy to take a 40% of 40% chance (ie, 16%)? I think most people don't realise that when they pile an extra hit on they are taking their chances of success down to that degree. The extra hit is not more of the same, it makes it wildly less likely that all the things you need to go right will go right; it turns (for purposes of illustration) a 40% chance into a 16% chance.
Any statisticians around please correct me if I have completely lost the plot.im going to try my best to politely tell you that youre very wrong
Nice effort, but why? Where is your argument? I don't think you're rude, but I do think it's lame to just say "you're very wrong" with no basis.
i was composing a reply....thought that seemed obvious from the grammar tbh
let's set up a little model based on what youve said:
assume player you transfer out gets 2 points no matter what happens (safe)
the player you want transfer in (punt) has a 60% chance of scoring 0 points and a 40% chance of scoring 8 points
There are 3 possible outcomes:
both punts fail: happens with probability 60%x60%=36%
so you get 0 points (-8) instead of 4 (2x2) for a net -12
one punt pulls off: happens with 60%x40% x 2 (for each different way this can happen) = 48%
8 (-8) compared to 4 for net -4
both punts pull off: 40%x40% = 16%
16 (-8) compared to 4 fr net +4
for comparison we look at one punt case:
60% chance dud fails: for net: (0-4pt hit)-2 (from safe player) = -6
40% punt pays off: 8-4-2 for net 2.
so indeed the chance of you ending up in the positive has decreased....however:
your expected return in the one hit case is 0.36(-12)+0.48(-4)+0.16(4)= -5.6
expected return in one hit case is 0.60(-6)+0.4(2) for -2.8
now notice that the expected return in the two hit case is twice the amount as in the one hit case: that is the transfers just sum in expectation and can be equivalently looked at separely from eachother.
Note: if one transfer is required to fund the other then they must be looked at in their sum (i.e. together)this analysis also explains why hits are probably futile in the long run: Law of large numbers states that the wins and losses will even out and you'll just end up with the expected (probability wise) outcome: i.e. punt will get 60%(0)+40%(8)-4pt hit to get -0.8points compared to 2 points from safe player.
obviously this outcome depended on the exact numbers i but try to bear in mind that if the punt had a very high expected return then it wouldnt really be a punt any more.furthermore if you've already taken a hit, then by definition it is a sunk cost...there nthing you can do about it any more, so further transfers must be looked at on their marginal viability.
I know you'll probably never see this reply, but I'll have a go anyway. (1) it was not at all clear from your grammar that you intended to work up a more detailed reply, (2) your analysis is interesting, and thanks for it, but I'm not sure it demonstrates that what I was suggesting was "very wrong". First, you appear to be arguing that the likely return scenarios end up just being a sum--this is not really what I was talking about. I was saying that the likelihood that the enterprise does not produce a net gain increases, so taking the second hit entails more risk of failure, and hence is not something that can be fairly assessed in isolation. Second, you assume away a key source of fail: the transferred out player scoring well. I think this skews your model, making it more likely that the returns work out to a nice sum. I must admit I could not compose a model that would take account of all the possible outcomes--I said I'm no statistician--but taking two hits introduces two transferred-out players with a chance of scoring well, highlighting the need for both hits to come off, or one of them to come off really well. I understand that this second point really relates to the chance of failure for each hit, but I think it helps illustrate that when you take the second hit, it introduces two new sources of failure. The ultimate point, then, is that the second hit should not be seen as just a question of whether you are happy with the chances of THAT HIT succeeding. You now should be thinking about the likelihood that two chancy things come off at the same time.
If you do read this and think I'm still wrong, could you address the question of whether the second hit makes immediate success of the whole enterprise less likely than the immediate success of the second hit viewed in isolation?
I'm taking a -8 this gw.
Don't have much to play for. So why not make it fun bringing in explosive players for boring ones... 😀Fun justifies all risks!
I think your premise is fairly sound EJ. I'm no stats or maths man either. However if your post is derived from your brain thinking is a -4 or -8 worth it in GW38 compared with GW2 or GW3 when squad overhauls maybe needed and/ or TV gains can be achieved. Then.
I would say a tentative NO to either hit in a final GW.This is really just about the idea that each hit should be seen in isolation, which is a popular view. I agree there is even less chance things work out in a single GW.
You may be riding your luck alright but the move doesnt suddenly become bad just because you've taken a hit already (maybe your first hit was the dud 😉 ) You're def less likely to make up a -8 than a -4 but I think most people know this already.
Another interesting factor is the moves made. Making one move and swapping a like for like is one thing but a -8 would rejig things quite a bit and shift what players are coming in and out.I've taken many a multiple hit (-12!) that has worked, I'm just saying that people sometimes underestimate how much they are compounding the risk with each hit. I happen to like hits. 🙂
lol I wasnt referring to you specifically Eunuch 😆 Just adding to the discussion. Every hit is a risk, therefore each additional hit adds to that risk.
Put that way my point is kind of obvious, but a lot of people on here do in fact suggest that once you've made one hit, you should just think about the second one as "a hit". I'm just pointing out that the second hit doesn't just add to the amount you have to cover, it makes success a lot less likely.
I'd have to agree with you there, old friend 🙂
🙂
In GW38 anything can happen. The reseve team could turn out for a team with nothing to play for. 5-5 games occur 😉
On paper you are correct, GW38 will be played on grass.Yup--I'll probably take a hit this week.
I took a 12 point his this week, ended up plus 17 points after transfer cost, my 5th minus 12 of the season I've had 4 green arrows and 1 red arrow. From experience nothing above a 12 hit works but 4, 8 and 12 can easily work out.
More power to you!
Basically in your example the first hit was as bad a decision as the second one (assuming we relying on a one week pay back)
I can see where you are coming from and I mostly agree, but it is of course more complicated. It makes more sense to me to look at how much the hit pays off, not just if it makes back the -4.
For example, let's say you take two hits- for one the player you brought in scores the same as who he replaced, the other scores 9 more than who he replaced. You'd still be up 1 point when all's said and done, but one of the hits didn't 'pay off', so this scenario is outside of the 16% you are defining as success.
Also, there is the more long term to look at (not relevant going into gw38 :P); a well placed hit (regardless of whether it is the -4, -8 etc.) can move over future transfers all a week earlier which can easily bring back the four points.I think multiple hits are independent events, statistically. Further, each transfer is based on a number of variables that have a unique calculus or equation or presumed probability of success (eg, player's performance history, recent performance (form), match-ups, team form, etc.). Each of us applies some implicit or explicit formula based on these factors. If, however, every hit was equal in terms of probability of outcom, then I think your assumptions would be correct.
Alright then, over to you Lebron
This.
OR updated
9 years, 1 month agoLooking at the history of the team with GW Rank 1. How could you even be bothered to make 148 transfers in a week?